4.2.1. Analysis on Carbon Emissions of Reference Building
- (1)
Building energy consumption
The building energy consumption of reference building calculated based on equation (6) was 58.35 W⋅m
-2, which was much higher than the specified value in standard [
31]. The net heat loss of envelops was shown in
Table 3. The net heat loss of wall and roof accounted for 46.93% and 22.79% of the entire heat loss respectively due to lack of thermal insulation, on which architectural thermal insulation design should focus.
- (2)
Carbon emissions of reference building
BCEs were calculated according to formula (1-9), results were shown in
Table 4. As could be seen from the above table, carbon emissions during building operation stage held the largest proportion of 79.93%, where carbon emissions of heating accounted for 89.34%, reaching 5743.28 kgCO
2e⋅m
-2. Then the carbon emissions generated by hot water ranked second to heating, which reached 552.75 kgCO
2e⋅m
-2, followed by the production phase. The transportation, construction, and disposal phases had a relatively minor impact on carbon emissions. Therefore, reducing the carbon emissions during heating stage should be further optimized.
4.2.2. Carbon Reduction Effects of Different Optimization Strategies
The heating effects were affected mainly building envelopes and heating conditions including heating energy and heating efficiency.
- (1)
Building envelops
① Investment input of thermal insulation materials
EPS was selected as insulation material for walls, roof and ground, whose thermal conductivity was 0.039W⋅m
-1⋅K
-1 and the price was 400 CNY⋅m
-3. For windows, double-glazed glasses and multi-cavity plastic window frames were selected to provide better thermal insulation performance, whose price was affected by heat transfer coefficient and shading coefficient of windows [
33], as was shown below.
Where Y presented the costs of the windows per area, CNY⋅m
-2; U presented the heat transfer coefficient of windows, W⋅m
-2⋅K
-1; SC presented the shading coefficient of windows.
Energy efficiency of 50%, 55%, 60%, 65%, 70% with different structures and heat transfer coefficients of building envelops were shown in
Table 5.
② Result analysis
Cost analysis was a critical factor when deciding CRSs. A parameter of reduced carbon emission per investment was proposed and calculated with formula (11). The simple payback period could help select the appropriate retrofitting strategy, which referred to the period required to recoup the funds expended in an investment or to reach the break-even point.
Where
RCE presented reduced carbon emissions per investment input, kgCO
2e⋅CNY
-1;
CEr presented carbon emissions of reference building, kgCO
2e;
CE0 presented carbon emissions of optimized building, kgCO
2e;
Io presented the cost input increment of the windows and insulation layers relative to reference building;
Where
P denoted payback period, y;
Io presented the cost input increment of the windows and insulation layers relative to reference building;
Fr presented heating fees of reference building;
Fo presented heating fees of optimized building.
Reduced carbon emissions per investment input and payback period with various energy efficiency were obtained and results were shown in
Figure 6. As could be seen from
Figure 7, reduced carbon emissions per investment input reached the maximum value of 32.25 kgCO
2e⋅CNY
-1 when energy efficiency was 55%, then when energy efficiency exceed 55%, with the increase of thermal insulation thickness, the cost input significantly increased, while the carbon emissions did not reduce linearly, reduced carbon emissions per investment input gradually decreased, and the investment payback period also gradually increased. So it was not economic to blindly increase building insulation to reduce BCEs.
- (2)
Heating mode and heating efficiency optimization
① Heating optimization
Nowdays low-cost electric heating devices were already commonly available. There was a growing attention being paid to heat pumps to decarbonize buildings via electrification. China has established a set of standards for installing ASHPs at different minimum ambient temperatures [
34].
As a renewable energy source, biomass could significantly reduce carbon emissions, Household biomass heating stove were commonly used for heating in remote rural areas because of their low cost, high efficiency, and low emissions, which were priced in the range of 2000-5000 CNY and could heat up to 60-120 m2 space.
Natural gas fired for heating was considered as a low carbon method, Literature showed that compared with coal-fired and ASHP heating, annual carbon emissions could be reduced by 78.3% and 35.6% respectively.
So in this paper, household biomass heating stove, ASHPs and natural gas combustion furnace were selected to reduce heating carbon emissions, whose cost and carbon emission factors were shown in
Table 6.
②Result analysis
Carbon emissions and economic effects of three optimized heating were analyzed, results are shown in
Figure 7,
Figure 8 and
Figure 9, based on which the following results could be concluded.
(a) The carbon emissions generated by biomass energy were least, followed by natural gas, ASHPs, and traditional coal, and the annual heating fees of natural gas were the highest, followed by ASHPs, biomass and coal when supplying the same heat for buildings.
(b) Biomass was the most economical way to reduce carbon emissions due to low initial cost input and low carbon emission of biomass when optimizing heating modes based on reference building, followed by thermal insulation design, natural gas for heating and ASHPs used for heating. It should be particularly noted that initial investment of natural gas was large with pipeline layouts, which has reached 28,000 CNY per household. With government subside proportion of 0.5, the economic carbon efficiency of natural gas was higher than that of ASHPs.