This results section presents an overview of the reviews selected for the tertiary research, followed by a typology of carbon emissions reduction in transportation and a framework that summarises the main findings from the studies.
4.1. Overview of Studies Selected for Tertiary Review
The 26 literature reviews selected for the tertiary research are in
Table 2, along with the number of studies included in each review and the methodology.
Table 2 also includes the transportation sector each literature review focuses on and the sustainability dimensions addressed.
The 26 selected reviews in
Table 2, combined, reviewed 2,983 studies.
Figure 4 illustrates the number of studies selected for the tertiary review by publication date. The reviews spanned 13 years of research on carbon emissions in transportation (i.e., from 2010 to 2022). Out of the 26 selected reviews, twelve were published in the last three years, showing the growing relevance of the subject area. However, it is important to highlight upfront that most research was done in the context of developed economies, with few studies addressing sustainability transition in transportation in emerging economies.
The review methodologies observed in
Table 2 reflect each author’s nomenclature to characterise their study. For a better understanding of the different methodologies adopted in the reviews, however, each study method was grouped into one of the following review types identified by Grant & Booth [45] in
Figure 4 and defined in
Section 3 – Methodology.
As illustrated in
Figure 5, the systematic literature review was the most common methodology adopted [26,27,29,30,31,33,35,38,40,41,42,43], followed by narrative literature reviews [20,23,24,34,37,39,44], critical reviews [21,28,32], and, finally, meta-analyses [19,22] and state-of-the-art reviews [25,36]. Interestingly, even though the systematic review is the most popular review approach, all systematic reviews were concentrated in the last seven years (i.e., 2016 to 2022), showing an increasing trend towards more rigour in the academic review of the subject.
Finally,
Figure 6 illustrates the sustainability dimensions explored by each of the selected reviews. Over three-quarters of the studies focused exclusively on the environmental perspective of sustainability; three explored both the environmental and the social dimensions of sustainability; one addressed both environmental and financial sustainability; and only two investigated the full triple bottom line of sustainability.
4.3. Enablers and Barriers
This subsection explores the enablers and barriers in obtaining carbon emissions reduction, which is identified in the literature and classified into five main categories: (i) technological innovations, (ii) operational measures, (iii) regulatory and economic measures, (iv) urban form and human behaviour, and (v) strategy and stakeholder pressure. Bouman et al. [27] stress that barriers can be mitigated in several ways and are more effective when mitigation measures are taken jointly rather than individually. For example, they suggest that the right combination of mitigation measures could bring a reduction of 75% in GHG emissions in freight transportation by 2050, using currently available technologies.
4.3.1. Technological Innovations
Technological innovations include electrification, alternative fuels, vehicle design and manufacturing, communication technologies, and other indirect technologies with carbon mitigation potential. Breakthrough technologies have experienced rapid and continuous growth in recent years [32]. In a review of air transportation, Oguntona [37] finds that approaches linked to technological innovations have the highest long-term reduction potential in aircraft fleet emissions.
Electrification has proven itself a hot topic over the last few decades. Some studies compare the environmental impacts of diesel, hybrid, and electric vehicles [23,35]. For example, Hawkins et al. [23] find that while battery electric vehicles (BEVs) powered by coal electricity tend to perform better than conventional internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEVs), the same is not true when comparing coal-powered BEVs to high-efficiency ICEVs. However, when electric vehicles (EVs) are powered by natural gas or low-carbon energy sources, they outperform even the most high-efficient ICEVs in terms of global warming potential [23]. This shows that EVs' environmental impact depends highly on the energy source mix used for charging. Garcia & Freire [28] also draw attention to electricity generation sources and find that these significantly impact light-duty vehicle fleet emissions, with renewable energy sources presenting great potential. Moreover, while the charging profile only slightly impacts GHG emissions, this scenario might change with an increase in battery size [28].
