Preprint Article Version 1 This version is not peer-reviewed

Influence of Infection Origin, Type of Sampling and Weather Factors on the Periodicity of Some Infectious Pathogens in Marseille University Hospitals, France

Version 1 : Received: 31 October 2024 / Approved: 31 October 2024 / Online: 1 November 2024 (12:43:09 CET)

How to cite: Kaba, L.; Giraud-Gatineau, A.; Colson, P.; Fournier, P.-E.; Chaudet, H. Influence of Infection Origin, Type of Sampling and Weather Factors on the Periodicity of Some Infectious Pathogens in Marseille University Hospitals, France. Preprints 2024, 2024110040. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202411.0040.v1 Kaba, L.; Giraud-Gatineau, A.; Colson, P.; Fournier, P.-E.; Chaudet, H. Influence of Infection Origin, Type of Sampling and Weather Factors on the Periodicity of Some Infectious Pathogens in Marseille University Hospitals, France. Preprints 2024, 2024110040. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202411.0040.v1

Abstract

This study aimed at systematically exploring seasonalities of a 16 years series of bacterial identifications in hospitalized patients, considering the infectious site and the community-acquired or hospital-associated origin. Deduplicated bacterial identifications from February 2004 to February 2020 were extracted from the data warehouse of the Institut Hospitalo-Universitaire Mediterranée Infection surveillance system, along with their epidemiological characteristics. Each species’ series was processed using a scientific workflow based on TBATS time series model. Possible co-seasonalities were researched using seasonal peak clustering and series cross-correlations. From 575 bacterial species, only 86 had a sufficient number of cases for the study purpose and only the 15 most frequent species were described in detail. About 60% of species exhibited a seasonality for at least one series, and winter is the season with the most of seasonal peaks. Co-occurrence studies confirm the presence of seasonal complexes associating several species in a same infection location. Possible weather drivers were found for about a third of seasonal series. Seasonality is a frequent characteristic of bacterial infections. Our results showed significant associations of periodicity between pathogens, origin of infection and type of sampling, as well as significant associations of some species with one or more weather drivers.

Keywords

Seasonality; Surveillance system; Meteorological drivers; Community-acquired infections; Hospital-associated infections

Subject

Public Health and Healthcare, Public Health and Health Services

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