3.1. Statistical Performance of the Predictive Model
Table 1 shows that PM had a better fit for water uptake, NH
4+ and K
+ concentrations for both densities, whose R
2 ranged from 0.826 to 0.920, so these variables can be called “good fit variables”, while Mg
+2 and Na
+ concentrations, R
2, ranged from 0.707 to 0.748, thus allowing the so-called “acceptable fit variables”. For the Ca
+2 concentration, the PM could not explain its variation for both densities, a fact that will be discussed later. Comparing the two densities, found that NH
4+, K
+ and Mg
+2 had a better R
2 in the LD system than in HD, while quite the opposite for water uptake and Na
+ concentration, whose R
2 values were better in HD.
Regarding the other metrics (MAE, MSE and RMSE), all cation concentrations had higher values in HD than in LD, being higher for K+ and Ca+2 concentrations, so PM was less accurate in denser vertical crops. MAE was less than 0.267 mM for all cations, except for K+ and Ca+2 concentrations, whose value ranged from 0.728 to 0.996 mM. The same occurred for RMSE, whose value was lower than 0.337 mM for the concentrations of NH4+ Mg+2 and Na+ concentrations and ranged from 0.882 to 1.224 mM for the rest of the cations. However, with respect to water uptake, PM was less accurate in LD, with a MAE 40% higher and RMSE 31% higher than HD. Overall was, PM had a mean absolute error lower than 2 L·day-1.
Although EC is not estimated by PM, because this is a fixed parameter along the time established by the user for the simulation process, its value was 3.3 dS·m
-1 (EC target) between 7-31 DAT simulation time. The mean absolute error (MAE), mean square error (MSE) and root mean square error (RMSE) of the measured data with respect to the EC fixed in PM were calculated. Therefore, in
Table 1, it is shown that LD had an average error 41% higher than the vertical crop HD with respect to the MAE and RMSE statistic metrics, but for both densities the maximum error threshold was lower than 0.341 dS·m
-1, meant a 10% of the EC target value.
3.2. Water Uptake and Cation Concentrations
Table 2 shows the ANOVA for all response variables: water uptake and cation (NH
4+, K
+, Ca
+2, Mg
+2 and Na
+) concentrations, for both densities in vertical crop. The CD together with DAT significantly affected all variables, even if their interaction was influential. Although not all-variable responses presented statistically significant differences between replications, as expected. Similarly, the values of the HD vertical crop for all response variables were significantly higher than LD. In the case of water uptake, results were agreed on expected outputs because HD crop had 60% more plants than the LD. However, for all nutritive cation concentrations, it was expected that LD consumes less than HD vertical crop, in other words, the average cation concentration in LD was higher than HD vertical crop, as a result of a smaller difference between initial and final concentration of each cation, but it did not happen. In the same way, this reasoning is applicable for no-nutritive cation as Na
+, because despite this being accumulated in the NST, the crop consumes little quantities over time. This fact can be explained later by analyzing how the crop was affected by the system and the climate conditions through the ED2 response variables. In addition, the management parameters of the nutrient solution as pH and EC also were shown in
Table 2, which ones were significantly influenced by crop density, LD had an EC statistically lower than HD, while quite the opposite occurred for the pH parameter.
3.2.1. Water Uptake
The graphs shown in Fig. 3 show that the PM overestimated quite the real water consumption using the initial values of Kcb. Since forecast a water consumption roughly 105 L for LD (Fig. 3a) and 168 L for HD (Fig. 3b), at 31 DAT, while the PM adjusted with does Kcb values calibrated not exceed the 30 L consumed per day for both densities. LD got the following calibrated Kcb values, 0.01 for initial stage, and 0.21 for the midseason and late stages, meaning a decrease between 77 and 100%; while HD had Kcb equal to 0.04 for the initial stage and 0.14 for midseason and late stages, so the basal crop coefficient reduced between 74 and 85%. In this way, based on the modeling process deduces that the crop basal coefficients are lower in vertical crops than in conventional agriculture.
According to Fig. 3c, the adjusted PM forecasted a diary water consumption for the vertical LD crop between 5 L and 24 L, at 7 and 31 DAT, respectively, while in Fig. 3d, it shows that the diary water consumed by HD ranged from 10 to 25 L (7-31 DAT). As a result, the compound diary growth rate (CDGR) was 6.4% for LD and 3.9% for HD, so the model established that LD consumed water faster. The adjusted PM had a good fit in both densities, since R2 was 0.826 for LD and 0.858 for HD, being a better performance better in HD because its R2 was higher than linear regression.
