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Adaptive Compensatory Neurophysiological Biomarkers of Motor Recovery Post-Stroke: EEG and TMS Insights from the DEFINE Cohort Study

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Abstract
Objective: This study aimed to explore longitudinal relationships between neurophysiological biomarkers and upper limb motor function recovery in stroke patients, focusing on electroencephalography (EEG) and transcranial magnetic stimulation (TMS) metrics. Methods: This longitudinal cohort study analyzed neurophysiological, clinical, and demographic data from 102 stroke patients enrolled in the DEFINE cohort. We investigated the associations between baseline and post-intervention changes in EEG Theta/Alpha Ratio (TAR) and TMS metrics with upper limb motor functionality, assessed by five outcomes: Fugl-Meyer Assessment (FMA), Handgrip Strength Test (HST), Pinch Strength Test (PST), Finger Tapping Test (FTT), and Nine-Hole Peg Test (9HPT). Results: Our multivariate models identified that a higher baseline TAR in the lesioned hemisphere was consistently associated with poorer motor outcomes across all five assessments. Conversely, a higher improvement in TAR was positively associated with improvements in FMA and 9HPT. Additionally, increased TMS Motor Evoked Potential (MEP) amplitude in the non-lesioned hemisphere correlated with greater FMA-diff, while lower TMS Intracortical Inhibition (ICI) in the non-lesioned hemisphere was linked to better PST improvements. These findings suggest the potential of TAR and TMS metrics as biomarkers for predicting motor recovery in stroke patients. Conclusion: Our findings highlight the significance of TAR in the lesioned hemisphere as a predictor of motor function recovery post-stroke and also a potential signature for compensatory oscillations. The observed relationships between TAR and motor improvements, as well as the associations with TMS metrics, underscore the potential of these neurophysiological measures in guiding personalized rehabilitation strategies for stroke patients.
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Subject: Medicine and Pharmacology  -   Clinical Medicine

1. Introduction

Stroke is the second leading cause of death worldwide and the primary cause of disability, impacting various functional domains such as mobility, touch, pain, cognition, and mood (1). The incidence of stroke is increasing due to an aging global population, with approximately 16.9 million new cases each year (2). Despite scientific advances improving rehabilitation outcomes over the past decade, many stroke survivors still experience reduced mobility and severe chronic disability, particularly in the upper limbs, after a year of inpatient rehabilitation (3). This highlights the ongoing challenge in implementing effective rehabilitation strategies for stroke survivors, which remains in its incipient stages.
In the context of stroke recovery, which has significantly heterogenicity among patients, further research is essential to understand the disability mechanisms and enhance patient-focused rehabilitation, developing predictors of outcomes for various interventions (4). Since rehabilitation marks a complex neurobiological phase, identifying reliable biomarkers is vital (5). Many biomarkers of stroke recovery have been discussed in the literature, such as those derived from Electroencephalography (EEG) and Transcranial Magnetic Stimulation (TMS), isolated or combined. For instance, recent studies have demonstrated EEG has shown potential in predicting upper limb sensorimotor recovery (6)(7)(8)(9)(10) and TMS for upper extremity motor function improvement, both in post-stroke patients (9)(11)(12). Therefore, EEG combined or not with TMS-metrics could serve as an effective brain biomarker for upper limb motor function recovery.
Moreover, the role of EEG and TMS metrics in understanding and predicting stroke recovery underscores their importance in stroke rehabilitation. A 2017 systematic review identified the motor evoked potential (MEP) derived from TMS as a brain biomarker for improved upper limb motor outcomes (7). A following 2019 systematic review also showed EEG's potential in predicting upper extremity sensorimotor recovery, linking it to abnormal brain activity such as interhemispheric imbalance and beta oscillatory activity (8). However, despite these advances, significant gaps remain in the identification of reliable biomarkers due to methodological limitations and the complexity of interpreting interactions between biomarkers and clinical measures (5). For instance, recent research employing multivariate models revealed a specific neural signature where a higher EEG theta/alpha ratio (TAR) in the lesioned hemisphere combined with increased MEP amplitude in the non-lesioned hemisphere correlates with poorer upper limb motor function (13). This finding suggests a potential neural signature of brain compensation where lower frequencies of EEG power are heightened in the lesioned hemisphere, and corticospinal excitability is reduced in the non-lesioned hemisphere. Consequently, there is a clear need for more comprehensive studies utilizing EEG and TMS-metrics to enhance our understanding of upper extremities stroke recovery patterns.
To advance the knowledge of upper limb recovery post-stroke, our longitudinal study employs a prospective cohort analysis exploring EEG theta/alpha oscillations as potential biomarkers for predicting upper extremity impairment and motor outcomes. We aim to determine how this measure correlates with five motor assessments: the Fugl-Meyer Assessment (FMA), Handgrip Strength Test (HST), Finger Tapping Test (FTT), Nine-Hole Peg Test (9HPT), and Pinch Strength Test (PST) (14). Our models are designed to capture recovery patterns and biomarker changes, emphasizing the potential of EEG-TAR in predicting motor impairment and recovery in upper limbs of stroke patients. We hypothesize that a decreased EEG-TAR will be related to a better functional improvement and this approach could significantly enhance current rehabilitation practices by facilitating the development of personalized treatment strategies.

