1. Introduction
Long Covid (LC) has replaced Covid-19 as the topic du jour. Long term LC risks are unknown but have stoked growing concern. The neurodegenerative and tumorigenic implications are at the top of this list. Unfortunately the wide spectrum of LC symptoms has defied mechanistic attempts to link their pathogenesis. There are clearly multiple factors involved, complicating these attempts. The male dominated Covid-19 stands in stark contrast to the female dominated LC. “Evidence based” efforts investigating such issues have traditionally relied on Random Clinical Trials (RCTs) and meta-analyses - the top down approach. Two inherent problems are loss of timeliness (RCTs) and diluted results (meta-analyses). A bottom up approach based on biochemistry, physiology, and epidemiology may be more advantageous, given the urgency of and universal interest in LC. This is an opinion piece aided by the deluge of recent research on this burgeoning problem.
2. LC Model and Implications
Model
CD147 receptors on T cells bind CD147 epitopes (the falciparum antigen) on the spike protein S [
1,
2] (no ACE2 receptors on circulating immune cells [
3,
4,
5] or on erythrocytes)
Subsequently SARS CoV2 overwhelms and exhausts CD4+ and CD8+ T cells and natural killer cells (NKs)
Persistent chronic lymphopenia after Covid-19 [
6] lowers secretion of IFN-γ (type II IFN), [
7,
8] produced only by T cells and NK cells, but especially by CD4
+ T cells.
Decreased secretion of IFN-γ lowers hepatic synthesis of complement component 1 inhibitor (C1-INH) [
9]
Uninhibited C1 triggers the Classic Complement Pathway (CCP) and crosstalk with the Kallikrein Kinin System (KKS) [
10]
The KKS triggers an increase in BKN, which is normally catabolized by angiotensin converting enzyme (ACE)
Estrogen downregulates ACE and prolongs BKN half life [
11] This makes estrogen an ACE inhibitor of sorts and increases the risk of some cancers [
12,
13,
14]
BKN enhances vascular permeability creating “leaks” primarily in lungs [
15] and brain [
16], linking brain fog and dyspnea/post exertional malaise
IL-1β, prominent in LC [
17], potentiates the BKN induced microvascular leakage [
18] and brain fog primarily in Caucasian females.
The ACE DD genotype in African Americans, an evolutionary adaptation to falciparum malaria, downregulates this leakage (tighter endothelial junctions) and elevates the relative frequency of LC in Caucasian females
IFN-γ and TGF-β counterbalance each other [
19,
20] and the loss of IFN-γ secreted by CD4+ and CD8+ T cells leaves TGF-β unopposed.
Chronic low grade IL-1β and TNF-α redirect pleiotropic TGF-β from wound healing fibrosis to endothelial mesenchymal transition (EndMT)/epithelial mesenchymal transition (EMT) [
21,
22] and from tumor suppressor to tumor promoter [
23]
The switch of pleiotropic TGF-β from anti-inflammatory to proinflammatory appears to be more organ specific, e.g., neurovascular pericytes [
24].
Implications
Long term LC may drive an increase in sporadic/late onset AD due to an elevated TGF-β/IFN-γ [
25,
26,
27].
Late onset AD may appear earlier
AD frequency in Caucasian females, especially in those also on hormone replacement therapy (HRT) [
28,
29], may approach that in African American females.
Cancer risk/progression and fibrosis may also increase in Caucasian females
CD147 is the primary receptor involved in the pathogenesis of ASCVD [
30,
31] and LC long term may increase its incidence
The presence of CD147 receptors (but not ACE2 receptors) on platelets (and erythrocytes) creates platelet aggregates, further complicating the microcirculation [
32] (elevated mean platelet volume (MPV)).
The presence of the CD147 epitope on the spike protein S poses significant risks involving microvascular thrombosis in the short term for all exposed to the spike protein S.
