3.1. March 2012 extreme events
In a recent paper we have provided significant evidence that the March 2012 heat wave in northeast USA was affected by solar activity [
4]. The conclusion was based on the comparison (i) of observations in the near Earth interplanetary space (ACE satellite at the Lagrangian L1 point between Sun-Earth) and at the Earth’s ground, (ii) of the March 2012 heatwave with the March 1910 heatwave, which occurred before the GHG effect and is understood as a non-anthropogenic, a natural event. The conclusion was supported by the elaboration of a CME – related heat wave in March 2015.
The March 2012 heat was not been a local, American extreme weather event. March 2012 is also known for extreme meteorological weather events occurring all over the globe. Here we examine the atmospheric weather in southeast Europe after the incident of a geoeffective coronal mass ejection, by incorporating remote sensing data revealing the spatio-temporal variations on the solar disk (SDO satellite) and on the top of the clouds (TERRA satellite). The space weather, which affects (and in some extent predict) the large scale electromagnetic environment of Earth (magnetosphere, ionosphere, atmosphere) is examined by using the ACE observations at the Lagrangian L1 point between Sun-Earth, as in our study of the March 2012 heat wave [
4]. In [
4] we inferred that the unusual space, magnetospheric, ionospheric and atmospheric events in March 2012 started after the appearance of the solar active region (AR) 11429 on March 5.
Figure 2 shows images from the solar corona, obtained by AIA onboard SDO on March 7.Image 2a clearly shows the AR11429 at 00.00:08 UT in the passband of 4500A
0 (panel a) in the northeast site of the disk. The AIA telescope on the SDO satellite recorded a barrage of two X-class flares in rapid succession. The first flare was an X5.4 from N18
0 E 31
0, starting at 00:02 UT on March 7
th and peaking at 00:24 UT, while the second, at N15
0 E26
0, was a X1.4 flare, which started at 01:05 UT and peaked at 01:14 UT. We note that an X2 flare is twice the strength of an X1 flare, an X3 flare is three times as powerful as an X1, etc., which suggests that X5.4 was an extremely intense solar flare.
The two images shown in
Figure 2b,c were obtained by AIA in the passband of 171A
0just before (00.04:24 UT) and after (00.24:48 UT) the X5.4 flare (peaking at 00:24 UT) and the comparison of the two images reasonably suggests the difference in brightness after 00:24 UT. Both flares, X5.4 (F1) and X1.4 (F2), were accompanied by two ultra-fast (>2000 km / sec) CMEs and highly disturbed the Earth’s magnetosphere.
In
Figure 3 we combine space and atmospheric weather data temporally related with the intense solar flares and the subsequent eruption of the two CMEs in March 2012; the two upper panels, a and b, provide information for the atmospheric weather in Alexandroupoli, Thrace, northeast Greece, and the two bottom panels, c and d, crucial information concerning the space weather near Earth (magnetosphere) and far upstream from the planetary magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) shock, which is the boundary between the magnetosphere and the interplanetary space (interplanetary space). In particular,
Figure 3 displays time profiles of the daily maximum value of temperature T
A in Alexandroupoli (panel a), the rainfall in the same town (panel b), the fluxes of DE1 energetic (38–53 keV) electrons, and of both the P2’ low (68–115 keV)and the P8 high (1880–4700 keV) energy protons as detected by the ACE satellite in the interplanetary (IP) space, around the Langragian point L1,(panel c; for the L1 point see
Figure 1), along with the index Dst (panel d), from a network of near-equatorial geomagnetic observatories [
83].
In panel d of
Figure 3 we distinguish four magnetic storms, on days March 7, 9, 12 and 15, with low to very extreme low values of the geomagnetic index Dst. Tsurutani et al. [
84] noted that storms S1, S2, S3 and S4 on March 7, 9, 12, and 15 appeared after ICME-associated MHD travelling interplanetary shocks on days 7, 8, 11–12 and 15 March.
