1. Introduction
The parameters of a distribution are typically considered to be real or perhaps vector values. In the literature, families of distributions are considered that are characterized by having a parameter that is itself a distribution function. These families are called semiparametric because they also contain a real parameter. Choosing the parameter that is first a distribution function is one possible way to use a semiparametric model. The underlying distribution is the formal name for this distribution function. In practice, the selection of an underlying distribution leads to the selection of a parametric model, but the selection is limited to families with the structure of the semiparametric model.
The underlying distribution
F might already have one or more parameters, in which case a semiparametric family might provide a way to include a new parameter, extending the family from which
F originates. One can imagine that the standard families of the Gamma and Weibull distributions are derived from the exponential distribution via semiparametric families that include a second parameter. The Weibull and Gamma families can both be found as special cases of a three-parameter family using the same technique. The study of semiparametric families is therefore advantageous for two reasons: it provides a new understanding of traditional distribution families, and it offers strategies for extending families to make data fitting more flexible (see, e.g., Marshall and Olkin [
18]).
Stochastic orderings of random variables have long been a useful tool for making comparisons between probability distributions (see Müller and Stoyan [
19], Shaked and Shanthikumar [
23], Belzunce et al. [
3], and Li and Li [
16]). Some researchers used stochastic orders comparing distributions in terms of the magnitude of random variables to perform stochastic comparisons between semiparametric models, including those presented in equations (
1), (
5), and (
9) in
Section 2. To this end, we quantify the effect of varying the parameters of the model on the variation of the response variables and, furthermore, the effect of changing the underlying distribution on changing the distribution of the response variables using several known stochastic orders. For example, in the context of the proportional hazard rate (PHR) model for the case where
is a random variable (frailty), Gupta and Kirmani [
10] and subsequently Xu and Li [
24] identified some stochastic ordering properties of the model. Considering the proportional reversed hazard rates (PRHR) model, Di Crescenzo [
6] made some stochastic comparisons between two candidate distributions of the model that differ in their parameters. Kirmani and Gupta [
13] derived some stochastic ordering results for the model proportional odds rates (POR) model.
Recently, however, many researchers have focused on stochastic orders that compare lifetime distributions according to aging behavior, namely the faster aging stochastic orders. One of the key ideas in reliability theory and survival analysis is stochastic aging. It broadly outlines the pattern of aging/degradation of a system over time. Three different notions of aging are presented in the literature: positive aging, negative aging, and no aging. Positive aging implies a stochastically decreasing remaining lifetime of the system, while negative aging implies just the opposite. The system does not mature with time if there is no aging. To study different characteristics of system aging, various aging classes (including increasing failure rate (IFR), decreasing failure rate (DFR), increasing failure rate on average (IFRA), decreasing failure rate on average (DFRA), increasing likelihood ratio (ILR), and decreasing likelihood ratio (DLR), to name a few) have been presented in the literature based on these three aging principles. The reader can consult Barlow and Proschan [
2] and Lai and Xie [
15] for further discussion on this topic. In addition to these ideas about aging, relative aging is a useful concept to use when studying system reliability. Relative aging is used to measure how a system changes over time relative to another system.
In real life, there are many situations where we deal with multiple systems of the same type (e.g., TVs from different manufacturers, CPUs from different brands, etc.). In these circumstances, we often encounter the following problem: how to determine whether one system is aging faster than others over time? The idea of relative aging provides a compelling answer to this problem. When dealing with the crossover hazards/medium remaining life phenomena, another component of relative aging proves helpful. Many real-life situations involve this type of circumstance. For example, when Pocock et al. [
20] examined survival data on the effects of two different treatments on breast cancer patients and became aware of the phenomenon of crossover hazards. In addition, Champlin et al. [
4] described several cases in which the superiority of one treatment over another lasted only for a short period of time. The above considerations suggest that increasing/decreasing hazard ratio models are a viable option in a variety of real-world scenarios. In fact, Kalashnikov and Rachev [
12] have developed a concept of relative aging based on the monotonicity of the ratio of two hazard rate functions called relative hazard rate order. This concept is known as faster hazard rate aging. Sengupta and Deshpande [
22] presented another idea in a similar way based on the monotonicity of the ratio of two cumulative hazard rate functions. Rezaei et al. [
21] proposed a relative order based on the ratio of the reversed hazard rates of two random lifetimes and called it relative reversed hazard rate order.