In the context of Nordic transportation, Salvucci et al. [32] identify electrified roads, fuel cell and battery electric vehicles, and electric ferries as the technological innovations with the highest potential in the region. Salvucci et al. [32] also highlight the importance of developing and analysing model scenarios that include these technologies so that the future demand for hydrogen and electricity can be accurately assessed. In the case of India and other developing countries, on the other hand, the high cost of hydrogen and fuel cell technology is a major obstacle to commercial rollout [21]. Li [21] also questions the sustainability of hydrogen energy since fossil fuels are still the primary source of hydrogen production in many countries.
Herold & Lee [29] identify speculations surrounding battery technology and energy source sustainability as major barriers to adopting electric vehicle technologies by top management in companies. Finally, Requia et al. [31] question how clean EVs are because they relocate emissions from roads to power plants, among other concerns. However, they conclude that, even in scenarios with a high share of coal-based electricity, EVs still lead to decreasing CO2 emissions [31].
While most studies recognise the mitigation potential of biofuels [27,28,32,37], it is also encountered with hesitation in developed and developing economies alike [21,27,28,32]. In a review of Nordic transportation, Salvucci et al. [32] observe considerable emissions reduction potential from the adoption of bioenergy but are sceptical about future scenarios that rely heavily on the importation of this energy source. As a global trend towards decarbonisation is observed, bioenergy demand will likely grow in the future, raising questions about its availability [32]. As an alternative, Salvucci et al. [32] recommend the development of a portfolio of domestic alternative fuel production chains, which will provide insights into domestic energy resources and storage capabilities. In the contrasting case of India, Li [21] points out that biofuels may play a role in reducing the country’s dependence on imports but will have a small or neutral contribution to climate change mitigation. Moreover, using farmable land for biofuel crop cultivation raises pressing concerns about food security in developing countries such as India [21].
In reviewing light-duty vehicle fleet emissions, Garcia & Freire [28] also find significant potential for reducing GHG emissions through biofuels. However, they classify this scenario as “optimistic" due to studies reviewed not accounting for land use changes and biomass resource availability factors, thus, suggesting this initiative be combined with other mitigation measures, consistent with Bouman et al. [27].
In the maritime transportation scenario, Bouman et al. [27] review a series of CO2 emissions reduction measures and identify the use of biofuels as the one with the largest potential. However, they point out that reduced CO2 emissions during combustion only partially represent the sustainability of biofuels. Agricultural factors, such as feedstock and crop rotation, as well as social and political concerns over land use, all impact the mitigation potential and complexity of the problem [27]. Bouman et al. [27] suggest that current energy sources can be either completely substituted or only complemented by biofuels and other alternative fuels and that these changes will reduce emissions not only in the use phase but also in the entire fuel life cycle. Finally, Oguntona [37] identifies promising future carbon reduction scenarios in air transportation with biofuels and suggests that policymakers and stakeholders in the industry should focus on securing the availability and sustainability of this resource.
Garcia & Freire [28] identify fuel consumption reduction as a fundamental approach to reducing light-duty vehicle fleet GHG emissions, particularly through vehicle weight reduction. They remark, however, that vehicle weight reduction should be coupled with other measures to reach its full potential.
Bouman et al. [27] find that improving ship hydrodynamic performance and minimising water resistance by adjusting hull dimensions, shape and weight in the maritime transportation sector is possible. They also identify several technological innovations that can increase power and propulsion and reduce emissions [27]. Regarding air transportation, Oguntona [37] explores next-generation aircraft models and retrofits to existing aircraft towards fuel efficiency. Finally, in a bibliometric review, Meyer [35] identifies after-treatment technologies as a strategy to reduce emissions.
Communication technologies — such as platooning and intelligent transportation systems — have been explored by several authors in recent years [21,25,35]. Platooning aims to reduce the aerodynamic drag of heavy-duty vehicles by using communication technologies to form closely-spaced groups of vehicles and, as a result, reduce carbon emissions, but Meyer [35] calls for more real-world applications of platooning to understand the impact of this technology better. Faris et al. [25] explore the environmental impact of Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITSs) on vehicle fuel consumption and emissions. ITSs use key evaluation metrics to assess performance and optimise vehicle routing based on information received through inter-vehicle communication [25]. Faris et al. [25] find that ITS measures significantly impact vehicle emissions. However, since ITS commonly optimises to minimise transit time, emissions metrics are suboptimal, and, in many cases, the environmental impact might even be negative when transit time increases. When optimising for transit time means opting for longer stop times or decreasing detour lengths, the optimisation will be environmentally beneficial. Still, environmental impact will be suboptimal when transit time optimisation suggests short stop times or longer detours [25]. Li [21] also briefly addresses ITS technologies, highlighting their potential to optimise traffic towards greater fluidity, thus reducing congestion, energy use and GHG emissions.
