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COVID-19 Follows a Flattened Growth Curve Subsequent to Prolonged Intervention in A Population; Its Implication on Rate Of Doubling Time & Plausible Suppression of SARS-CoV-2 Infection

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Submitted:

05 May 2020

Posted:

07 May 2020

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Abstract
COVID-19 is fast spreading around the globe in a highly contagious manner. In this article we have described that after prolonged interventions the percentage growth curve for COVID-19 cases showed a flattened nature, after prolonged volatility in number of COVID-19 cases. The stability in the growth curve was continuously maintained from 18 April, 2020 to 29 April, 2020. The significance of this sustained stable curve on survival & doubling time has been discussed. One significant part of the study reflected that the doubling time of COVID-19 cases showed a negative correlation with the percent increase in COVID-19 cases (R=0.301). It is plausible that if such negative correlation is maintained with further flattening of the growth curve at a lower level, it may influence the infective ability of nCoV-19 & ultimately have a positive evolutionary implication on the spread of COVID-19 among the population.
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Subject: Biology and Life Sciences  -   Virology
Copyright: This open access article is published under a Creative Commons CC BY 4.0 license, which permit the free download, distribution, and reuse, provided that the author and preprint are cited in any reuse.
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