2. Materials and Methods

2.1. Participants, Study Design and Sample Size

This study involves a longitudinal analysis employing the baseline and post-interventional data from a cohort study, "Deficit of Inhibition as a Marker of Neuroplasticity (DEFINE Study) in Rehabilitation: A Longitudinal Cohort Study Protocol." (15). This cohort recruited patients from the conventional stroke rehabilitation program at the Instituto de Medicina Física e Reabilitação (IMREA). In the stroke arm of this cohort, 102 participants signed the informed consent, which had been previously approved by the Hospital das Clínicas da Faculdade de Medicina da Universidade de São Paulo Ethics Committee for Research Protocol Analysis (CAAE: 86832518.7.0000.0068). We analyze data from these subjects who underwent a series of clinical and neurophysiological evaluations at two key stages: before starting and after completing the IMREA rehabilitation program.

2.2. Inclusion Criteria

Subjects of both sexes, aged 18 years and older, were included if they had a clinical and radiological diagnosis of stroke confirmed by imaging, and were clinically stable as verified by a medical evaluation. They also needed to meet the eligibility criteria for the IMREA rehabilitation program. Exclusion criteria included any clinical or social conditions that could interfere with participation in the rehabilitation treatment. Pregnancy was also a criterion for exclusion. All participants provided signed informed consent forms (15).

2.3. Exclusion Criteria

Participants were excluded from the study if they had any clinical or social conditions that could interfere with their participation in the rehabilitation treatment. Additionally, pregnancy was considered an exclusion criterion.

2.4. Functional Assessments

A trained physician first evaluates a participant's eligibility, reviews their medical history, conducts physical examinations, and collects demographic surveys. The data collected is then used to identify covariates for the regression models. Various scales were used to describe the sample and control for confounding variables in the multivariate statistical model. A detailed description of the several scales and specific characteristics included is available in the supplemental material.
Additionally, since our outcome is to evaluate upper limb function, we selected five assessments to fulfill this purpose: the Fugl-Meyer Assessment (FMA), Handgrip Strength Test (HST), Pinch Strength Test (PST), Finger Tapping Test (FTT), and Nine-Hole Peg Test (9HPT). (ref) (ref) A more detailed description of these five assessments is available in the supplemental material.

2.5. Neurophysiological Assessment Methods

2.5.1. Electroencephalography

A skilled clinical neurophysiologist conducted a visual analysis of the EEG data to identify artifacts and any potential clinical abnormalities. This information was subsequently exported and analyzed offline using MATLAB (R2014b, The MathWorks Inc., Natick, MA, 2000) and EEGLab (16). The EEG session will last approximately 45 minutes, consisting of 25 minutes for participant and software setup, followed by 10 minutes of EEG recording. This recording will be split into a resting-EEG condition, with 5 minutes of open-eye and 5 minutes of closed-eye observation, and an 8-minute task-related EEG condition. The task-related EEG part includes activities such as movement observation, imagery, and execution. The analysis focused on standard frequency bands: delta (2–4 Hz), theta (4–8 Hz), low-alpha (8–10.5 Hz), high-alpha (10.5–13 Hz), alpha (8–13 Hz), low-beta 1 (13–20 Hz), high-beta 2 (20–30 Hz), and beta (13–30 Hz). These frequency bands were measured bilaterally across the frontal, central, and parietal scalp regions and used to calculate, for instance, the theta/alpha ratio (TAR).