The preference of SARS CoV2 for CD4+ T cells (laden with CD147 receptors) may cause growing cognitive impairment (without actual dementia) and reactivation of EBV (further exhausts CD4+ T cells) in LC and post vaccination.
The incidence of PD in diabetics post Covid-19 should also increase due to a depressed TGF-β/IFN-γ in PD.
3. Discussion
3.1. To LC and Beyond
Viral load and TGF-β/IFN-γ ratio determine Covid-19 symptoms (or not). This ratio decreases notably from the control group, passing through asymptomatic, up to symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 individuals [
33].
But as IFN-γ secreting T cells are lost to the invading virus (see
Figure 1), this ratio inverts (increases). A depressed TGF-β/IFN-γ is affiliated with PD [
34,
35]. An elevated ratio is affiliated with AD [
25,
26]. This suggests that TGF-β in those with LC may trigger fibrosis in multiple organs [
36,
37] (see
Section 3.3).
The cytokines of LC provide insight to possible future complications. TGF-β and IFN-γ are pleiotropic LC linked cytokines that can work in either direction, i.e., anti- to proinflammatory, suppressing to promoting EMT or tumor for TGF-β and anti- to proliferative, pro-apoptotic to necrotic, antitumor to tumor for IFN-γ. However, it appears that the deleterious effects of the switch are more significant for TGF-β. IFN-γ appears to retain a net positive effect [
40].
TGF-β functions initially as an anti-inflammatory, keeping the inflammatory response of IFN-γ under control. Under chronic inflammatory conditions TNF-α is elevated and can upregulate TGF-β, which opposes IFN-γ. Chronic low doses of TGF-β when combined with chronic low doses of TNF-α facilitate the switch of TGF-β from suppressing to promoting tumor [
23]. This also appears to be the case for switching TGF-β from wound healing fibrosis to endothelial or epithelial mesenchymal transition (EndMT [
41] or EMT [
42]).
Therefore, it seems reasonable to assume that TNF-α (chronic inflammation) might redirect TGF-β from anti-inflammatory to pro-inflammatory and open the door to neurodegenerative disease. The constant stimulus to chronic inflammation posed by residual spike protein S could easily trigger this (see
Figure 3).
3.2. AD, PD, and LBD
The three primary forms of accelerated pre-senile dementia are AD, PD, and Lewy Body Dementia (LBD). AD, the predominant form of pre-senile dementia, is more common in females while PD is more common in males. LBD is intermediate [
44]. AD Is characterized by an elevated TGF-β/IFN-γ [
26,
27]. Onset of PD in females is later and less severe than that in men [
45] and might be due to benefits from premenopausal estrogen or hormone replacement therapy [
46].
Although protective against PD, estrogen possesses ACE inhibitor properties that elevate BKN. Lung and brain BKN induced leakage contributes to LC and AD. African American females appear to be less affected by LC but suffer the highest incidence of AD (by gender or race). At first this seems contradictory for two reasons. First, in African American but not in Caucasian females estrogen levels decrease with increasing premenopausal age and BMI [
47], decreasing their risk of LC. Secondly, the incidence of the ACE DD genotype (tighter endothelial junctions) is higher, also decreasing their risk of LC. However, according to a recent NHANES survey the incidence of obesity in African American females was 50% greater than that in Caucasian males, Caucasian females, or African-American males. This is presumed to be due to dietary factors, possibly monosodium glutamate (MSG) [
48]. Perhaps escalating dietary MSG, induced by obesity and diabetes [
49,
50], overwhelms the protective properties of the ACE DD genotype, yielding more AD in African-American females. Obesity and diabetes also up regulate TGF-β, increasing the risk of AD [
51].
Individuals with diabetes are up to four times more likely to develop LC.
Although homocysteine is elevated and contributes to the development of AD, LBD, and PD, PD is different. It is in some ways the opposite of AD, e.g., TGF-β/IFN-γ is depressed, not elevated [
34,
35]. AD, LBD, and PD all feature extracellular plaques - amyloid β in AD, α-synuclein in LBD and PD. IFN-γ, elevated in PD, triggers microglial removal of amyloid β [
52,
53].
