Preprint
Article

Error Evolution in Multi-Step Ahead Streamflow Forecasting for the Operation of Hydropower Reservoirs

This version is not peer-reviewed.

Submitted:

18 October 2017

Posted:

19 October 2017

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Abstract
Multi-step ahead streamflow forecasting is of practical interest for the operation of hydropower reservoirs. We provide generalized results on the error evolution in multi-step ahead forecasting by conducting several large-scale experiments based on simulations. We also present a multiple-case study using monthly time series of streamflow. Our findings suggest that some forecasting methods are more useful than others. However, the errors computed at each time step of a forecast horizon within a specific case study strongly depend on the case examined and can be either small or large, regardless of the forecasting method used and the time step of interest.
Keywords: 
Subject: 
Engineering  -   Civil Engineering
Copyright: This open access article is published under a Creative Commons CC BY 4.0 license, which permit the free download, distribution, and reuse, provided that the author and preprint are cited in any reuse.
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