1. Introduction
Soil erosion is one of the natural processes that shapes the landscape by the action of water and wind. It causes environment impacts such as (1). non-point source pollution resulted from soil loss carrying pollutants down the slopes, (2). reduction of soil fertility that affects crop yield, and (3). sedimentation in rivers and water bodies. [
1,
2,
3,
4,
5] Quantification of soil loss has always been attracting researchers’ attention, and the technology of soil loss estimation has changed from parametrized estimation like USLE [
6,
7] and Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE) [
8] to processes-based simulations, for instance CREAMS [
9], AgNPS [
10], WEPP [
11,
12], SWAT [
13]. Regardless the simplicity or complexity of models, soil loss estimation is still built upon the existing understanding of soil erosion processes.
Soil erodibility [
5,
14] defines the vulnerability of the soil when subjected to erosion. Physical and chemical properties of the soil were determined during soil formation through weathering processes [
15]. On the other hand, soil improvement as well as human intervein; namely land grading, cover and crop management, and soil conservation, can alter soil erodibility. Putting into Universal Soil Loss Equation (USLE) terminology, these intervein are known as slope length factor (L), slope steepness factor (S), cover and management factor (C), and conservation factor (P), respectively, among which C factor is probably the most complicated parameter among all.
C factor has gone through development and revision for almost half a century. It has advanced from the original concept of USLE; namely C = Cc x Cs that considers the contributions from vegetation canopy and surface mulch, to RSUEL Version 2 (USDA-ARS, 2013); namely C = Cc x gc x Sr x rh x Sb x Sc x Pp x am that considers the effects from canopy and ground cover subfactor, random and artificial surface roughness subfactors, soil biomass subfactor, soil consolidation, ponding, and antecedent soil moisture subfactors.
Soil moisture content changes soil physical properties such as shear strength and aggregate stability, thereby alters the resistance to erosion [
16,
17]. A positive correlation has been found between soil moisture content and surface runoff [
18,
19,
20,
21]. Fortesa et al. (2020) [
22] analyzed 5-year soil moisture and flow data at the catchment scale and found that 76% of flood events occurred in wet soil conditions. Massari et al. (2023) [
23] analyzed data from Global Runoff Data Center (GRDC) as well as that from European Space Agency’s Climate Change Initiative (CCI) and found that antecedent precipitation, soil moisture at surface and root zone, pre-storm river discharge, and pre-storm total water storage anomalies would affect the scale of flood events significantly.
Jadidoleslam et al. (2019) [
24] applied Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) to estimate surface soil layer’s water contents from 38 watersheds (area ranges from 80 to 1,000 km
2) and to correlate soil water content with runoff coefficients. They found that runoff coefficients increased with the increase in antecedent soil moisture contents. In addition, runoff coefficient changed significantly under humid conditions. Schoener et al. (2019) [
25] observed surface runoff from watersheds at different scales (2.8 m
2 and 2.8 km
2). The results showed a positive correlation between antecedent soil moisture content and runoff coefficient regardless the scales of the watershed. They also noted that antecedent soil moisture content had an influence on surface runoff during small rainfall events but produced less impact during heavy rainfall events.
While positive correlation between antecedent soil moisture and soil erosion or runoff generation has been reported [
26,
27], there are studies suggest otherwise. For instance, Castillo et al. (2003) [
28] conducted study in eastern Spain using Time Domain Reflectometry (TDR) in three semi-arid small watersheds with different characteristics of vegetation to study the correlation between antecedent soil moisture and surface runoff. They found that the impact of antecedent soil moisture depended on rainfall intensity and soil permeability. In the case of high rainfall intensity or low soil permeability, surface runoff was not depended on the antecedent soil moisture content; whereas on the highly permeable soil, if a low-intensity rainfall event occurred, surface runoff was easily controlled by the moisture content of the surface soil and the influence of moisture content was relatively high.
Truman and Bradford (1990) [
29] conducted a series experiments using rainfall simulator to test the splash erosion rates on air-dried and prewetted soils, and the result indicated that raise of soil moisture reduces the splash erosion rate, which might be related to promotion of soil sealing and aggregation stability [
18,
30]. Auerswald (1993) [
31] indicated that increasing soil moisture from 10% to 30% reduced soil loss by 80% and suggested that soil moisture can decrease soil slaking. Ma et al. (2014) [
32] found that transition of splash erosion rate in increasing soil moisture will decrease initially and then increase at the threshold moisture value of 15%.
Based on the contradictions in research results on the impact of antecedent soil moisture content to soil erosion, hence, the objectives of this study are (1). to investigate the correlation between antecedent soil moisture and soil loss and (2). to explore the feasibility of using rainfall parameters as alternatives to quantify the impact of antecedent soil moisture to interrill erosion.
