1. Introduction
Asthma, a chronic pulmonary disorder, afflicts approximately 374 million people globally with annual 461,000 deaths [
1]. It is concerning to acknowledge that despite the highest incidence of asthma being reported in countries with high socio-demographic indices (SDIs), the maximum mortality rate due to this condition is observed in low and middle SDI countries [
2]. According to the most recent report from the Global Initiative for Asthma (GINA), asthma remains insufficiently diagnosed, with its prevalence being inadequately documented in numerous middle and low-income countries [
3]. A closer look at the United Arab Emirates (UAE) reveals that the disease prevalence among school-aged children is approximately between 9.8% and 11.9%, with some variability attributable to age [
4]. In neighboring Saudi Arabia, the situation is similar, if not more concerning. The number of children with asthma is much higher than adults, with rates varying from 9% to 33.7% depending on the area [
5]. In the broader Middle East region, asthma prevalence varies between 4.4% and 7.6% [
6]. Asthma is defined by periodic episodes of wheezing, shortness of breath, and coughing, caused by the inflammation and narrowing of the respiratory tract. This chronic condition stems from the complex interaction of genetic and environmental elements, such as air pollution. Asthma places an enormous strain on patients' physical, social, emotional, and professional lives, with a significant impact on their quality of life and a marked burden on healthcare systems worldwide.
One of the significant challenges in asthma management lies in the substantial variability in individual symptoms and triggers [
7]. These triggers, which differ from person to person, can include physical exercise, adverse weather conditions, exposure to cold, dry air, specific food substances, food additives, and tobacco smoke [
8]. Other triggers identified include changes in air temperature, humidity, and strong odors. Recognizing and avoiding asthma triggers are pivotal in effective disease management. However, this often poses a significant challenge due to the difficulty in not only identifying these triggers but also actively avoiding them [
9]. This complexity is further exacerbated by the fact that these factors can affect individuals at varying degrees [
3]. Consequently, for those living with asthma, mitigating acute episodes is of paramount importance, necessitating continuous monitoring of potential triggers. Crucially, this highlights the urgent need for developing methods to predict these trigger factors early on [
10]. A review of existing literature reveals that most studies primarily relied on bio-signal factors associated with asthma for prediction [
11]. Meanwhile, a limited number of studies have considered environmental factors [
12], and even fewer studies have incorporated both these elements in their research [
13].
Asthma management has traditionally centered on medication use, patient education, and triggers avoidance, with recent trends shifting towards integrated care approaches aimed at improving asthma control and enhancing patients' quality of life [
14]. Despite these strides, a prevailing challenge persists in the substantial variability of symptoms and triggers among individuals, calling for a more personalized approach to asthma management [
15]. These personalized strategies have gained increased focus in modern healthcare, taking into consideration the specific asthma phenotype and endotype of each individual [
16]. This personalized approach, facilitated by advanced understanding of asthma's pathophysiology, has spurred targeted biologic therapies and precision medicine [
17]. Additionally, there is a growing interest in leveraging digital health interventions and smart inhaler technologies for continuous monitoring and provision of personalized feedback to patients [
18]. Despite these promising advancements, the domain of personalized asthma management is still in its relative infancy and necessitates further research to refine and amplify its strategies, particularly through real-time monitoring and predictive analytics [
19].
Personalized alert systems have increasingly played a vital role in chronic disease management, offering novel approaches to condition monitoring and real-time response mechanisms. In diabetes management, for instance, continuous glucose monitoring systems integrated with alert features have proven beneficial in facilitating timely intervention, thus enhancing glycemic control and reducing hypoglycemic episodes [
20,
21]. Similarly, in heart disease management, remote patient monitoring systems with personalized alert functions have shown potential in early detection of cardiac anomalies, reducing hospitalization rates, and improving patients' quality of life [
22,
23]. In the context of chronic respiratory diseases like asthma or COPD (Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease), the emergence of smart inhalers and spirometers that provide real-time feedback and personalized alerts on medication usage and lung function can potentially transform disease management [
24,
25]. These developments signal a growing trend towards a more proactive, personalized approach to chronic disease management that emphasizes real-time monitoring, early intervention, and patient engagement.
