This section will analyze the validity of the model in terms of both model effectiveness and impact on the efficiency model, as well as perform a sensitivity analysis for intersection saturation.
5.2.1 Comparative Analyses of Validity
(1) Fairness
In terms of the model performance, overall, the fairness model performed the best, followed by the efficiency-fairness model, and the efficiency model performed the worst. Furthermore, the difference between the efficiency-fairness model and the fairness model was significantly smaller than that between the efficiency-fairness model and the efficiency model, with mean fairness evaluation index values of 1.37, 1.32, and 1.21, respectively.
Regarding saturation, under low saturation conditions, the efficiency-fairness model showed better performance. The mean improvement in the fairness evaluation index for saturation levels between 0.1 and 0.4 was 0.16, while for saturation levels between 0.5 and 0.8, it was only 0.075. In terms of trend, higher saturation levels correlated with higher fairness evaluation index values. At saturation levels of 0.1 and 0.8, the mean fairness evaluation index values were 1.27 and 1.33, respectively. Furthermore, the higher the saturation level, the smaller the differences between the models. At saturation levels of 0.1 and 0.8, the mean differences between the models were 0.115 and 0.03, respectively, especially notable between the efficiency-fairness model and the efficiency model, with differences of 0.16 and 0.09 at saturation levels of 0.1 and 0.8, respectively. The following figure illustrates the fairness evaluation index curves for each model. In the figure, the orange curve represents the Webster model, the blue curve represents the fairness model, and the green curve represents the efficiency and fairness model.
Figure 5.
Three-model fairness evaluation index curve.
Figure 5.
Three-model fairness evaluation index curve.
(2) Efficiency
In terms of the models, overall, the efficiency model performed the best, followed by the efficiency-fairness model, and the fairness model performed the worst. Furthermore, the difference between the efficiency-fairness model and the efficiency model was significantly smaller than the difference between the efficiency-fairness model and the fairness model. The mean vehicle delay values were 13.72, 14.08, and 35.12, respectively.
Regarding saturation, the saturation level had little impact on the efficiency-fairness model. As for the trend, higher saturation levels correlated with greater vehicle delays. At saturation levels of 0.1 and 0.8, the mean vehicle delays were 18.4 and 24.98, respectively. Additionally, as saturation levels increased, the differences between the models did not change significantly, with a mean difference of 10.7. At saturation levels of 0.1 and 0.8, the differences were 10.16 and 11.12, respectively. The following figure illustrates the delay curves for each model.In the figure, the orange curve represents the Webster model, the blue curve represents the fairness model, and the green curve represents the efficiency and fairness model.
Figure 6.
Three-model delay curve.
Figure 6.
Three-model delay curve.
Conversion rate
In terms of the models, overall, the efficiency-fairness model significantly outperformed the fairness model, with mean conversion rates of 0.09 and 9.6, respectively, a difference exceeding 100 times. Furthermore, the efficiency-fairness model ranged from a minimum of 2.37 to a maximum of 0.14 for the fairness model, representing a difference of over 16 times.
Regarding saturation, under low saturation conditions, the efficiency-fairness model exhibited better performance. Excluding the outlier at saturation level 0.8, the mean conversion rates for saturation levels 0.1 to 0.4 were 4.0, greater than the rates for saturation levels 0.5 to 0.7, which were 2.76. With changes in saturation levels, the two models showed different trends. While the fairness model exhibited a decreasing conversion rate with increasing saturation levels, the efficiency-fairness model showed fluctuations in its conversion rate with changes in saturation levels, without a clear trend. The figure below illustrates the conversion rate curves for both models.In the figure, the blue curve represents the fairness model, and the green curve represents the efficiency and fairness model.
Figure 7.
Two-model conversion rate curve.
Figure 7.
Two-model conversion rate curve.
5.2.2 Comparative Analyses of Fluctuations
This section analyzes the fluctuations of the two models relative to the efficiency model based on changes in cycle length and green time ratio.
Cycle Length
Overall, the cycle lengths mostly increased. Concerning the models, the efficiency-fairness model significantly outperformed the fairness model, with mean change ratios of 0.013 and 0.88, respectively, representing a difference exceeding 67 times. Furthermore, the efficiency-fairness model ranged from a maximum of 0.04 to a minimum of 0.62 for the fairness model, a difference exceeding 15 times.
Regarding saturation levels, under low saturation conditions, the efficiency-fairness model exhibited better performance. The mean change ratio for saturation levels 0.1 to 0.4 was 0.0035, whereas for saturation levels 0.5 to 0.8, it was as high as 0.026. In terms of trends, with changes in saturation levels, the two models showed different trends. While the fairness model exhibited an initially increasing and then decreasing trend in change ratio with increasing saturation levels, with significant fluctuations, the efficiency-fairness model showed fluctuations without a clear trend with changes in saturation levels. The figure below illustrates the change ratio curves for cycle lengths for both models.In the figure, the blue curve represents the fairness model, and the green curve represents the efficiency and fairness model.
Figure 8.
Two-model period change proportional curve.
Figure 8.
Two-model period change proportional curve.
Green time ratio
Additionally, to visually represent the changes in phase green time ratio for these two models relative to the efficiency model, this section selected the two phases with the lowest and highest average delay in the efficiency model for comparison.
Overall, for phases with low green time ratios, the ratios further decreased, while for phases with high green time ratios, the ratios increased. Concerning the models, the efficiency-fairness model generally outperformed the fairness model. The mean change ratios for phases with low green time ratios were -0.48 and -0.51 for the efficiency-fairness and fairness models, respectively, while for phases with high green time ratios, the mean change ratios were 0.57 and 1.27, respectively. Only for phases with low green time ratios and saturation levels of 0.7 and 0.8 did the efficiency-fairness model slightly outperform the fairness model.
Regarding saturation levels, although the efficiency-fairness model exhibited slightly higher change ratios under low saturation conditions, its fluctuation was significantly smaller than under high saturation conditions. For saturation levels of 0.1 to 0.4, the mean change ratios for both low and high green time ratios were 0.47 and 0.7, respectively, with standard deviations of 0.01 and 0.08. For saturation levels of 0.5 to 0.8, the mean change ratios were 0.484 and 0.446, respectively, with standard deviations of 0.19 and 0.43. In terms of trends, the change rate for phases with low saturation levels increased with saturation levels, while for phases with high saturation levels, the change rate decreased with saturation levels. The figures below illustrates the change ratio curves for green time ratios for both models.In the figures, the blue curve represents the fairness model, and the green curve represents the efficiency and fairness model.
Figure 9.
Proportional curve of green-signal ratio change of the lowest phase of average vehicle delay.
Figure 9.
Proportional curve of green-signal ratio change of the lowest phase of average vehicle delay.
Figure 10.
Curve of green-signal ratio change with the highest average delay.
Figure 10.
Curve of green-signal ratio change with the highest average delay.
In summary, the efficiency and fairness model proposed in this paper not only balances efficiency and fairness simultaneously but also has minimal impact on efficiency. Furthermore, the changes to the timing schemes in the efficiency model are much smaller compared to the fairness model. Therefore, it can be concluded that the proposed model in this paper is valid and effective. Sensitivity analysis indicates that the efficiency and fairness model is more effective in low saturation conditions.