2.5.2. Transcranial Magnetic Stimulation

A Magstim Rapid® stimulator (The Magstim Company Limited, United Kingdom) with a 70-mm figure-of-eight coil was positioned tangentially on the skull at a 45-degree angle to the sagittal line for the TMS assessment (17). The motor cortex was stimulated, and muscular responses were recorded using surface electromyography electrodes placed on the target muscle, the first dorsal interosseous muscle of the hand. To locate the cortical area corresponding to the selected muscle, the vertex (intersection of the nasion–inion lines and zygomatic arches) was identified. Marks were then drawn 5 cm (about 1.97 in) from the vertex towards the ear tragus on both sides in (rMT) the coronal plane, identifying the "hot spot"—the area with the lowest resting motor threshold and highest motor-evoked potential (MEP) amplitude in the target muscle.
The rMT is defined as the minimum intensity at which a single TMS pulse at the hot spot elicits a MEP with at least 50 V peak-to-peak amplitude in 50% of attempts. The assessment also included recording ten MEPs at 130% of rMT with a 7-second interval between stimuli (MEP130); measuring the silent period (SP), which reflects temporary suppression of electromyographic activity during a sustained MEP voluntary contraction; assessing short-interval intracortical inhibition (ICI) with two stimuli 2 milliseconds apart, with the conditioned stimulus at 80% rMT and the test stimulus at 130% rMT; and measuring intracortical facilitation (ICF) using the same stimulus values as ICI but with a 10-millisecond interval between the stimuli. Moreover, the ICI is calculated as (MEP after paired-pulse 2ms / MEP at baseline) and the ICF is determined by (MEP after paired-pulse 10ms / MEP at baseline) (18).

2.6. Statistical Analysis

In this cohort study, we collected two measurements for each variable: one before and one after the rehabilitation program. We then calculated the differences by subtracting the pre-intervention values from the post-intervention values for each variable. These differences represent our outcomes and are designated as follows: FMA-diff for the Fugl-Meyer Assessment, HST-diff for the Handgrip Strength Test, PST-diff for the Pinch Strength Test, FTT-diff for the Finger Tapping Test, and 9HPT-diff for the Nine-Hole Peg Test. All other variables follow the same naming convention: variables representing the difference between post- and pre-intervention measurements have the suffix "-diff" added to their names. In contrast, variables without this suffix represent baseline (pre-intervention) data.
For the analysis, the outcomes were dichotomized into binary variables. A value of 0 was assigned when the difference between post- and pre-intervention measurements was zero or negative (difference ≤ 0), indicating a deterioration in the patient's condition. Conversely, a value of 1 was assigned when the difference was positive (difference > 0), indicating an improvement in the patient's condition. An exception was made for the 9HPT-diff, where a lower time reflects better performance; hence, the categorization was reversed. In this case, a value of 1 was assigned when the difference was negative (difference < 0), indicating improvement, while a value of 0 was assigned when the difference was zero or positive (difference ≥ 0), indicating a decline in the patient's condition.
We then investigated two types of associations: first, between the outcomes (FMA-diff, HST-diff, PST-diff, FTT-diff, and 9HPT-diff) and baseline variables measured prior to the intervention; and second, between the same outcomes and the differences in neurophysiological variables, calculated as the post-intervention values minus the pre-intervention values, in the same manner as the outcomes were determined. In both cases, we first performed univariate regression analyses. Subsequently, we used the variables that had a p-value < 0.25 in the univariate associations. Finally, we constructed the final multivariate model using a combination of Forward Selection and Backward Elimination, guided by clinical reasoning in the selection of variables. During this stage, a significance level of p-value < 0.05 was adopted. It is noteworthy that we thoroughly examined potential confounders such as age, sex, educational level, and others, adjusting the model as necessary. We considered a variable to be a confounder if it changed the beta-coefficient (Log[Odds Ratio]) of another variable by more than 10%.
Statistical significance was determined at p < 0.05, and all analyses were conducted using a standard software package, R-Studio Version 2023.06.0+421 (2023.06.0+421).

