1. Introduction
Over the years, the incidence of thyroid cancer has been continuously increasing particularly in developed countries, partly due to advancements in imaging technology and increasing accuracy of pathologic evaluation [
1,
2]. Papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) is the most prevalent subtype of thyroid carcinoma, accounting for up to 89.1% of all diagnosed cases [
3].
The incidence of multifocal PTC ranges from 18% to 87% [
4,
5,
6]. PTC presents as a multifocal disease at diagnosis. Moreover, multifocal PTC is often incidentally diagnosed during postoperative pathologic evaluation. Multifocality is defined as the presence of two or more distinct malignant foci in the thyroid gland, and it can either be confined to a unilateral or bilateral lobe. However, there is still a debate whether to consider multiple foci as a characteristic of independent synchronous malignancies or intraglandular metastases from a single focus [
4,
7].
Several studies have shown that bilaterality is an independent predictor of lymph node metastasis in PTC. Further, it is related to a more aggressive disease, with an increased risk of gross extrathyroidal extension (ETE), positive resection margin, locoregional recurrence, and distant metastasis [
7,
8,
9]. According to the National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) guidelines, total thyroidectomy (TT) is the recommended surgical extent for bilateral PTC. If macroscopic multifocality is diagnosed postoperatively upon pathologic examination, complete thyroidectomy should be performed [
10].
, some studies have revealed that although bilateral PTC is associated with more aggressive features, patients with this condition do not necessarily have a poor clinical outcome [
11,
12]. Further, compared with TT, unilateral lobectomy may be sufficient for treating low-risk unilateral multifocal PTC without cervical LN metastasis, with no negative impact on recurrence-free survival [
13]. Thus, the negative effect of multifocality on clinical course remains unclear.
The current study aimed to compare the clinicopathological characteristics and long-term oncological outcomes of unilateral multifocal and bilateral PTC via a propensity score-matched analysis to reduce selection bias.
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Patients
Between March 2008 and June 2014, 4,591 patients diagnosed with PTC underwent thyroidectomy at Seoul St. Mary’s Hospital. In total, 139 patients were excluded due to insufficient data (n = 84) and loss to follow-up (n = 55). The medical records of the remaining 4,452 patients were reviewed retrospectively. Then, 1,745 patients with multifocal PTC were included in the analysis. Moreover, 1,002 and 743 patients had bilateral and unilateral multifocal PTC. All patients with bilateral disease underwent total thyroidectomy (TT), and 371 (49.9%) of 743 patients with unilateral multifocal disease underwent TT. The average follow-up duration was 105.4 ± 22.2 (range: 55–139) months.
This study was conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki (revised in 2013). It was approved by the Institutional Review Board of Seoul St. Mary’s Hospital, Catholic University of Korea (no: KC22RISI0682). The need for informed consent was waived due to the retrospective nature of this study.
2.2. Follow-up assessment
Postoperative care and follow-up evaluation were conducted according to the American Thyroid Association (ATA) management guidelines for differentiated thyroid cancer [
16]. During regular follow-up evaluations, all patients underwent physical examination, blood tests, including serum thyroid function, thyroglobulin and anti-thyroglobulin antibody assessment, and neck ultrasonography at 3, 6, and 12 months after surgery and annually after the first year. Radioactive iodine (RAI) ablation was performed 6–8 weeks after the surgery in patients who underwent TT and those who are at intermediate or high risk according to the risk stratification system of the ATA management guidelines. Whole-body scan was performed 5–7 days after RAI ablation. To determine the location and extent of recurrence, patients suspected with recurrence underwent additional diagnostic imaging tests, including computed tomography scan, positron emission tomography/computed tomography scan, and/or whole-body RAI scan. If there is structural recurrence on imaging studies, either ultrasound-guided fine-needle aspiration/core needle biopsy or surgical excision was performed for pathologic confirmation.
2.3. Primary and secondary endpoint
The primary endpoint was disease-free survival (DFS) between the unilateral multifocal and bilateral PTC groups after propensity score matching (PSM). The secondary endpoint was clinicopathological characteristic between the two groups before and after PSM.
2.4. Statistical analysis
were analyzed with the Student’s t-test and were presented as means and standard deviations. Categorical variables were assessed with the Fisher’s exact test and were expressed as numbers and percentages. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to validate the predictors of DFS, and hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated. The Kaplan–Meier method with the log-rank test was used to compare the DFS.
To control potential confounding factors, the individual patient propensity scores were calculated via logistic regression analysis. Next, patients with unilateral multifocal PTV were matched to those with bilateral PTC at a 1:1 ratio using the propensity scores. Then, the DFS and long-term oncological outcomes were compared between the matched unilateral multifocal and bilateral PTC groups. After PSM, the DFS predictors were validated using univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses, similar to the approach before matching. A p value of <0.05 was considered statistically significant. All statistical analyses were performed using the Statistical Package for the Social Sciences software (version 24.0; IBM Corp., Armonk, NY, USA).
4. Discussion
Previous studies have reported that bilateral PTC is a predictor of aggressive disease and an independent risk factor of recurrence [
8,
9,
14]. However, in the current study, unilateral multifocality, rather than bilaterality, was associated with a high risk of recurrence.
PTC is the most prevalent subtype of thyroid malignancies [
3]. Generally, PTC is a relatively indolent tumor with an excellent long-term prognosis. Its overall survival rate is 90%–95% [
15]. Multifocal PTC is common, with an incidence rate of 18%–87%, based on the diagnostic approach [
4,
5,
6]. According to the location of the malignant foci, multifocality can be divided into either unilateral—if multiple foci are limited to a single lobe—or bilateral—if malignant foci are found in two lobes. The NCCN guidelines recommend TT as the primary treatment option for preoperatively diagnosed bilateral PTC and complete thyroidectomy for postoperatively diagnosed multifocal disease after lobectomy [
10]. However, the optimal surgical extent for low-risk unilateral multifocal disease remains controversial with contradicting evidence regarding recurrence after lobectomy.
