1. Introduction
Previous studies have shown that both short-term (i.e., acute) and long-term (i.e., chronic) exposure to fine particulate matter (PM
2.5) can lead to increased cardiopulmonary morbidity and mortality in humans [
1,
2]. According to the International Agency for Research in Cancer (IARC), an agency of the World Health Organization (WHO), the second most common cancer disease for all ages and both sexes is lung cancer with approximately 2.21 million reported cases worldwide in 2020 [
3]. It was estimated that prolonged exposure to ambient PM
2.5 could lead to approximately 5% of bronchus, trachea, and lung cancer mortality in urban areas around the world [
4]. Various studies have attributed lung cancer to the inhalation of carcinogenic species of ambient PM, including polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) and redox-active metals (e.g., arsenic, cadmium) [
5,
6,
7,
8].
PAHs are a broad group of chemical compounds composed of multiple fused aromatic rings of carbon and hydrogen atoms that can be arranged in a linear, angular, or clustered configuration with varying complexity and lipophilic properties [
9,
10]. Particulate-phase PAHs are low-volatility toxic organic compounds that have the potential to travel long distances, thus developing genotoxic effects when inhaled by humans [
11,
12]. They can originate from a wide range of sources, including road traffic (i.e., automobile engines), incomplete combustion of fuels in industrial activities, cooking and biomass burning [
10,
13,
14]. The United States Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA) has identified numerous PAH species as priority pollutants due to their potential to cause mutagenesis and carcinogenesis [
15,
16]. In particular, benzo(α)pyrene (BaP) has been widely employed in cancer risk assessment studies as a surrogate for all PAHs due to its established and potent carcinogenic properties [
17,
18]. This approach involves converting the concentrations of all targeted PAHs to BaP-equivalent concentrations using potency equivalent factors (PEFs) [
19]. Moreover, several toxic metal species present in ambient PM, when inhaled, can cause serious health deterioration and carcinogenic effects in humans, including nose, liver, kidney, and lung cancers [
6,
20]. According to IARC, chromium VI (Cr(VI)), arsenic (As), cadmium (Cd), and metallic nickel (Ni) have all been classified as Group 1 carcinogens, indicating sufficient and strong evidence of their ability to cause cancer in humans [
21]. Research has found that vehicular and industrial emissions are the primary contributors to high levels of heavy toxic metals in ambient PM in various developed and developing countries [
22,
23].
The three cities investigated in this study, namely Los Angeles, Milan, and Thessaloniki, are densely populated urban centers, and vulnerable to various carcinogenic pollutants emitted from a multitude of sources, posing a significant risk to the health of their inhabitants [
24]. Previous source apportionment studies in Los Angeles have demonstrated various urban emission sources contributing to the formation of fine particulate pollutants in the region [
25,
26,
27]. Hasheminassab et al. (2014) [
25] found that the Los Angeles basin was primarily affected by vehicular traffic-related sources, as well as secondary ammonium nitrate and sulfate formation. However, since 2007, state and federal regulations have been implemented to limit traffic-related pollution, resulting in significant reductions in vehicular emissions. In Thessaloniki, ambient PM pollution was mainly caused by vehicular emissions and residential heating [
28,
29]. Argyropoulos et al. (2016) [
30] concluded that burning biomass had a much greater effect on PM redox activity in the colder months due to the rise in residential wood burning during the winter following the economic crisis in Greece in 2009. Exposure to PM emissions related to wood burning has been linked to various adverse health impacts due to the presence of redox-active species, including PAHs [
30,
31,
32]. In Milan, the major emission sources during the summer season were traffic and secondary organic aerosol (SOA), while intense biomass burning was the major source in the winter period [
33,
34]. During the wintertime in the metropolitan area of Milan, research found that ambient PM caused premature cell division and DNA damage, which was linked to increased concentrations of PAHs and transition metals [
35]. Hakimzadeh et al. (2020) [
34] reported that burning of biomass in combination with atmospheric stability during the winter months led to substantially elevated levels of PM
2.5 oxidative potential in the region, surpassing the values recorded in numerous European cities (e.g., Thessaloniki) and even in Los Angeles.