The aim of this paper is to perform stochastic comparisons between two newly defined semiparametric models, the modified proportional hazard rate model and the modified proportional reversed hazard rate model, corresponding to the relative hazard rate and the relative reversed hazard rate order.
The rest of the paper is organized as follows. In
Section 2 we give some advanced preliminary considerations and auxiliary results. In
Section 3, we consider the modified proportional hazard rate model for comparison in terms of relative hazard rate order. In
Section 4, we consider the modified proportional reversed hazard rate model to give some ordering properties according to the relative reversed hazard rate order. In
Section 5, we conclude the paper with a more detailed summary and provide an outlook on possible future studies.
2. Preliminaries
In this section we give some mathematical definitions of the notions that will be utilized in this paper. In the literature, many semiparametric families of distributions have been introduced and studied. Among these models some of them find their applicability in the context of lifetime events. The Cox’s PHR model is of the important and frequently used such semiparametric family of distributions (see, Cox [
5]). For a review on the PHR model we refer the reader to Kumar and Klefsjö [
14]. Let us consider the parameter
, called the frailty parameter, then the PHR model is defined as
where
is the survival function (sf) of the response random variable and
is the baseline sf. Let
have an absolutely continuous distribution function (cdf)
, with probability density function (pdf)
Then, the hazard rate (hr) of
, as important reliability quantity in survival analysis, measures the instantaneous risk for failure of a device with lifetime
at a certain age (
t, say). The hr of
for all
which fulfills
is defined as follows:
It is well-known that
h characterizes the underlying sf,
, as follows:
Suppose that
is the hr function associated with the sf (
1), then, it is plainly seen that for every
for which
In contrast to the PHR model, the PRHR model was introduced by Gupta et al. [
9]. We refer the reader to Gupta and Gupta [
11] for further descriptions of the PRHR model. In the PRHR model, a positive parameter,
, called the resilience parameter, is considered. The PRHR model is then defined as
in which
is the cdf of the response random variable and
is the baseline cdf or the underlying distribution function in the model. The reversed hazard rate (rhr) of
, as another reliability quantity, measures the risk for failure of a device (with original lifetime
) in the past at a certain time point
t at which the device is found to be inactive. The rhr of
for all
which
is derived via the following relation:
It has been verified that
characterizes the underlying cdf,
F, as below:
Let us now assume that
is the rhr function of the distribution with the cdf (
5). Then, it is readily realized for all
for which
that
Another reputable semiparametric family of distributions is the POR model (see, e.g., Marshall and Olkin [
17]). This model is defined with cdf
In some situations the following model is alternatively utilized:
The odds rate function of
, measures the relative odd of the event
in terms of the event
where
t is some point of time. The odds rate function of
for all
which
defined as follows:
We assume that
is the odds rate function of the distribution with the cdf (
9). Then, it is easily verified for all
for which
that
Balakrishnan et al. [
1], utilized the PHR (resp. PRHR) model as baseline model in (
9) (resp. (
10)) to propose two new models, referred to as modified proportional hazard rates (MPHR) and modified proportional reversed hazard rates (MPRHR) models.
Suppose that
is a baseline random variable with survival function
. Let
are independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) lifetimes of
n components of a system with a common distribution function
. Then,
are said to follow the MPHR model with tilt parameter
, modified proportional hazard rate
and baseline survival function
(denoted as
) if, and only if,
For the case
, (
13) simply reduces to the PHR model. The MPHR model in (
13) includes some well-known distributions such as extended exponential and extended Weibull distributions (Marshall and Olkin [
18]), extended Pareto distribution (Ghitany [
7]) and extended Lomax distribution (Ghitany et al. [
8]).
