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The Enigma of the ʹSmokerʹs Paradoxʹ: Results from a Single‐Center Registry of Patients with STEMI Undergoing Primary Percutaneous Coronary Intervention

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25 January 2024

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Abstract
Smoker’s paradox usually refers to the common observation of a favourable outcome of smoker patients in acute myocardial infarction. The interpretation of this phenomenon is still controversial and not fully explained. We aimed at assessing whether smoking could be associated with mortality in a large cohort of prospectively enrolled patients with ST segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) referred to primary percutaneous coronary intervention (pPCI). From April 2006 to December 2018 a population of 2456 STEMI patients treated with primary PCI were prospectively enrolled in the MATRIX registry. Ischemic time, clinical, demographics, angiographic data and 1-year follow-up were collected. Among 2546 patients admitted with STEMI 1007 (41%) were current smokers. Smokers were 10 years younger and had lower crude in-hospital and 1-year mortality (1.5% vs 6%, p<0.0001 and 5% vs 11%, p<0.0001), shorter ischemic time (203 [147-299] vs 220 [154-334] minutes, p=0.002) and shorter decision time (60 [30-135] vs 70 [36-170] minutes, p=0.0063). After propensity-matching, age, cardiogenic shock and low TIMI score were associated with in-hospital mortality, while smoking habit was still associated with reduced mortality. Smoking was also associated with reduced death rate at 1-year follow-up (HR 0.54, 95% CI [0.37 - 0.78]; p<0.001). Our data show a protective link between smoking status and mortality in patients with STEMI, the so called “smoker’s paradox”. This could be explained not only by the shorter ischemic time and younger age of the smoking population but also by a specific pathogenetic effect of smoking underlying the onset of STEMI and response to therapies.
Keywords: 
Subject: Medicine and Pharmacology  -   Cardiac and Cardiovascular Systems

1. Introduction

Primary percutaneous coronary intervention (pPCI) is the preferred reperfusion therapy in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). Despite an effective coronary flow restoration in a timely fashion, some categories of patients are still at increased risk of death. As a general principle, traditional cardiovascular risk factors are also associated with higher in-hospital or long-term mortality after STEMI. In this context, some evidence [1,2,3] suggests that smoking habit can be associated with a lower unadjusted risk of all-cause mortality at 1 year as well as a lower rate of death or hospitalization for heart failure (HF) after STEMI lower. This phenomenon – also known as the smoker’s paradox – remains controversial as its evidence are still conflicting. More importantly, no clear pathophysiological mechanism would sustain potential protection conferred by a smoking habit to STEMI patients. The purpose of this study was to assess whether smoking could be associated with mortality in patients with STEMI referred to pPCI in one of the largest Hub and Spoke networks for STEMI in Italy in the period 2006-2018.

