Preprint Article Version 1 This version is not peer-reviewed

A Novel Exponential Regression Model for Analyzing Dengue Fever Case Rates in the Federal District of Brazi

Version 1 : Received: 4 July 2024 / Approved: 5 July 2024 / Online: 5 July 2024 (09:34:08 CEST)

How to cite: Costa, N. S. S. D.; Lima, M. D. C. S. D.; Cordeiro, G. M. A Novel Exponential Regression Model for Analyzing Dengue Fever Case Rates in the Federal District of Brazi. Preprints 2024, 2024070503. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202407.0503.v1 Costa, N. S. S. D.; Lima, M. D. C. S. D.; Cordeiro, G. M. A Novel Exponential Regression Model for Analyzing Dengue Fever Case Rates in the Federal District of Brazi. Preprints 2024, 2024070503. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202407.0503.v1

Abstract

This work offers a new log generalized odd log-logistic exponential regression model for analyzing weekly dengue fever cases in 2022 with a location-systematic component. To achieve this, a data set of 49 observations of dengue fever cases in the Federal District of Brazil is employed. A review of the mathematical properties of the generalized odd log-logistic exponential distribution is provided, the maximum likelihood method is used to estimate the parameters, and, through Monte Carlo simulations, the accuracy of the estimators is investigated. The model's fit is assessed using global influence metrics and residual analysis. For the time scenario studied, the proposed regression identified factors that have an impact on dengue fever cases, which may contribute to improve disease control. Finally, several interpretations are addressed, and a discussion presents results that aid in better understanding the data set and future research on different data.

Keywords

dengue fever; epidemiological data; exponential distribution; generalized odd log-logistic family; maximum likelihood; regression model; simulation

Subject

Medicine and Pharmacology, Epidemiology and Infectious Diseases

Comments (0)

We encourage comments and feedback from a broad range of readers. See criteria for comments and our Diversity statement.

Leave a public comment
Send a private comment to the author(s)
* All users must log in before leaving a comment
Views 0
Downloads 0
Comments 0
Metrics 0


×
Alerts
Notify me about updates to this article or when a peer-reviewed version is published.
We use cookies on our website to ensure you get the best experience.
Read more about our cookies here.