1. Introduction
Wildfires are natural phenomena that have been occurring for centuries, but in recent years, their severity and frequency have increased significantly, posing substantial challenges to ecosystems and human communities. Wildfires have emerged as a global concern due to their destructive potential and wide-ranging consequences. Wildfires have been increasing last few years depending on climate changes with different natural zones by location.
Remote sensing used in satellites is most important for natural disasters including wildfires, floods, storms, and other extreme weather phenomena with acquiring pre-disasters and post-disasters [
1]. Remote sensing satellite data is used for assessing damages with environmental conditions at post-disaster and risk estimation with vulnerability at pre-disaster.
Understanding and assessing wildfire severity is of utmost importance in mitigating their impact and developing effective management strategies. In recent decades, numerous regions across the world have experienced devastating wildfires, resulting in loss of lives, destruction of infrastructure, and severe ecological disturbances. The increasing severity of wildfires is attributed to various factors, including climate change, land management practices, and the accumulation of combustible vegetation. The study of wildfire severity is vital for several reasons. Firstly, severe wildfires can have long-lasting ecological impacts, altering vegetation patterns, disrupting wildlife habitats, and impairing ecosystem functioning. Secondly, they pose significant risks to human communities, affecting public health, damaging property, and causing economic losses. Thirdly, understanding wildfire severity can aid in the development of proactive strategies for fire management, including prevention, preparedness, and response.
Many studies were reviewed in the wildfire severity study field. The studies were provided by using different satellite images including optical [
2,
3,
4,
5], thermal [
6,
7], lidar [
8], and synthetic aperture radar (SAR) [
6,
9,
10]. Most of them were optical satellite images including MODIS data, Sentinel-2, Landsat series images, and KOMPSAT-3A [
11] caused by Shortwave Infrared (SWIR) bands for the calculation. The SAR images are Sentinel-1, ALOS-2 [
12], and PALSAR-2 [
13]. There is a paper using lidar data that evaluates the sensitivity of full-waveform LiDAR data to estimate the severity of wildfires using a 3D radiative transfer model approach [
14]. However, these all studies using LiDAR, SAR, and Thermal satellite images are estimated with optical satellite images by comparing the burned severity area and recovery processes.
Recovery of post-fire concepts is very important to this study phenomenon. There are some different approaches to define recovery processes including strong performance and suitability of the post-fire stability index [
15], random forest classification models using the fire severity classes (from the Relativized Burn Ratio-RBR) as a dependent variable and 23 multitemporal vegetation indices [
16], post-fire stream water responses observed in those watersheds [
17], determined by multiple factors of forest's recovery rate after a wildfire, including fire severity, tree species characteristics, topography, hydrology, soil properties, and climate [
18], compositing Tasseled Cap linear regression trend in a post-wildfire study site [
19].
Despite extensive research on wildfires, there are still gaps in our understanding of wildfire severity, especially in specific geographic regions or under certain climatic conditions. This study aims to address the gap by focusing on the severity assessment of wildfires in the Eastern Mongolian region, which is characterized by unique topographical features and a diverse range of vegetation types. By investigating the relationship between fire behavior, fuel characteristics, and climatic factors, we seek to enhance the accuracy and effectiveness of wildfire severity assessments in this region.
Other issues are different areas and different phenomena within different natural zones in the world. We collected and reviewed a few studies in different study areas including Siberia, Russia [
18,
20,
21], Indonesia [
22], Canada [
23,
24], Australia [13,25,26,27], Spain [
28], Portugal [
8], Mediterranean [2,29,30,31,32], China [5,33,34,35,36], California and Alaska[37,38,39], US [40,41,42,43,44], Peru [
9], Iran [
45], Bolivia [
46], Amazon of Brazil [
47] and India [
48]. The wildfire studies of each country had their characteristics.