2. Materials and Methods

The Matrix Registry is a single-center non-interventional registry created to evaluate in a prospective fashion demographic, clinical and therapeutic characteristics of all-comers patients presenting to our Institution with STEMI and treated with primary PCI. The study protocol was approved by the local Ethics Committee and by the Italian Ministry of Health (http://www.onecare.cup2000.it/telemedicina/percorso-diagnostico-terapeutico-dell’infarto-miocardico-acuto) and was conducted in accordance with the 1975 Declaration of Helsinki. Informed consent was obtained from each patient (or from relatives in case of the patient’s inability) before the angiogram for participation in the follow-up. We thus conducted a subgroup analysis of the Matrix Registry aiming at evaluating the potential relationship between smoking habit and STEMI-related mortality. In particular we focused on time matter of symptoms evolution to demonstrate differences between subgroups. Our Hub and Spoke network for STEMI in North-western Tuscany, Italy, began in April 2006 with the systematic use of PCI. The population of this 1,658 km2 area is roughly 400,000. About 800 km2 is a rugged mountainous territory, while the remaining area is coastal. This program involved one Hub (Ospedale del Cuore di Massa) and five Spoke centers, one medical helicopter and six advanced life support ambulances, with direct transmission of pre-hospital ECG to the catheterization laboratory (24/7 PCI capability within 30 min of notification) activated by a single-call action. All patients presenting within 12 h of the onset of symptoms suggestive of myocardial ischemia and new or presumed-new ST-elevation or left bundle-branch block, who were transferred to our PCI hospital and treated with primary PCI from April 1, 2006, to December 31, 2018, were considered for inclusion in this study. Due to the absence of a first aid unit at our Hub center, all patients were transferred from the Spoke center, or directly by EMS. We excluded patients who were transferred and diagnosed with STEMI but not treated with PCI (CABG or medical therapy).
A database dedicated to STEMI patients was created and maintained by the information department of our hospital. Over 200 parameters were included in the data set (medical history, biochemical parameters, as well as clinical, echocardiographic, and angiographic data), collected either manually, through a graphical user interface, or by automatically extracting data from medical records (personal details, time to treatment, outcomes, etc.) [4]. Some of the parameters were defined as mandatory, without which the patient would be excluded from the study. These parameters were the time of 1) symptom onset leading to medical assistance; 2) first medical contact; 3) catheterization laboratory arrival; and 4) first balloon inflation time. The time from symptom onset to first medical contact was defined decision time (DT), the time from symptom onset to first balloon inflation was defined symptom to balloon time (SBT). Based on SBT patients were divided into five groups: ≤2 h, between 2 and 4 h, between 4 and 6 h, between 6 and 8 h, and between 8 and 12 h.
In 92% of patients (n=2260), it was possible to pinpoint a specific time of symptom onset. It was difficult to determine an accurate onset in the remaining 8% (n=196) of patients, most of whom were elderly and diabetic with atypical symptoms or patients with OHCA. For these patients, in order to be as accurate as possible, we collected the clinical information from relatives and from EMS dispatches.
Mortality data within the intervention hospital was taken from the main database, which also provided systematic information on discharge and transferal of patients to their local hospitals. Data about mortality in the patients’ local hospitals were systematically collected by telephone. For all patients, follow-up information was obtained by conducting a direct phone interview with the patient or his/her general practitioner as well as searching in the mortality database. Follow-up was not possible with 25 patients (0.9%), due to unsuccessful attempts to contact them by phone; they were therefore excluded from the study.
No restrictions on age and sex were applied. Before primary PCI, all patients received intravenous ASA (500 mg) and a P2Y12 inhibitor (clopidogrel [600 mg], ticagrelor [180 mg] prasugrel [60 mg]). Ticagrelor was the standard therapy in patients treated after 2011. Unfractionated heparin (70-100 IU/Kg, intra-arterial) was administered in the catheterization laboratory before initiating the diagnostic angiography. From January 2009 onwards, thrombo-aspiration was performed whenever a large thrombus burden was detected [5,6]. The use of glycoprotein IIb/IIIa therapy was left to the operators’ discretion in patients with large thrombus burden and/or angiographic complications (distal embolization, no-reflow phenomenon) of primary PCI according to the guidelines [7,8]. STEMI was defined by symptoms of myocardial ischemia accompanied by a persistent elevation of the ST segment on the electrocardiogram according to the 4th Universal MI Definition [9]. Cardiogenic shock was defined as persistent systolic blood pressure ≤ 90mmHg, unresponsive to fluid administration and requiring vasopressors with echocardiographic evidence of severe dysfunction of the left ventricle, over a large infarction area. The use of intra-aortic balloon pump in cardiogenic shock was encouraged for all suitable patients but was left to operator’s discretion. Culprit vessel TIMI flow grade was assessed after the PCI procedure and procedural success was defined as post-procedural TIMI 3 flows. To assess left and right ventricular systolic function, and rule out any mechanical complications, all patients received two-dimensional echocardiographic evaluation upon arrival in the catheterization laboratory before PCI, within the first 24 h after PCI, and every day during their in-hospital stay. Left ventricular systolic function was determined by Left Ventricle Ejection Fraction, calculated using the biplane Simpson’s method by a trained cardiologist. Subsequent medical treatment included anti-ischemic, lipid-lowering, and antithrombotic drugs was administered to every patient strictly according to current treatment guidelines [10,11].
All statistical analyses were conducted with STATA® statistical package, version 13.0 (Stata Corp LP). Categorical variables were summarized using frequencies and proportions and compared using Pearson's 𝛘2 test or Fisher’s exact test, as appropriate. The normal distribution of continuous variables was evaluated using the Shapiro-Francia test and Student's t-test for independent groups was used to compare data with normal distribution, presented as mean values ± SD (σ). To test for possible differences between non-normally distributed variables, the Mann-Whitney test for independent groups was used and the data are presented as medians and inter-quartile ranges [IQR: 25%-75%]. The relationship between general characteristics of the population and SBT groups was assessed by one-way ANOVA and to control for type I error the Scheffe’s adjusted significance level was used. Tukey post-hoc analysis was used to determine differences between groups. A linear relationship between two sets of data has been assessed using Pearson’s product-moment correlation. Univariate and multivariable-adjusted analyses were performed to evaluate the independent contribution of patients' characteristics to in hospital and 1 year follow up, using the main cardiovascular risk factors and all baselines’ variables with a statistically significant difference between groups. We used a parsimonious model including variables with p < 0.10 by the univariate test as a candidate for the multivariate analysis. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated as appropriate. Moreover, the association between smoking status and in-hospital mortality was assessed using a 2-tailed Chi-square test.
In order to reduce the imbalance between covariates in the two groups and further assess the effect of smoking in STEMI patients, a propensity score analysis was performed; a logistic regression was performed to obtain propensity score (covariates: male sex, age, diabetes mellitus type II, hypertension, dyslipidemia, history of coronary artery disease in the family, previous cardiovascular interventions, previous acute coronary syndrome, cardiogenic shock at presentation and degree of left ventricular ejection fraction); a 1:1 nearest neighbor matching was done to obtain two comparable groups.
A p-value <0.05 was considered statistically significant for all analyses.