PD also exhibits abnormal tryptophan metabolism due to increased IFN-γ and perhaps pyridoxal-5-phosphate (P5P) deficiency [
54] (see
Figure 4).
P5P is a required cofactor for aromatic amino acid decarboxylase (AADC) (see
Figure 5), which produces DOPAMINE and serotonin. Additionally magnesium is a required cofactor for the synthesis of melatonin from serotonin. All three hormones are deficient in PD.
CD4+ (superior producers of IFN-γ [
57]) and not CD8+ T cells appear to be responsible for the increased IFN-γ in PD [
58]. SARS CoV2 preferentially attacks CD4+ T cells without involvement of ACE2 receptors [
59].
3.3. TGF and IFN
CD4 T cells can mount a much stronger IFN-γ response than CD8 T cells [
57]. A high CD4+/CD8+ characterizes PD [
60]. IFN-γ induces loss of dopamine neurons and nigrostriatal degeneration [
61].
There are some interesting parallels between PD, HIV/AIDS, and T2D that involve IFN-γ. HIV preferentially destroys CD8+ T cells [
62], accentuating the IFN-γ response from CD4+ T cells [
63]. The HIV induced IFN-γ increases the risk of PD [
64] and autoimmune disease [
65]. T2D also increases the risk of PD [
66,
67]. HIV increases the incidence of T2D [
68] and PD. TNF-α is chronically elevated in T2D [
69], AD, LBD, and PD. The most recent research suggests that Parkinson’s is an autoimmune disease, which conforms to the well known linkage between IFN-γ and autoimmune disease. Abnormal tryptophan metabolism exhibited in Parkinson’s disease, due to an IFN-γ imbalance, is also seen in T2D [
70] and HIV [
71]. TNF-α is elevated in AD, LBD, and PD [
72].
In summary TGF beta is a key player in AD; likewise for IFN gamma in PD. TGF beta and IFN gamma are both pleiotropic and the direction of each appears to be determined by the chronic cytokine milieu, including pleiotropic IL-1beta, pleiotropic TNF alpha, and IL-6. Perhaps chronic inflammation (post viral infection that targets CD4+ and/or CD8+ T cells) in those with marginal onboard antioxidants are predisposed to AD and PD.
TGF-β/Smad signaling pathway in renal, hepatic, pulmonary and cardiac fibrosis has been well documented [
73]. Recent studies show this to include the brain as well [
74,
75,
76]. Magnesium possesses the capacity to down regulate this SMAD pathway in the liver [
77] and the lungs [
78]. IFN-γ also appears capable in this regard [
79]. Exercise also helps by increasing IFN-γ [
80]. This is because exercise upregulates angiotensin II [
81] and angiotensin II upregulates IFN-γ [
82].
3.4. ACE and BKN
Angiotensin converting enzyme (ACE) produces angiotensin II and degrades BKN. Estrogen downregulates ACE, up regulating BKN. BKN upregulates tyrosine hydroxylase, the rate limiting step in dopamine synthesis [
83]. This might help explain the protective effects of estrogen in avoiding PD.
The frequency of the ACE II genotype in AD is 1.4x higher than that in controls v 0.4x for the ACE DD genotype [
84]. ACE levels are up to 70% higher in the DD genotype [
85]. Endothelial cell junctions are tighter and less permeable in the DD ACE genotype [
86].
However after menopause tight junction permeability increases due to endothelial dysfunction initiated by oxidative stress, microthrombosis (loss of RBC deformability), immune complexes (endothelial CD147 and perhaps ACE2 receptors linking to spike S epitopes), … The ACE DD genotype is protective against AD not only due to tighter endothelial junctions but also to increased ACE and less BKN [
87,
88].
