Preprint
Communication
Modification of the Logistic Model for Epidemics and Application to the COVID-19 Epidemic of 2020 in the United States
Altmetrics
Downloads
438
Views
4825
Comments
0
This version is not peer-reviewed
Preprints on COVID-19 and SARS-CoV-2
Submitted:
24 May 2020
Posted:
24 May 2020
You are already at the latest version
Alerts
Abstract
We present a modification of the logistic model of epidemics that takes into account the possibility that an epidemic can develop from multiple physically-distinct hot spots with a range of starting times. This produces an improved understanding of the time evolution of the COVID-19 epidemic taking place in the United States in the spring of 2020.
Keywords:
Subject: Medicine and Pharmacology - Epidemiology and Infectious Diseases
Copyright: This open access article is published under a Creative Commons CC BY 4.0 license, which permit the free download, distribution, and reuse, provided that the author and preprint are cited in any reuse.
MDPI Initiatives
Important Links
© 2024 MDPI (Basel, Switzerland) unless otherwise stated