3. Results

A total of 2,456 STEMI patients treated with primary PCI were enrolled until December 2018. Demographic, clinical, and angiographic characteristics according to ischemic time are reported in Table 1.
Table 1. Demographic, clinical, and angiographic characteristics at presentation according to different symptom to balloon time groups.
Table 1. Demographic, clinical, and angiographic characteristics at presentation according to different symptom to balloon time groups.
Total
2456 (100)
Group 1
≤ 2 h
297 (12)
Group 2
2-4 h
1151 (47)
Group 3
4-6 h
518 (21)
Group 4
6-8h
212 (9)
Group 5
8-12h
278 (11)
P Value
Age, y 67
[58 - 77]
66
[58 - 76]
66
[58 - 76]
68.5
[59 - 79]
70
[59 - 80]
69
[59 - 79]
0.345
Male 1792 (73) 231 (78) 875 (76) 354 (68) 142 (67) 190 (68) 0.079
DT, minutes 73
[33-150]
20
(15-30) ‡¶*
50
(40-75) ‡¶*
120
(90-180) §†
416
(388-450) §†
435
(315-650) §†
< 0.001
Diabetes 508 (21) 56 (19) 220 (19) 120 (23) 58 (27) 54 (19) 0.086
Hypertension 1437 (58) 170 (57) 650 (56) 322 (62) 130 (61) 165 (59) 0.905
BMI 26 [24 - 29] 26 [24 - 29] 26 [24 - 29] 26 [24 - 29] 26 [24 - 29] 26 [24 - 28] 0.897
Dyslipidemia 985 (40) 131 (44) 470 (41) 196 (38) 86 (41) 102 (37) 0.052
Current smoker 1007 (41) 117 (39) 518 (45) 198 (38) 71 (33) 103 (37) 0.167
Family history of CAD 656 (27) 70 (24) 322 (28) 152 (29) 55 (26) 57 (20) 0.266
Prior MI
(> 7 days)
282 (11) 35 (12) 142 (12) 55 (11) 25 (12) 25 (9) 0.174
Prior PCI/CABG 266 (11) 41 (14) 113 (10) 45 (9) * 20 (9) * 47 (17) ‡¶ < 0.001
Cardiogenic shock 150 (6) 18 (6) 69 (6) 38 (7) 14 (7) 11 (4) 0.039
Cardiac arrest pre-PCI 138 (5) 21 (7) 66 (5) 27 (5) 7 (4) 17 (6) 0.067
LVEF % 51 [31-60] 54 [42-60] 48 [38-57] 51 [33-55] 50 [32-55] 49 [33-60] 0.078
LVEF < 40% 968 (39) 116 (39) 433 (38) 211 (41) 89 (42) 119 (43) 0.081
Culprit artery segment
LAD 1148 (47) 147 (49) 533 (46) 244 (47) 92 (43) 132 (47) 0.506
Circumflex artery 419 (17) 41 (14) 189 (16) 106 (20) 40 (19) 43 (15) 0.447
Left main artery 31 (1) 4 (1) 13 (2) 9 (2) 0 (0) 5 (2) 0.520
Right coronary artery 836 (34) 104 (35) 405 (35) 155 (30) 77 (36) 95 (34) 0.560
Bypass graft 22 (1) 1 (1) 11 (1) 4 (1) 3 (2) 3 (1) 0.871
Non culprit stenosis > 50% 710 (29) 107 (36) 308 (27) 150 (29) 62 (29) 83 (30) 0.710
Three Vessels Disease 236 (11) 34 (10) 109 (10) 56 (10) 23 (11) 14 (5) 0.064
Two Vessels
Disease
474 (22) 73 (25) 199 (19) 94 (20) 39 (19) 69 (25) 0.095
Single Vessels Disease 1746 (73) 190 (71) 843 (74) 368 (72) 150 (74) 195 (71) 0.277
Post- procedure TIMI 0-1 320 (13) 39 (13) 136 (12) 73 (14) 30 (14) 42 (15) 0.530
Post- procedure TIMI 3 1897 (77) 239 (80) 906 (79) 390 (75) 158 (75) 204 (73) 0.316
In hospital
mortality
95 (4) 4 (1) 36 (3) 27 (5) 13 (6) 15 (5) 0.008
One - year
mortality
201 (8) 22 (8) 89 (8) 47 (10) 25 (12) 18 (7) 0.378
Abbreviation: DT: Decision Time; CAD: Coronary Artery Disease; MI: Myocardial Infarction; PCI: Percutaneous Coronary Intervention; CABG: Coronary Artery Bypass Graft; LVEF: Left Ventricle Ejection Fraction; LAD: Left Anterior Descending; PCI: percutaneous coronary intervention; TIMI: Thrombolysis In Myocardial Infarction (Score). Tukey post-hoc test: § p < 0.05 vs group 1; p < 0.05 vs group 2; p < 0.05 vs group 3; p < 0.05 vs group 4; * p < 0.05 vs group 5.