In addition to biological factors, it is imperative to acknowledge that environmental variables have historically played a significant role in triggering asthma symptoms. Indoor allergens including dust mites, pet dander, and mold, together with particular environmental factors like humidity and temperature swings, have been connected to an increase in asthma-related hospital admissions and a decline in lung function in asthma sufferers [
26,
27]. Another substantial environmental risk factor that can severely affect asthma control is tobacco smoke [
28]. The importance of incorporating these environmental factors into individualized asthma management strategies, which may include the use of alert systems to warn patients of poor air-quality or extreme weather conditions that may exacerbate their symptoms, is highlighted by the realization that these environmental factors have a significant impact on asthma exacerbation.
Given all the above about the inherent variability and unpredictability of asthma, there is a growing need for more personalized monitoring strategies. Current standard monitoring methods, while effective for the majority, often fail to cater to individuals with distinct symptom profiles and overlook the impact of unique triggers [
29]. Addressing these issues necessitates a paradigm shift towards a more personalized strategy that accurately acknowledges unique symptom profiles and trigger patterns while considering both biological signals and environmental influences and proposing simple and practical ways to monitor them.
Our research is geared towards creating an affordable, practical, and personalized alert system to revolutionize asthma management. Based on individual pulmonary function tests and real-time environmental data, our proposed system aims to provide timely, personalized alerts according to the individual's respiratory health status. We propose that this tailored approach will gradually empower individuals to proactively monitor their respiratory health, foresee potential exacerbations, and initiate timely interventions, consequently avoiding asthma attacks and enhancing their overall quality of life. While our current study focuses on healthy individuals, we believe that the concept and scenario are applicable and beneficial for asthmatic patients [
17].
3. Results and Discussion
3.1. PEF in Standard Environment Condition
The collected data from the air-quality device, in conjunction with corresponding best of three PEF reading after a duration of 20 minutes spent within a standard indoor environmental condition, is demonstrated in
Table 3. From the table we can conclude: First, we conducted a comparative analysis between our custom-built sensor and the commercially available counterpart. By comparing these air-quality measurements, we identified a high mean correlation coefficient of the recorded values of 95%. The noteworthy correlation coefficient signifies the reliability and accuracy of our custom device when compared against the commercial standard. This demonstrates the potential of our customized device as an affordable, yet precise open-sourced tool for monitoring air-quality and potential asthma triggers in real-time, and its potential integration into a personalized alert system for asthma management.
Second, we juxtaposed the air quality values derived from these sensors with the recorded PEF values. In other words, we evaluated the
pearson correlation coefficient for each environmental variable in relation to the PEF values. Results are illustrated in
Table 4. This assessment allowed us to discern which environmental factors had the greatest effect with PEF values. We found that the PM2.5 value had the strongest correlation with the PEF value. Other parameters, however, did not demonstrate a significant correlation (<0.5). These preliminary results suggest that PM2.5 levels are important to monitor, as they potentially exert a significant impact on PEF values.
Third,
Table 3 confirms the healthy status of all study participants. Their PEF values were categorized following the criteria established by the Hankinson model [
32]. According to this model, PEF values exceeding 80% of the predicted optimum are classified as 'normal' - a category often referred to as the 'green zone'. All participants in our study fell within this 'green zone', underscoring their healthy condition.
3.2. PEF in different Environment Condition
Table 5 showcases the average and the standard deviation (SD) values registered from the air-quality sensor across varying environmental conditions to which the study participants were experienced. For ease of understanding, we've categorized these environmental conditions into 1) Air-quality room (Good, Medium), 2) Temperature (Normal, Slightly-Hot), and 3) Humidity (Normal, Slightly-High). In the interest of safeguarding our participants, we consciously avoided subjecting them to drastic changes in environmental conditions, which could have possibly resulted in a more substantial correlation with PEF values. Despite this approach, which might be viewed as a limiting factor, our intent was to maintain the study as an initial exploration primarily aimed at understanding the overall effect of diverse environmental parameters on PEF values. The driving principle behind this decision was our objective to validate our study's concept, while ensuring that participant safety remains paramount. The table indicates that in a room with medium air-quality, there was a noticeable rise in PM2.5 levels by 67%. Similarly, in a room with a slightly elevated temperature, there was a 45% increase in the temperature recorded. Moreover, in a room with slightly high humidity, the humidity levels saw a surge of 66%.