On a comparative analysis of additive and conventional manufacturing, Pilz et al. [38] conclude that additive manufacturing reduces the distances and quantity of products transported, thus reducing energy consumption and CO2 emissions. However, Pilz et al. [38] draw attention to the need for more studies in decentralised supply chains, particularly those based on the life cycle assessment (LCA) approach, for a more comprehensive understanding of the environmental impacts of additive manufacturing. Also, concerning technologies that indirectly impact transportation, Salvucci et al. [32] identify carbon capture and storage as a strategy.
4.3.2. Operational Measures
While technical measures are sometimes limited by existing vehicles (i.e., some measures cannot be applied as a retrofit and need to be built-in in entirely new vehicles), operational measures do not have such limitations [27]. As energy efficiency increases, however, some operational interventions will inevitably decrease in mitigation potential [28].
On the road freight transportation scenario, Meyer [35] identifies vehicle routing and the relationship between emissions reduction and cost as topics of great interest in academia. Miklautsch & Woschank [43] find that significant emissions reduction can be obtained by shifting from road to rail transport. Local production, consolidation, container optimisation, shipping speed increase, pooling supply chains, truck-sharing, carrier coordination, intermodal transportation, demand-side interventions, and vehicle selection were also identified as operational carbon mitigation measures [28,29,43].
In the air transportation scenario, Oguntona [37] highlights consolidation, early aircraft retirement and air traffic management in navigation and landing as important measures to reduce emissions. Regarding maritime transport, Bouman et al. [27] identify economies of scale, speed in the hydrodynamic boundary, and weather routing and scheduling as measures that can significantly impact fuel consumption.
4.3.3. Regulatory and Economic Measures
Li [21] identifies governance as indispensable for urban development and climate change mitigation, particularly in developing economies. Effective policies should be thorough, including multiple aspects relevant to sustainable development and involving relevant stakeholders at every step [21]. Herold & Lee [29] find that government-imposed carbon policies are perceived as the greatest source of risk by managers in the transportation and logistics industry.
Lagouvardou et al. [34] perform a review of Market-Based Measures (MBMs) for decarbonisation in shipping. MBMs incentivise polluters to reduce emissions through financial means (such as market prices) based on the “polluter pays principle”. Lagouvardou et al. [34] identify several MBMs for shipping in the literature that can be broken down into two main variants: fuel levy and emission trading system (ETS). Fuel levy, on the one hand, consists of a tax imposed on fuel, intending to induce speed and fuel consumption reductions in maritime transport; however, the level of the levy must be carefully designed since a low levy may not provide enough incentive for companies to invest in sustainable technologies [34]. ETSs, on the other hand, consist of a central authority setting caps on emissions and requiring polluters to hold permits to carry out polluting activities. While regulatory bodies advocate the importance of international ETSs in climate change mitigation, industry stakeholders raise concerns about regulation and administration’s impact on competition and carbon leakage [34]. Schinas & Bergmann [39] review MBMs and ETSs in aviation and discuss how lessons learned could be applied to the maritime sector. While they find research in aviation could largely assist the maritime industry, they identify that policy recommendations are still focused on single variables of ETS and call out for a more holistic understanding of ETS success.
O’Mahony [36] performs a state-of-the-art review on carbon taxes. While carbon taxes are commonly regarded as a leading solution to reduce emissions, O’Mahony's [36] findings show that carbon taxes are more effective as a support mechanism to other carbon reduction initiatives rather than as a standalone solution. Moreover, O’Mahony [36] identifies a gap in carbon tax implementation, mainly due to political and social barriers, which may be scaled down through more moderate taxes. Oguntona [37] identifies emissions trading, emission limit setting, fuel route, and airport taxes as carbon mitigation measures in aircraft fleets.
