Ecosystems Used as Initial State
We prepared eight ecosystems, each with a certain degree of stability, and conducted coalescence experiments by mixing them pairwise, as detailed below. In the previous research, experimental ecosystems composed of a mix of 11 species were divided into 72 replicates and cultivated under the identical condition for six months. Stochastically, these ecosystems separated into roughly seven patterns [
53]. For this study, we utilized 8 of these 72 ecosystems. Out of the 11 species, five species could not survive in any of the ecosystems, leaving six species that persisted in at least across one of the seven patterns. These six species are listed in
Table 1, and we refer to each of them by their abbreviated names shown in the
Table 1,
i.e., Ecoli, Tetra, CyanoA, CyanoS, AlgaR, and AlgaC, in this study. These species include three important functional groups of ecosystems, producers, decomposers, and consumers. Some species exhibit mutualistic relationships, enabling their coexistence with multiple species, as they could not survive alone [
53,
71]. Moreover, Tetra had predator-prey interactions with Ecoli and CyanoS [
72]. The producers include four species, with both prokaryotes and eukaryotes represented by two species each, which have potentially competitive relationships. Note that not all six species coexisted within a single ecosystem, but each ecosystem contained between two and five species.
Figure 4 illustrates the species composition of the eight ecosystems used as the initial states (designated as Ecosystems E0 through E7).
Figure 4A represents the original ecosystems, with 4B depicting the initial states that were achieved by diluting and aliquoting the original ecosystems into four replicates. Subsequently, the outcomes after approximately seven serial transfers, conducted approximately every two weeks, are shown in 4C (in other words, those that survived through 10
7 to 10
8 dilutions; roughly four months after the coalescence). While the ecosystems are stable overall, not all of them are entirely so. Specifically, the population of AlgaR tended to decrease gradually, and in some ecosystems, it fell below the detectable limit after four months. For the following analyses, the values from
Figure 4B were utilized as the initial conditions, representing the states before coalescence.
Ecosystem Coalescence Experiments for Investigating Competitive Stability and Information Carrier
We mixed the above eight distinct ecosystems in a comprehensive pairwise manner, incorporating two of each, leading to an all-versus-all combination.
Figure 5A illustrates the outcomes four months post-coalescence for these pairwise combinations. It encompasses results of the 36 distinct ecosystems, considering both the
8C
2 combinations and the eight original ecosystems. For the latter, identical ecosystems were mixed to align experimental conditions. Observationally, when ecosystems with lower and higher species richness were merged, the resulting species richness seemed to tend to gravitate towards the values of the higher species richness (see below for quantitative analyses).
Figure 5B represents the outcome of the 36 ecosystems after 4 months using a Principal Component Analysis (PCA) performed on the logarithm of the population sizes of the six species. The results for the unmixed eight ecosystems are indicated by text. An immediate observation is that the ecosystem consisting solely of prokaryotes (E0) was dramatically altered from its own state in every combination. Additionally, there appears to be a clustering toward ecosystems E4, E5, E6, and E7.
We investigated which ecosystems maintained their state stably. In this context, we introduce the concept of a competitive stability index (
Θ) as a metric to assess the extent to which an ecosystem sustains its population composition post-coalescence. The competitive stability index of each
i-th ecosystem is defined as
, where
xafter,k,i and
xinit,k,i denote the logarithm of the population of species
k in the
i-th ecosystem at initial and 4 months, respectively. As
x is a logarithm value, we used
x = 0 for the population not detected.
Figure 5C illustrates the relationship between
Θ values and diversity indexes (α-diversity) of the eight ecosystems. We considered three measures of α-diversity: species richness (
0D, the number of species), Shannon-Wiener index (
H’), and biomass-corrected Shannon-Wiener index (
BH’). The values of approximate volume, shown in
Table 1, were used as biomass values for each species.
The results indicated the highest correlation between BH’ and Θ, with R=0.86, p=0.007, hereafter α=0.05. Note that this relationship was somewhat influenced by the formulation of Θ. For instance, while species richness did not significantly correlate with Θ (R=0.59, p=0.12), its inverse (1/Θ) showed a significant negative correlation (R=-0.72, p=0.04), similar to that of BH’ (R=-0.73, p=0.04). BH’ normalizes the disparities between populations of larger and smaller organisms, making it closer to a measure of species richness.
Therefore, for a simple understanding, the larger the species richness, the more stable the ecosystem was,
i.e., having better adaptability. These results support the mechanisms illustrated in
Figure 2C that explain the sustainability or increase of ecosystem information.
Conversely,
H’ failed to account for the competitive stability (
R=0.03,
p=0.95). This shortfall likely arises because
H’ inherently underrepresents species with larger biomass but smaller populations, thereby reducing their contribution. In systems ecology, larger individuals are often considered to carry more information [
20], which is expressed in the opposite way in
H’.
The obtained fact that ecosystems with a larger richness are more stable suggests that the larger richness of the two pre-coalescence ecosystems could more accurately predict the post-coalescence richness than smaller one. However, it is not clear whether information from the ecosystem with smaller richness remains in the post-coalescence ecosystems. Using an analogy with organisms (
Figure 2B, lower), it is necessary to clarify whether only information of ecosystem H remains, like predator-prey relationships, or information that merges both ecosystems remains, like endosymbiosis.