The median age of our population was 67 years [58 – 77, range 28–99]. Of note, women were significantly older than men (76 [65 - 83] vs 64 [56 - 73] years - p<0.0001). Median ischemic time for the entire population was 215 [IQR: 150-317] minutes. Again, women experienced significantly longer SBT (239 [163 - 346] vs 206 [147 - 305] min - p<0.0001) than men. In the whole population, a shorter SBT was associated with better revascularisation; a median of 210 [150 - 312] min was reported for TIMI flow 3 group while a median of 225 [157 - 355] min was reported for TIMI flow < 2 group with a significant difference (p<0.01). Only 5% of smoking patients experienced cardiogenic shock versus 7% of non-smoking patients (p=0.013). No differences appeared among the other Killip class.
Complete comparison of demographic and clinical characteristics between groups are reported in Table 2.
Smoking habit was associated with younger age (61 [52 - 69] vs 72 [63 - 81] years – p<0.001) and smokers’ SBT appears to be shorter than that of non-smokers (203 [147 - 299] vs 220 [154 - 334] min – p<0.002). Moreover, DT differs among groups, in fact, smoker patients showed less hesitation in seeking medical assistance compared to non-smoking patients in a significant fashion (60 [30-135] vs 77 [36-170] minutes – p<0.001). No differences in terms of post-procedural TIMI 3 and of history of previous MI between smoking and non-smoking patients were observed.
A total of 95 (4%) and 201 (8%) patients died in-hospital and at 1-year follow-up, respectively. In-hospital and one-year follow-up mortality were significantly higher among women than men (8% vs 2% - p<0.0001 and 14% vs 7% - p < 0.0001 respectively). Patients who experienced higher in-hospital mortality were those with a longer SBT (264 [IQR: 190 - 420] min vs 212 [IQR: 150 - 315] min - p=0.0038), while no differences in this relationship appeared at 1-year follow-up (226 [IQR: 165 - 324] min vs 210 [IQR: 149 - 214] min - p = 0.103)”.
As shown in Figure 1, in-hospital mortality increased linearly according to SBT both in smoking and non-smoking subgroup (r = 0.7 - p =0.028 and r = 0.9 - p =0.021, respectively.) whilst such a trend was not observed for mortality at 1-year follow-up among groups (r=0.2 – p=0.59 for smokers and r=0.1 – p=0.68 for non-smoking subgroup respectively). Based on this finding, we calculated that in-hospital mortality increased by 2.8% for every 2 h delay.
Univariate and Multivariable Adjusted analysis were used to detect the relationship between variables and in-hospital (Table 3) and one - year follow-up mortality (Table 4). After multivariable analysis, SBT [OR:1.01 (95% CI: 1.01-1.02) - p<0.05] appeared as an independent predictor of in-hospital mortality together with age [OR 1.06 (95% CI: 1.04 - 1.09) - p<0.001], post-PCI TIMI<2 [OR:5.62 (95% CI: 3.49 – 9.04) - p<0.001], cardiac arrest [OR: 1.10 (95% CI: (1.05 – 1.31) - p<0.01] and cardiogenic shock [OR: 2.01 (95% CI: (1.73 – 2.13)) - p<0.01], whilst smoker status [OR:0.37 (95% CI: 0.18 – 0.75) - p<0.01] and male sex [OR:0.53 (95% CI: 0.32 - 0.88) - p<0.01] emerged as protective variables. Looking at one-year follow up, at multivariate analysis only age was an independent predictor of mortality [OR:1.10 (95% CI: 1.08 – 1.12) - p < 0.001]. Compared with non-smokers, smoker patients had lower in hospital (1.5% vs 6% - p < 0.001) and at 1-year follow-up mortality (5% vs 11% - p <0.01).

