Preprint Article Version 2 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

Minimum Uncertainty as Bayesian Network Model Selection Principle

Version 1 : Received: 14 February 2022 / Approved: 21 February 2022 / Online: 21 February 2022 (14:13:26 CET)
Version 2 : Received: 7 June 2023 / Approved: 7 June 2023 / Online: 7 June 2023 (13:20:18 CEST)
Version 3 : Received: 19 September 2024 / Approved: 19 September 2024 / Online: 20 September 2024 (09:42:10 CEST)

How to cite: Gogoshin, G.; Rodin, A. Minimum Uncertainty as Bayesian Network Model Selection Principle. Preprints 2022, 2022020254. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202202.0254.v2 Gogoshin, G.; Rodin, A. Minimum Uncertainty as Bayesian Network Model Selection Principle. Preprints 2022, 2022020254. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202202.0254.v2

Abstract

In this paper study, we develop a Bayesian Network model selection principle that address addresses the incommensurability of network features obtained from incongruous datasets and overcomes performance irregularities of the Minimum Description Length model selection principle. This is achieved (i) by approaching model evaluation as a classification problem, (ii) by estimating the effect that sampling error has on the satisfiability of conditional independence criterion, as reflected by Mutual Information, and (iii) by utilizing this error estimate to penalize uncertainty in the Minimum Uncertainty (MU) model selection principle. We validate our findings numerically and demonstrate the performance advantages of the MU criterion. Finally, we illustrate the advantages of the new model evaluation framework on a tRNA structural biology example.

Keywords

Bayesian Networks; probabilistic networks; conditional independence; model selection criteria; mutual information; sampling error; statistical uncertainty; MDL; BIC; AIC; BD; tRNA

Subject

Computer Science and Mathematics, Applied Mathematics

Comments (1)

Comment 1
Received: 7 June 2023
Commenter: Grigoriy Gogoshin
Commenter's Conflict of Interests: Author
Comment: The reasoning presented in the original manuscript was generalized and summarized into a model selection principle. The narrative has been substantially reworked and expanded. Consistency and coherence of the derivation of the bound on the statistical uncertainty were improved. Figures and tables were updated to reflect the changes. A structural biology application example was added --- dissection of the intra-tRNA-molecule residue (position) relationships.
+ Respond to this comment

We encourage comments and feedback from a broad range of readers. See criteria for comments and our Diversity statement.

Leave a public comment
Send a private comment to the author(s)
* All users must log in before leaving a comment
Views 0
Downloads 0
Comments 1


×
Alerts
Notify me about updates to this article or when a peer-reviewed version is published.
We use cookies on our website to ensure you get the best experience.
Read more about our cookies here.