Analyzing the long-term trend in ambient PM levels, Los Angeles, Thessaloniki, and Milan have demonstrated varying degrees of success in reducing their PM
2.5 concentrations over recent decades. According to the South Coast Air Quality Management District (AQMD), a governmental agency in southern California, the annual-averaged PM
2.5 concentration in Los Angeles has decreased from 28.5 ± 8.5 µg/m
3 in 2005 to 11.8 ± 4.2 µg/m
3 in 2022, which still remains slightly higher than the recommended annual mean PM
2.5 concentration of 10 µg/m
3 set by the World Health Organization [
36]. In Thessaloniki, annual ambient PM
2.5 concentration has also significantly decreased from 97 ± 18.5 µg/m
3 in 1994-1995 [
37] to 15.7 ± 5.5 µg/m
3 in 2019-2021 [
38]; however, the concentrations are still higher than Los Angeles and the WHO annual mean PM
2.5 level. Considering Milan, the long-term ambient PM
2.5 concentrations exhibited a slight decrease from 54.5 ± 11.6 µg/m
3 in 1997-1998 [
39] to 44.22 ± 12.81 µg/m
3 in 2018-2019 [
34]
, approximately four times higher than Los Angeles and the WHO annual mean PM
2.5 concentration (10 µg/m
3).
This study aimed to assess the potential lifetime cancer risk linked to PM-related carcinogenic metals and PAHs in three metropolitan areas, including Los Angeles, Milan, and Thessaloniki. These cities share the same mild Mediterranean climate; however, they are characterized by distinct pollution sources and air quality regulations. Therefore, the main purpose of this work was to investigate changes in PM concentrations and the associated cancer risk due to the variability in emission sources and their intensities in the three analyzed regions. Given the great variability of indoor concentrations and sources of pollutants, our focus is primarily on health risks associated with exposure to outdoor pollutants. The results of this work can be used as a potential guide for researchers and medical professionals to evaluate the impact of exposure to ambient carcinogenic components and assist government officials to make more informed decisions regarding the adoption of air quality policies.
5. Summary and Conclusions
This study investigated the lifetime cancer risk from population exposure to carcinogenic PM-bound components in three urban environments including Los Angeles, Milan and Thessaloniki which shared similar Mediterranean climate but were different in their emission source and governing air quality policies. According to our results, Milan exhibited the highest lifetime cancer risk values compared to the corresponding values in Los Angeles and Thessaloniki, with values ranging from (0.19±0.02)×10-6 to (9.82±0.58)×10-6. The population exposure to As, Cr(VI) and PAHs in Milan exceeded the US EPA standard across all scenarios, highlighting the magnitude of the air pollution in this metropolitan area. We also observed lower concentrations of heavy metals and PAHs in Los Angeles. The PAH levels were significantly reduced compared to our measurements in this basin, six years prior. The lower mass concentration of particle-bound components in Los Angeles, translated into the lowest cancer risk estimations among the examined sites. However, the cancer risk from exposure to a highly carcinogenic metal (i.e.,Cr(VI)) was still above the US EPA’s acceptable risk levels. Similar to Milan and Thessaloniki, the cumulative cancer risk value corresponding to exposure to carcinogenic metals and PAHs in Los Angeles exceeded the acceptable levels, highlighting the need for additional measures to target the local emission source in this region.
Our study, although comprehensive, has certain limitations and uncertainties which need to be highlighted. Firstly, the data collected do not cover all seasonal variations as the sampling periods only included the summer and winter seasons. Secondly, different sampling techniques were used in each city, which may affect the direct comparability of data across the studied locations. Additionally, a major source of uncertainty lies in the estimation of indoor concentrations using varying infiltration factors. In our model, we considered three scenarios: Worst-case Scenario, Best-case Scenario, and a Mixed Scenario to model variations in indoor pollutant infiltration due to changes in ventilation conditions. Even though these scenarios cover a range of possible conditions, there is still inherent uncertainty due to the variation in building designs, ventilation systems, seasonal meteorology, and lifestyle factors that influence indoor pollutant levels. For example, using ventilation systems equipped with in-line filters can help to reduce indoor pollutant levels and consequently minimize the cancer risk associated with indoor exposure. On the other hand, personal habits such as indoor smoking or frequent use of chemical cleaning products can increase indoor pollutant concentrations, potentially raising the associated cancer risk. Furthermore, the assumptions made under our cancer risk model introduced potential uncertainty. For instance, the model assumed that individuals spend 80% of their time indoors and 20% outdoors. This approximation might not be representative of all individual lifestyles, potentially affecting the accuracy of our risk estimates. Our model also considers health risks associated with exposure to outdoor pollutants only due to the great variability of indoor concentrations and sources of pollutants..