In the following subchapters, the contents of the expert interviews are analysed in summary form according to Mayring (2014) and essential statements are extracted. Chapter 4.1. contains the validation of the KPIs determined by means of literature research and their interconnections, Chapter 4.2. the evaluation of the individual KPIs regarding their relevance for the calculation of the economic benefit of the rehabilitation of nautical bottlenecks and Chapter 4.3. other, non-economic KPIs that still need to be supplemented.
4.1. Validation of the KPI Framework
All experts interviewed consider the KPI fairway depth to be equally important for an economic evaluation of the rehabilitation of nautical bottlenecks and confirm that the fairway depth generally increases because of the rehabilitation of bottlenecks (cf. Interview partner 8, Interview partner 2, Interview partner 1, Interview partner 5, Interview partner 3, et al.). A direct goal from the rehabilitation of the bottlenecks is the creation of a higher fairway depth to improve navigability on the inland waterway. On the Danube, a fairway depth of 2.5 m is prescribed; a fairway depth that is too shallow means that ships cannot be loaded at full capacity, or, in drastic cases, navigation must be stopped because a bottleneck is no longer passable (cf. Interview partner 11). Maintenance measures, such as dredging, are temporarily equally effective at preserving a consistent fairway depth as permanent river engineering solutions. To eliminate a nautical bottleneck in the long term, river engineering measures are indispensable (cf. Interview partner 6). Besides maintenance measures and river engineering measures, fairway depths are significantly influenced by meteorological water conditions (cf. Interview partner 9). Nautical bottlenecks are particularly visible at low water levels (cf. Interview partner 10). Maintenance measures and river engineering measures have a less positive effect on navigability when the water conditions on the inland waterway are unfavourable. This generally means that during periods of low water, navigability is negatively affected despite maintenance measures and river engineering measures (cf. Interview partner 7). Moreover, Interview partner 4 points out that the rehabilitation of nautical bottlenecks on the Danube and thus the increase in fairway depth improves the situation on the Danube regarding navigability to a certain extent, but hardly eliminates all challenges. For example, the width of the inland waterway plays an important role, as the width is limited to approx. 12 m by a lock in Germany. Furthermore, objects such as sunken barges constitute nautical bottlenecks that should not be overlooked (cf. Interview partner 4).
According to the experts interviewed, the unloading depth of inland vessels is an essential KPI for the economic evaluation of the rehabilitation of nautical bottlenecks (cf. Interview partner 3, Interview partner 7, Interview partner 8, Interview partner 4, Interview partner 9, Interview partner 5 et al.). Nautical bottlenecks mean that vessels can be utilised less, i.e., their capacity can only be used to a limited extent, which is detrimental to the economic efficiency of transports (cf. Interview partner 6). An unloading depth of 2.5m is already sufficient for economic transport (cf. Interview partner 11). Especially for inland vessels that pass the entire Danube instead of short stretches, the unloading depth is an essential parameter, because the cargo is then limited to the unloading depth that is the shallowest nautical bottleneck to be passed (cf. Interview partner 10). Interview partner 2 points out that the type of goods transported is decisive for the relevance of the unloading depth. For goods with a low specific density, such as containers, the unloading depth is less important than for bulk goods, such as ores or coal, as bulk goods have a high specific density and thus require a higher unloading depth to be transported in an economically viable manner (cf. Interview partner 2).
The KPI transport time brought divided opinions, especially regarding its relevance. According to identified literature, nautical bottlenecks affect transport time as captains reduce speed when crossing nautical bottlenecks as significant amounts of power and fuel are required to reach maximum speed. In addition, captains generally navigate more cautiously as less space is available (cf. Haselbauer et al. (2014), Hekkenberg et al. (2017)). Some experts stated that these effects do exist but are so marginal that they are hardly significant in practice (cf. Interview partner 8, Interview partner 1, Interview partner 3). Interview partner 10, meanwhile, confirms the results of the literature research and adds that a too high fairway depth, i.e., high water for inland navigation brings negative effects. Ideal navigation conditions prevail at medium water. Interview partner 4 confirms that inland vessels can generally travel faster at higher fairway depths. At lower fairway depths, there is a suction effect when crossing, which increases as speed increases. In order not to sink further, it is particularly important here to navigate more slowly than usual (cf. Interview partner 5). Regarding the relevance of the transport time, it is important to consider whether the transport takes place on the free-flowing or regulated Danube. On free-flowing stretches, a difference becomes noticeable due to the current. On the stretch between Gabcikovo (Slovakia) to Iron Gate 1 (Romania), a saving of up to one day is possible. On canalised lock stretches, such as through Austria, the change in transport time is of little relevance due to the almost non-existent flow (cf. Interview partner 9).