BKN induced endothelial permeability not only produces perivascular angioedema but also leads to increased fibrosis [
89]. Either mechanism may contribute to the brain fog, dyspnea, and post exertional malaise of LC.
Because ACE is higher and BKN levels are commensurately lower in those with the ACE DD genotype, African American females should be less likely to develop LC versus their Caucasian counterparts. Some studies purport to show a decreased incidence of cancer in those with Alzheimer’s disease. However, African-American females are 40% more likely to die of breast cancer than Caucasian females [
90]. African-Americans have the highest death rate and shortest survival of any racial/ethnic group in the US for most cancers and have a greater incidence of Alzheimer’s disease than any other racial group in America [
91].
On the other hand, overall cancer risk is lower in people with PD, compared to the general population. This difference in cancer risk between AD and PD speaks to further linkage between TGF-β in cancer causation and IFN-γ in cancer avoidance [
92]. Estrogen and HRT for more than 10 years have been linked to a slight increase in cancer risk [
93]. Estrogen downregulates ACE and is an ACE inhibitor of sorts. ACE inhibitors have been linked to an increase in lung cancer [
94]. Not surprisingly, BKN has been linked to aggressive prostate cancer [
95].
3.5. Homocysteine and B Vitamins
Homocysteine plays a prominent role in all forms of dementia [
96]. Asians have a lower Ca:Mg diet and a lower incidence of AD [
97]. P5P figures prominently in homocysteine recycling and is a required cofactor for aromatic amino acid decarboxylase (AADC) (see
Figure 5). PD patients are frequently B6 deficient [
98] and exhibit abnormalities in both dopamine and serotonin synthesis [
99]. The dopamine synthesis shortfall in PD appears to be primarily driven by IFN-γ and its effect on tryptophan metabolism (see
Figure 4).
Homocysteine induces oxidative stress [
101] and is a marker for COVID-19 severity [
102], LC [
103], and dementia [
104,
105]. As shown in
Figure 6, vitamins B2,3,6,9,12 [
106] are prominent cofactors in both the folate and methionine cycles, which are integral in the metabolism of homocysteine. These B vitamin deficiencies are precisely those associated with cognitive impairment and AD [
107]. B complex supplements usually provide methylated B12, but pyridoxine (B6), and folate (B9) are not their active forms. Indeed, the active forms of B1,2,3,9,12 all require magnesium [
100] and some require activated B6 as a cofactor.
B1,3, and 6 must be phosphorylated (ATP and magnesium as chelate); B2,9,12 must be methylated (magnesium as cofactor) [
108]. ATP and methylation both require Mg
++.
The active form of B6 (P5P) requires ATP and chelated Mg (phosphorylation) and its activated form as a cofactor, creating a catch 22 situation. Most B6 supplements contain pyridoxine (PNP), which in excess can lead to peripheral neuropathy [
109]. This can be avoided by substituting P5P. Rxn 2 (PNPO) in
Figure 7 mediated by P5P oxidase is the rate limiting step.
P5P is critical to its own synthesis, to that of the active forms of other B vitamins, and to the recycling of homocysteine to glutathione (see
Figure 8). Its critical role in cognition is well known [
110,
111]. Magnesium is also critical to the synthesis of all endogenous and most exogenous antioxidants [
112].
Vitamin B5 (pantothenate) deficiency is also associated with both AD [
113] and PD [
114]. In order for pantothenate to reach its active form, three phosphorylations must occur. Each requires ATP and magnesium [
115].
3.6. Vitamin D and Ca:Mg
An elevated Ca
++ and a little depressed Mg
++ (high Ca:Mg) are linked to AD [
116,
117] and PD [
118,
119]. A recent 2023 article reported that vitamin D, folic acid and vitamin B12 could reverse the cognitive decline leading to AD. Total benefit exceeded that from any single supplement [
120]. Adding magnesium and P5P to this regimen would improve the results immeasurably.
As Ca:Mg increases, Vitamin D loses its efficacy for colorectal cancer, prostate cancer, esophageal cancer, cardiovascular disease, metabolic syndrome, total mortality, and cognitive function [
121].