3.1. Propensity Score Analysis

Propensity score matching yielded two comparable groups (smokers vs non-smokers) with no significant differences in baseline characteristics (Supplemental Table 1 and Supplemental Figure 1). As for in-hospital outcomes (Supplemental Table 2), there were no differences regarding symptoms-to-balloon times, door-to-balloon, and decision times, as well as no differences in the immediate reperfusion state; the in-hospital death was higher in non-smokers group (3.4% vs 1.7%; p=0.024) and remained higher also at 1 year follow-up (9-5% vs 5.1%; p<0.001). At univariable analysis (Supplemental Table 3) we found that in-hospital mortality was associated with age (OR 1.04, 95% CI [1.02-1.07]; p=0.001), previous cardiovascular interventions (OR 2.59, 95% CI [1.23-5.03]; p=0.007), cardiogenic shock (OR 42.8, 95% CI [22.5-83.7]; p<0.001), increased symptoms-to-balloon time (OR 1.02, 95% CI [1.02-1.03]; p<0.001) and decision time (OR 1.04, 95% CI [1.01-1.02]; p=0.013), as well as low TIMI score at the end of the procedure (TIMI 1 or TIMI 2: OR 5.16, 95% CI [2.84 - 9.55]; p<0.001). Conversely, smoking habit (OR 0.49, 95% CI [0.26 - 0.91]; p=0.026) and TIMI 3 score (OR 0.19, 95% CI [0.10 - 0.25]; p<0.001), were associated with decreased in-hospital mortality. At multivariable analysis (Supplemental Table 4), age (OR 1.04, 95% CI [1.02-1.07]; p=0.015), cardiogenic shock (OR 42.9, 95% CI [20.8-92.1]; p<0.001) and low TIMI score (OR 3.77, 95% CI [1.86 - 7.74]; p<0.001) were associated with in-hospital mortality, while smoking habit was still associated with reduced mortality (OR 0.44, 95% CI [0.20 - 0.90]; p=0.026). At 1-year follow-up, age (HR 1.04, 95% CI [1.02 - 1.06]; p<0.001) was independently associated with mortality and smoking (HR 0.54, 95% CI [0.37 - 0.78]; p<0.001) with a reduced rate of death.

4. Discussion

The so-called “smoker’s paradox” was introduced into scientific arena more than two decades ago[12,13,14,15] to describe the counterintuitive phenomenon of lower mortality in smoker patients presenting with STEMI compared to non-smokers. The paradoxical nature of this evidence is in the sight of all and some analyses have tried to deconstruct the evidence of this paradox by showing its inconsistencies[16,17,18,19,20]. More in details, while some authors have proposed to explain the counter-intuitive beneficial effect of smoking in STEMI with an enhanced myocardial preconditioning– thus being associated with a decreased final infarct size [21,22,23], others have shown that, among STEMI patients undergoing primary PCI, smoking status does not affect infarct size[24]. However, some aspects remain nowadays unsolved and there is not a univocal satisfactory explanation. Our data, derived from a large cohort of consecutive STEMI patients, aim at shedding new light on the enigmatic protection related to smoking status in the setting of STEMI.

4.1. Smoking Habit and Younger Age

One of the most common hypotheses explaining the observed “protection” of smoking patients in the setting of STEMI relates to the importance of a younger age of smokers rather than smoking itself. As previously reported, indeed, smokers are usually younger at the time of their first cardiovascular events, with fewer atherosclerotic risk factors and comorbidities compared with nonsmokers[17]. In our population we confirm that smoker patients were younger and had a better prognosis, both in terms of lower in-hospital and one-year mortality. Specifically, smoking patients develop STEMI about 10 years earlier than non-smoking, as previously reported by Björn Redfors et al. [25]. From a pathophysiologic perspective, smokers have increased platelet aggregation [26,27], increased fibrinogen, and decreased fibrinolytic activity compared with non-smokers [27], creating a state of hypercoagulability that predisposes to acute thrombosis [28]. Smoking also induces endothelial dysfunction [29] and neutrophil activation [28], causes oxidant injury [29], increases fibrinogen levels, and causes platelet activation [27], all of which increase the rate of atherosclerosis and plaque progression by direct or indirect effects[2].. Additionally, smoking can trigger spasms in the coronary arteries, further exacerbating the risk of acute coronary syndrome. All these conditions can be related to accelerated atherosclerosis, and the fact that smokers were admitted to the hospital for STEMI about 10 years before non-smokers, indicates that premature coronary atherothrombosis is the high price they pay for smoking [30,31]. Besides, as previously reported, there was no association of smoking with infarct size or microvascular obstruction MVO, and that smoker patients were at greater risk of reinfarction [18,32]. Our multivariable analysis confirmed that, among others, not only younger age but also smoking status were both associated with decreased in-hospital mortality.

4.2. Smoking Habit and Lower Ischemic Time

Animal and clinical studies have shown more myocardial salvage and better outcomes with a reduction in SBT [33]. In fact, as previously reported, SBT could be considered the new gold standard for STEMI care [34]. Stratifying our population, we found a strong relationship between SBT and in-hospital mortality. For every 2-h delay, mortality significantly and linearly increased by 2.8 %. Conversely, such a trend was not observed for mortality at 1-year follow-up, which is likely dependent on other factors. SBT is influenced by several factors, such as the patient’s ability to promptly recognize signs and symptoms of heart attack[35,36], together with a rapid decision to seek medical care (i.e., short decision time), as well as a fast diagnosis[37] and quick transport to the most appropriate medical facility, to restore coronary blood flow[38,39,40,41,42,43]. In our study, we observed that decision time and SBT in smokers was significantly shorter than in non-smokers thus, in turn, leading to a benefit of STEMI-related mortality. As specified in the methods, in 92% of patients it was possible to pinpoint a specific time of symptom onset and in the remaining patients, most of whom were elderly and diabetic with atypical symptoms or patients with OHCA, in order to be as accurate as possible, we collected the clinical information from relatives and from EMS dispatches. One could speculate that, for smokers more than for non-smokers, the awareness of being at risk of coronary artery disease may allow a rapid link of symptoms to heart problem and, consequently, lead the patients to a prompter and quicker seek for help, thus finally leading to a decrease of decision time and the ischemic time. This may explain the shorter decision time that we found in our smoker patients to seek medical care which helps to shorten the ischemic time. Non-smokers are more frequently elderly and diabetics, thus with atypical STEMI presentation or lower chest pain. However, again we underline that multivariate analysis revealed that smoking habit was independently associated with a reduced in-hospital mortality.