3. Results and Discussion
Table 1 is the summary of the experiment results collected from 2019 to 2020, in which Precp. is the total precipitation of an effective erosion event, EI
30 is the Rainfall-Runoff Erosivity Index, C is the runoff coefficient, NAVSMC is the normalized antecedent volumetric soil moisture content, Ppi is the accumulated rainfall within i hours (i = 1, 24, 48,72 and 120) prior to the beginning of an effective erosion event, and TILR is the time interval between two adjacent effective erosion events. Unit area soil loss (kg/m
2) and unit area runoff volume (mm) is the total soil loss and total runoff volume collected from an effective erosion event divided by the runoff plot area, respectively.
A positive correlation (
Figure 3) exists between unit area runoff volume and unit area soil loss (R
2 = 0.8201). Surface runoff appeared as overland flow without noticeable concentrated flow behavior and no rills were found in runoff plots during field experiment periods. Therefore, within the scope of this study, surface runoff was mainly responsible for transporting the eroded soil.
Correlation analysis was also conducted between unit area soil loss, unit area runoff volume and the selected rainfall parameters; namely NAVSMC, Duration, Ppx and TILR. Results of correlation analysis (
Table 2) indicate that unit area soil loss is strongly positive correlated with unit area runoff volume, precipitation, Duration, and Pp48. It is moderately positive correlated with Pp24 and Pp72, and it is weakly positive correlated with Pp12 and Pp120 but negative correlated with TILR. Weak and negative correlation was found between unit area soil loss and NAVSMC.
Time range x chosen to calculate Ppx affects the correlation analysis. The effective erosion events collected in this study seldom have any rainfall in 12-h time range before the occurrence of an effective erosion event. Therefore, most of the erosion events in
Table 1 have zero rainfall in Pp12 column. On the other hand, Pp120 often includes additional rainfall events that were ineffective to erosion, which resulted in high amount of rainfall but less soil loss. If 72-h were chosen, the number of ineffective rainfall events included in Ppx calculations becomes less so that the correlation changes from weak positive to moderate positive; whereas Pp24 excludes some of the ineffective events that contributes soil weakening. Hence, Pp48 results the best performance in correlation analysis.
USLE sets the effective erosive rainfall segmentation condition at 6 hours to consider the possible impact from previous rainfall and believes that once the time interval exceeds 6 hours the impact of preceding rainfall can be ignored. According to the field observations and the results of soil moisture sensors from this study, the time required for soil moisture at 5-cm below the ground surface to return to a dry condition often exceeds 6 hours for clay soil. Therefore, we recommend that longer segment, i.e., TILR, for instance 48 hours, being used to delineate effective erosion events.
TILR to antecedent soil moisture content is somewhat similar to Ppx but it only counts the length of time between two adjacent effective rainfall events. Results of correlation between TILR and unit area soil loss (
Table 2) show negative weak correlation. Shorter the TILR is, less chance the soil dries naturally. However, any ineffective rainfall may alter the soil wetness. Therefore, TILR; even through is easy to extract from rainfall records; fails to play contribution to soil erosion.
Duration is another rainfall characteristics considered in this study, and it is strongly positive correlated to unit area soil loss (
Table 2) as expected. Nevertheless, Duration counts the entire time span of the rainfall event from T
b to T
e, but contribution from antecedent soil moisture to soil erosion primarily exists in the early stages of a rainfall event. For shorter-duration rainfall events, antecedent soil moisture content has larger impact on soil infiltration, whereas in longer-duration events, the influence of antecedent soil moisture diminishes.
Amount of soil loss not only positively depends on the effective rainfall (Precp.) as well as Duration and negatively correlated with TILR but is also affected by Rainfall-Runoff Erosivity. Therefore, we further divide the soil loss per unit area by the corresponding Rainfall-Runoff Erosivity Index (EI
30) that is denoted as (Soil Loss / EI
30) hereafter. (Soil Loss / EI
30) quantifies how erodible soil becomes, which is also known as soil erodibility. We then plot (Soil Loss / EI
30) with respect to Pp
48 but excluding data having Pp
48 equals zero. The result that grouped in four Durations (Dur) is shown in
Figure 4.
Trends shown in
Figure 4 indicate that total non-erosive rainfall that measured 48 hours prior to an effective erosion event (Pp
48) has less effect on clay soil’s (Soil Loss / EI
30) when the Duration of effective erosion event exceeds 55 hours. When the Duration of effective erosion event is either between 3 ~ 7 hours or 10 ~ 30 hours, the Pp
48 plays noticeable contribution to (Soil Loss / EI
30). Both trends follow the same pattern. However, Pp
48 does not affect (Soil Loss / EI
30) for 0 ~ 3-h duration event when Pp
48 is less than 20 mm.
