The sustainable development of Bacoli’s city aims to regenerate all the degraded areas that constitute the currently wasted roadscapes through their reconversion to locations serving mobility infrastructures, thereby reconnecting the town without further compromising the landscape.
4.1. Knowledge and Understanding Phase: The Data Gathering
The first methodological phase, “Knowledge and understanding (i)”, focused on knowledge of the Bacoli territorial context in its social, physical, economic and ecological aspects. Every Geodesign study presupposes an in-depth understanding of the territory under examination. For this methodology phase, many problems were encountered due to the restrictions imposed by the COVID-19 emergency, which destabilised and reshaped the approach to the case study, considering the possibility of additional data collection tools. Knowledge of territories is made more comprehensive through field trips, a condition limited by covid or otherwise limiting for those who do not live in those places and are nonetheless curious about it, which led to the search for additional tools that could quickly lead to knowledge of territory even without direct observation. In support of this phase were the municipality of Bacoli and the students of Second Level Master in “Sustainable Planning and Design of Port Areas” at the University of Naples Federico II. In particular, within the framework of the master’s course, a series of activities were organised to support knowledge of the area under examination. Current digital tools were used for both social and shared and collaborative mapping. A social media survey was structured and disseminated with a direct link to the Google Mymaps platform (urly.it/3w637) to spatialise some information for the area’s current state. This made it possible to collect many observations and data valid for knowing the territorial context. This information was then implemented through virtual inspections using the Google Earth and Street View platforms and thanks to the analysis of the main urban planning instruments in force. At a later stage, a field survey was also carried out.
The understanding of the context was based on the six questions defined within the
Geodesign framework identified to outline the six models of representation, process, evaluation, change, impact and decision [
58]:
How should the context be described?
How is the context operating?
Is the context working well?
How could the context be transformed?
What differences can the transformation cause?
How should the context be changed?
The first question referred to the representation model. Not only were the municipal boundaries considered, but for the resolution of the decision problem, the perimeter was extended beyond the administrative boundaries to have a broader view, considering possible connections and all potential relationships. In Geodesign processes, different geographical units are related, including catchment areas, infrastructure networks, landscape networks, and historical networks. Such interrelationships and relationships between geographical and urban systems reduce the possibility of not assessing certain design risks and improving the final results. While going beyond administrative boundaries may generate potential, on the other hand, it must be said that this increases the complexity of the analysis since it must be considered that the data required for context analysis are of various kinds, with different formats and internal management systems. It is, therefore, necessary, in this sense, to understand whether there are digital databases that are also accessible on a territorial scale and that, in a certain sense, can facilitate the process.
The analysis area was selected within a square measuring 850*850 metres with a surface area of approximately 7200 hectares, comprising part of Pozzuoli and Monte di Procida’s municipality. In addition, a questionnaire was structured and submitted to local communities and a broader public that frequents or knows the area under investigation for different reasons. The questionnaire and the canvas were structured on digital and collaborative platforms (suck as Miro), and a Living Lab was organised live and online (
Figure 4).
The next phase referred to the evaluation model regarding the functioning of the area. In this phase, the questionnaire was submitted to communities and stakeholders via social networks and the website of the Municipality of Bacoli. The questionnaire provided information and data to a direct perception referring to the functional and non-functional aspects of the area under consideration, as they consider many social and spatial elements that help to assess the current conditions, such as the attractiveness of the site for the services offered, the presence of facilities, the presence or absence of elements of historical-cultural and landscape value, or the vulnerability relating to critical areas, in degradation or problems, affecting not only environmental but also social aspects. Following the questionnaire, a Living Lab was organised with the local communities to investigate the area’s current state, potential, and criticalities.