We investigated which data set either from the two ecosystems or their combination could better forecast the outcome. Specifically, we determined how much the pre-coalescence richness could dictate the post-coalescence richness (
Figure 5D). It was found that the larger richness had a greater coefficient of determination than the smaller or mean richness of the two ecosystems. This implies that the results are closer to the larger richness, consistent with the aforementioned competitive stability of ecosystems with higher richness. Additionally, the richness calculated from the merged two ecosystems (representing the gamma diversity of the two ecosystems, which is the same as the initial state of the merged ecosystem) had the greatest coefficient of determination. This suggests that the initial richness upon coalescence remains relatively unchanged, indicating that the information from the ecosystem with smaller richness was not lost but was influential in the resultant richness.
In the results above, the richness was able to adequately explain the outcomes, whereas H’,
i.e., population information was less explanatory. This may differ from previous microbial coalescence studies where the dominant species could explain the outcomes [
55]. Conversely, in a natural wetland ecosystem, it is known that an ecosystem state index NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index) can predict species richness more accurately than dominant populations [
73], suggesting a potentially similar situation. To quantitatively verify this in our case, we employed an approach akin to the previous study of the natural wetland ecosystem [
73], examining the predictability of outcomes by varying the order parameter q in the widely applicable diversity index known as Hill numbers
, where
pi is the proportion of individuals belonging to the
i-th species. When q = 1, the formulation is undefined, but the mathematical limit as q approaches 1 is defined as
,
i.e., the exponential of
H’.
Specifically, using a certain value of
q, we calculated the
qD from the population of pre-coalescence two ecosystems and used this as the explanatory variable, with the
qD of the post-coalescence ecosystem after four months as the dependent variable, to determine the coefficient of determination. This process was repeated with varying
q values, and we obtained the
q spectrum of the coefficient of determination (
Figure 5E). Note that the interpretation of Hill numbers changes with the order parameter
q. Roughly speaking, smaller
q values emphasize the presence or absence of species, while larger values prioritize population sizes,
i.e., the proportion of dominant species population in extreme cases. Specifically,
0D equates to species richness, independent of population sizes.
1D corresponds to the exponential of the Shannon-Wiener index, where population sizes are considered.
2D equals to the Simpson index, focusing more on the population sizes, highlighting the prevalence of dominant species.
The results show that the highest coefficient of determination was observed at a low
q value of 0.1 (
Figure 5E), indicating that species composition was robust and species abundance was flexible. They also satisfy, respectively, not functioning directly and functioning directly. Therefore, the information carrier and functional units of ecosystems were speculated as the species composition and species abundance, respectively.
This nature of flexibility of populations and robustness of species composition would be consistent with the characteristics of the human gut microbiota [
74]. Moreover, this spectrum is akin to the predictability of the mean NDVI in natural wetland ecosystems, maximum at
q=0.2 [
73]. Therefore, our finding that the information carrier of ecosystems is species composition might be universally applicable to other ecosystems as well.
In our experimental system, low explanatory power of the dominant species can be readily explained by the presence of predation. For instance, in a system consisting only of Ecoli and CyanoS, as represented in E0, both species exhibit small biomasses, leading to exceedingly high population numbers. When this ecosystem is mixed with one containing the predator, Tetra, the population of these smaller organisms diminish rapidly. In the same sense, the predator is the largest in biomass, thus their population is always small, but the outcome changes greatly depending on whether the predator is present or not, just like a keystone species [
75]. Consequently, population size scarcely contributes as an explanatory variable. On the contrary, the rapid decrease in the prey population does not equate to extinction, and species often persist at low population level, thereby maintaining species richness. Note that microbial experimental ecosystems in the previous study [
55], where the dominant population shows high explanatory power, do not contain any predators, which may make the difference with our results or the natural wetland ecosystem [
73].
As mentioned above, the predator species Tetra plays an important role as keystone species in this ecosystem. This keystone species is small in number and has a slow maximum rate of proliferation. The population was also robust for this predator species. These characteristics of robust, small in number, and slow, are appropriate for an information carrier. For example, if the characteristics of a single individual of this keystone species change due to genetic variation, the characteristics of the whole ecosystem can change rapidly because the population size is small and this species is influential. Although we did not compare this specific population with other parameters in this analysis, the keystone species itself might be the information carriers of ecosystems. This has some analogy with DNA in organisms and is easy to be understood.
Our coalescence experiments consistently showed that species richness generally demonstrated robustness, thereby serving as an information carrier or a stable macroscopic parameter inherent to the systems. However, it is imperative to acknowledge that this finding does not universally apply to all ecosystems. Systematic investigations are essential to discern under what conditions certain parameters prove most useful or possibly appropriate as information carriers. In our synthetic ecosystems, this investigation is feasible, and further elucidation is expected from future research.