On the other hand, suppose
are i.i.d. lifetimes of
n components of a system with a common distribution functions
F. Then,
are said to follow the MPRHR model with tilt parameter
, modified proportional reversed hazard rate
and baseline distribution function
F (denoted as
) if and only if
Note that the PRHR model is a sub-model of (
14) when
.
We assume that the random variables X and Y have distribution functions F and G, survival functions and , density functions f and g, hazard rate functions and and reversed hazard rate functions and , respectively. To compare the magnitude of random variables some notions of stochastic orders are introduced below.
Definition 1. Suppose that X and Y are two non-negative random variables which denote the lifetime of two systems. The random variable X is then said to be smaller than the random variable Y in the
- (i)
usual stochastic order (denoted by ) if,
- (ii)
-
hazard rate order (denoted by ) if,
or equivalently, if for all .
- (iii)
-
reversed hazard rate order (denoted by ) if,
or equivalently, if for all .
- (iv)
likelihood ratio order (denoted by ) if,
- (v)
relative hazard rate order (denoted by ) if,.
- (vi)
relative reversed hazard rate order (denoted by ) if,
Some stochastic orders in Definition 1 are connected to each other. In this regard,
implies
and also
implies
. Furthermore,
gives
and also
yields
For further relations and properties of the stochastic orders
and
we refer the reader to Shaked and Shanthikumar [
23]. For more descriptions of the relative order
we refer the reader to Kalashnikov and Rachev [
12] and also Sengupta and Deshpande [
22]. For further properties of the relative order
the reader can see Rezaei et al. [
21].
3. Results on relative orderings of MPHR distributions
In this section, we obtain a relative ordering property in the MPHR model according to the relative hazard rate order. We will consider the MPHR model in two settings where two sets of parameters and which are possibly different are assigned and also possibly different baseline sfs and are taken into account. Finding conditions on and and also conditions on and to establish the preservation of the relative hazard rate ordering property in the MPHR model is the main objective of this section.
Before stating next result we introduce some notation. Let
and
have pdfs
f and
g, and sfs
and
, respectively, and, further,
and
. Then, using (
13), the sfs of
and
which are denoted by
and
, respectively, can be written as follows:
Now, let us denote by
and
the pdfs of
and
, which can be obtained by taking derivatives of cdfs in (
15) as follows:
Appealing to (
15) together with (
16) the hazard rate function of
and the hazard rate function of
are acquired as:
where
and
are the hazard rate functions of
and
respectively, and the function
is given by
We define here two measures of relative hazard rates of
and
with hazard rate functions
and
respectively. Let us denote two limiting points of hazard rates ratio
as follows:
Theorem 1.
Let and have sfs and , respectively. Let and where and for every . Let be a function of , and , such that
Proof. It suffices to prove that
is non-increasing in
. Since,
and, by assumption,
is non-increasing in
, thus it is sufficient to to show that
is non-increasing in
, which holds if, and only if,
Denote
. We have:
where the last inequality follows from the fact that, for
and
,
and that
yields
as it implies that
for all
. The right hand side of inequality in (
19) is negative, if and only if,
in which
The inequality in (
20) is satisfied if
On the other hand, since
further implies that
thus
for all
. Hence, using (
3),
So,
, for all
which further implies that
Therefore, the inequality in (
21) is satisfied if
or equivalently if
□
In the following example, we show that the result of Theorem 1 is applicable.
Example 1.
Let us write when X follows Weibull distribution with shape parameter c and scale parameter d, with , having sf Suppose that and . Assume that and with and and, further, and We can observe that and have hrs and . Therefore,
Hence, We can observe that
and, on the other hand, we can see that
Thus, obviously, , and using Theorem 1 we conclude that . In Figure 1, the graph of is plotted to exhibit that it is non-increasing in
Remark 1.
In the context of Theorem 1, the obtained result is immediately followed when and . To prove this claim, note that if and , then, for all and for every , one has
Therefore, the parenthetical statement in right hand side of inequality given in (19) is non-positive. Thus, it is straightforward that if and and then . In this case the additional supremum condition in Theorem 1 could be omitted.
The following theorem states another setting for the parameters of two MPHR distributions so that the result of Theorem 1 is obtained under a different condition.
Theorem 2.
