4.1. Multiorgan Dysfunction Phenotyping
The study of machine learning systems in sepsis clustering with regard to multiple organ dysfunction syndrome promotes the phenotype-based approach [
28]. Analyzing a cohort of 2,533 patients diagnosed with severe sepsis or septic shock, Knox et al. employed self-organizing maps (SOMs) and k-means clustering to identify four distinct phenotypic clusters based on organ dysfunction patterns. This approach was pivotal in delineating the heterogeneity inherent in sepsis-associated multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS). The first cluster, termed “Shock with Elevated Creatinine,” primarily encompassed patients exhibiting pronounced kidney dysfunction, characterized by elevated creatinine levels indicative of renal failure. This group demonstrated an intermediate severity of illness with a notable prevalence of septic shock. Despite the significant renal impairment, the mortality rates, were not the highest, suggesting that early and aggressive renal support could mitigate some of the associated risks. In contrast, the “Minimal MODS” cluster included patients with minimal organ dysfunction and various mild sepsis presentations. This phenotype exhibited the lowest mortality rate. The cluster included a broad spectrum of infections such as pneumonia and urinary tract infections, leading to better outcomes with minimal intervention. These findings suggest that meticulous monitoring and supportive care could suffice for patients within this cluster, avoiding unnecessary aggressive treatments. The “Shock with Hypoxemia and Altered Mental Status” cluster comprised patients who manifested severe respiratory distress and neurological impairments, including significant hypoxemia and altered mental status. This group recorded the highest mortality rate, reflecting the extreme severity associated with combined respiratory and neurological dysfunctions. Lastly, the “Hepatic Disease” cluster predominantly involved patients with liver dysfunction, often coupled with coagulation disorders. This phenotype was marked by significant morbidity and a mortality rate. The challenges in managing this cluster were exacerbated by the presence of acute liver injury patterns and conditions like end-stage liver disease, complicating clinical interventions due to associated high morbidity and mortality risks [
28].
Regression analysis revealed that these phenotypic clusters were largely independent of age, cause of sepsis, obesity, and other comorbidities. Furthermore, the study noted significant differences in the association between clinical outcomes and predictors, such as the Acute Physiology And Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II score [
28]. Additionally, Ibrahim et al., undertook an extensive examination of sepsis phenotypes using data from 13,728 septic patients admitted to the ICU. By calculating 63 vital signs and laboratory tests collected within the first 24 hours of admission and applying machine learning methodologies similar to those used by Knox et al. in 2015, they identified four clinically significant sepsis subpopulations, each exhibiting distinct organ dysfunction patterns [
29].
The first phenotype, indicative of liver disease, included patients suffering from hepatic dysfunction and coagulation disorders, and this group was associated with a 30-day mortality rate of 28%. The second phenotype, characterized by cardiogenic dysfunction with elevated creatinine levels indicative of renal impairment, exhibited the highest 30-day mortality rate at 55%. The third phenotype comprised patients with minimal organ dysfunction, marked by relatively stable vital signs and laboratory results, and this group had a 30-day mortality rate of 25%, reflecting a moderate severity of illness. The fourth phenotype involved cardiogenic dysfunction accompanied by hypoxemia and altered mental status, with a 30-day mortality rate of 37%, highlighting the critical nature of combined cardiovascular, respiratory, and neurological impairments.
Additionally, it has been observed that patients in the liver disease phenotype had prolonged hospital stays and a higher likelihood of requiring mechanical ventilation, while the cardiogenic dysfunction with elevated creatinine phenotype exhibited increased use of vasopressors, reflecting severe cardiovascular instability. The minimal organ dysfunction phenotype had shorter hospital stays and less need for intensive interventions, while the cardiogenic dysfunction with hypoxemia and altered mental status phenotype had higher rates of neurological complications and prolonged ICU stays [
29].