HD consumed significantly more water than LD crop density, since had an average diary consumption of 15 L (4 L less than HD), whose average consumption was 19 L per day (
Table 2). Therefore, the average consumption per plant was 50 ml·d
-1 for LD, higher than 40 ml·d
-1 for the HD system. For the same time interval, the PM adjusted, estimated an average diary consumption of 12 L for LD and 20 L for HD, but with the same average consumption per plant, rough 40 ml·d
-1, this is a proof that PM assumes that all plants are healthy and with the same irrigation conditions. When comparing the results with the water uptake for lettuce crop in conventional agriculture, whose diary consumption per plant is around 334 ml·d
-1 [
63]. Vertical crops were found to significantly save water, as the LD system reduced plant uptake by 284 ml, which represents 85% savings, lower than the HD system, since the water reduction was roughly 294 ml, which is equal to an 88% savings. Even, compared to horizontal hydroponic lettuce, whose average consumption is approximately 94 ml·plant
-1·day
-1 [
63], vertical crops are better because the LD system saves 44 ml, equal to 47% savings, and the HD system 54 ml, 57% savings. In these ranges, water savings are close to those reported for vertical farms as plant factories, which are capable of saving water by more than 95% than conventional crop methods [
63,
64].
Figure 3.
Lettuce water uptake days after transplantation (DAT) of the adjusted predictive model, for low (a and c) and high density (b and d), respectively. In: (a,b) graphs with predictive model run with initial and adjusted parameters. In (c,d) graphs of adjusted model with linear regression of the data and R2.
Figure 3.
Lettuce water uptake days after transplantation (DAT) of the adjusted predictive model, for low (a and c) and high density (b and d), respectively. In: (a,b) graphs with predictive model run with initial and adjusted parameters. In (c,d) graphs of adjusted model with linear regression of the data and R2.
3.2.2. Sodium Concentration (Na+)
The initial Na
+ concentration used by the PM at 0 DAT was 1.78 mM for both densities, according to the quality of the irrigation water. The initial value of the sensibility coefficient
p was 0.2, later calibrated was equal to 0.27 for LD and 0.29 for HD, so within the range (0.01-0.3) reported by Carmassi
et al. [
33,
45].
In
Figure 4, the blue graph shows that the predictive model run with the initial values overestimated the data. The red graph, corresponding to the adjusted PM, shows that Na
+ concentration at 7 DAT was 1.88 mM for LD and the 2.11 mM for HD, and the final values were 3.39 and 3.80 mM, respectively. This establishes a difference of 1.51 mM for LD and 1.69 mM for HD, despite that, the CDGR values for both densities were equal to 2.5%, so based on PM deduces that Na
+ was accumulated in the same ratio independent of density. In both densities, adjusted PM presented a high correlation with measured data, since R
2 was 0.720 for LD and 0.743 for HD, but no greater than linear regression, indicating that it could be feasible and simpler to use a straight line instead of an exponential function just as PM works for non-nutritive ions.
The sensibility coefficients were calibrated together with the average Na
+ concentration by the model fitted between 7-31 DAT, 2.60 mM for LD and 2.99 mM for HD. For this, we estimate that the Na
+ crop uptake concentration (CUC) by the lettuce crop was 0.71 mM for LD and 0.87 mM for HD, values close to 1 mM, a value reported for the formulation of the nutrient solution for the lettuce crop [
66,
67]. Furthermore, the measured data indicate that the average Na
+ concentration for the vertical HD crop during the experimental calibration time was 3.09 mM, significantly higher than the LD system, whose value was 2.66 mM (
Table 2). This indicates that CD of the vertical crop significantly affected this variable, suggesting increased accumulation of Na
+ in the denser systems. In comparison, the average concentrations from the data and the adjusted model found that during 24 days of simulation time there was a relative error range of 2-3%. The CUC based on the measured data was 0.72 mM for LD and 0.90 mM for HD.
3.2.3. Ammonium Concentration (NH4+)
Figure 5, show the graph of the PM run with initial values does not adjust to the data, while the PM run with parameters adjusted accordingly. The adjusted model used initial concentrations (0 DAT) calibrated at 0.45 for LD and 0.49 mM for HD. These values differ more than twice with respect to the initial concentration of NH4+ in the NST, set at 1 mM.