Table 6 presents the PEF values under the different environmental conditions. This table reveals that PEF responds differently to different environmental conditions among participants. For instance, a noticeable decrease in PEF values was observed in some individuals when exposed to high levels of particulate matter PM2.5, suggestive of a potential trigger. Contrarily, variations in humidity and temperature did not evoke significant changes in PEF measurements for certain participants. Despite all participants experiencing the same environmental settings shifts, their PEF values varied, suggesting that their respiratory systems responded uniquely to these stimuli. Participants 3, and 10, for instance, demonstrated heightened sensitivity to minor changes in room air-quality in comparison to others. Consequently, it might be beneficial to establish lower thresholds for their air-quality alarms. By doing so, these individuals would receive early warnings, enabling them to vacate the room ahead of others, thereby ensuring their well-being.
The numbers underlined in the table represent participants who reported experiencing respiratory discomfort during the experiment, as per the first question of the administered survey. In response to the second and third questions of the survey, which probe for potential factors influencing data collection or any noteworthy comments, there were no significant points reported. These underlined values highlight some notable observations. Participant 10 reported experiencing respiratory discomfort, which corresponded with a significant drop in her PEF value (>0.4). Conversely, Participant 9 reported respiratory discomfort without a corresponding dip below the predetermined PEF threshold (<0.4). This is aligned with variability of normal human physiology and suggests that the threshold value for air quality alerts should be personalized and dynamically adjusted, considering each individual's unique respiratory comfort level.
3.3. Personalized Threshold Identification
In order to determine potential triggers for participant(s), we evaluated the correlation between environmental conditions and changes in PEF values. The identification of personalized triggers was based on observing substantial decreases in PEF values when individuals were exposed to specific environmental conditions,
Table 6. From
Table 5 and
Table 6, we can conclude that when PM2.5 has increased to 67%, 2 out of the 12 participants could has more than 4% changes on their PEF values, and one of those 2 has felt uncomfortable. Setting an alarming system for these participants for instance can happen whenever PM2.5 increase up to 30-40% from the standard room value considering their sensitivity to PM2.5 value. Although some other participants reporting discomfort (the underlined value of participants 9), we did not observe significant changes in their PEF values. This observation was not the focus of this study and hence has been set aside. However, this highlights the potential influence of other factors beyond lung function that could be considered in future research.
While our initial expectation was to establish an individual threshold for each participant, limitations related to sample size and the slight variations in environmental conditions guided us to divide our participants into two groups. One group demonstrated higher sensitivity to air-quality changes, reflected in a PEF change of more than 4% (arbitrarily set), while the other group showed lesser sensitivity. Consequently, for the first, more sensitive group, we suggest setting the air-quality alert threshold to a 30-40% change in PM2.5. This would mean that if the PM2.5 value shifts by this percentage, an alert would be triggered, advising them to either leave the room or ventilate the space to improve air-quality.
Figure 4 illustrate the overall model of the proposed personalized alerting system, taking into account the insights gained from
Table 3,
Table 5, and
Table 6. The model consists of two stages: the initial stage and the personalized stage. In the initial stage, the system prompts the user to measure PEF in various environmental conditions. The model then calculates the changes in PEF values in relation to the changes in air-quality observed in these environments. Based on this information, the model sets the alert threshold on the customized air-quality device. Once the threshold is set, the system enters the personalized stage. During this stage, the air-quality device periodically alerts the user to potential exposure to uncomfortable environmental conditions. The alerts serve as reminders for the user to take necessary precautions or adjust to ensure their comfort in response to the detected changes in air-quality.
3.4. Predicting PEF Values in Different Environmental Conditions
In this study, we also explored the application of machine learning models to predict PEF values in different environmental conditions, focusing specifically on PEF in both good AQ and medium AQ conditions. The goal was to investigate the feasibility and effectiveness of using machine learning algorithms to accurately predict PEF values in these specific environmental contexts. To achieve this, we employed feature selection methods, namely CfsSubsetEval [
33] and the Best_First search method, to identify the most relevant features that have an impact on PEF values in each condition. We then tested several classifiers, including linear regression, Multilayer Perceptron, and SMOreg (support vector machine for regression) [
34], to predict PEF values in both conditions,
Table 7. Although the root mean squared error (RMSE) values were relatively high, likely due to the limited size of our datasets, we observed interesting patterns: 1) Predicting PEF values in good air-quality conditions proved to be challenging using the available parameters. 2) We noted the potential in predicting PEF values for medium AQ conditions using a subset of the existing features. These findings suggest that it is possible to predict PEF values, particularly for individuals who are sensitive to increases in PM2.5 levels. However, we did not investigate the prediction of PEF in high temperature or high humidity conditions due to the lack of significant changes in PEF values under these conditions,
Table 6. The overall finding at this stage highlights the need for further exploration and improvement in predicting PEF values under different conditions. It's pertinent also to note that, as we are developing our own air-quality sensors, we are considering the addition of a carbon monoxide (CO) sensor in future design. Given the known impact of CO on prevalent obstructive lung diseases such as asthma and COPD, we anticipate that this inclusion could offer significant value. Specifically, we expect a high correlation between changes in CO levels and alterations in PEF.
