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Hypothesis

How Risky if China Moves Away from Its Zero-COVID Policy?

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A peer-reviewed article of this preprint also exists.

Submitted:

20 April 2022

Posted:

20 April 2022

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Abstract
We found four striking differences in the COVID-19 case fatality rate (CFR) or the ratio of symptomatic COVID-19 cases versus asymptomatic infections. These striking differences all suggest that the risk for China to move away from its zero-COVID policy shall depend on China’s control measures. The CFR of COVID-19 in China can remain less than one tenth of influenza, namely that COVID-19 can be “tiny influenza” in China, if COVID-19 cases shall be well isolated in well disinfected environments (e.g., staying at well-disinfected home) with good maintenance treatment, to minimize their co-infections and maintain their body functions. Otherwise, the CFR of COVID-19 in China can be several times higher than influenza, namely that COVID-19 can be “giant influenza” in China. This analysis is also important to mitigate COVID-19 worldwide.
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Subject: Public Health and Healthcare  -   Health Policy and Services
Copyright: This open access article is published under a Creative Commons CC BY 4.0 license, which permit the free download, distribution, and reuse, provided that the author and preprint are cited in any reuse.
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