Interview partner 6 points out another reason for a considerable increase in transport time. According to interview partner 6, inland vessels that pass serious nautical bottlenecks, such as in the area Zimnicea (Romania), are forced to uncouple the barges transported on the motor cargo vessel and then transport them individually across the bottleneck. In the case of the bottleneck in Zimnicea, the location of which is presented in 3, this takes between three and ten days, because depending on the congestion situation, waiting times occur, which extends the total transport time by whole days. In addition, the transport time can be extended if the bottleneck in Calarasi (Romania) becomes acute, because in this case inland waterway vessels divert via the Borcea Arm in the direction of Constanta, which extends the transport distance by 100km. This means a longer transport time.
Figure 3.
Course of the Danube with important ports [
20].
Figure 3.
Course of the Danube with important ports [
20].
Lightering, i.e., the transhipment of goods onto trucks or onto several barges to reduce the unloading depth of barges at low fairway depths plays an important role in the transport time, as lightering can take one to two days (cf. Interview partner 5, Interview partner 11). In addition, the transport time is influenced if inland navigation is forced to stop operations due to a very low fairway depth (cf. Interview partner 2).
The correlation between the rehabilitation of nautical bottlenecks and the fuel consumption of inland vessels was confirmed by the experts interviewed. However, the experts' answers to the question regarding the relevance of fuel consumption for the economic evaluation of the rehabilitation of nautical bottlenecks differed greatly in some cases. Likewise, the decrease in transport emissions due to decreasing fuel consumption was confirmed. In principle, inland vessels need more fuel when crossing stretches with unfavourable fairway depths (cf. Interview partner 9). Fuel consumption decreases after a bottleneck rehabilitation, as inland vessels can generally navigate more efficiently at mid-water; moreover, inland vessels can take on more cargo at mid-water, which means that fuel consumption or transport emissions per tonne decreases (cf. Interview partner 3, Interview partner 10). Often, the overall fuel consumption increases because more cargo is transported. However, the increased load reduces fuel consumption per tonne (cf. Interview partner 5, Interview partner 6). Fuel costs account for about 30% of transport costs. In principle, fuel consumption depends on several factors, such as the depth of the fairway and the captain's driving technique (cf. Interview partner 7) or the design of the inland vessel or the engine used (cf. Interview partner 11). In addition, the speed and resistance of the inland vessel are important variables that should not be disregarded when considering the KPI fuel consumption (cf. Interview partner 4). Interview partner 8 points out that fuel consumption or the relevance of fuel consumption is different for uphill and downhill navigation. More fuel is consumed when travelling uphill than when travelling downhill, as the current can be used when travelling downhill (cf. Interview partner 8). According to Interview partner 1 and Interview partner 2, fuel consumption is only relevant when the nautical bottleneck is so severe that another transport vessel is needed for further transport. By addressing a nautical bottleneck, a reduction in fuel consumption can be achieved using fewer transport vessels.
The experts confirm that a higher unloading depth of inland vessels and a shorter transport duration increase the KPI transport supply (cf. Interview partner 3, Interview partner 11, Interview partner 5, Interview partner 8, Interview partner 9 et al.). Transport supply is understood as the total freight capacity availability on the inland waterway (cf. Interview partner 1). The higher freight capacity availability arises because more cargo can be transported per inland waterway vessel due to a higher fairway depth (cf. Interview partner 6) and due to higher travel speed (cf. Interview partner 7). However, a higher availability of cargo capacity will lead to a reduction in the freight rates, which makes the sector more attractive. Nevertheless, cargo capacity alone will not be sufficient to increase the number of users of inland waterway transport, as customers see the biggest challenge as the lack of reliability of the mode of transport (cf. Interview partner 4). It is therefore first and foremost essential to increase the market, i.e., to win customers, only then will the higher availability of freight capacity bring advantages for the inland navigation operators. Currently there is an oversupply of ships, which sometimes even means that inland navigation vessels must be discontinued (cf. Interview partner 10).
The correlation between higher transport supply or freight capacity availability and falling transport prices was confirmed (cf. Interview partner 5, Interview partner 3, Interview partner 1, Interview partner 7, Interview partner 8, Interview partner 9 et al.). The affordability of transportation is attributed to both the greater availability of freight capacity and the reduced transport time, leading to lower personnel costs and reduced diesel consumption. Thus, if barges can be fully loaded, the transport price is lower than if the barges are partially loaded (cf. Interview partner 6). If relatively few tonnes can be loaded due to low fairway depth, inland navigation operators sometimes charge low-water surcharges to customers, which increases the transport price (cf. Interview partner 11). In principle, the more tonnes are transported, the lower the transport price (cf. Interview partner 4). According to Interview partner 10, the lower transport prices are hardly noticeable in the short term.