3. Results

3.1. Sample Characteristics

Baseline data of 102 patients pot-stroke who participated in the cohort study were collected, with a mean age of 56 years old, 58 are male (57%), the level of education mean is 11.46 years, most are white 52 (51%). Most had ischemic stroke (81%), with moderate stroke (mean of National Institute of Health Stroke Scale [NIHSC] of 5) and mild need of assistance (Functional Independence Measure [FIM] of 96). Additionally, all five upper limb motor function metrics demonstrated a non-normal distribution. A detailed description of the sample demographic and clinical characteristics at baseline is provided in Table 1.

3.2. Dependent Variables Characteristics

Table 2 summarizes the five upper limb motor outcomes, specifically the differences between post- and pre-intervention for each assessment. For FMA-diff, 52.7% of participants had a difference ≤ 0, while 47.3% had a difference > 0. For HST-diff, 57.9% of participants had a difference ≤ 0, and 42.1% had a difference > 0. For PST-diff, 66.7% of participants had a difference ≤ 0, and 33.3% had a difference > 0. For FFT-diff, 61.5% of participants had a difference ≤ 0, while 38.5% had a difference > 0. Lastly, for 9HPT-diff, 72.7% of participants had a difference ≤ 0, and 27.3% had a difference > 0.

3.3. Multivariate Analysis

When necessary, we adjusted each model for covariates such as age, sex, time of injury, education level, marital status, stroke type, BMI, smoking history, NIHSS, ICI. This adjustment allowed us to accurately reveal the associations between the outcomes and TAR.

3.4. Association Between Outcomes and Baseline Neurophysiological Variables

These models were constructed to identify associations between the five outcomes and the baseline variables, adjusting by the patients’ demographic and clinical characteristics. For FMA-diff we found a negative association with Parietal_Lesion_ThetaoverAlpha (OR = 0.22, 95%CI: 0.04 - 0.82; P-Value = 0.04), a positive association with nonLesion_Amp_MEP130_mV OR= 1.57 (95%CI: 1.05 – 2.48; P-Value = 0.03). For HST-diff, we found a significant negative association with Central_Lesion_ThetaoverAlpha (OR = 0.20, 95% CI: 0.04 - 0.75; P-Value = 0.0351). For PST-diff, we observed a significant negative association with Central_Lesion_ThetaoverAlpha (OR = 0.19, 95% CI: 0.03 - 0.78; P-Value = 0.0456) and a significant positive association with nonlesion_ici (OR = 14.62, 95% CI: 1.75 - 209.10; P-Value = 0.025). For FTT-diff, we identified a significant negative association with Central_Lesion_ThetaoverAlpha (OR = 0.08, 95% CI: 0.00 - 0.56; P-Value = 0.0393). For 9HPT-diff, we found a significant negative association with Central_Lesion_ThetaoverAlpha (OR = 0.13, 95% CI: 0.01 - 0.66; P-Value = 0.0371).
Table 3. Association between outcomes and baseline neurophysiological variables.
Table 3. Association between outcomes and baseline neurophysiological variables.
Multivariable analysis OR 95%CI P-value N
FMA-diff a 48
EEG TAR (parietal lesion side) 0.22 0.04 - 0.82 0.040
TMS MEP 130 (non-lesion side) 1.57 1.05 - 2.48 0.034
HST-diff b 55
EEG TAR (central lesion side) 0.20 0.04 - 0.75 0.035
PST-diff b 53
EEG TAR (central lesion side) 0.19 0.03 - 0.78 0.046
TMS ICI (non-lesion side) 14.62 1.75 - 209.10 0.025
FT-diff b 39
EEG TAR (central lesion side) 0.08 0.00 - 0.56 0.04
9HPT-diff b 53
EEG TAR (central lesion side) 0.13 0.01 - 0.66 0.037
aAdjusted by FMA baseline, marital status, education level, and smoking history. bAdjusted by level of education and BMI. Abbreviations: FMA: Fugl-Meyer Assessment; HST: Handgrip Strength Test; PST: Pinching Strength Test; FT: Finger Tapping; 9HPT: Nine Hole Peg Test; EEG: Electroencephalogram; TMS: Transcranial Magnetic Stimulation; TAR: Theta over Alpha Ratio; MEP: Motor Evoked-Potential; ICI: Intracortical Inhibition; OR: Odds Ratio; CI: Confidence Interval; BMI: Body Mass Index.