The Western diet is high in processed foods with high monosodium glutamate (MSG)/calcium and low fiber/magnesium. The typical Asian diet offers more magnesium but less calcium. The target Ca:Mg for both is 2.0. A fiber rich diet that includes fermented vegetables is inversely proportional to Covid-19 mortality in Europe [
122,
123], as demonstrated in Germany (sauerkraut) and South Korea ((kimchi) [
124].
Ionized serum Ca:Mg [
125] and 25(OH)D
3 are measures of general health that reflect CRP and HRV [
126]. Serum magnesium also reflects gut microbiota diversity and gut health [
127,
128].
The correlation between the serum magnesium and dementia depends on the Ca:Mg. On a Western diet the healthy upper limit is 2.6. On an Eastern diet the lower limit is 1.7 [
129].
3.7. APOE and Methylation
Reducing the Ca:Mg ratio reduces the risk of dementia [
130]. Methylation of DNA for stability retards the onset of both neurodegenerative disease, e.g., the APOE gene, and cancer [
131,
132], e.g., basigin (CD147) gene [
133].
Hypomethylation increases with age and leads to an unstable genome, with activation of some tumor promoter genes [
134,
135]. Hypomethylation of CpG islands (cytosine-guanine pairs) promotes AD [
136], LBD [
137,
138], and PD [
139].
There are three alleles for APOE and APOE4 is the major risk factor for Alzheimer’s disease [
140]. Hypomethylation of APOE4 is a major determinant in this. 15% of the US population is heterozygous for this allele and 5% are homozygous. Chris Hemsworth recently announced a pullback in his schedule to spend more time with family. It was also reported that while working on a nature film he learned that he was homozygous for APOE4. But as worrisome as that might seem, AD appears to be less genetic and more epigenetic. The native American Indian population presents plenty of APOE4 but very little Alzheimer’s disease [
141]. The Paleolithic diet provides an excellent Ca:Mg balance. Dairy is not included (eggs 5, milk 10). Perhaps this dementia gene (APOE4) itself is not the problem but an elevated Ca:Mg, crowding out the Mg
++. Ca
++ and Mg
++ share the same receptor - CaSR (calcium sensing receptor). DNA methylation occurs via SAMe and magnesium (see
Figure 8).
3.8. Treatment
Magnesium and vitamin D (50 ng/mL target) are at the top of the list for both prevention and treatment. Magnesium is a critical mineral in the human body and is involved in ~80% of known metabolic functions [
142]. Vitamin D possesses invaluable antioxidant and anti-inflammatory properties (see
Figure 9). Approximately 75% of human immune system functions depend on maintaining a healthy, physiological serum 25(OH)D concentration [
143].
- 2.
The target Ca:Mg is 2.0, but any ratio greater than 2.6 or less than 1.7 compromises the efficacy of vitamin D [
121]. Covid-19 makes AD [
145] worse. Ca
++ dysregulation plays a prominent role in both AD and amyloid β deposition [
130].
- 3.
Antioxidants are vital in the defense of COVID-19 infection. However, if the onboard supply is suboptimal, the vast numbers of ROS generated may overwhelm mitochondria and markedly compromise ATP production. Most endogenously produced and some exogenous antioxidants require ATP (and magnesium) to attain activated status. Vitamin C (water-soluble), vitamins A, D
3, E, K (all fat-soluble), Zn, D-ribose, selenium, and many others require no processing [
112]. Furthermore, hydroxylation of C1 of 25(OH)D in the synthesis of active vitamin D occurs in the mitochondria and is suppressed by calcium [
146]. Loss of mitochondria due to oxidative stress compromises vitamin D efficacy in addition to the elevated Ca:Mg.
- 4.
P5P aka PLP (pyridoxal phosphate) is the active form of B6, which is required for activation of many of the B vitamins associated with homocysteine metabolism. P5P is the required cofactor for its own synthesis.