The influence of space weather on Earth and its environment is most often considered in terms of geomagnetic activity (magnetic storms). However, solar or galactic cosmic rays are known to influence the atmospheric dynamics. In panel c we see some flux peaks superimposed on a large time-scale flux structure starting on March 4 and ending on March 20. We name the onset phase of the whole proton flux structure on days 4-6 as SEP-1. The solar energetic proton (SEP) events seen as particular flux enhancements on days 7–9, 11–12 and 13–15 March 2012,are called SEP2, SEP3, and SEP4, respectively. Both the magnetic storms S1, S2, S3 and S4 and the solar proton events SEP1-2, SEP3, and SEP4 are causally related with the appearance of AR11429 on the solar disk and the subsequent IP space disturbance, in particular, due to the CMEs accompanied solar flares F1 and F2.
The short-lived low-energy P2’ proton peaks seen after 17 March are of magnetospheric origin; they are produced by particle acceleration within the magnetosphere and escape into the interplanetary. These low energy flux peaks show high peak-to-background flux ratio (j
p/j
b), with j
p/j
b >10
2, which are unusual for upstream protons at the position of ACE [
4,
85]. These high j
p/j
b values recorded far upstream from the Earth’s bow shock strongly suggest that the magnetosphere was a very strong accelerator at those times.
The largest solar proton and electron flux enhancement in
Figure 3, SEP-2, is characterized by a sharp peak on March 8 around the time of the ICME-related shock (panel c). In [
4] we noted that the March 8 SEP event falls into a rare class of solar cosmic ray events. For instance, the P8 (1.88–4.70 MeV) protons show an unusual flux increase, with a maximum peak intensity j > 10
4 p (cm
2. sec. sr. MeV)
-1 and an extreme value j
p/j
b > 10
6 compared to the background P8 flux on March 4 (j
p/j
b > 10
3 compared to the pre-flare values of March 6.)Furthermore, we also mentioned that the SEP-2 P8 flux ratio j
p/j
b was rather the highest one among the CME-related SEP events observed during a period of 18 years (1997 -2015) [
4].
The solar energetic electrons, like the energetic ions, follow open IMF lines and precipitate in the high latitude magnetosphere, ionosphere and atmosphere, into the cusp, a region that is adjacent to the outer radiation belt (RB). The outer RB is a region rich in energetic electrons, which reaches higher densities during SEP events.
Figure 4 shows the flux-time profiles of energetic electrons observed by the MEP90
0 detector of the NOAA-18 satellite during three periods, when NOAA-18 crossed the electron radiation belts and the cusp in the north magnetosphere throughout the whole SEP event lasting between 5-17 March 2012: on March 8 (panel a), 11 (panel b) and 13 (panel c). The two lines on the top of each panel indicate differential intensities (#el / (cm
2. sec. sr. keV) in the energy range 30-100 keV (multiplied by a factor of 10) and 100-300 keV. The line at the bottom of the panels a, b and c indicates the integral intensity (#el / (cm
2. sec. sr) of semi-relativistic (>300 keV) electrons.
The SEP-2 event was unusually strong. By comparing the flux-time profiles of energetic electrons in panels a, b and c we see a plateau on day 8 at high latitudes for as long as the IP shock-related energetic electron population was reaching the Earth’s environment (
Figure 3c), while the electron intensity shows an increasing drop in the middle of the whole structure in panels b and c whilst as the solar flux was decreasing between 8 – 17 March (
Figure 3). Panel a manifests a rare event, with a cusp fulfilled with electrons in such a way (high electron intensities) that actually it cannot be separated from the outer radiation belts. The outer radiation belts can be well distinguished in Panels b and c as two distinct structures at the edges of the whole high latitude flux enhancements. The flux drop in the cusp between ~02:40-02:48 UT on March 2013 shows a >300keV electron flux difference of more than 2 orders of magnitudes, between the outer radiation belts and the cusp, although the solar energetic electron background was is quite high (
Figure 3c).