The increase in the KPI modal share through the remedying of nautical bottlenecks or ultimately by means of falling transport prices was largely confirmed (cf. Interview partner 7, Interview partner 5, Interview partner 9, Interview partner 4, Interview partner 8 et al.) However, some experts noted that falling transport prices are only a factor of limited relevance. To increase the modal share, it is above all important to guarantee the security of supply or reliability of the mode of transport, which is often not the case today due to nautical bottlenecks (cf. Interview partner 11, Interview partner 6). Regarding reliability, Interview partner 10 cites the example of Straubing (see
Figure 2). The market between Hungary and Rotterdam has developed negatively due to the nautical bottleneck, and shippers are now increasingly using rail or truck (cf. Interview partner 10). Furthermore, an increase of the modal share of inland navigation depends on the overall development of traffic (cf. Interview partner 3). It may even be that the volume of goods transported by inland waterway increases, but the modal share decreases. The change in modal share is dependent on general economic performance and the overall transport industry development, which is why the KPI modal share is less suitable to show the benefit from the rehabilitation of nautical bottlenecks (cf. Interview partner 1).
The interview partners consider the KPI transport volume to be much more important than the KPI modal share and confirm that an increase in transport volume on inland waterways can result from the rehabilitation of nautical bottlenecks and the associated effects (e.g., increase in freight space availability, reduction in transport prices.) (cf. Interview partner 6, Interview partner 7, Interview partner 8, Interview partner 4, Interview partner 9, Interview partner 10). The current economic development and the attractiveness of the mode of transport for shippers (cf. Interview partner 1, Interview partner 2)must be considered too, when analysing the increase in transport volume. Increasing the transport volume increases the economic benefit for the inland navigation sector; this connection was confirmed by all the experts interviewed.
With the last question from the question block "Validation of the KPI framework", the experts were asked about KPIs that, in their opinion, should be added to the KPI framework. Interview partner 3 mentioned the cost side regarding the rehabilitation of nautical bottlenecks. In addition to the market-related KPIs, it is essential to include cost-related KPIs, as the level of maintenance measures or river engineering measures for the rehabilitation of nautical bottlenecks reduce the economic benefit of the rehabilitation actions. Regarding the development of costs, it is important to distinguish between continuous maintenance, for example through regular dredging, and permanent river engineering measures. While regular dredging causes continuous costs to compensate for the nautical bottleneck, river engineering measures cause one-off costs. According to Interview partner 3, it is often economically advisable to invest in river engineering measures, as the measures already pay off in the medium term. Accordingly, the KPI maintenance and rehabilitation costs is added to the KPI framework.
As a second additional KPI, the delivery service level is added, which reflects the reliability of inland waterway transports (cf. Interview partner 1). Due to nautical bottlenecks, delays are frequent, especially during periods of low water. Delays sometimes affect the entire supply chain and have a negative impact on reliability (cf. Interview partner 6). The often low reliability of inland navigation results in customers tending to opt for other modes of transport, such as rail and truck. The experts interviewed are certain that higher reliability is essential for generating customers (cf. Interview partner 6, Interview partner 11, Interview partner 4). A delivery service level of 90% would be sufficient to meet the reliability of the transport mode (cf. Interview partner 1).
The KPIs identified through the literature research of Duldner-Borca et al. [
17] are therefore correct according to the experts interviewed and the correlations between the different KPIs match. In addition, two relevant KPIs were added - maintenance costs and the KPI delivery service level. The revised KPI framework is shown below in
Figure 4.
A total of three changes were made to the initial KPI framework, including two additions and the exclusion of one KPI. The delivery service level, which is intended to describe the reliability of the mode, was added as a key KPI. A higher fairway depth makes the inland waterway mode more reliable, so the delivery service level increases. A higher delivery service level increases the transport volume, as the inland waterway becomes more attractive for shippers due to increased reliability. In addition, a KPI maintenance and rehabilitation costs was added. This reflects the costs arising from the rehabilitation and maintenance of nautical bottlenecks. The higher fairway depth leads to increased costs, and costs in turn have a negative impact on the economic benefit of the rehabilitation of nautical bottlenecks. The KPI modal share was removed because, depending on the overall development of traffic, an increase in transport volume is not necessarily accompanied by an increase in the modal share. This means that the KPI modal share is not very meaningful regarding the economic evaluation of nautical bottlenecks and is excluded from the KPI framework.