In addition to the data that emerged from the processing of the questionnaire and the listening table, it was fundamental to begin identifying and extrapolating from the various institutional databases the geographic information helpful in understanding the area under consideration. The data collected are referred to natural, social and economic aspects and are organised within a searchable digital database (Geodesign Workshop Oltreporto Miseno (arcgis.com). For the Change model, local communities and stakeholders involved during the Living Lab table expressed their opinions on possible future transformations through the community canvas structured in the representation model. In addition, other information was obtained from the questionnaire submitted through the leading social sites. Change can be associated with a positive or negative perception, meaning that if communities are inclined to change, this leads to a better response in proposing ideas, solutions or judgements. Questions were asked in the questionnaire, and the community canvas as to what changes the area could undergo, whether they were related to increasing land value, creating negative impacts and thus degradation, or conservation or development changes. The picture that emerged brought to attention the two main themes identified by the decision-makers as the regeneration of degraded areas and the improvement of the connective and infrastructural system. In a smaller percentage, ideas emerged concerning a change in the tourism sector, the re-functioning some coastal areas and the protection and enhancement of the area’s historical, cultural and landscape elements.
After identifying and expressing judgements and possible transformations that could change aspects that are functioning or not, they were asked to explain what kind of impacts these transformations could generate, both positive and negative. The impact model was outlined not only by referring to the canvasses and questionnaires but also and above all, by analysing and considering aspects on a legislative basis and thus defined based on technical evaluations of the area under consideration.
The knowledge phase was completed by defining the decision-making model for implementing the transformations. During this phase, general hypotheses and specific objectives were organised as different information and models emerged for the type of future change.
Specifically, the knowledge and understanding phase (i) included an initial development of future scenarios, outlining the assumptions, objectives and guiding requirements for the entire process:
Port development;
Connectivity with neighbouring landscapes;
Recovery, regeneration, and reclamation of degraded and abandoned landscape linked to the infrastructure network.
In conclusion, it can be stated that in the cognitive and comprehension phase, it was possible to outline an initial overview of the reference territorial context, in which the diversified points of view defined the status quo with a greater awareness of all critical and potential aspects. The theoretical scenarios that emerged from an initial scoping phase (questionnaire and canvas) are helpful as they delineate the expectations of local communities for future urban transformation or regeneration processes.
4.2. Selecting and Setting Phase: The Data Analysis
The study methodology was defined and specified in the Selecting and Setting phase (ii), working from question six to number one. From an operational point of view, the method starts defining the decision-making model by inverting the sequence of questions. Thus, it was possible to specify the method and digital technologies to be used for the management information obtained in the knowledge phase and to define the most appropriate process of graphic restitution. During this phase, the framework models were merged two by two. The decision-making models were combined with the evaluation models based on the knowledge and cultures of different actors involved in the process.
On the other hand, the impact models were associated with the process models as they both influence the next steps. Indeed, the impact models assessed future conditions against the change models. These, in turn, were associated with representation models, as they are made up of data and consequently must have the same descriptive language with unambiguous formatting of qualitative, quantitative, graphical, spatial and temporal dimensions and criteria. The fact-finding phase brought to light relevant issues for the sustainable development of the territory related to the need to encourage the recovery and regeneration of wasted roadscapes and to improve the connective and infrastructural system both on land and sea. These are the two dominant objectives and requirements for others that emerged during the consultation phase related to the development of quality tourism, enhancement and protection of natural and historical-cultural aspects, urban mixité, reclamation of the main watercourses and bodies of water, technological and energy innovation (innovative and sustainable). These domains have successively influenced the patterns of change. It also emerged that the territory of Bacoli is an open system and interconnected with other contexts. It affects and is influenced by the other subsystems’ spatial and temporal systems. For this reason, it was necessary to specify and select the leading systems on which to focus the entire decision-making process. In particular, the systems were set by referring to the nomenclature defined by the International Geodesign Collaboration (IGC - GCGC | International Geodesign Collaboration (arcgis.com)), which provides a basic definition of eight central systems and two others functional to the context analysis under examination (
Figure 5).