Carbon offsetting is the practice of paying third-party providers to generate GHG savings — through projects that either reduce or absorb CO2 — to compensate for emissions [20]. In a review of voluntary carbon offsets in tourism emissions reduction (i.e., non-mandatory carbon offsetting paid by the consumer), Eijgelaar [20] finds that this is not an efficient mitigation measure, currently compensating for less than 1% of all aviation emissions [20]. However, it is likely to remain a common practice due to a lack of awareness and pressure on the aviation and tourism industries to perform more structural changes [20]. Despite several tourism and aviation stakeholders agreeing that energy reduction should be the first-choice mitigation alternative, offsetting is still used to justify growth [20].
Alamoush et al. [41] focus on ports and investigate implementation schemes utilised by port and public authorities (i.e., regulations and standards, economic incentives and disincentives, agreements, training and knowledge sharing and planning). They believe these implementation schemes enable the employment of technical and operational measures to decarbonise ports and associated land transport and oceangoing vessels. Alamoush et al. [41] stress that, apart from the regulation, which should be applied uniformly to avoid competitiveness, most other implementation schemes should be tailored to each case.
4.3.4. Urban Form and Human Behaviour
In the case of urban dimension, Li [21] and Salvucci et al. [32] state that each urban area is particular in many ways — geography, demography, infrastructure, available resources, socioeconomic characteristics, etc. — and, as a result, has specific transportation challenges. Therefore, modelling is only expected to treat it individually [32]. Urban form is decisive in shaping city energy consumption and resulting GHG emissions [21]. Similarly, human behaviour and behavioural change policies also play a key role in shaping modal choice and the resulting CO2 emissions in transportation [21,32]. However, as Salvucci et al. [32] pointed out, many energy-economy-environmental-engineering (E4) models still fail to consider this important dimension.
According to Li [21], urbanisation typically follows economic development and is essential for sustainable economic growth. In developing countries, cities are usually responsible for a high share of economic activities. Li [21] predicts that metropolitan cities will be responsible for an increase in transportation energy demand in these economies. While transportation planning is often done independently of other urban services, Li [21] states that integrated planning is extremely important for transportation development. For example, multiple synergies can occur between transportation and land use, and thus integrated planning could benefit both [21]. Salvucci et al. [32] also observe that urban planning can significantly impact transportation and that varying granularity levels when assessing regions — evaluating urban dimension and country dimension, for example — might provide valuable insights [32]. Wimbadi et al. [40] state that low-carbon mobility transitions are spatially-constituted processes and identify cities as the birthplace of testing and subsequent implementation of urban decarbonisation experiments.
Salvucci et al. [32] identify income, GDP per capita, and fuel prices as determinants in modelling vehicle ownership and mileage, and travel time budget and transport infrastructure as key factors in shaping modal shift [32]. Effective policies promoting modal shifts can reduce car ownership if planned correctly [32]. However, new mobility trends such as autonomous vehicles and mobility as a service (MaaS) have yet to be properly modelled regarding their impact on car ownership, mileage, and congestion [32].
Another important aspect to consider in vehicle ownership is the phenomenon of urban sprawl. Li [21] remarks that American and European cities have experienced a significant increase in area, disproportional to their low population growth, creating a need for private vehicle ownershi A similar trend can also be observed in developing countries in recent years [21]. Higher urban density, on the other hand, is associated with lower transportation-related emissions but with higher household energy demand [21]. Also, on urban density, Czepkiewicz et al. [30] find that people who reside in larger, denser and more central neighbourhoods have a greater tendency to go on long-distance leisure travel – particularly air and international travel – than people who live in suburban or rural areas.
Li [21] also highlights the reinforcing loop dynamics between road infrastructure and car ownershi Road infrastructure is built in response to increased car ownership; better road infrastructure drives attractiveness in buying new vehicles [21]. In the case of developing economies, economic growth leading to greater per capita incomes will cause growing car ownership [21]. For Li [21], improving the quality and public perception and lowering public transportation costs and time is key to reducing private car ownership and associated fuel consumption and carbon emissions.