If we analyze the model adjusted between 7-31 DAT, we found that initial concentration was 1.66 mM for LD and 1.59 mM for HD, and their corresponding final values were 0.28 and 0.55 mM, so results differences of 1.38 and 1.05 mM, respectively. Both values are close to 1 mM reported in the nutrient solution for lettuce [
68,
69]. As a result, the compound diary decrease rate (CDDR) was 7% for LD and 4% for HD. So one deduces that LD consumed this cation almost to double the velocity than HD. Overall. The adjusted PM suited well with the measured data because R
2 was 0.920 for LD and 0.844 for HD, and linear regression had an R
2 higher than LD.
The average NH
4+ concentration for CD between 7 and 31 DAT was 0.91 mM, significantly lower in LD than in HD, whose value was 0.97 mM (
Table 2). If we compare these values with the average concentrations of the model adjusted, 0.92 mM for LD and 0.97 mM for HD, we find a maximum relative error of 1%. The calibrated crop uptake concentration (CUC) values were 1.72 mM for LD and 1.12 mM for HD. These differs maximum 77% from 0.97 mM reported for tomatoes and sweet peppers [
49,
70]
3.2.4. Potassium Concentration (K+)
Figure 6 shows that the model run with initial values did not adjust to data (blue graph). The adjusted model worked with an initial K
+ concentration (0 DAT) calibrated of 3.56 mM for LD and 4.15 mM for HD, both values differ more than double regarding the initial concentration in the NST, whose value was 10 mM. The initial concentration predicted by the adjusted model at 7 DAT was 13.99 mM for LD and 14.90 mM for HD, with their corresponding final concentrations (31 DAT) equal to 4.60 and 6.72 mM. As a result of differences of 9.39 and 8.18 mM were obtained, both values differ between 4-10% with respect to K
+ value reported in the nutrient solution for horizontal hydroponic lettuce, 8.5 mM [
71]. CDDR was 4.5% for LD and 3.3% for HD, so the conclusion is that LD consumed K
+ faster. The performance of the adjusted model was good because R
2 in both densities was 0.896 and 0.839, for LD and HD, respectively. Linear regression in both cases had a R
2 higher.
The average K
+ concentration between 7-31 DAT for LD was 9.05 mM, significantly lower than that of the HD system, whose value was 10.19 mM (
Table 2). Compares these values with average concentrations of the adjusted model, 8.93 mM for LD and 10.05 mM for HD, it finds a relative error lower than 2%. The CUC values calibrated by model were 11.71 and 8.79 mM for LD and HD, respectively, which compared to literature, whose value reported is 6.6 mM for cucumber [
49], result in a differ between 33-77%.
3.2.5. Calcium Concentration (Ca2+)
According to
Table 2, there were statistically significant differences between the LD and HD systems, so CD was influential in Ca
2+ concentration in the NST. The average value for LD was 4.89 mM and 5.20 mM for HD.
Figure 7 shows that the PM (blue graph) run with initial values follows a decrease tendency but without any adjustment over the data. Whereas the adjusted model (red graph) does not follow a decrease trend for HD and presents a light decrease tendency for LD, a strange behavior that does not correspond to normal nutrient consumption. In contrast, in the case of HD it seems that Ca
2+ concentration increases along crop time, resulting in accumulation in the NST. The linear regression shows this unusual behavior because the slope of the straight line is positive for both densities, an indication that Ca
2+ concentration is increasing over time. Just like the PM run with initial data, the adjusted PM had no correlation with the data because R
2 were 0.001, because the measured data are very disperse. The CUC calibrated by the model were negative values or small, 0.41 mM for LD and -0.95 mM for HD. This unusual behavior can be explained as a system response to two reasons: low velocity uptake by the crop and the crop uptake concentration was lower than the concentration replenishment in the NST by the pH and EC controller; as a result, there was accumulation. Consequently, lettuce plants expressed a physiological disorder known as tip burn, the cause could have been a deficient ventilation within the greenhouse [
72].