The eight systems presented in this way were re-discussed, with the support of C. Steinitz and M. Campagna, to outline those most appropriate to the Bacoli context. The first five systems related to
“water infrastructure, agriculture, green infrastructure, energy infrastructure and transport” remained unchanged, and the
“industry and commerce” system was modified and split into two systems, one of which was related to activities and functions related to commerce and the other to the tasks associated to tourism. In contrast, the
“institutional and residential” systems were merged into a single category referring to urban mixité. As the tenth system, reference was made to degraded landscapes and specifically to wasted roadscapes, which represent one of the main elements put in place by the decision maker, referred to in the GHD as
“reclaim”. Specifically, the ten systems identified for the Bacoli decision-making process are Water (WAT), Agriculture (AGR), Green Infrastructure (GRN), Energy (ENE), Transport (TRAN), Tourism (INDTUR), Mixed-use (MIX), Cultural heritage (CULT), Reclaim (RCLM), and Commercial (COM) (
Table 1).
The ten systems were classified into
“vulnerable to change” and “attractive to change”. The first category refers mainly to the resources related to that system and their availability and thus considers the WAT, AGR and GRN systems. The importance of “protection” is emphasised, as the latter are increasingly fragile and scarce. The second category, on the other hand, refers to immediate needs or those that need to be implemented (ENE, TRAN, INDTOUR, MIX, RCLM, CULT and COM Systems). Afterwards, a five-class impact matrix (
Figure 6) was filled in Geodesign Hub - a scale ranging (+2;-2) from highly positive (+2:dark purple) to very negative (-2: orange) - to summarise the potential impacts (positive and negative) of the possible projects referred to ten systems. Also, the opinions and judgements of the stakeholders involved were considered for this phase. The matrix is part of the Geodesign Hub impact model. In addition, cross-system impact models dynamically modify and update the assessment models as they are developed [
54] Using this impact matrix, the Geodesign Hub platform can calculate the project’s implications in real-time, displaying the number of interconnected systems [
63].
The change model was determined concerning the visions of the users participating in the process so that strategies and solutions could be defined democratically. In the next stage, evaluation criteria were set concerning each system for constructing the evaluation model. The evaluation models derive from the decision-making models and influence the changing models by directing the project to areas needing changes or limiting it to other sites that need protection and preservation. The criteria and values underlying the evaluation models refer to different variables also expressed positive (attractiveness) or negative (the aggravation of situations of the vulnerability of a particular resource, place or activity) characteristics.
4.2.1. Evaluation Map
Since the evaluation models should also be understandable to a non-expert audience, it was decided to set the criteria by referring to five levels of possibility to transformations, identified through a semaphore scale:
Dark green (Feaseble) represents the highest feasibility for change, as there are prerequisites for new projects;
Green (Suitable) means suitability for transformation, as the area already has technologies that support the project;
Light green (Capable) identifies cases where transformations are appropriate unless the means to support interventions are provided;
Yellow (Not appropriate) identifies cases where changes are inappropriate;
Red (Existing) represents areas already healthy where the system should not be compromised.
A reference database was organised and set for each system through various approaches and methods of spatial analysis in GIS and field analysis. Ten evaluation maps were produced. During this phase, greater weight was given to the system related to transportation, and that wasted roadscapes, which represent the two main elements for the resolution of the objectives made explicit earlier; the others underwent a more simplified analysis process. An overlay of multiple layers characterised the combination of the selected variables. Each layer of the variables was set according to the semiotics defined by the IGC to the five traffic light colours (dark green, green, light green, yellow and red). The dimensions and variables helpful in defining the five eligibility conditions were then selected. Some indicators were set through a kernel density, others through an urban network analysis.
Through addition and subtraction in the spatial environment, all the dark green elements were combined first, then the green-only ones, and then the light green ones. The same process was done with the yellow and red elements superimposed on the previous combinations. Overall, areas were defined where there is already functionality, where intervention is needed, and where it is best not to provide an intervention to the transportation system. The map is a qualitative compositional spatial indicator composed of multiple variables.