Hu & Creutzig [42] perform a systematic review on shared mobility in China, including ride-hailing, car sharing and bike sharing. While shared mobility is intended to reduce car ownership and increase the use efficiency of vehicles, there is still much uncertainty surrounding its relationship with public transportation [42]. On the one hand, the flexibility of shared mobility can turn it into a major feeder of public transportation (thus, supporting public transportation efforts) [42]. However, on the other hand, other characteristics (i.e., price, convenience, and quality) might lead to public transport cannibalisation, causing a potential rebound effect in GHG emissions [42]. Hu & Creutzig [42] also draw attention to the association between shared mobility, digitalisation, and electrification, particularly in China.
4.3.5. Strategy and Stakeholder Pressure
Herold & Lee [29] identify competitive advantage as an emerging theme in the logistics and transportation carbon management literature. They find that efforts towards carbon reduction are strongly tied to business strategy and that improving sustainability performance can be key in differentiation. However, disclosure and communication with stakeholders are extremely important, so carbon reduction can effectively be a competitive advantage. Studies reviewed by Herold & Lee [29] also show that while stakeholder pressure is more powerful than governmental pressure, more is needed to motivate companies if carbon reduction needs to be in line with a long-term strategy. Miklautsch & Woschank [43] also find that external pressure to reduce emissions has a weak impact on top management and that customer pressure needs to be more widely on the industrial sector.
Herold & Lee [29] also find that alignment between retailers and regulatory forces and subsequent implementation of carbon policies present a great challenge that might impact the success of such policies. Moreover, the effectiveness of carbon pricing schemes is questioned once their cost usually needs to be more meaningful to drive behavioural changes [29]. Finally, Herold & Lee [29] investigate carbon target setting and find that companies adopt many different carbon target-setting approaches and that, most of the time, targets are set on a corporate level without a deeper understanding of reduction potentials at an operational level. Moreover, regarding the relationship between emissions reduction and cost, Herold & Lee [29] identify that ambitious carbon reduction targets cannot be reached with limited investments.
4.4. Benefits and Disadvantages
Most studies focused on the enablers, barriers and metrics dimensions of carbon emissions reduction. In most studies, carbon emissions reduction and climate change mitigation are identified as intrinsic benefits, and further co-benefits or disadvantages of emissions reduction are not explored. This indicates a gap in research concerning the post-implementation phase of carbon mitigation strategies and confirms the infancy of carbon concerns. It also partly reflects a dominant selection approach, which, according to the OM-PCR lenses of the structural contingency theory, takes for granted the outcomes of the landscape-mitigation fit [12].
While this review focused on CO2 emissions reduction, many carbon mitigation actions also reduced other emissions and air pollution. One example is the reduction of black carbon through implementing mass public transportation, which is harmful to climate change and the health implications of air pollution [26]. Carbon monoxide, nitrogen oxides, sulfur dioxide (SO2) and volatile organic components (VOC) are other air pollutants that might also be reduced through mass public transportation [26]. Electric vehicles, a technology commonly associated with GHG mitigation, may also cause a significant impact on gaseous pollutants — such as nitrogen oxides, VOC and SO2 — and moderately reduce particulate matter emissions [31].
In a review focused on EVs, Requia et al. [31] raise the debate on EVs shifting air pollution — rather than inherently reducing it — in countries mainly powered by fossil fuels. In such scenarios, it may be argued that emissions are transferred from vehicle tailpipes in roads (predominantly urban areas) to power plants (usually located in suburban or rural areas) [31]. Spatial distribution will be a key determinant of health impact in these cases, reducing exposure in countries where the majority of the population is concentrated in cities and only shifting it to countries with a more even population distribution; however, this might raise issues of fairness [31]. Requia et al. [31] state that EVs must be coupled with clean energy sources to obtain a significant impact on health and emissions reduction.
In Schinas & Bergmann’s [39] review of ETSs in aviation, they find no significant impact of ETSs on firm economic performance or logistics and operations. On the other hand, higher efficiency and an impact on valuations are reported. They also find that ETSs might lead to distorted competition between firms adhering or not to the system, highlighting the importance of a universal approach to ETS.