Table 7 provides information on the performance of selected attributes and regression models for predicting PEF in different conditions. The input attributes, target attribute, attribute evaluator, and search method are specified for each case. The table also displays the selected attributes in order of relevance, along with the correlation coefficient (CC) and RMSE values obtained from linear regression, multilayer perceptron, and SMOreg model. The results highlight the effectiveness of the selected attributes and the performance of the regression models in predicting PEF in the respective conditions.
3.5. Insights and Limitation
From literature, we acknowledge the potential influence of factors such as air-quality, temperature, and humidity on individual PEF values, however, the main objective of this pilot study was to demonstrate the potential of developing personalized air-quality sensor alerts. These alerts are customized based on an individual's lung function and readings obtained from different environmental conditions. By considering these factors, the proposed model aims to provide tailored alerts to individuals, enabling them to take proactive measures in response to their unique respiratory health needs. Another aspect we explored in this research was the use of machine learning. Our preliminary experiment suggests that there is potential to predict PEF values in different environmental scenarios by increasing the number of participants and environmental conditions. Although our study had limitations due to the small sample size and limited environmental variations, the results indicate promising avenues for further research and improvement. By incorporating machine learning techniques and expanding the dataset in real-world studies, we can enhance the accuracy and applicability of PEF predictions in diverse environmental conditions.
There are several limitations in this study that we acknowledge, such as the small sample size, minor variations in environmental conditions, and the necessary time duration for each participant to stay in each environment in order to effectively measure changes in PEF. These constraints also precluded us from conducting comprehensive statistical significance tests. While acknowledging the limitations at this stage of our study, we contend that the novelty of our research is rooted in highlighting the variability of individual PEF reactions to environmental shifts. As such, it's clear that the prevailing "one-size-fits-all" model adopted by existing air-quality sensors in the market is not practically viable. Thus, our study highlights a methodology for creating a customized array of alert systems. These systems are specifically designed to adapt to each individual's unique lung functions and possess the capability to evolve and learn over time.
In the next stages of this study, we aim to address the limitations of this work by expanding our participant sample size for more diverse data and conducting a longitudinal study to better understand the real-world impacts of environmental changes on lung function over time. We will also include a broader range of environmental factors, such as pollution levels and allergens, and continue to refine our personalized alerting system, which will be tuned by Machine learning models. Ultimately, we envision testing our system through clinical trials to assess its effectiveness and make necessary adjustments for real-world implementation. Our goal remains to develop a responsive and individualized alerting system for people with varying lung functions.
While our pilot study is focused on healthy individuals, this selection is pivotal to the validation of the overall concept. From an ethical perspective, it would be unseemly to expose asthmatic individuals at high risk to known respiratory irritants within the context of this study. Instead, our approach necessitates conducting an introductory examination on healthy participants, gradually modifying the system for higher risk groups within real-world contexts after the institution of all requisite safety protocols. Furthermore, demonstrating lung function variability amongst low-risk individuals strongly suggests the potential for the alert system to be adaptable and efficacious for higher risk individuals, including asthma patients. This indication is not only plausible but offers a compelling case for the adaptability of our system. We perceive this methodological approach as a strength of our study. Given that well-controlled asthma patients generally exhibit low PEF variability, akin to healthy individuals, they will be an appropriate group for further study. Conversely, poorly controlled asthmatics at high risk usually present high PEF variability, which our proposed alert system should more likely detect [
14,
17,
35].
Author Contributions
Conceptualization, All Authors; methodology, All Authors.; software, M.A., T.A., B.A.A.; validation, M.A., T.A., B.A.A. A.B., and F.A.; formal analysis, M.A., A.B., and F.A.; resources, All Authors; data curation, T.A., B.A.A.; writing—original draft preparation, M.A., F.A.; writing—review and editing, All authors; visualization, M.A., F.A., L.A.; supervision, M.A., F.A.; project administration, M.A.; funding acquisition, M.A. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.