The reference database used to build the assessment maps consisted of information that emerged from stakeholder meetings, mapping shared online with Google Mymap (
Figure 7), official sources such as ‘Urban Atlas, OSM, Corine Land Cover data from the Campania Region, the Basin Authority, the Park Authority and the municipality of Bacoli.
It was reasoned in levels starting from red and gradually combining the different groups to dark green. For only the systems “Energy and Urban Mix”, a Python script (MIT License. Copyright (c) 2019 Geodesignhub Urban-Atlas-Evaluations-Builder/LICENSE at master geodesignhub/Urban-Atlas-Evaluations-Builder GitHub) was used referred to automatic data processing on Urban Atlas and Corine Land Cover analysis basis. Restoration and upgrading current water systems and developing new “blue infrastructure” are all possible outcomes envisioned by the WAT system. Possible actions that can be envisaged for this system are interventions at lake mouths to restore and improve water exchange in the lake/sea system and to upgrade the hydraulic banks of streams and lakes. The criteria and data (
Table 2) were used to construct the evaluation map.
The AGR system is concerned with fostering growth and efficiency in regional food production (
Table 3). New businesses, brands, circuits, and structures geared toward a market that is not just local but also capable of attracting visitors interested in learning about the local production chain are all expected to emerge due to the system’s activities.
Landscape, environmental, coastal, and economic productivity are all areas that the GRN system focuses on conserving and developing (
Table 4). Connecting places of high naturalistic value and ensuring sustainable use of the terrain and its resources, such a system promotes the development of green infrastructures on a metropolitan scale.
Tourism infrastructure and services are the focus of the INDTUR database (
Table 5). In light of this, it plans to implement measures to preserve and expand the availability of cultural and natural assets, tourism attractions, and services to increase host capacity and lodging options. Possible actions that can be envisaged relate to enhancing the accommodation offer, growing services, activities and attractions for tourists, promoting ecotourism that leads to conservation and enhancement of the area, and enhancing the thermal areas. The measures being taken for the INDTOUR system ensure the long-term sustainability of the CULT, MIX and COM systems (
Table 6) that aims to enhance and improve the local commercial sector and implement neighbourhood commerce while implementing services related to these activities.
By accommodating projects that aim to safeguard and enhance the existing local cultural heritage, the cultural system tends to promote interventions of restoration, securing and maintenance of abandoned places, the removal of landscape and environmental detractors with the creation of cultural corridors that also provide for the removal of architectural barriers, in addition to actions for the recovery of museum collections, architectural and archaeological and industrial archaeology (
Table 7). Collaborative mapping has been instrumental in collecting additional data helpful in defining evaluation maps.
One of the most challenging goals in the fight against climate change and to lower consumer prices is sustainable energy efficiency, which the ENE system aims to achieve via legislation.
One of the most at-risk and possibly crucial to the region’s long-term prosperity is the RCLM. All existing deteriorated areas and structures must be planned for in this system, along with regeneration treatments, requalification, and recovery treatments linked to the logic of the circular economy. Possible actions may include the regeneration of degraded rural landscapes, the recovery of the biodiversity of the dune system, the regeneration of interstitial areas of road infrastructures, the recovery of polluted water, the adaptive reuse of buildings, the innovative rehabilitation of unauthorised or dilapidated buildings, and the redevelopment of industrial and military archaeological sites. Three dimensions were considered for data collection, corresponding to systems and variables (
Table 8).
These were then used to define areas of possible transformation for the evaluation map (
Table 9).