Furthermore, Zhang et al. conducted a retrospective analysis involving 14,993 septic patients, utilizing machine learning techniques to classify these patients into four distinct phenotypic groups based on organ dysfunction patterns. This classification aimed to better understand the heterogeneity in sepsis presentations and outcomes [
30].
The first phenotype, labeled as the baseline type, comprised 69% of the patients and was characterized by relatively stable clinical parameters and the lowest mortality rate. The second phenotype, which included 9% of the patients, was marked by respiratory dysfunction. Patients in this group required significant respiratory support and had a mortality rate. The third phenotype, representing 11% of the patients, was characterized by multiple organ dysfunction, including kidney, coagulation, liver, and shock. This group exhibited the highest mortality rate at 45.4%, highlighting the severe impact of multi-organ failure in sepsis. The fourth phenotype, also comprising 11% of the patients, was defined by neurological dysfunction. Patients in this group had significant neurological impairments, such as altered mental status, and a mortality rate of 27.4%. As part of the secondary outcomes, it has been shown that the patients in the third phenotype received the largest amount of fluid during the first 24 hours, which was associated with a reduced risk of hospital mortality. In contrast, higher fluid inputs were linked to increased mortality in the fourth phenotype [
30].
Seymour et al. identification of four unique sepsis phenotypes, labeled α, β, γ, and δ [
4]. Notably, the δ phenotype, which included 13% of the patients, was associated with elevated serum lactate levels, increased transaminases, and hypotension, signaling severe metabolic and hepatic dysfunction, and consequently exhibited the highest 28-day mortality rate at 40%. Patients classified within the δ phenotype required the most intensive care, exemplified by prolonged mechanical ventilation and higher doses of vasopressors, reflecting the severity of their clinical condition. Conversely, patients within the α phenotype experienced shorter hospital stays and necessitated fewer intensive interventions, underscoring the relatively benign nature of their clinical presentations in comparison to the other phenotypic groups [
4].
In the study conducted by Xu et al., researchers delved into the intricate dynamics of sepsis by examining organ dysfunction trajectories to identify distinct sepsis phenotypes, using 72h SOFA score assessments. Utilizing data from a cohort of 16,743 patients, the study employed group-based trajectory modeling to classify patients into four unique phenotypes: Rapidly Worsening, Delayed Worsening, Rapidly Improving, and Delayed Improving [
31].
The Rapidly Worsening group exhibited the most severe clinical deterioration, characterized by significant derangements in metabolic acidosis and hypoperfusion markers, such as low bicarbonate and high lactate levels. Additionally, these patients showed signs of disseminated intravascular coagulation, including low platelet counts and high INR, alongside respiratory failure. This group had a high comorbidity burden, which was a strong predictor of their rapid decline in organ function. In contrast, the Delayed Worsening group experienced a slower progression of organ dysfunction, exhibiting a mix of hematologic, cardiovascular, and renal abnormalities. Although this group also had a significant comorbidity burden, it was less severe than that of the Rapidly Worsening group. The Rapidly Improving phenotype was marked by a swift recovery in organ function. Patients in this group had more abnormal inflammatory markers at ICU admission, such as elevated WBC counts, bands, and abnormal albumin levels. They were more likely to have urosepsis and showed abnormal cardiovascular and CNS deteriorations. These patients had a lower comorbidity score, suggesting that their sepsis outcomes were more dependent on the acute illness rather than underlying chronic conditions. The Delayed Improving group showed a gradual improvement in organ function. Their clinical variables were less specific but included inflammatory, hepatic, hematologic, and pulmonary markers. Similar to the Rapidly Improving group, these patients had a lower comorbidity burden. The Rapidly Worsening group had the highest in-hospital mortality at 28.3%, despite having a lower initial SOFA score compared to the Rapidly Improving group, which had a mortality rate of 5.5% [
