Preprint Article Version 1 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

Recurrent Convolutional Neural Networks Applied to Short-Term Weather Forecasting by Radar Images

Version 1 : Received: 23 August 2024 / Approved: 23 August 2024 / Online: 19 September 2024 (03:53:47 CEST)

How to cite: Rossatto, F. C.; Harter, F.; Shiguemori, E.; Calvetti, L. Recurrent Convolutional Neural Networks Applied to Short-Term Weather Forecasting by Radar Images. Preprints 2024, 2024081766. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202408.1766.v1 Rossatto, F. C.; Harter, F.; Shiguemori, E.; Calvetti, L. Recurrent Convolutional Neural Networks Applied to Short-Term Weather Forecasting by Radar Images. Preprints 2024, 2024081766. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202408.1766.v1

Abstract

In this study, a computational method is proposed that employs Recurrent Convolutional 1 Neural Networks, utilizing meteorological radar images to forecast storm movement and intensity up 2 to 3 hours ahead, a process known as nowcasting. For this purpose, images from a radar situated in 3 southern Brazil were used. These data are publicly accessible on the website of the National Institute 4 for Space Research (INPE) in Brazil. The approach involves evaluating a spatiotemporal learning 5 recurrent convolutional neural network called PredRNN++. The results were validated through 6 case studies of storms within the radar’s coverage area. To evaluate the performance of the neural 7 network, both visual assessments and metrics such as RMSE and SSIM were employed. The findings 8 indicate that PredRNN++ was effective in simulating the shape and location of the meteorological 9 system.

Keywords

Neural Network; Nowcasting; Radar

Subject

Environmental and Earth Sciences, Remote Sensing

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