The TRAN system is essential to the productive operation of the Lab. Therefore, it is crucial to plan for direct interventions to build and enhance roads, hubs, and mobility routes to facilitate the movement of people and products over land and sea and to increase the accessibility of the territory by reducing traffic congestion. On the one hand, transportation networks should be free of tangles and congestion if technological difficulties are addressed. On the other hand, it’s essential to consider how these changes may affect the local ecosystem and how travellers’ requirements will be affected. Construct the transportation-related assessment map, a spatial database consisting of linear, point and polygonal elements comprised of road, rail and sea road infrastructure, parking lots, ports and recreation, and public transportation stops (
Table 10). Again, areas of possible transformation were defined through the definition of the evaluation map (
Table 11).
In particular, the municipal territory has a road network extending approximately 50 km that is qualitatively limited. Some so-called exodus roads date back to the bradyseism emergency 1980s, and there are only two access roads to the municipal territory. The morphological structure of the city presents a trafficking ring. The Eav operates two railway lines with three stops. The Circumflegrea line from Torregaveta to Licola is inactive except for the Torregaveta-Cuma connection during the summer. Both lines have the city of Naples as their terminal.
Ten evaluation maps (
Figure 8) have supported the choice of change scenarios according to five degrees of suitability. The evaluation maps represent the landscape systems’ spatial representation of vegetation, hydrology, cultural and historical landscape resources, accessibility and transportation, commerce, tourist services, urban mix, and reclamation. The ten evaluation maps have helped evaluate the study area’s main characteristics.
4.3. Structuring and Testing: The Geodesign Workshop
In the third methodological phase, the results of the second iteration were implemented. In this phase, the final question of how local communities and stakeholders can be involved in a planning process focused on sustainable development that aims at regeneration rather than sealing new soil was answered. In this phase, it was organised the Hybrid Geodesign workshop (23-27 November 2021) (
Figure 8) with the participation of thirty-five people, including academics from TUDelft, the University of Genoa, Vanvitelli University, and Federico II University, as well as public administration employees from Bacoli, private sector representatives, and stakeholders. Most of the participants had first-hand experience with the Bacoli and Campi Flegrei area, with varied professional experiences in fields like engineering, architecture, urban planning, GIS, Information Science and Technology made for a well-rounded Geodesign studio. Those unable to attend in person might watch live streams of the workshop sessions online.
In this phase, all data collected in the previous iterations were organised and fed into the GDH platform to co-evaluate and co-design sustainable development projects and policies. The representation, process and evaluation models characterised the pre-workshop phase (operationally over approximately seven months), while the change, impact and decision-making models covered the operational part of the workshop, which took place over five days, of which the first two days involved a further survey of the area and an introduction of the entire process to the participants, with an explanation and a session on testing of the GDH platform. A sandbox was prepared in which participants could begin to familiarise themselves with and explore the evaluation and co-design tools.
Then, the ten evaluation maps created by the coordination teams as a digital collective knowledge base from which to begin the design was presented. Before organising the design groups, the participants were assigned a diagram system from among the ten identified and asked to draw five project and policy diagrams, including the IGC System Innovations (
https://www.igc-geodesign.org/global-systems-research) [
63] and setting, in a sandbox, the type of funding (public, private, public and private, other, none), the type of geometry (linear or polygonal), the time frame relating to the start and end of the work, and the costs (in hectares or total).
Consequently, around 175 diagrams depicting individual policies or projects for each of the ten systems were gathered by the platform and shared with the participants in a matrix organised by the system (
Figure 9).
Subsequently, the participants were divided into six groups of stakeholders with specific roles in the decision-making process (
Table 12).
The evaluation models built in the second iteration were entered into the GDH, allowing the different teams to know each system’s past and present conditions. The usual style with five-level colour scales (dark green to dark red) made it possible to communicate needs immediately. The working groups thus composed, according to their role in the planning process, have defined their priorities by assigning each system a value from 1 (low priority) to 10 (high priority) (
Figure 10). Each group was able to review erroneous diagrams, modify them or draw new ones (change model construction), as the interface of the GDH interface allows them to simultaneously view the change diagrams proposed by their group and those submitted by members of other groups. In the next step, each group was asked. Afterwards, each group was asked to select project proposals close to their interests to compose a scenario that would meet the required objectives to be presented later to the teams. This phase led to the construction of 12 designs, six (V1) in the first phase and a further six (V2) in the second phase (
Figure 10).