Let and have sfs and , respectively. Let and where and for every . Let be a function of , and also such that
Proof. Similarly, as in the proof of Theorem 1, we need to demonstrate that
is non-increasing in
, which holds if, and only if,
Analogously as in the proof of Theorem 1, one has
in which the last inequality follows because, for
and
,
and moreover that
gives
which implies that
for all
. The right hand side of the inequality in (
23) is negative, if and only if,
in which
. The inequality in (
24) stands valid if
Moreover, since
provides that
so consequently
for all
. Therefore, using (
3), we obtain
Thus,
, which in turn gives
Therefore, the inequality in (
25) is fulfilled if
which holds if, and only if,
□
The following example provides a situation where the result of Theorem 2 is applicable.
Example 2.
Suppose that follows gamma distribution with sf and has sf It is easily seen that the hrs of and are and , respectively. Therefore,
Now, since is non-increasing in t, thus We assume that and with and . It is observable that
and, in parallel, it is seen that
Therefore, clearly, , and thus an application of Theorem 2 concludes that . In Figure 2, the graph of is plotted to indicate that this ratio is non-increasing in
4. Results on relative orderings of MPRHR distributions
In this section, we investigate the relative reversed hazard rate ordering property in two MPRHR models with possibly different sets of parameters , where and , and also under possibly different baseline distributions F and G.
Figure 2.
Plot of the hazard rate ratio in Example 2 for and when
Figure 2.
Plot of the hazard rate ratio in Example 2 for and when
We start with introducing some notation. Let
and
have pdfs
f and
g, with underlying cdfs
F and
G, respectively. Let us assume that
and
and denote by
and
. Then, using (
14), we have
Using (
26), the pdfs of
and
(signified by
and
) are acquired as below:
By dividing the pdfs in (
27) into the cdfs given in (
26), the reversed hazard rate function of
and the reversed hazard rate function of
are derived as follows:
where
and
are the reversed hazard rate functions of
and
respectively, and further the function
is defined as
Now, let us define two measures of relative reversed hazard rates of
and
having reverenced hazard rate functions
and
respectively. The limiting points of reversed hazard rates ratio
as follows:
Theorem 3.
Let and have cdfs F and G, respectively. Let and where and for every . Suppose that which is a non-negative function of is defined as
Proof. To prove (
29), it is sufficient to establish that
is non-decreasing in
. Following the equations (
28), one has:
and, due to assumption,
is non-decreasing in
, thus it is enough to prove that
is non-decreasing in
. The latter statement is valid if, and only if,
We use the notation
. We get
in which the last inequality is due to the fact that, for
and
whenever
,
and, further, that
provides that
which further implies that
for all
. Note that the right hand side in (
30) is non-negative, if and only if,
where the function
is defined as below:
Now, it is sufficient to observe that the inequality in (
31) is fulfilled if
Note that, since
yields
hence,
for all
. Consequently, for all
, using the characterization relation (
7) one gets:
Thus,
, for all
which leads to
As a result, the inequality in (
32) stands valid if
or, equivalently if
□
Example 3.
Let us assume whenever X has Inverse Weibull distribution with shape parameter c and scale parameter d, where and also . Then, X has cdf for We assume that and . Further, we suppose that and with and so that is the cdf of and It can be readily show that and have rhrs and , respectively. Thus,
Consequently, On can easily check that
and, simultaneously, one has
Therefore, one realizes that , and using Theorem 3 we deduce that . In Figure 3, the graph of is exhibited to indicate that it is non-decreasing in
Remark 2.
In the setting of Theorem 3, the derived result can be acquired when and . To verify this claim, one needs to observe that if and , then, for all and for , we have
Thus, the parenthetical statement in right hand side of inequality given in (30) is clearly non-negative. Hence, it is not hard to see that if and and then . In this setting the additional infimum condition in Theorem 3 can be removed.
In the next theorem, we obtain the result of Theorem 3 under different conditions.
Theorem 4.