SEP events related with SF1 and SF2 were observed by a series of spacecraft located at various sites of the heliosphere and were observing protons to much higher energies than ACE. The SF1 / SF2 - related proton events observed within the magnetosphere by the GOES satellite showed a relative ~30 MeV proton flux enhancement >3.5 orders of magnitude (data not shown here). The solar cosmic rays observed by PAMELA during 7–9 March showed flux increases by a factor of ~10
3 at ~500 MeV [
84], which suggests that the spectrum extends to energies much higher than 500 MeV. Protons with energies E >500 MeV were also measured by the EPHIN instrument on the SOHO satellite [
86]. The March 2012 solar activity was recorded at Earth as a very strong decrease in cosmic-ray fluxes on the ground after March 8 [
87].
The impact of the March 2012 solar activity was so strong so that CMEs-related shock(s) drifted much of the solar system to heliocentric distances of ~124 AU [Gurnett et al. [
88]. The March 7-related CMEs were also detected at Mercury’s orbit by Messenger, and they caused the most intense energetic particle flows during the cruise of the Mars Science Laboratory to Mars [
89].
The energetic proton flux increase and a magnetic storm on March 28-30 seen in
Figure 3c indicate remnants of particle reservoir still present in the next solar rotation originated from the SEP stream starting on 4 March.
3.2. Extreme Meteorological Events in Thrace, northeast Greece, in March 2012.
In [
4] we provided significant evidence that the SF1 and SF2 and the subsequent release of highly geoeffective ICMEs were responsible for the March 2012 heat wave in northeast USA. It is well known that the March 2012 heat wave was not a local extreme weather event. Concurrent with the heat wave in northeast USA, western and central Europe experienced one of the warmest Marches. Temperatures in the U.K. recorded averages 4.5°F (2.5°C) above normal, i.e. the warmest March since 1957, while Austria and Germany had their third warmest March on record.
On the contrary, large parts of northwestern United States, western Canada, Alaska, eastern Asia, and Australia experienced below-average temperatures. March 2012 was also abnormally cool in southeast Europe. Heavy rains, snowfalls, and strong winds were observed during unusual winter-like spring weather in Greece. BBC NEWS website, for instance, describes the unusual March weather in Greece as follows: «Snowstorms have caused transport chaos around the Greek capital Athens, with one overnight traffic jam stretching for up to 15km (9 miles). Ferry services were disrupted and there were power cuts in some parts of the capital and on the islands, prompting some schools to close… Some roads in the Peloponnese, central Greece and the north of the country were also shut, according to the Greek news website Ekathimerini (
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-12674491)».
Since we found good observational evidence that the March 2012 heatwave in northeast USA was triggered by an unusual space weather following the SF1 and SF2 [
4], and we also know that weather anomalies were a global planetary phenomenon at that period [91], we wanted to check whether ground meteorological extremes in southeast Europe, Greece, were well related in time with specific space weather events, as in the case of the March 2012 [
4]. This second case study was selected on the basis of the location of the University where most of the co-authors of this paper we work, the Demokritos University of Thrace (DUTH). DUTH extends over the geographical region of Thrace, in northeast Greece (
Figure 4). Meteorological data in our study were obtained in two towns, in east and west Thrace, Alexandroupoli and Xanthi, respectively. A possible good relation of space weather with atmospheric extreme events at a specific second place on the globe (DUTH and its close region) in March 2012, besides the case of the March 2012 heat wave we previously examined [
4], would greatly support space weather as the most likely candidate agent of the weather anomalies at the two sites on the globe (northeast USA - southeast Europe).
Figure 5 displays a map of Greece. Alexandroupoli and Xanthi (marked by rectangles and indicated by solid red circles) are located at Ν40.846
o, E25.874
o and N41.13
o, E24.89
o, correspondingly in northeast Greece (southward of Bulgaria and west of Turkey.