31]. In their study, Ding and Luo classified sepsis phenotypes based on organ dysfunction by utilizing nonnegative matrix factorization (NMF) of temporal trends from a multivariate panel of physiological measurements [
5]. Drawing from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III (MIMIC-III) database, which houses de-identified electronic health records from over 60,000 ICU stays, they selected a cohort of 5,782 patients whose sepsis onset coincided with their ICU admission. Researchers identified three novel phenotypes distinguished by their clinical characteristics and prognostic implications. Subgroup 1, encompassing 21% of the cohort (n = 1,218), included relatively less severe cases with a 30-day mortality rate of 17%. This group was characterized by an older mean age of 73 years, a male majority (male-to-female ratio of 59-to-41), and complex chronic conditions. Subgroup 2, the second largest at 35% (n = 2,036), represented the most severe cases with a 30-day mortality rate of 28%. Patients in this group exhibited severe organ dysfunction or failure, compounded by a wide range of comorbidities, and had notably high incidences of coagulopathy and liver disease. Subgroup 3, the largest at 44% (n = 2,528), included the least severe cases with a 30-day mortality rate of 10%. This group was characterized by a younger mean age of 60 years, a balanced gender ratio (male-to-female ratio of 50-to-50), the least complicated conditions, and a uniquely high incidence of neurological disease. The high mortality rate from the subgroup 2 highlighted the severe impact of combined organ dysfunctions, particularly liver disease and coagulopathy [
5].
Complementary, Aldewereld et al. performed an in-depth analysis of septic shock phenotypes using a cohort of 1,023 subjects from the ProCESS trial [
32]. The study revealed five phenotypes, each with unique organ failure patterns and varying degrees of illness severity. These phenotypes were classified into two low-risk groups (L1 and L2), one moderate-risk group (M), and two high-risk groups (H1 and H2). The first phenotype, L1, was characterized as fluid-refractory shock without multiorgan dysfunction. This group, which comprised 28% of the subjects, had relatively low illness severity scores and showed moderate vasopressor support needs with minimal respiratory support. The 14-day and 60-day mortality rates for this group were 7.9% and 14.6%, respectively. The second phenotype, L2, was identified as fluid-responsive shock and included 21% of the subjects. This younger group exhibited low illness severity scores and a low incidence of bacteremia. The 14-day and 60-day mortality rates were 12.6% and 17%, respectively.
The moderate-risk phenotype, M, was predominantly characterized by respiratory failure and included 16% of the subjects. This group had 14-day and 60-day mortality rates of 25.5% and 34.3%, respectively. The incidence of pneumonia was highest in this group, and although they had high APACHE scores, their cardiovascular and renal dysfunctions were less severe compared to the high-risk groups. High-risk phenotypes H1 and H2, which included 19% and 16% of the subjects, respectively, were associated with the highest mortality rates. The H1 phenotype was defined by multiple organ dysfunctions, including severe cardiac and respiratory failures, with 14-day and 60-day mortality rates of 28.8% and 42.4%. This group exhibited the highest APACHE and SOFA scores, along with significant vasopressor and mechanical ventilation requirements. The H2 phenotype, characterized by liver dysfunction and coagulopathy, had 14-day and 60-day mortality rates of 36.3% and 44.1%. This group was unique for its high incidence of intra-abdominal infections and positive blood cultures, along with pronounced lactate elevation and significant platelet count and bilirubin abnormalities [
32].
Using AI-based technique, Sharafoddini et al. identified 12 phenotypes among 5,539 adult septic patients [
33]. The study found significant variability in mortality rates across these phenotypes, with clusters 10, 11, and 8 showing the lowest mortality rates and clusters 9 and 2 showing the highest. Furthermore, the clusters with the highest mortality rates also showed a higher prevalence of severe organ dysfunctions and a greater need for intensive care interventions such as mechanical ventilation and vasopressor support [
33].