3.5. Association Between Outcomes and Neurophysiological Variables Differences (Post- and Pre-Intervention)

These models were constructed to identify associations between the outcomes and the variables’ differences (post-intervention minus pre-intervention), adjusting by the patients’ demographic and clinical characteristics. For FMA-diff, we found a positive association with TAR-diff measured in the central lesioned hemisphere (OR = 1.15, 95% CI: 1.02 - 1.36, P-Value = 0.0454). For 9HPT-diff, we found a significant positive association with TAR-diff measured in the parietal lesioned hemisphere (OR = 1.81, 95% CI: 1.15 - 3.62; P-Value = 0.029). No significant associations were found for HST-diff, PST-diff, and FT-diff.
Table 4. Association between outcomes and neurophysiological variables differences.
Table 4. Association between outcomes and neurophysiological variables differences.
Multivariable analysis OR 95%CI P-value N
FMA-diff a 41
EEG TAR (central lesion) difference 1.15 (1.02 - 1.36) 0.045
9HPT-diff b 41
EEG TAR (parietal lesion side) difference 1.81 (1.15 - 3.62) 0.029
aAdjusted by age, sex, NIHSS, and stroke type. bAdjusted by NIHSS, time since injury, EEG TAR frontal lesion side, and EEG TAR central lesion side. Abbreviations: FMA: Fugl-Meyer Assessment; 9HPT: Nine Hole Peg Test; EEG: Electroencephalogram; TMS: Transcranial Magnetic Stimulation; TAR: Theta over Alpha Ratio; OR: Odds Ratio; CI: Confidence Interval; BMI: Body Mass Index; NIHSC: National Institute of Health Stroke Scale.

4. Discussion

4.1. Main Findings

In our current research, we explored five outcomes: FMA-diff, HST-diff, PST-diff, FT-diff, and 9HPT-diff. We identified a negative association between the outcomes and baseline TAR measured in the lesioned hemisphere, as well as a positive association between the outcomes and TAR-diffs (post- minus pre-intervention) also measured in the lesioned hemisphere. Additionally, we observed a positive association between baseline MEP130 measured in the non-lesioned hemisphere and FMA-diff. Similarly, a positive association was found between baseline ICI, also measured in the non-lesioned hemisphere, and PST-diff.

4.2. Association Between Outcomes and Baseline EEG Theta/Alpha Ratio in the Lesioned Hemisphere

The models aimed to identify associations between five motor outcome measures (FMA-diff, HST-diff, PST-diff, FTT-diff, and 9HPT-diff) and baseline variables, while adjusting for patients' demographic and clinical characteristics. TAR measured in the lesion hemisphere showed a significant negative association with the five outcomes, indicating that higher baseline TAR values were associated with less improvement across different assessments.
Building upon this, our previous study has shown that a higher TAR in the frontal region of the lesioned hemisphere is associated with poorer motor outcomes, as seen in the patients' lower performance scores. This observation is consistent with prior studies that have identified an increased ratio of [slow oscillations] / [fast oscillations] as a marker of brain injury. For instance, Finnigan et al. reported that the Delta/Alpha ratio is a reliable indicator for detecting acute ischemic stroke [20]. Furthermore, evidence indicates that low-frequency oscillations in the motor cortex, which relate to motor control tasks, tend to decrease shortly after a stroke and re-emerge during motor recovery [21] [22]. Additionally, a transition toward alpha oscillations is associated with improvements in motor abilities [23]. In our previous cross-sectional study, we suggested that a reduced Theta/Alpha ratio might be associated with improved motor function [13]. In the current study, which includes two measurements (pre- and post-intervention), this hypothesis appears to be supported, as we observed consistent results across all five outcomes. In fact, TAR has consistently been identified as a significant factor associated with motor outcomes. For example, in our models, we observed that a higher TAR in the lesion hemisphere was negatively correlated with various motor performance measures. Specifically, for FMA-diff, we found that an elevated TAR in the parietal lesion region was associated with poorer motor outcomes. Similarly, TAR in the central lesion region was negatively associated with HST-diff, PST-diff, FTT-diff, and 9HPT-diff. These consistent findings across multiple outcome measures underscore the importance of TAR as a potential marker for motor function, suggesting that a higher baseline TAR in the lesion hemisphere is associated with poorer improvements across all five motor outcomes. Finally, our findings solidify the role of TAR as a reliable predictor of motor outcomes in stroke patients, offering valuable insights for both research and clinical practice.