Let and follow cdfs F and G, respectively. Suppose that and where and for every . Consider as a non-negative function of defined as
Proof. In order to verify the implication in (
33), as in the proof of Theorem 3, it suffices to show that
Analogously as in the proof of Theorem 3, we can get
where the last inequality is due to the fact that, for
and
for every
,
and moreover because
, thus
from which one obtains
for all
. Now, one can see that the right hand side in (
34) is non-negative, if and only if,
where the function
is as defined in the proof on Theorem 3. It is now enough to see that the inequality in (
35) is satisfied when
Now observe that
gives
Therefore,
for all
. Hence, for all
, by appealing to the relationship (
7) we can write:
As a result,
, for all
providing that
The inequality in (
36) is, therefore, fulfilled if
or, equivalently, when
□
Example 4.
Let have cdf and let have exponential distribution with cdf where is a common parameter in F and G. Note that for all where is the rhr of and is the rhr of , respectively. Hence, and also clearly, . Suppose that and such that and . In view of the notations and definitions in Theorem 4, we have
and on the other hand, one has
So, it is obvious that Therefore, Theorem 4 is applicable which provides that In Figure 4, the curve of , when is plotted to verify that it is non-decreasing in
5. Concluding Remarks
In this paper, we have examined two recently proposed semiparametric models, namely the MPHR model and the MPRHR model. As shown by Balakrishnan et al. [
1], these models include as special cases three important models in the literature, namely the proportional hazard rate model, the proportional reversed hazard rate model, and the proportional odds ratio model. Because these three models have found many applications in the literature so far and because they are available to the two newly defined semiparametric models, it deserves an analytical study of the latter models because they cover and generalize the previous studies. The study of stochastic orderings for model comparisons has been done in the literature in various contexts, including reliability theory, survival analysis, actuarial analysis, risk theory, biostatistics, and many other areas. Stochastic orderings are very useful potential tools for model analysis. For example, stochastic orders are very useful for detecting underestimation and overestimation problems in models. Stochastic orderings are usually recognized as tools for making inferences about models without data. The ordering properties of probability distributions reveal other aspects of the distribution or a family of distributions that can be used for various purposes.
The study conducted in this paper addresses situations in which there is a relative ordering property between two candidates from the MPHR family and, moreover, two candidates from the MPRHR family of semiparametric distributions. In general, the base distributions were assumed to be unknown but to satisfy a relative ordering property according to either the relative hazard rate order () or the relative reverse hazard rate order (). It was assumed that the external parameters of the candidate models were generally different. Sufficient conditions were established for the conservation of the relative hazard rate order in the MPHR model and also for the conservation of the relative reverse hazard rate order in the MPRHR model. In the literature, for the preservation of the stochastic order in some scenarios, some stochastic orders are set as assumptions, which is a very strong condition. However, the conditions we found and presented in our work involve comparisons between two numbers, one of which is the supremum or infimum of a function and the other a function of the parameters of the models. With some examples we have shown that even very well known standard statistical distributions, such as Weibull, Gamma or reversed Weibull distributions, can be used as the basic distribution in the MPHR and MPRHR model.
In the future study we shall consider stochastic comparisons in the MPHR and the MPRHR models according to other stochastic orders such as likelihood ratio order (
), hazard rate order (
), reversed hazard rate order (
) and the usual stochastic order
. In the context of MPHR model, in view of (
16), when
and
follows pdfs
and
, respectively, then
implies
if
where
. In addition, in the context of the MPHR model, when
and
follow sfs
and
, respectively, as given in (
15), then
implies
if
where
. In parallel, when the MPHR model is under consideration, as
and
have hrs
and
, respectively, as formulated in (
17), then
yields
if
where
is defined as before after (
17). On the other hand, concerning the MPRHR model, by appealing to (
27), and assumign that
and
have pdfs
and
, respectively, then
implies
if
where
. Moreover, by considering the MPRHR model, as
and
follow cdfs
and
, respectively, as provided in (
26), then
implies
if
where
. Furthermore, when the MPRHR model is regarded, so that
and
have rhrs
and
, respectively, as written in (
28), then
yields
if
in which
is defined earlier after the equations (
28). The analogous study can also be carried out in the context of other stochastic orders such as dispersive order, star order, and super-additive order.