Routine immunization services have been severely disrupted by the COVID-19 pandemic in the WHO African Region, leading to a decline in immunization coverage for lifesaving vaccines, and increasing vulnerability to vaccine preventable diseases for millions of children [
12,
19,
20]. This study, using the latest WUENIC data at the time of publication, has shown that immunization coverages for most routine vaccines in the WHO African Region, in 2022, have not yet reached pre-pandemic levels. Overall coverage with the first and third dose of DTP plateaued at 80% and 72% in 2021 and 2022, respectively, after a sharp decline in 2020. Only 13 countries out of 47 (28%) achieved the global target coverage of 90% or above with DTP3 in 2022. Worldwide, DTP1 coverage increased from 86% in 2021 to 89% in 2022 but remained below the 90% coverage achieved in 2019 [
21,
22]. Similarly, DTP3 coverage, increased globally from 81% in 2021 to 84% in 2022 but remained below the 2019 level (86%). Unlike the WHO African Region, DTP3 coverage has recovered to pre-pandemic levels in the South-East Asia, the Eastern Mediterranean and the Americas WHO regions [
21,
23]. Conflicting public health priorities, armed conflicts, fragile health systems, suboptimal community engagement, and political and economic instability, are considered as the main reasons for the slow recovery of routine immunization in the WHO African Region [
24,
25]. The reemergence of vaccine preventable disease outbreaks reported in several countries in the region, and particularly the ongoing diphtheria outbreak in West Africa, serve as a reminder of the increasing threat of infectious diseases due to low vaccination rates [
26].
The dramatic increase in the number of zero-dose children is one of the consequences of routine vaccination disruptions that led to low vaccination coverage. In this study, the cumulative number of zero-dose children in the WHO African region from 2019 to 2022 was estimated at over 28 million, accounting for 19% of the four cohorts of surviving infants. It is well known that a high proportion of zero-dose children leads to gaps in population immunity and heightens the risk of child deaths and disease outbreaks [
11,
27]. One of the challenges of programmes aiming at reducing the burden of zero-dose children is to identify missed communities for targeted and tailored interventions. Many zero-dose and under-vaccinated children live in challenging settings including remote rural areas, built-up and resource-poor urban settlements and areas experiencing conflicts and crises [
28]. Hogan et al. [
27] stated that reaching zero-dose children is key to achieving sustainable development goals (SDG). These children face multiple deprivations related to education, water and sanitation, nutrition, and access to other health services, and account for one-third of all child deaths in low- and middle-income countries [
27]. To this end, the “Big Catch-up” initiative [
29], an essential immunization recovery plan for 2023 and beyond, represents a unique opportunity for catching-up children who have missed immunization, restoring immunization services to the pre-pandemic levels, and strengthening these services to achieve the targets of Immunization Agenda 2030. However, reaching zero-dose children requires context-specific interventions to overcome barriers to vaccination that are multifaceted and nuanced to each setting [
30]. In addition, mechanisms need to be in place to reduce drop-out in an equitable manner so that children are not only reached once, but get all vaccines they need [
31]. The quest to ensure that no child is left behind requires a tailored approach that addresses multiple and intersecting economic vulnerabilities, sociocultural barriers, and health system challenges to deliver immunization services through the primary healthcare system [
32]. From 2019 to 2022, there are four cohorts of zero-dose and under-immunized children who, in 2023, are aged 12 to 59 months. Catching-up vaccination for all these zero-dose cohorts may require adjusting immunization policies and schedules with the national immunization technical advisory groups’ guidance [
32] to remove restrictive target age groups or upper age limits for Expanded Programmes on Immunization. As part of such a process, local disease epidemiology, current immunization coverage levels and programme performance, health system capacity, implications on budget and logistics should be taken into consideration, as recommended by the WHO [
33]. The implementation of Big Catch-up plans will result in increasing financing challenges to immunization programmes due to constrained or shrinking health budgets [
34]. It is critical for governments in the African Region to ensure that processes are in place for prioritizing immunization programme investments including for catch-up activities [
34]. In February 2023, African Union Heads of states committed, through the declaration “Building Momentum for Routine Immunization Recovery in Africa”, to prioritizing universal access to immunization, increasing and sustaining domestic investments in vaccines, as well as addressing bottlenecks in vaccine delivery and improving disease surveillance, with the shared goal of stopping and reversing the decline in immunization for zero-dose children [
35]. In addition, on April 2023, Médecins Sans Frontières (MSF) called on Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance, and other donors to expand vaccine supply to ensure that all children up to age five are given the opportunity to catch up on their vaccination.
In 2022, the DTP1 administrative coverage was greater than estimates from WHO and UNICEF in 19 countries out of 47 (40%). This means that the WUENIC process downgraded the administrative coverage, highlighting data quality issues experienced by several countries in the WHO African Region [
36,
37]. Mihigo et al. [
38] identified over-reporting and underestimation of target population as the main reasons for over-estimation of immunization coverages in Nigeria. In most countries, target populations are estimated based on projections using old and inaccurate population census data, without applying WHO recommendations on methods for assessing target population accuracy, such as comparing estimates with alternative sources, plotting, and analyzing target populations over time, and monitoring target population growth rates [
39]. Assessing immunization data quality of routine reports in Ho municipality of Volta region in Ghana, Ziema et al. [
40] found 20% overreporting of data on children vaccinated with BCG, DTP3 and MCV2. Reasons attributable to overreporting could be arithmetic errors during monthly data compilation or deliberate overreporting to achieve high coverage to avoid queries by higher staff levels [
40]. Data quality issues leading to over- or under-estimation of immunization coverage highlights the need to revamping the whole immunization information systems including expanding the deployment and utilization of electronic immunization registries, leveraging from COVID-19 vaccination data management. Use of electronic immunization registries may enhance immunization programmes by improving the data collection process, easing immunization programmes’ ability to track individual children and by supporting more specific monitoring of programme inefficiencies and coverage [
41]. Tools such as the “COVID-19 to Routine Immunization Information System Transferability Assessment” (CRIISTA) under development by the MOMENTUM Routine Immunization Transformation and Equity project [
42] will help countries to optimize COVID-19 vaccination data investments for the future, by applying lessons learned from COVID-19 vaccination to strengthen routine immunization information systems.