3.2.6. Magnesium Concentration (Mg2+)
Figure 8 shows a no correlation to the PM data (blue graph) running with the initial values. The adjusted model used initial concentrations (0 DAT) calibrated at 0.54 and 0.66 mM for LD and HD, respectively. These values differ between 56-64% in terms of the initial concentration of NST, whose value was 1.50 mM. At 7 DAT, the adjusted model predicted a magnesium concentration of 2.31 mM for LD and 2.53 mM for HD, and final concentrations (31 DAT) of 1.28 and 1.32 mM, respectively. This resulted in differences of 1.04 mM for LD and 1.21 mM for HD, both values are within the range values reported for hydroponic lettuce (0.7-1.40 mM) [
66,
73]. CDDR was 2.4% for LD and 2.7% for HD, so based on the model it is deduced that HD consumed this cation faster. In relation to the adjusted PM performance, this was a good fit to data because R
2 for LD and HD were 0.748 and 0.707, respectively, being LD higher than HD. Linear regression only had an R
2 higher than the model for the LD crop density.
The average magnesium concentration for LD between 7-31 DAT was 1.71 mM, significantly lower than that of the HD system, whose value was 1.90 mM (
Table 2). Comparing these values with the average concentrations of the adjusted model, 1.75 and 1.81 mM for LD and HD, results in relative error ranges 2-5%. The CUC calibrated by model were 1.29 mM for LD and 1.30 mM for HD, which when comparing them to the literature, whose value is 0.9 mM for tomato [
49], determines a difference of 44%.
3.3. Crop Behavoir: Physiological and Production Parameters
Table 3 shows the mean values and statistical significance of lettuce crop behaviour in vertical cropping systems with two planting densities (CD) nested at three levels of plant positioning (PP). Replicas of the experimental design did not show significant differences, so they can be considered homogeneous. All variables are affected by PP in the crop column and by CD (except for water content).
The increase in CD results in a reduction in the individual fresh and dry biomass of each plant (46-47 % in the shoot and 60-61% in the root), which means a reduction in the R/S ratio of 22- 13%, but does not affect the water content of the plant. The rate of accumulation of shoot biomass (SBI) decreases by more than half in high CD and by 40% with decreasing PP. On the other hand, the number of leaves developed per plant increases by 10% with higher CDs and by 33% with decreasing PP. This increase is progressive with the decrease in PP and is more pronounced for LD (up to 40%) than for HD (up to 25%). The fresh weight of the aerial part (shoot) and the shoot biomass index (SBI) show significant interactions between CD and PP. The behaviour of leaf development and shoot fresh weight is responsible for the significant interaction of CDxPP for shoot FW and SBI, while these reductions are progressive for HD, and they are only visible between the top level and the rest of the column for BD.
According to
Table 3, the shoot and root fresh biomass of lettuce plants for LD whose respective mean values were 148.6 and 14.6 g, were between 55-67% higher than the FW values of shoot FW reported for lettuce grown in horizontal hydroponic greenhouses (HHG), and between 41-66% higher than values of the roots of HHG, whose respective ranges of literature are 88.8-96.1 g for the shoot and 8.78-11.5 for root FW [
74], while the HD system had a FW soot FW between 9-16% lower than lettuce in HHG, and a FW of the root between 33-49% lower than HHG. If we compare these values with data reported for lettuce in open field systems (OFS), which range between 5.32-9.07 g for shoot and 0.24-0.84 g for root FW [
75], founds that both crop densities in vertical crops had on average a shoot FW between 11-21 times higher than OFS and a root FW between 11-27 times higher than OFS.
Regarding of mean values of these variables for PP levels within the LD system, which vary between 136.3-172.7 g for shoot and 12.8-18.1 g for root FW. These results found a major similarity to reported by Kerbiriou
et al. for lettuce in HHG (152-167 g, shoot and 11.2-11.8 g root FW) [
76], and by Gavhane
et al. for lettuce in vertical hydroponic systems (VHS) (150-200 g, shoot and 9-15 g, root FW) [
77]. However, within the HD system, mean values presented lower values, even below the threshold of 127 g for shoot and 11 g for root FW, reaching values of 43.5 g for the shoot and 3.4 g for root on the lower level, close to the values reported for lettuce in HHG by Voutsinos
et al. (58.1 g, shoot and 5.4 g, root FW) [
41], or the values reported for lettuce in aeroponics and substrate (37.8-50.9 g, shoot and 3.9-11.5 g, root FW [
74]. The mean values of the FW of the shoot for LD, and its values for each PP level, were higher than the range reported for a plant factory with artificial lighting (PFAL) 64.9-123.3 g [
41], while in the case of the HD vertical crop, they were within the range of the literature except the levels mean value of the U and L levels, that was higher and lower, respectively. Regarding the root FW, the literature reported a range between 9.4-17.8 g [
41] for a PFAL, this range includes all mean values except the average value for HD and the levels of mean of the M and L in HD, that were lower; and the mean of the U level in LD, which was higher.