4.3. Association Between Outcomes and EEG Theta/Alpha Ratio (Differences Post- Minus Pre-Intervention) in the Lesioned Hemisphere

The models were constructed to identify associations between the motor outcomes and the TAR-diff in the lesioned hemisphere, while adjusting for patients' demographic and clinical characteristics. For FMA-diff, a positive association was found with TAR-diff, indicating that an increase in this ratio was associated with improved motor function, as reflected by higher FMA-diff scores. Similarly, a significant positive association was observed between 9HPT-diff and TAR-diff, suggesting that increases in the TAR in the parietal lesion region were linked to better motor performance. These findings imply that changes in the TAR post-intervention may serve as indicators of motor recovery, particularly in the central and parietal regions of the brain. Based on the previous topic discussion, studies have identified an increased ratio of [slow oscillations] / [fast oscillations] as a marker of brain injury. Additionally, evidence indicates that low-frequency oscillations in the motor cortex, which are related to motor control tasks, tend to decrease shortly after a stroke and re-emerge during motor recovery [21] [22]. Moreover, a transition toward alpha oscillations is associated with improvements in motor abilities. This aligns with our results, where we found that higher differences in TAR were associated with greater improvements in both FMA-diff and 9HPT-diff, suggesting that these changes in TAR could reflect a more robust recovery process in motor function. This finding suggests that the transition from delta oscillations to alpha oscillations, as represented by an increase in the Theta/Alpha Ratio (TAR), may serve as a potential biomarker for predicting improvements in motor outcomes. The observed increase in TAR could reflect underlying neurophysiological processes associated with recovery, such as the reorganization of neural networks or the restoration of motor control pathways. As such, monitoring changes in TAR during rehabilitation could provide valuable insights into the effectiveness of interventions and the trajectory of motor function recovery.
It is worth mentioning that we did not find statistically significant associations between TAR-diff in the lesioned hemisphere and HST-diff, PST-diff, and FT-diff. This lack of association may be due to these three outcomes being more closely related to gross motor movements, which might not be as sensitive to changes in the Theta/Alpha Ratio as fine motor skills.

4.4. Association Between Outcomes and Baseline TMS Metrics in the Non-Lesioned Hemisphere

Additionally, we observed a positive association between baseline MEP130 measured in the non-lesioned hemisphere and FMA-diff. This suggests that higher baseline MEP values are associated with greater improvements in motor function. Similarly, a positive association was found between baseline ICI, also measured in the non-lesioned hemisphere, and PST-diff, indicating that lower inhibition (as reflected by higher ICI amplitude values) may be linked to better motor recovery outcomes.
Our previous study demonstrated that increased MEP amplitude in the non-lesioned hemisphere correlates with improved motor function [13]. These relationships were consistent across all five motor assessments, reinforcing the idea that neurophysiological measures, such as MEP amplitude, may serve as reliable biomarkers for recovery. Indeed, in this current study, a higher baseline MEP130 of the motor threshold is associated with greater FMA-diff, suggesting that increased activity in the non-lesioned hemisphere at baseline is linked to higher odds of improving motor skills, as measured by the Fugl-Meyer Assessment. Moreover, the finding of a positive association between ICI and PST-diff is consistent with this idea, as higher ICI values indicate less inhibition. Therefore, we could state that the lower the inhibition in the non-lesioned hemisphere, the higher the odds of improving motor skills, as measured by the Pinch Strength test.

