Comparison Between Covid-19 Scenarios in India and Other Large-Population Regions

Sudhakar Yarlagadda; Satyaki Kar

doi:10.20944/preprints202004.0517.v1

Preprint Brief Report Version 1 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

Version 1 : Received: 30 April 2020 / Approved: 30 April 2020 / Online: 30 April 2020 (05:56:49 CEST)
Version 2 : Received: 3 July 2020 / Approved: 5 July 2020 / Online: 5 July 2020 (16:41:36 CEST)

We analyze the Covid-19 scenario in India and compare it with those in other large-population regions such as Asia-excluding-China, Africa, European Union, South America, and USA. We compare existing fatality data and offer an interpretation based on inherent immunity and climate in various regions. We also present an India-specific strategy of releasing low vulnerability group from the lockdown and estimate the time required to attain herd immunity. Whatever optimism we present should be viewed as a guarded optimism. There should not be room for complacency.

Covid-19; Indian scenario; inherent immunity; hot climate

Public Health and Healthcare, Health Policy and Services

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Comparison Between Covid-19 Scenarios in India and Other Large-Population Regions

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