A consistent finding across these studies was the significant variability in primary outcomes, particularly mortality rates, among the different phenotypes. High mortality rates were uniformly associated with phenotypes exhibiting severe multi-organ dysfunction. Secondary outcomes, including the need for mechanical ventilation, vasopressor support, and length of hospital stay, further highlighted the severe clinical burden borne by these high-risk phenotypes [
4,
30].
Interestingly, the studies revealed discrepancies in the specific organ dysfunctions emphasized and the methodologies employed. For instance, Ibrahim et al. focused on cardiogenic dysfunction and liver disease, while Ding and Luo (2021) highlighted neurological disease and coagulopathy [
5,
29]. These variations could potentially influence the reproducibility and applicability of the findings.
While the studies collectively highlight the paramount importance of phenotypic classification in sepsis management, the observed discrepancies highlight the necessity for standardized. By identifying distinct sepsis phenotypes with significant differences in clinical outcomes, these studies pave the way for more targeted and effective therapeutic strategies, ultimately aiming to improve patient outcomes in the complex landscape of sepsis management.
4.2. Prognosis-Based Phenotyping
The prognostic in sepsis and septic shock relies on various scoring systems used [
34]. The studies by Xu, Zhang, and Yang collectively underscore the pivotal role of SOFA score trajectories in delineating sepsis phenotypes and prognosticating clinical outcomes, yet they reveal notable similarities and discrepancies in their findings [
31,
35,
36].
All three studies utilized advanced statistical methodologies to classify patients into distinct SOFA score trajectory groups, emphasizing the dynamic nature of organ dysfunction in sepsis and the critical importance of continuous scoring. The prognosis based-phenotyping originates from the dynamics of various scoring systems used.
A salient similarity across the studies is the identification of high-risk phenotypes characterized by persistently elevated SOFA scores, which were consistently associated with the poorest prognoses and highest mortality rates [
31,
35]. Xu et al. identified the Rapidly Worsening phenotype, marked by continuously increasing SOFA scores and a 30-day mortality rate of 28.3%, while Zhang et al. described Class 2 and Class 5, both exhibiting high initial SOFA scores and high mortality rates of 70% and 41.2%, respectively. Similarly, Yang et al.‘s observed in Class 5 group, with persistently high SOFA scores, the highest cumulative risk and the poorest outcomes, including a 7-day in-hospital mortality [
31,
35,
36].
Despite these common findings, discrepancies emerge in the trajectory patterns and their implications for clinical management. Xu et al. highlighted the prognostic value of early improvement in SOFA scores, with the Rapidly Improving phenotype demonstrating a swift recovery and a significantly lower 30-day mortality rate of 5.5% [
31]. In contrast, Zhang et al. identified a moderate initial SOFA score trajectory in Class 3, followed by a decreasing severity during the ICU stay, representing the largest class with 51.7% of subjects and a more favorable prognosis [
35]. Yang et al. further pointed out that even moderate increases in SOFA scores, as seen in Groups 2 and 3, were independently associated with increased risks of mortality and adverse outcomes, underscoring the importance of timely interventions to mitigate these risks [
36]. The studies also differ in their secondary outcome measures and the statistical significance of these outcomes. Xu et al. emphasized the need for renal replacement therapy, mechanical ventilation, and vasopressor use, with the Rapidly Worsening group requiring the most intensive interventions [
31].Zhang et al. highlighted the transition to persistent critical illness (PCI) and the elevated urea-to-creatinine ratio as significant biochemical markers, while Yang et al. focused on the incidence of septic shock and acute respiratory failure (ARF), with Group 5 patients being at the highest risk [
35,
36]. These differences in secondary outcomes reflect the varied clinical presentations and management challenges associated with different SOFA score trajectories.
In conclusion, the SOFA score trajectory is of critical importance in understanding sepsis phenotypes and prognosticating outcomes. The urge for personalized and timely therapeutic strategies tailored to the specific SOFA score trajectories, ultimately aiming to improve patient outcomes in the complex landscape of sepsis management could represent a daily clinical tool for the intensive care clinicians.