- 5.
A sedentary lifestyle risks eventual obesity and diabetes. Exercise also facilitates a better IFN-γ:TGF-β balance by increasing IFN-γ levels [
80].
- 6.
Probiotics, especially after antibiotic therapy, improves the diversity of the gut microbiome [
147,
148,
149].
- 7.
Dehydration triggers the renal resorption of Na+ and water. This also means loss of Mg++ (and K+) to maintain electroneutrality. Also, the thirst reflex diminishes with age. What good is increased dietary/supplemental Mg++ in the face of a magnesuric drain. Hydration maintenance, easily overlooked, potentially trumps all the other suggestions.
4. Conclusion
The most recent research presented here suggests that AD, PD, LBD, and T2D might all be secondary to an imbalanced TGF-β/IFN-γ perhaps induced by some previous viral infection that preferentially targeted CD4+ and/or CD8+ T cells. These T cells secrete IFN-γ with the lion’s share coming from CD4+. HIV preferentially attacks CD8+ T cells, leaving the heavy IFN-γ producing CD4+ T cells. HIV mimics PD in many ways, including susceptibility to de novo T2M. TGF-β/IFN-γ is elevated in AD (and EBV) and depressed in PD, LBD, HIV, and T2M.
Estrogen protects against and delays PD, but predisposes to LC and postmenopausal AD, especially if on HRT for more than 10 years. Increased BKN mediates LC and AD. The ACE DD genotype is protective against LC and AD. Estrogen down regulates ACE, causing an increase in BKN. Obesity and diabetes predispose to AD, LBD, and PD. Magnesium and P5P, the active form of vitamin B6, are deficient in most with AD, LBD, and PD.
CD147 and BKN in the proposed model play vital roles both in the development of LC and in its long term consequences. But an imbalance between TGF-β and IFN-γ due to SARS CoV2 induced lymphopenia supercharges the roles of CD147 and BKN. The implications of the proposed hypothesis with respect to LC and its possible long term consequences extend not only to the unvaccinated but also to the vaccinated, who might be even more susceptible to recurrent SARS CoV2 (see
Figure 10), unless preventative measures are taken.
ACE2 receptors are not present on immune cells (CD4+, CD8+ T cells, NK cells), the primary combatants against SARS CoV2. The presence of the ACE2 receptor on endothelial cells is controversial [
151,
152]. Indeed the pathogenesis of microvascular thrombosis, lymphopenia, and TGF-β predominance in Covid-19 cannot be explained without acknowledging the presence of the CD147 epitope on the spike protein S, first reported in a Chinese study [
1]. This finding was quickly challenged, but those challenges were later debunked [
2].
However, the worrisome implications of this model are not irreversible.
These preventative measures include serum Ca:Mg near 2.0, serum 25(OH)D
3 near 50 ng/mL, and an abundance of micronutrient antioxidants, especially P5P [
153]. The efficacy of vitamin D is compromised in the face of an elevated Ca:Mg [
121]. But D
3 may be even better for endothelial health [
154]. Endothelial competence is not only at the center of LC, AD, LBD, PD, and many cancers but also in the progression of cardiovascular disease, arthritis, multiple sclerosis, and sepsis [
154]. So, D3 may be of benefit even in those with an elevated Ca:Mg.
Vitamin D (1,25(OH)2D, the active form, is much more reliant on Mg++ for its efficacy. It requires Mg++ as a cofactor for three steps in its synthesis. Even parathormone synthesis requires Mg++.
Ultimately exercise, diet including some supplementation, and hydration are the primary determinants of epigenetically determined health over and above those associated with LC. HRV, the fifth vital sign, connects all the vital players - gut microbiome diversity [
155], dietary micronutrients, e.g., magnesium [
156], balanced Ca:Mg [
125], balanced TGF-β [
157] and TNF-α [
158], and D
3 [
125]. It’s all about balance.
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