According to the ATA guidelines, multifocal PTC is associated with a low risk for structural disease recurrence unless it is accompanied by other high-risk features such as ETE, LN metastasis, and vascular invasion [
16]. Nonetheless, several studies have recommended that multifocality is associated with a high risk of contralateral disease and that bilateral multifocality is a predictor of LN metastasis and poorer clinical outcome, including locoregional recurrence and distant metastasis [
17,
18,
19,
20,
21,
22]. Feng et al. showed that both multifocality and bilaterality were associated with aggressive features. However, multifocality was the only predictor of recurrence [
23]. Similarly, Yan et al. found that bilateral multifocality is associated with aggressive features such as large tumor size, ETE, and lymph node metastasis, but not with prognosis [
24]. Therefore, whether multifocality or bilaterality can be a prognostic factor remains controversial.
Cai et al. have shown that unilateral multifocality and bilateral multifocality should be considered as two molecularly separate entities. They found that unilateral multifocal disease is associated with an increased risk of central neck metastasis compared with bilateral disease (single lesion in each lobe) [
25]. Only a few studies have investigated differences between bilateral and unilateral multifocal PTC, and compared the clinicopathological characteristics and long-term oncological outcomes of these two subtypes in patients who underwent TT with central lymph node dissection and/or modified radical neck dissection. Due to conflicting results regarding the clinical implications of unilateral multifocality and bilaterality, the current study aimed to compare the clinicopathologic characteristics and recurrence rates of bilateral and unilateral multifocal PTC and to investigate the risk factors of recurrence after PSM.
Results showed that patients with bilateral PTC had significantly larger tumors and more extensive lymph node involvement and advanced T and N stages compared with those with unilateral multifocal PTC. Moreover, bilateral disease was more likely characterized by aggressive features, including gross ETE and lymphatic and perineural invasion. These findings are in accordance with those of previous reports showing that bilateral PTC is associated with more aggressive clinicopathological features compared with unilateral multifocal disease [
11,
23,
24]. Interestingly, the incidence of BRAF
V600E mutation and the recurrence rate did not significantly differ between the bilateral and the unilateral multifocal PTC groups, which was in contrast to previously reported outcomes [
26,
27].
Patients with bilateral PTC are routinely treated with TT. Meanwhile, patients with unilateral multifocal PTC undergo either TT or lobectomy. The surgical extent may have an effect on locoregional disease control and may subsequently affect long-term outcomes. Hence, patients who underwent TT were analyzed. Approximately 49.9% of patients with unilateral multifocal disease who underwent TT were included in the research. Results showed that the bilateral PTC group had a significantly larger tumor size and higher frequency of gross ETE, thereby leading to a greater proportion of patients with more advanced T stage. Otherwise, the two groups did not significantly differ in terms of other aggressive features, such as aggressive PTC subtypes, cervical LN metastasis, BRAFV600E positivity, and lymphatic, vascular, and perineural invasion.
We conducted PSM to further reduce selection bias. After matching, unilateral multifocality, vascular invasion, and RAI therapy were the only significant risk factors of recurrence. Interestingly, unilateral multifocality was a predictor of recurrence based on the multivariate analysis, with a HRs of 2.664. This result is in contrast to that of previous studies showing that bilateral PTC is a risk factor of recurrence [
8,
9,
14]. Our findings showed that the surgical extent for unilateral multifocal PTC should be planned cautiously. Postoperatively, patients with unilateral multifocal PTC must be closely monitored with short-term follow-up for the early detection of recurrent disease.
Further, vascular invasion was a strong predictor of recurrence in our study, with a HRs of 3.839. Reilly et al. showed that vascular invasion is associated with aggressive tumor factors, such as lymphatic and capsular invasion, ETE, and lymph node metastasis, in papillary cancer [
28]. Our findings are in accordance with those of previous studies showing that vascular invasion is associated with a high risk of recurrence and poor prognosis in PTC [
28,
29].
RAI therapy is recommended for intermediate- and high-risk patients who underwent TT or near TT, according to the current ATA guidelines [
16]. However, the effect of RAI therapy in improving prognosis remains controversial, with an RAI-refractory PTC rate of 20%–30% [
30]. Tang J. et al. performed a retrospective study using the SEER program. Results showed that RAI therapy improved disease-specific survival in patients with a tumor measuring <2 cm and distant metastasis or those with a tumor measuring >2 cm accompanied by one of the following risk factors: gross ETE, age >45 years, lymph node metastasis, and distant metastasis. Otherwise, there was no significant improvement in disease-specific survival even after RAI therapy [
31]. In the current study, RAI therapy was a significant risk factor of recurrence based on the multivariate analysis. Therefore, RAI therapy may not be effective in reducing recurrence in patients with multifocal PTC. Moreover, cautious patient selection is required for RAI therapy candidates.
The current study had several limitations. Although the subgroup analysis aimed to eliminate the effect of surgical extent on long-term outcomes, we might have inadvertently introduced selection bias in the process of including patients with unilateral multifocal PTC who underwent TT. Large tumor size, clinical LN positivity, and other aggressive features are considered when performing TT for unilateral disease, thereby selectively including patients at higher risk of recurrence. Further, this study was retrospective in nature and was conducted at a single center, and it included a relatively small sample size. However, all patients were treated and followed-up uniformly according to a single protocol, which is considered a strength of this research. Nevertheless, the molecular profile of the tumors, which may have important implications for clinical course and prognosis, was not investigated.