4.3. Smoking-Related Protection in STEMI: Not Just Younger Age and Shorted Ischemic Time

In order to investigate a possible “direct” smoking-related cardioprotective effect in STEMI we performed a propensity score matching analysis allowing a direct comparison of two different groups - smokers vs non-smokers - with no significant differences in baseline characteristics. More specifically, this analysis aimed at ruling out the possible indirect effect of younger age and shorter ischemic time as mediators of the observed better outcome of smokers vs non-smokers. Again, our additional analysis confirmed that in-hospital death was higher in non-smokers group (3.4% vs 1.7%; p=0.024) and remained higher also at 1 year follow-up (9-5% vs 5.1%; p<0.001). More surprisingly, both at univariable and multivariable analysis we found that smoking habit was still associated with reduced mortality, both in-hospital and at 1-year follow-up.
Evidence from literature support the observation of a lower mortality rate in smokers with STEMI receiving thrombolytic therapy [44,45,46,47]. As well as in our study, after adjusting for initial risks, this association remains significant in some studies [48], while others don’t show lowered mortality after corrections [44,45,46,47]. It is hypothesized that smoking's impact on increased blood clotting rather than plaque vulnerability results in better response to this treatment. Smoking can lead to a tendency for clotting caused by endothelial dysfunction, amplified platelet activity, raised fibrinogen levels, and disproportionate thrombin generation [49]. Furthermore, fibrin cross-linking is affected by cigarette components [50]. Thus, in smokers the predominant cause of STEMI could be on thrombogenic, not atherogenic, basis making thrombolytic therapy more effective. Consequently, this might influence the effectiveness of various antithrombotic therapies. Notably, an analysis of the HORIZONS-AMI trial revealed that among STEMI patients receiving pPCI, bivalirudin monotherapy resulted in reduced 30-day and 1-year mortality in smokers but not in non-smokers when compared to unfractionated heparin plus glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibitors [51].
Some studies have also indicated that nicotine can lead to increased expression of P2Y12 receptors in human platelet lysates, which may elucidate the impact of smoking on platelet inhibition [52]. This could explain a possible greater response to P2Y12 inhibitor such clopidogrel used in acute phase of STEMI and pPCI and a different clinical efficacy in smokers versus non-smokers.

4.4. Study Limitations

The results of this clinical prospective registry should be considered in light of some limitations. First, this is a single-centre registry with a long period of inclusion and the follow-up time was limited to 1 year after index events. We lost contact with 25 out of our total 2336 patients for a variety of reasons, including unsuccessful attempts to reach patients by phone even after several attempts and due to privacy preferences of the patients concerned. Second, information on smoking status was available only at the time of the STEMI and not during follow-up. Given the beneficial impact of smoking cessation, information on changes in smoking status over the course of the study would have provided additional useful information. Moreover, packs smoked per day, and total pack-years were not available, making a more comprehensive differentiation between patients impossible. Furthermore, home-therapy was not considered among the mandatory fields of the registry. So, we did not have enough and factual data to be included in our tables.

5. Conclusions

Our data reinforce the enigma of the so-called “smoker’s paradox”. In our cohort we confirm that smoking patients presenting with STEMI are younger and have a lower ischemic time than non-smoker patients. However, the reduced both in-hospital and 1-year follow up mortality observed in smoking patients cannot be fully explained by different baseline characteristics of smokers. A different pathogenetic effect of smoking on STEMI mechanism is also conceivable and future studies should definitively establish whether pathophysiological differences between smokers and non-smokers with STEMI contribute to this paradoxical link. Indeed, the true reason behind this unusual outcome remains uncertain. This apparent phenomenon that smokers with STEMI might have better short-term outcomes should not be seen as a favourable effect or advantage of smoking. The negative effects of smoking are well-documented, and any differences in outcomes are likely overshadowed by the long-term mortality caused by smoking. It is crucial to continue intensive efforts to promote smoking cessation. A strong public awareness campaign, bringing the message that a combination of medical treatments and behavioural counselling improves the likelihood of successfully quitting, is mandatory.