Herold & Lee [29] identify competitive advantage as a benefit of corporate strategies that adopt carbon mitigation measures, stating that environmental sustainability can be an important differentiation strategy. In addition, specific mitigation measures, such as mass public transportation, might generate secondary benefits to carbon emissions reduction, such as fewer traffic injuries and increased physical activities [26].
4.5. Metrics
This section reviews indicators of measurement and performance indicators, emissions modelling and inputs, and life-cycle assessments.
Franco et al. [24] compare techniques for measuring road vehicle emissions and developing emission factors and find that controlled environment techniques are more mature, despite being more expensive. At the same time, real-world conditions techniques provide a more accurate reflection of reality but also have larger variability that must be accounted for. Noussan et al. [44] stress the importance of choosing the right emission factors and including variability when assessing the impact of mobility strategies for decarbonisation. Finally, Kwan & Hashim [26] highlight the importance of incorporating speed into emissions calculations since calculations based solely on distance might underestimate emissions, ignoring traffic congestion, for example.
Herold & Lee [29] and Meyer [35] review several studies that focus on emissions quantification before and after the implementation of mitigation measures, and Herold & Lee [29] also review studies that investigate the trade-off relationship between costs and emissions. Smit et al. [19] explore different types of traffic emission models and perform a meta-analysis of studies validating these. Finally, Oguntona [37] reviews nine approaches to modelling aircraft fleet development, comparing long-term fleet-level emissions of different carbon mitigation measures.
When comparing different approaches to estimate transport GHG emissions, Arioli et al. [33] find that most studies adopt a top-down approach (usually using national or municipal-level statistics), followed closely by a bottom-up approach (using large volumes of data from sometimes multiple datasets), and on-site measurements is the least common method. However, while bottom-up is the most accurate method, it can also be the most challenging regarding data availability. Therefore, data availability and the aim of the GHG inventory should be considered when choosing the best approach. Similarly, Miola & Ciuffo [22] compare bottom-up and top-down methods in estimating air emissions from shipping. They remark on the high level of discrepancies in results from both approaches — attributed mainly to information sources — and introduce the use of multiple data sources simultaneously as a workaround towards greater accuracy in results.
Faris et al. [25] review vehicle fuel consumption and emissions modelling combined with ITS. They explore the different modelling scales and find that microscopic models provide greater accuracy, but macroscopic models are indicated for aggregate emissions inventory estimations. They also classify empirical (bottom-up) and statistical (top-down) modelling approaches. Finally, they conclude that mesoscopic (between microscopic and macroscopic) and empirical models are the most indicated for ITS network optimisation and environmental impact assessment.
Hawkins et al. [23] utilise a life-cycle inventory (LCI) approach to compare the environmental impacts of electric vehicles and conventional internal combustion engine vehicles. They find that the GHG of electric vehicles is highly dependent on the use phase, which is responsible for 60-90% of the life cycle global warming potential for battery electric vehicles powered by fossil-based electricity sources. However, more comprehensive LCIs, including all phases of the electric vehicle life-cycle, are still needed to understand the full environmental impact of these vehicles [23].
LCAs are typically centred on the life cycle of a given product and fail to capture transient effects caused by the introduction or replacement of products and technologies [28]. With this in mind, Garcia & Freire [28] take LCA further and adopt a fleet-based LCA capable of capturing these dynamics to review light-duty transportation. They find, however, that most reviewed studies fail to include the entire fleet life-cycle, usually overlooking the production and disposal phases. Li [21] advocates the need for cost-benefit analyses using the LCA approach in urban transportation, as these allow for a holistic assessment of costs incurred in private versus public transportation. Noussan et al. [44] review LCAs and well-to-wheel (WTW) emissions. WTW differs from an LCA as it does not consider energy and emissions in building facilities and vehicles or end-of-life aspects. Noussan et al. [44] call out the difficulty in comparing different assessments due to the inclusion of different stages (e.g., some studies include infrastructure and others do not) and advocate for a standardised evaluation framework. Herold & Lee [29] and Meyer [35] also review several studies incorporating LCAs.