For each phase, an assessment of the impacts (impact models) against each of the proposed scenarios, calculated about the target objectives for the area related to the various transformations designed to understand the weak points and reshape the choices by selecting those that minimise negative impacts and reduce implementation costs. The first design is rarely the right one right. In the first phase, not all possible iterations and possible adverse effects. In fact, in the second scenario, many of the design proposals have changed so much that some teams have eliminated some of the selected designs to reduce negative impacts and costs, while others implemented it as it was meagre.
Through discussion, the final step of the workshop comprised the collaborative building of a project proposal by all parties involved. With the help of a sociogram (
Figure 11b), the similarities between the six stakeholder groups’ different project ideas were found. In the sociogram, each stakeholder group said how compatible they thought the scenarios proposed by the other stakeholder groups were, with answers ranging from “very negative” (xx) to “very positive” (++) (
Figure 11a) [
63] So, based on how likely they were to work together, the groups were put into two coalitions made up of:
Tourism, Culture, Metropolitan Teams (TCM);
Green, Developers, Farmers Team (GDH).
After that, the first round of negotiations began. Through mutual discussion and compromise, the two coalitions developed complementary synthesises of the design space (Figure ). The last step included communication and negotiation between the two coalitions to meld their plans into a scenario acceptable to all parties [
63].
After the presentation of the two scenarios that emerged from the respective coalitions, there was a final phase in which, through dialogue and negotiation between the two teams, compatible policies and projects converged into a shared scenario envisioned by 2030. The proposed design for the city of Bacoli fully reflects the goals established in the preparatory stages. The frequency diagram (
Figure 12) facilitated the comparison of the scenarios proposed by the two stakeholder groups (TCM and GDF).
It allowed similarities in design and policy to emerge with a simplified negotiation process. In particular, the scenario proposed by the TCM team (
Figure 12a) identified many more solutions aimed at solving the problem of connectivity-both land and sea-and brownfield rehabilitation, giving less importance to the design and policy interventions planned for the WAT, AGR, GRN, ENE, INDTUR, MIX and COM systems. The scenario approved by the GDF team (
Figure 12b), having selected a more significant number of design interventions for the WAT, AGR, GRN, INDTOUR, COM and CULT systems, devoted minimal selection interventions for the MIX, ENE and TRAN systems.
The two scenarios, therefore, turned out to be almost entirely different. However, negotiation and collaboration facilitated the construction of a design shared by all stakeholders (
Figure 13a) with relative impacts (
Figure 13b) that the different diagrams determine on the city. Specifically, for the final scenario in the negotiation phase, 123 diagrams were selected, of which 88 related to the identification of surfaces and 35 to linear paths.
Table 13 shows the number of project and policy interventions for each system.
The results showed a strong focus on the transport system, followed immediately by the cultural and recovery systems. In particular, introducing the RCLM system within the Geodesign process led decision-makers to be informed about the possibility of envisaging regeneration actions that are connected to the other systems that make up a territory.
Figure 13.
(a) The final scenario. (b) The impact of the final scenario. Source: the authors.
Figure 13.
(a) The final scenario. (b) The impact of the final scenario. Source: the authors.
Among the 13 actions identified, one can distinguish those referring to the three types of wasted roadscapes (
Section 2):
WRsc: Enhancement and recovery of the Roman theatre and baths area, redevelopment of the theatre compendium area and the former “Pirana area”;
WRes: Regeneration of stagnant water and enhancement of the “Grotte dell’Acqua” thermal water springs. Reclamation of marine waters and hydrographic network
WRhub: Reconversion of the former Pozzuoli shipyards and Miseno military areas. Regeneration of the former “Mericraft area.”