Supplementary Materials

The following supporting information can be downloaded at the website of this paper posted on Preprints.org. Table S1: post-matching Baseline Characteristics; Table S2: post-matching Operative Data; Table S3: post-matching Univariate Analysis for In-hospital mortality; Table S4: psot-matching Multivariable analysis for in-hospital mortality; Figure S1: pre- and post-matching plot of absolute standardized mean differences (SMD) across the covariates.

Author Contributions

Conceptualization, U.P. and A.R. De C.; methodology, U.P., A.R. De C., G.T. and G.B.; validation, U.P., A.R. De C., G.T. and G.B.; formal analysis, U.P. and A.R. De C.; investigation, U.P. and A.R. De C.; data curation, U.P., A.R. De C., F.D., M.R., G.B. and C.P.; writing—original draft preparation, U.P. and A.R. De C..; writing— review and editing, U.P. and A.R. De C.; visualization, G.A. and C.de G..; supervision, S.B. and G.A.. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Funding

This research did not receive any specific grant from funding agencies in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.

Institutional Review Board Statement

The study was conducted in accordance with the 1975 Declaration of Helsinki and approved by the Ethics Committee of Fondazione Gabriele Monasterio – Regione Toscana, Massa, Italy.

Informed Consent Statement

Informed consent was obtained from each patient (or from relatives in case of the patient’s inability) before the angiogram for participation in the follow-up.

Data Availability Statement

The data that support the findings of this study may be made available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request.

Acknowledgments

The authors would like to thank Roberto Martini for the graphics and the Cath Lab staff of the Fondazione Gabriele Monasterio – Regione Toscana, Massa, Italy for their precious help in collecting data.

Conflicts of Interest

Sergio Berti is proctor for St. Jude Medical and Edwards Lifesciences LLC. The remaining authors report no financial relationships or conflicts of interest regarding the content herein.