We further conduct correlation analysis on (Soil Loss / EI
30) with respect to NAVSMC, Pp
48, and Duration by first excluding Pp
48 equal zero and the result as well as the wind rose plot of correlation coefficients are shown in
Table 3 and
Figure 5, respectively.
From
Table 3 and
Figure 5 we found that normalized antecedent volumetric soil moisture content (NAVSMC) becomes moderately correlated with (Soil Loss / EI
30) while the duration of effective erosion event is within 3 to 7 hours. All three parameters become moderately correlated with (Soil Loss / EI
30) when effective erosion events with duration between 0 and 7 hours are considered. To eliminate the effect of Ppx, we only picked data having Pp
12 = 0 from
Table 1 and generated a scatter plot on (Soil Loss / EI
30) against the NAVSMC and the result is shown in
Figure 6. Regardless of the dispersion of data in
Figure 6, we found that data points were segregated into two groups. The division between these two groups is located at (Soil Loss / EI
30) = 0.15, therefore, we firstly identified common characteristics of the data points.
Data points in the dash-line group are Events # 26, 27, 28, 30, 31, 41, 43, 45 and 50, and the data points in the solid-line group are Events # 3, 6, 9, 18, 19, 21, 22, 24, 25, 34, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40, 42, 46, 47, 48 and 49 (
Table 1), respectively. We found that dash-line group shared the common characteristics of short Duration, short TILR, less rain, low average rain intensity, and low EI
30 value. These events often occur after a low EI
30 event. The solid-line group exhibits opposite characteristics to those of the dash-line group.
We further found that rainfall events with NAVSMC > 0.36 in
Figure 6 (data of solid-line group) were associated with common characteristics of stronger storm. The average rainfall duration is 22.0 hours, approximately 3.5 time longer than the dash-line group (6.23 hours). The average rainfall amount is 103.1 mm, almost 5 times higher than the dash-line group (19.75 mm), and the average EI
30 is 1570.14 MJ-mm/ha-h, which is 20 times higher than the dash-line group (78.7 MJ-mm/ha-h).
Furthermore, the average NAVSMC for these events is 0.41, slightly higher than the overall average of 0.35, while the average TILR is about 40.5 hours, roughly one-third of the overall average of 104.33 hours, and the average rain intensity is about 8.3 mm/h. According to the rain intensity classification from World Meteorological Organization (2018) [
33], these events fell in the lower boundary of heavy rain category (average intensity between 7.6 and 50 mm/h).
Two scatter plots as that shown in
Figure 7 and
Figure 8 were therefore drawn. Rainfall events having (Soil Loss / EI
30) > 0.15; i.e., dash-line group, were excluded in
Figure 7, whereas data points in solid-line group were excluded in
Figure 8.
The reasons we fit linear regression lines through three duration groups in
Figure 7 are: (1). easy to see the general trends even the coefficients of determination are low, and (2). difficult to isolate the nonlinear effects of NAVSMC, if any, to soil vulnerability to erosion or soil erodibility since this study was conducted in field under natural rain conditions. From
Figure 7, we found that 66.7% of the events occurred when NAVSMC was within the wilting point and field capacity. Dispersion of soil erodibility data expands to cover a wider range when NAVSMC exceeds 0.36, which is clearly illustrated in both
Figure 6 and
Figure 7.
The trend shown on
Figure 8 exhibits a high coefficient of determination with R
2 = 0.7584, from which we conclude that (1) the impact of normalized antecedent volumetric soil moisture content (NAVSMC) on soil erodibility is conditional, (2) the impact of antecedent soil moisture content on soil erodibility must be considered for long Duration, long TILR, higher average rain intensity and high EI
30 events, and (3) the impact of NAVSMC to interrill erosion only exists in moderate to heavy rainfall events.
Another intriguing argument arises regarding the impact of antecedent soil moisture conditions resulted from rainfall event duration. Soil moisture content tends to approach saturation in the later stage of a rainfall event, therefore, the influence of antecedent soil moisture content on soil erodibility should gradually decrease with increasing rainfall event duration. In other words, antecedent soil moisture conditions may have a significant impact on a 1-hour duration rainfall event but the impact can be almost negligible for a 100-hour duration rainfall event. To verify the influence, correlation analysis was again conducted and the correlation coefficients on (Soil Loss / EI
30) to NAVSMC are summarized in
Table 4.
The results in
Table 4 indicate that as the range of rainfall duration reaches to 0~5 hours, the correlation coefficients between (Soil Loss / EI
30) and NAVSMC increase, while the best correlation falls within 0~4 hours. In contrast, events with duration exceed 10 hours exhibit relatively lower correlations for all indexes. Therefore, we suggest that the impact of antecedent soil moisture content on soil erosion can be ignored for events with duration exceed 10 hours.