4.5. Strengths and Limitations

One limitation would be the relatively small sample size can negatively impact our results' statistical power and precision, underlining the need for further larger longitudinal and interventional studies to establish more accurate causal associations. Additionally, it is important to acknowledge that the DEFINE cohort study was conducted in a Latin American center, which may influence the external validity of our findings
On the other hand, a key strength of our research lies in its comparison of neurophysiological measures with the differences in pre- and post-intervention values across five motor assessments within a stroke population. This approach not only enriches our understanding of the clinical validity of EEG and TMS measures, as neurophysiological biomarkers of upper limb motor recovery, but also provides a foundation for evaluating the impact of changes in EEG and TMS metrics as potential surrogate outcomes for further studies. Additionally, the longitudinal nature of our analysis offers a more dynamic representation of post-stroke recovery.

5. Conclusions

Our study demonstrated that the TAR in the lesioned hemisphere consistently correlated with upper motor function recovery post-stroke across various prediction models. Specifically, a lower baseline TAR was associated with better outcomes in motor assessments, including the FMA-diff, HST-diff, PST-diff, FT-diff, and 9HPT-diff. These findings underscore the potential of TAR as a reliable biomarker for predicting upper limb motor recovery post-stroke. Patients with a lower baseline TAR may possess a greater capacity for motor function improvement during rehabilitation. Additionally, our results revealed that an increase in TAR-diff was positively associated with greater improvements in motor outcomes. This suggests that as TAR increases after the rehabilitation process, better motor function outcomes are observed, further supporting the role of TAR as a dynamic marker of recovery.
While TMS metrics (MEP130) also showed some associations, these were less consistent compared to TAR. Nevertheless, they remain important to the field and warrant further research to better establish their predictive value. Overall, our findings highlight the critical role of TAR in the lesioned hemisphere in understanding and predicting motor recovery, potentially guiding more personalized and effective rehabilitation strategies.

Author Contributions

Conceptualization, L.R.B., F.F..; methodology, F.F..; software, G.J.M.L., K.P.B.; validation, L.R.B., Y.Y. and Z.Z.; formal analysis, G.J.M.L.; investigation, G.J.M.L., F.F.; resources, X.X.; data curation, X.X.; writing—original draft preparation, G.J.M.L., F.M.Q.S., K.P.B.; writing—review and editing, G.J.M.L., F.M.Q.S.; visualization, F.F..; supervision, L.R.B., F.F.; project administration, L.R.B., F.F..; funding acquisition, L.R.B., F.F.. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Funding

This study is supported by FAPESP (SPEC project, fund number 2017/12943-8)

Institutional Review Board Statement

The project was previously approved by the Hospital das Clínicas da Faculdade de Medicina da Universidade de São Paulo Ethics Committee for Research Protocol Analysis (CAAE: 86832518.7.0000.0068).

Informed Consent Statement

Informed consent was obtained from all subjects involved in the study.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no known competing financial or personal interests that could influence their work in this paper.

Appendix A

  • Supplemental material

Fugl-Meyer Assessment

The Fugl-Meyer Assessment (FMA) is a performance-based impairment index for patients with post-stroke hemiplegia. It is designed to independently assess various domains including motor skills, balance, sensation, and joint function in both upper and lower extremities. For this study, FMA was focused only on evaluating the motor function of the upper limb, with scores ranging from 0 (representing complete hemiplegia) to 66 points (2).

Hand grip and Pinching

Handgrip Strength Test (HST) and Pinch Strength Test (PST) evaluate muscle strength using a kg-strength scale measured by specific dynamometers. The HG test uses a hand grip dynamometer to measure the maximum force exerted during a five-finger squeeze. For the PT test, a pinch dynamometer is placed between the radial side of the index finger and thumb, and the participant is instructed to pinch as hard as possible. Both tests are performed with the participant seated, arms by the torso, elbows bent at 90 degrees, forearms in a neutral position, and wrists slightly extended. Each test is conducted three times on each hand, and the average strength is calculated (1,4,5).

Finger Tapping

The Finger Tapping (FTT) evaluates the speed of simple motor movements. In this test, which is conducted separately for each hand, the patient is instructed to tap a lever on a wooden board repeatedly with only their index finger for 30 seconds (6).