References

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Figure 1. Mortality and ischemic-time relationship in the general study cohort [black], in the smoker subgroup [red] and in non-smoking subgroup [dark green]. Left, In-hospital mortality and ischemic time. In-hospital mortality appears to increase linearly for every 2 h delay according to ischemic time respectively by 2.5% [general study cohort - r = 0.8 - p =0.014], by 3% [non-smoker subgroup - r = 0.9 - p =0.021], by 1,8% [smoking subgroup - r = 0.7 - p =0.028]. Right, One - year mortality and ischemic time. One - year mortality did not appear to increase linearly according to ischemic time. General study cohort: r = 0.1 - p =0.79; non-smoker subgroup: r=0.1 – p=0.68 smoking subgroup r=0.2 – p=0.59.
Figure 1. Mortality and ischemic-time relationship in the general study cohort [black], in the smoker subgroup [red] and in non-smoking subgroup [dark green]. Left, In-hospital mortality and ischemic time. In-hospital mortality appears to increase linearly for every 2 h delay according to ischemic time respectively by 2.5% [general study cohort - r = 0.8 - p =0.014], by 3% [non-smoker subgroup - r = 0.9 - p =0.021], by 1,8% [smoking subgroup - r = 0.7 - p =0.028]. Right, One - year mortality and ischemic time. One - year mortality did not appear to increase linearly according to ischemic time. General study cohort: r = 0.1 - p =0.79; non-smoker subgroup: r=0.1 – p=0.68 smoking subgroup r=0.2 – p=0.59.
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Table 2. Comparison of main demographic and clinical characteristics between groups.
Table 2. Comparison of main demographic and clinical characteristics between groups.
Smoking
1007 (41)
Non-Smoking
1449 (59)
P Value
Age, y 61 [52 - 69] 72 [63 - 81] < 0.001
Male 807 (80) 985 (68) 0.066
DT, min 60 [30 - 135] 77 [36 - 170] < 0.001
Diabetes 234 (24) 274 (19) 0.781
Hypertension 698 (69) 793 (55) 0.071
Dyslipidaemia 477 (47) 508 (35) 0.113
BMI 26 [24 - 29] 26 [24 - 29] 0.923
Family history of CAD 301 (30) 355 (25) 0.675
Prior MI (> 7 days) 102 (10) 180 (12) 0.080
Prior PCI / CABG 150 (15) 116 (8) 0.061
Cardiogenic shock 47 (5) 103 (7) 0.013
Cardiac arrest pre-PCI 60 (5) 78 (5) 0.876
LVEF 50 [31-60] 51 [32-58] 0.123
LVEF < 40% 396 (39) 572 (39) 0.519
In Hospital length of stay, days 5 [3 - 6] 5 [3 - 6] 0.812
Culprit artery segment:
Left Main disease 18 (2) 13 (1) 0.987
Left anterior descending 555 (55) 593 (41) 0.065
Circumflex artery 202 (20) 217 (15) 0.124
Right coronary artery 417 (41) 419 (29) 0.102
Bypass graft 9 (1) 12 (1) 0.987
Non culprit stenosis > 50% 349 (35) 361 (25) 0.164
Three Vessels Disease 94 (8) 142 (9) 0.839
Two Vessels Disease 255 (24) 219 (16) 0.118
Single Vessels Disease 658 (64) 1088 (73) 0.078
SBT, min 203 [147 - 299] 220 [154 - 334] 0.002
Post- procedure TIMI 0-1 148 (14) 172 (12) 0.856
Post- procedure TIMI 3 838 (83) 1183 (81) 0.381
In Hospital mortality 15 (1.5) 80 (6) 0.001
1 year follow-up mortality 48 (5) 153 (11) < 0.001
Abbreviation: Abbreviation: SBT: Symptoms to Balloon Time; MI: Myocardial Infarction; STEMI: ST segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction; LVEF: Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction; TIMI: Thrombolysis In Myocardial Infarction (Score); DT: Decision Time; PCI: percutaneous coronary intervention; CABG: coronary artery bypass graft.
Table 3. Univariate and Multivariate Adjusted analysis of in-hospital mortality.
Table 3. Univariate and Multivariate Adjusted analysis of in-hospital mortality.
Unadjusted
Odds Ratio
(95% Confidence Interval)
P
Value
Multivariate Adjusted
Odds Ratio
(95% Confidence Interval)
P
Value
Age 1.08 (1.06 – 1.10) < 0.001 1.06 (1.04 – 1.09) < 0.001
Current smoker 0.25 (0.15 – 0.45) < 0.001 0.37 (0.18 – 0.75) < 0.01
Hypertension 1.28 (0.84 – 1.97) ns / /
Diabetes 0.68 (0.57 – 0.91) < 0.01 0.91 (0.47 – 1.11) ns
Dyslipidaemia 1.87 (1.78 – 1.37) < 0.001 1.07 (0.98 – 1.26) ns
BMI 1.42 (0.73 – 1.65) ns / /
Cardiogenic shock 2.01 (1.89 – 2.22) < 0.001 2.01 (1.73 – 2.13) < 0.01
Cardiac arrest pre PCI 1.65 (1.21 – 1.65) < 0.01 1.10 (1.05 – 1.31) < 0.01
Multivessels disease 0.76 (0.76 – 1.02) < 0.01 0.86 (0.83 – 1.12) ns
Post-PCI TIMI < 2 5.38 (3.42 – 8.46) < 0.001 5.62 (3.49 – 9.04) < 0.001
SBT 1.01 (1.01 – 1.02) < 0.01 1.01 (1.01-1.02) < 0.05
Male sex 0.30 (0.20 – 0.46) < 0.001 0.53 (0.32 – 0.88) <0.01
LVEF 0.75 (0.33 – 0.84) < 0.01 0.81 (0.77 – 1.07) ns
*Abbreviation: LVEF: Left Ventricle Ejection Fraction; ns: non statistical; PCI: Percutaneous Coronary Intervention; SBT: Symptoms to Balloon Time; PCI: percutaneous coronary intervention; TIMI: Thrombolysis In Myocardial Infarction (Score).
Table 4. Univariate and Multivariable Adjusted analysis of one - year mortality.
Table 4. Univariate and Multivariable Adjusted analysis of one - year mortality.
Unadjusted
Odds Ratio
(95% Confidence Interval)
P
Value
Multivariate Adjusted
Odds Ratio
(95% Confidence Interval)
P
Value
Age 1.08 (1.06 – 1.10) < 0.001 1.06 (1.04 – 1.09) < 0.001
Current smoker 0.25 (0.15 – 0.45) < 0.001 0.37 (0.18 – 0.75) < 0.01
Hypertension 1.10 (1.09 - 1.12) < 0.001 1.10 (1.08 – 1.12) < 0.001
Diabetes 0.40 (0.29 - 0.56) < 0.001 0.93 (0.62 – 1.39) ns
Dyslipidaemia 1.90 (1.38 – 2.61) < 0.001 1.15 (0.80 – 1.65) ns
BMI 0.78 (0.65 – 0.92) < 0.01 0.93 (0.57 – 1.21) ns
Cardiogenic shock 1.68 (1.59 – 1.23) < 0.001 1.06 (0.97 – 1.15) ns
Cardiac arrest pre PCI 1.11 (0.96 – 1.42) ns / /
Multivessels disease 1.15 (1.12 – 1.36) < 0.01 1.04 (0.88 – 1.22) ns
Post-PCI TIMI < 2 1.22 (1.09 – 1.28) < 0.01 1.10 (0.98 – 1.11) ns
SBT 0.77 (0.77 – 1.02) < 0.01 0.84 (0.84 – 1.22) ns
Male sex 1.03 (0.66 – 1.62) ns / /
LVEF 1.01 (0.98 - 1.01) ns / /
* Abbreviation: LVEF: Left Ventricle Ejection Fraction; ns: non statistical; PCI: Percutaneous Coronary Intervention; SBT: Symptoms to Balloon Time; PCI: percutaneous coronary intervention; TIMI: Thrombolysis In Myocardial Infarction (Score).
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