Article
Version 1
Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed
The Establishment and Application of an Evaluation Model for Land-Use Change and Eco-Security
Version 1
: Received: 12 August 2016 / Approved: 15 August 2016 / Online: 15 August 2016 (12:41:51 CEST)
How to cite: Chen, H.-S. The Establishment and Application of an Evaluation Model for Land-Use Change and Eco-Security. Preprints 2016, 2016080153. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints201608.0153.v1 Chen, H.-S. The Establishment and Application of an Evaluation Model for Land-Use Change and Eco-Security. Preprints 2016, 2016080153. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints201608.0153.v1
Abstract
Land use and cover change (LUCC) is an important method to investigate the causes of global environment change. We utilized the emergy ecological footprint (EEF) model to construct a land-use change model to be used as a systematic measuring tool for monitoring sustainable development trends. In particular, we estimated the eco-security of the Cing-jing region as a case study so that responsible agencies can use it to maintain a balance between ecological preservation and tourism development. The results indicated the following: First, the ecological environment of the Cing-jing region satisfied the safety standard in 2008–2014; however, the related indices increased considerably. Second, the grey model predicted a decrease in 2015–2024 ecological carrying capacities of Cing-jing and a large increase in capita EFs, resulting in a larger ecological deficit and higher EFI. The eco-security from 2015–2024 was higher compared to 7 years ago and is predicted to reach the Grade 2 intermediate level in 2022; thus the Cing-jing region is gradually becoming ecologically unsustainable. Strengths of our study included the use of EEF theory in a quantitative analysis of slope lands for the effective evaluation of ecological security. Finally, we expanded our research to include ecological security issues.
Keywords
Eco-security ; Land use and cover change (LUCC); Sustainability development and assessment
Subject
Environmental and Earth Sciences, Environmental Science
Copyright: This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Comments (0)
We encourage comments and feedback from a broad range of readers. See criteria for comments and our Diversity statement.
Leave a public commentSend a private comment to the author(s)
* All users must log in before leaving a comment