Mongolian wildfires have increased in the past caused of climate change which is intensively influenced by natural disasters and environmental conditions. Many studies studied this case such as determining fire history from tree rings for potentials and relationships between climate change, fire and land uses [
49,
50], effects of wildfire on runoff generating processes in mountainous forest areas [
51], wildfire and climate change study for permafrost degradation [
52], and wildfire risk mapping for protected areas [
53]. There are other wildfire study cases for the Mongolian Plateau such as identified drivers and spatial distributions to predict wildfire probability [
54], explored growing season [
55], analysis of climate-fire relationships and evaluation of the spatial change characteristics [
56], and analysis of spatiotemporal wildfire pattern by satellite images [
57]. Some researchers determined the cost effects of monitoring vegetation changes in steppe ecosystems [
58]. Most wildfire impact cases are across borderland areas between Mongolia-Russia-China moving to disaster [
59,
60].
The purpose of this study is to monitor the occurrence of fire disasters as a result of Sentinel-2 satellite imaging technology, to determine the burned area with its classification and the recovery process effects in Eastern Mongolia. This study is based on our wildfire projects and a few direct Mongolian papers which are different study areas including forest [
61] and steppe [
62] wildfires with their recovery effects and processes.
The remainder of this paper is structured as follows:
Section 2 describes the analyzing methods for wildfire monitoring including spectral response for satellite images and statistical analyzing response;
Section 3 presents a wildfire case study with study areas, data collection and processing;
Section 4 discusses the results including estimation of Normalized Burn Ratio, identify burned areas, burn severity classification, and recovery after burn; the discussion is presented in
Section 5; Finally,
Section 6 summarizes the findings, discusses their implications, and suggests future research directions.
5. Discussion
First, RBR of wildfire severity results and NDVI of vegetation recovery process results have been estimated. These indexes are during the vegetation recovery process from the spring to autumn seasons. It means recovering processes and collected data in time series. Data of RBR and NDVI are at the same time. Therefore, the relationships between raster images of RBR and NDVI were calculated in
Figure 10 and
Figure 11 by the separate natural zones including sampled steppe and forest-steppe areas. We will the discussion on these relationships, which have particular natural laws on each figure.
Figure 10 illustrates the scatter plot of the recovery processes of the first sampled steppe area. It is shown that the related scattering distributions, when were at April 5, April 20, May 5, May 15, July 19, August 18, September 17, and September 27 in 2021. The burned date was exactly April 18, 2021. There are the coefficients of intercepts and slopes, which were 0.13, 0.13, 0.15, 0.20, 0.38, 0.37, 0.40, and 0.39 with increased, which were -0.14, 0.08, -0.12, 0.025, 0.82, 0.77, 0.59, and 0.54, respectively.
In addition, correlation coefficients are calculated in
Figure 10, which were 0.13, 0.16, 0.16, 0.004, 0.61, 0.54, 0.33, and 0.29, respectively. The first three plots have a negative correlation with healthy vegetation covers. But the exact burning date plot is in
Figure 10-b. Therefore, it is lower than beside plots. Then, it is increased till the autumn season. When the last 2 month’s vegetation is getting yellow-colored in satellite images, the correlation is decreased. Dates were in September.
Figure 11 illustrates the scatter plot of the recovery processes of the first sampled forest-steppe area. It is shown that the related scattering distributions, when were at April 11, April 16, April 23, May 1, May 8, June 20, July 22, and August 21 in 2020. Burned date was started from April 15 and continued to May 1, 2021. There are the coefficients of intercepts and slopes, which were 0.23, 0.13, 0.22, 0.21, 0.23, 0.26, 0.38, and 0.41 with increased, which were 0.47, -0.13, 0.14, 0.087, 0.093, 0.89, 0.74, and 0.62 with increased, respectively.
In addition, correlation coefficients are calculated in
Figure 11, which were 0.24, 0.04, 0.095, 0.043, 0.037, 0.69, 0.90, and 0.74, respectively. The second plot has a negative correlation with healthy vegetation covers. But the exact burning date plot is in
Figure 11-b. Therefore, it is negative. Then, it is increased till the autumn season. When last month’s vegetation is getting yellow-colored in satellite images, the correlation is decreased. Dates were at the end of August.
The plots of each figure demonstrate that the difference between the plots of
Figure 10 is lighter scattered than the plots of
Figure 11. This means the forest-steppe natural zone has more fire severity than the steppe natural zone. Both are recovered 100 percent at the end of the summer season itself and naturally.