Version 1
: Received: 26 April 2020 / Approved: 28 April 2020 / Online: 28 April 2020 (13:04:04 CEST)
How to cite:
Bahri, M. System Archetypes to Understand the Impacts of Climate Change on Rice Production: A Case Study in West Nusa Tenggara, Indonesia. Preprints2020, 2020040499. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202004.0499.v1
Bahri, M. System Archetypes to Understand the Impacts of Climate Change on Rice Production: A Case Study in West Nusa Tenggara, Indonesia. Preprints 2020, 2020040499. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202004.0499.v1
Bahri, M. System Archetypes to Understand the Impacts of Climate Change on Rice Production: A Case Study in West Nusa Tenggara, Indonesia. Preprints2020, 2020040499. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202004.0499.v1
APA Style
Bahri, M. (2020). System Archetypes to Understand the Impacts of Climate Change on Rice Production: A Case Study in West Nusa Tenggara, Indonesia. Preprints. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202004.0499.v1
Chicago/Turabian Style
Bahri, M. 2020 "System Archetypes to Understand the Impacts of Climate Change on Rice Production: A Case Study in West Nusa Tenggara, Indonesia" Preprints. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202004.0499.v1
Abstract
Climate projections show that southern Indonesia such as West Nusa Tenggara is projected to experience a lower precipitation and higher temperatures. To date, research on climate change impact on Indonesian rice production yield is limited. As climate change is projected to decrease rainfall and to increase temperatures, this paper offers a qualitative analysis using system archetypes to understand the impacts of climate change on rice production. Two system archetypes are identified including Limits to Growth and Success to Successful. Both archetypes explain that rice production is hampered by high minimum temperature as photosynthesis output is decreased by increasing respiration. This paper shows that using a simple tool, system archetypes, we can describe the impacts of climate change on rice production. The outputs of this study such as a causal loop diagram and system archetypes can be a basis to develop a simulation model in understanding the impacts of climate change on main crops.
Keywords
system archetypes; rice production; system dynamics; climate change; Indonesia rice
Subject
Biology and Life Sciences, Agricultural Science and Agronomy
Copyright:
This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.