Nine-Hole Peg Test

The nine-hole (9HPT) peg test is a mechanical tool used to assess finger dexterity. During the test, a participant is required to use only one hand to sequentially pick up nine pegs from a container and insert them into the holes on a board in any order. After all pegs are placed, they must be removed one by one using the same hand. The duration recorded for the test is from when the first peg is picked up until the last peg is either returned to the container or set on the table (3).
  • References for the supplemental material
1.
Boissy P, Bourbonnais D, Carlotti MM, Gravel D, Arsenault BA. Maximal grip force in chronic stroke subjects and its relationship to global upper extremity function. Clin Rehabil. 1999 Aug;13(4):354–62.
2.
Gladstone DJ, Danells CJ, Black SE. The fugl-meyer assessment of motor recovery after stroke: a critical review of its measurement properties. Neurorehabil Neural Repair. 2002 Sep;16(3):232–40.
3.
Jobbágy Á, Marik AR, Fazekas G. Quantification of the Upper Extremity Motor Functions of Stroke Patients Using a Smart Nine-Hole Peg Tester. J Healthc Eng. 2018;2018:7425858.
4.
Mathiowetz V, Kashman N, Volland G, Weber K, Dowe M, Rogers S. Grip and pinch strength: normative data for adults. Arch Phys Med Rehabil. 1985 Feb;66(2):69–74.
5.
Schmidt RT, Toews JV. Grip strength as measured by the Jamar dynamometer. Arch Phys Med Rehabil. 1970 Jun;51(6):321–7.
6.
Shimoyama I, Ninchoji T, Uemura K. The finger-tapping test. A quantitative analysis. Arch Neurol. 1990 Jun;47(6):681–4.

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Table 1. Demographic and Clinical Features at the baseline of the 102 post-stroke patients included in the study.
Table 1. Demographic and Clinical Features at the baseline of the 102 post-stroke patients included in the study.
Patient characteristics Total (N=102)
Age, mean (SD) 56.02 (13.7)
Sex, n (%)
Male 58 (58.86)
Female 44 (43.14)
Education years, mean (SD) 11.46 (5.83)
BMI, mean (SD) 26.77 (5.17)
Smoking history, n (%)
Yes 38 (37.2%)
No 54 (53.0%)
Missing data 10 (9.8%)
Marital status, n (%)
Married 55 (54.06)
Not married 47 (45.94)
Race, n (%)
Asian 7 (6.90)
Black 9 (8.80)
More than one race 26 (25.5)
White 52 (51)
More than one race 9 (8.3)
Unknown or not reported 7 (6.90)
Stroke type, n (%)
Ischemic 83 (81.37)
Hemorrhagic 12 (11.76)
Ischemic with hemorrhagic transformation 7 (6.87)
NIHSS, median (IQR) 5 (2 - 8)
Time since the injury (in months), median (IQR) 12.3 (5.29-19.38)
Patient age at the stroke), median (IQR) 56.15 (44.64-67.36)
Hand-dominance aligned with the paretic side, n (%)
Yes 91 (58.18)
No 42 (41.82)
Impairment of the thenar region in the paretic side, n (%)
Yes 80.58
No 11 (19.42)
Presence of spasticity, n (%)
Yes 71 (69.6%)
No 19 (18.6%)
Missing data 12 (11.8%)
CPM on the paretic side, median (IQR) 1.48 (0.65-3.44)
FIM score, median (IQR) 96 (77.75 - 106.0)
Abbreviations: NIHSC: National Institute of Health Stroke Scale; FIM: Functional Independence Measure; SD: Standard deviation); IQR: Interquartile range.
Table 2. Differences between motor function assessments after and before the rehabilitation program.
Table 2. Differences between motor function assessments after and before the rehabilitation program.
FMA-diff Number of observations %
difference ≤ 0 29 52.7
difference > 0 26 47.3
HST-diff
difference ≤ 0 33 57.9
difference > 0 24 42.1
PST-diff
difference ≤ 0 38 66.7
difference > 0 19 33.3
FFT-diff
difference ≤ 0 24 61.5
difference > 0 15 38.5
9HPT-diff
difference ≤ 0 40 72.7
difference > 0 15 27.3
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