The root-shoot ratio for both LD and HD, whose respective mean values were 0.09 and 0.07, were on average between 18-36% lower than the range reported for lettuce in HHG (0.10-0.12) [
74,
78], but equal to the 0.09 value reported by Voutsinos
et al. [
40,
41], in the case of LD. Compared to the VHS, whose range is 0.06-0.08 [
78], [
81], LD was 13% higher than maximum limit of the range, and HD was within the range, but at the same time, LD was a 36% lower than 0.14 reported for a PFAL [
41], while HD had a mean equal to half of this. For both densities, the mean values were within the range reported for lettuce in OFS, 0.03-0.13 [
75]. In relation to mean values of PP levels for LD, these were closer to values reported for lettuce in HHG and in turn within the OFS values, while for HD, were closer to the VHS values.
None of the mean values of the shoot DW were within the range reported for lettuce in HHG (4.12-4.86 g) [
41,
74], but if within the range reported for the VHS and PFAL systems (4.00-8.77 g) [
41,
77], except the mean value of HD and the HD, and mean values of M and L levels of the HD, since they were lower than bottom limit of the range. The root DW of the LD and the U level in LD were higher than the top limit of the range reported for lettuce in HHG, 0.54-0.82 g [
74,
76]. The mean of the M and L levels in LD, together with the mean of the U level in HD within the literature range. The rest values were lower. However, compared to the VHS and PFAL systems, 0.3-0.7 g [
41,
77], the LD and its mean values of each PP level were higher, while the average value of the HD and its mean for U level were within the range; and the rest values were lower.
All mean values of water content were within the general range published for the lettuce crop (90-99%) [
79], being the more common value [
80]. Likewise, they were close to the values informed for lettuce in HHG (94-95%) [
74,
81,
82], and for the VHS systems (97%) [
77].
The lettuce productivity (extrapolated to t·ha
-1) differs significantly between systems (
Table 3). LD systems are 13% more productive than HD systems, and their average head weight is 45% higher. Plants in the upper levels produce, on average, 94 t·ha
-1, 32% more than those in the middle and 44% more than those in the lower levels. However, there is a significant interaction between CD and PP for harvesting. Analysis of this interaction significantly differentiates the behaviour of both systems. First, the harvest in the LD system is more uniform than in HD, both for the production per unit area (t·ha
-1) and for the average weight of the heads (shoot FW). At 35 DAT, all heads collected in LD reach marketable weights (>120g), while only those collected at the upper level for HD reach it. Second, the differences for PP are linearly descending for the HD (-57% for the medium and -65% for lower level), while there are only differences between the upper level and the rest for the LD (-20%). Finally, the highest yields are obtained at the upper level of HD (110 t·ha
-1 with 127 g·head
-1) followed by the upper level of LD (86 t·ha with 173 g·head
-1).
The LD system had a mean of 74.3 t·ha
-1, 61% higher than the top limit of the range reported for lettuce in HHG (12-46 t·ha
-1) [
63,
74,
81,
83], roughly 20 times more than yield of the OFS systems, 3.73 t·ha
-1, noted by Barbosa
et al. [
63], 55% higher than the value published by Orsini
et al. for urban agriculture, 48 t·ha
-1 [
16], 2 times higher than value described by Voutsinos
et al. for a PFAL (19-37 t·ha
-1) [
41], but 20% lower than bottom limit of the range reported for VHS (93-125 t·ha
-1) [
77], which requires high energy imput. While the yield of the vertical crop HD was 40% higher than that of lettuce in HHG, 17 times higher than that of that of the OFS, 34% higher than urban agriculture, 74% higher than that of a PFAL, but 31% lower than the VHS. The average value of the low level in HD was within the range for lettuce in HHG, the medium level was closer to the value reported to urban agriculture since it differed only 20%, the mean value of the upper level in HD was within the VHS range, and the mean values of the PP levels in LD were closer to the VHS range since differ between 7-27%.
The behaviour of production at the lower levels allows us to assume that both systems can be used to obtain continuous harvests year-round (with different sowing and harvesting time schedules) in vertical systems in a Mediterranean climate. In other words, a stepped harvest, to minimize the effect of shadow casting on the plants further down and achieve more sustainable horticultural production and greater efficiency in water and nutrient resources..