Ecosystem Constraints for Investigating Dominant Mode Hypothesis
In this study, we experimentally investigated DMH, which suggests that living systems possess a small degree of freedom by strong constraints, with changes predominantly confined to lower dimensions. Specifically, we examined the two types of ecosystem changes: (i) the rapid response of ecosystems in 7 days due to temperature changes, and (ii) the gradual alterations of ecosystems observed in approximately 18 months without any induced environmental changes.
Before the explanation of our results, we describe the inherent limitations of these experiments below. Firstly, the measurements lack the microscopic observation and rely solely on fluorometry using a plate reader (see Materials and Methods for detail). While the precision of fluorometry is higher than that of data obtained from the microscopic observation, the dimensionality is limited, presenting a problem for the study of dimensionality reduction. Moreover, the low number of species of the synthetic ecosystem is also a significant problem. Nevertheless, we believe that presenting these results are beneficial as a trial demonstration for predicting ecosystem changes. For instance, the reduction from two dimensions to one can also be considered a kind of constraint.
We first tested environmental temperature changes. Specifically, for ecosystems initially at 23 °C, we varied the temperature to 25, 28, and 33 °C and observed the changes after seven days. The comparison of responses was not between the initial values and those after seven days, but between the responses at 23 °C after seven days and those at the varied temperatures after the same period, because our ecosystems have a kind of stable state in the circumstances of subculturing every two weeks.
We used three ecosystems: E0, the simplest ecosystem comprising only bacteria, and E6 and E7, ecosystems with two largest richness among the eight types of ecosystems depicted in
Figure 4.
Figure 6A presents the results of PCA for the logarithm of the fluorescence intensity, projecting the results in two dimensions. In the case of ecosystem E6, the direction of fluctuation in the standard environment (23 °C, blue dots) appears to align with the response to temperature changes. E7 may adhere as well, suggesting changes within certain constraints. The simplest ecosystem E0, exhibits little fluctuation and response change. This co-absence of fluctuation and response is also consistent with the implications of the DMH.
The reason why such constraints were observed was simple. First, examining the contribution fractions in PCA (as seen in the inset of
Figure 6A), it is evident that only the two dimensions corresponding to cyanobacteria (Cyano) and green algae (Alga) are contributing, indicating that the PCA does not actually compress dimensions, unfortunately. Thus, the utilization of PCA here was merely for demonstration purposes, serving as an example for analyzing higher-dimensional ecosystems in future research. Nevertheless, the constraint from two dimensions to one was indeed present.
Second,
Figure 6B illustrates the relationship between the fluorescence intensities representing the populations of cyanobacteria and green algae. These results suggest that the sum of both populations reaches a constant number as a carrying capacity, likely due to a trade-off resulting from competition for a resource such as carbon dioxide. Although this is a simplistic observation, it could be considered as a typical constraint anticipated within ecosystems.
Next, we observed the long-term changes in the state of ecosystems. We branched each of the three aforementioned ecosystems into 32 replicates, continuing independent cultivation for 18 months. Although the fresh medium is supplied at each subculturing transfer, the biological elements are not supplied from outside each ecosystem, like the situation shown in
Figure 2C-(i). The results of the PCA, conducted in the same manner as in
Figure 6A, are presented in
Figure 6C. For both E6 and E7, the state transitions again roughly appear to align along a singular curve, a phenomenon explainable as the constraints in the dominant mode hypothesis. E0 again exhibited little changes.
We also tested the long-term changes when the 32 dispensed ecosystems were merged at every subculturing transfer (
Figure 6D). This experiment tested a situation similar to the one shown in
Figure 2C-(ii). The results show the constraints as well.
All these results shown in
Figure 6 suggest that the DMH is also applicable for ecosystems, which highlights the homeorhesis and adaptability of ecosystems. Although the results were poor, compression from 2 dimensions to 1 dimension was visible. However, as mentioned above, there are many problems with this experiment, and it is necessary to set better conditions and confirm it properly. At the same time, it is expected that similar analyzes will be attempted in other experimental systems. In this study, replicate experiments were employed to account for the fluctuation of the ecosystem, but in natural ecosystems, utilizing daily fluctuations, for instance, could also be used. Our findings, exemplified by the trajectories in
Figure 6C and 6D, suggest that the permissible direction of daily variations is constrained to a lower dimensionality.
Additionally, the results in
Figure 6C,D,
i.e., when closed and completely open situations, respectively, also show interesting results consistent with the scenario shown in
Figure 2C. In
Figure 6C, as closed systems, 32 replicates are scattered on the right edge, left edge, and center. The right and left edge indicated stated in which producers were almost exclusively Cyano or Alga, respectively. One of them might actually be extinct. The plots between them indicate the states in which certainly both Cyano and Alga coexist. Therefore, information of some of 32 ecosystems decreased as depicted in
Figure 2C-(i). In
Figure 6D, the final results were almost entirely at the right edge. Thus, information of all 32 ecosystems, or more precisely, one large ecosystem, decreased as depicted in
Figure 2C-(ii). These two results suggest that it is impossible for ecosystems to sustain or increase the information if it is completely closed or completely open, as shown in the
Figure 2C-(i) and 2C-(ii), respectively, despite the fact that ecosystems with higher richness were more competitively stable as above.