Firstly, we can see some characteristic features concerning a relationship between space weather at ACE, in the interplanetary space relatively near the Earth, and meteorological parameters in Alexandroupoli (east Thrace) in
Figure 3. Rainfall in Alexandroupoli was recorded during three time intervals in March 2012: around days 8, 14, and 30 March 2012 (blue bars in panel b). A careful comparison of the data in Panels b and c suggests that rainfall in Alexandroupoli occurred during three major solar energetic particle (P8) flux enhancement that is around day 8-9 (SEP-2), 15-16 (SEP-4) and 30 March. Secondly, from the comparison of the data in
Figure 3 we infer that during the period 6-16 March, when the energetic particle flux increased and then decreased, a superstorm was occurring (panel d), after the incident of CME-related MHD shock waves / SEP events starting on 7 March. Furthermore, at this period (6-16 March) the temperature T
A in Alexandroupoli decreased and then increased following in general the opposite pattern of the solar particles. In particular the temperature decreased until March 11 and fall from 15
0 to 3
0C, that is a T
A variation ΔΤ
A = -12
0, between 3-11 March. Then the temperature increased from 3
0 to 23
0, that is an increase ΔΤ
A = 20
0, until the end of the SEP event and beyond. We infer that the meteorological and space weather data in
Figure 3 are consistent with space weather as an agent of the winter-like weather in Alexandroupoli between 6-16 March. This conclusion is further checked with more data from space and Earth based measurements in the following.
In
Figure 6, we present Cloud top temperature (CTT) as made by the MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) instrument onboard the Terra (
Figure 6a and Aqua satellites (
Figure 6b). The CTT 1-day mean measurements of
Figure 6a and
6b were obtained by the Terra and Aqua satellites in the region enclosed in rectangle of
Figure 5c (18.3181E, 33.2746N, 26.5359E, 42.1076N).The CTT values are shown in colors corresponding to those of the color bar on right side of
Figure 6b, in a range from 1 to 30 March 2012 (horizontal axis).
From Figures 6a and 6b, the Hovmoller-Longitudinal Average projections represent essential spatial and temporal CTT features. Alexandroupoli is located at 40.85
0N. The most striking feature is the bluish-colored structure at north latitudes centered at ~40
0 and extending ~50 southward. A careful look at the colors of the blue- structure suggests that TERRA/ MODIS and AQUA/MODIS reached very low values between on 9-11. 2012 and ~8-11.3. 2012, correspondingly. A comparison of the CTT values of Figures 5a,b with
Figure 3c suggests that the lowest cloud-top temperature above Greece was recorded after SEP-2, which occurred on 7 - 8.3.2012, when the highest flux of protons in March 2012 was observed by ACE.
Figure 5a shows a stable anomaly in decreasing the CTT around 9-11 March with a distinct level in comparison to the average level of CTT for the entire month of March 2012. The PM map for MODIS CTT (
Figure 6b) shows a diffusion in the CTT level over the same spatial segment. This could be an effect of the afternoon migration of some humidity via the jet stream flow from the sea towards the land and facing the cloud formation but maintaining anomalies’ patterns. After some additional checks with data a year before (March 2011), MODIS CTT maps for the same region show no similarities to the 2012 MODIS CTT (
Appendix C). This suggests that the 2012 drop in CTT during March 9-11 is not affected by climatology or some usual seasonal pattern in the region.
In
Figure 7 we examine the progress of the wind situation for fifteen days (Μarch 3, 2012 - March 17, 2012). In particular,
Figure 7 displays daily wind fields in south Europe and the Mediterranean Sea, including Xanthi, Greece (solid red circle ), as described by NCEP Reanalysis at mid-tropospheric heights (500 hPa).
Figure 6 shows that the speed wind intensifies during two phases (8 – 10.3.2012 and 12 – 13.3.2012) throughout the continuous course of an eastward moving cyclone appearing on March 6th in east Atlantic / west Mediterranean Sea and leaving the east Mediterranean / Middle East on March 17th; the two phases of the intensified wind speed coincide in time with the periods following the interplanetary shocks of 8 and 11 March probably suggesting a causal effect.
The wind fields indicate that strong southwesterly winds prevailed in the central Mediterranean on days 8-10, favoring the transfer of moist air from the central Mediterranean into the Greek territory. These winds were further reinforced by a cyclone which initially developed southwest of Greece and then moved northwards into the Greek area. The combination of the moist air and the subsequent low pressure conditions over Greece (allowing the uplift of the moist air) set favorable conditions for rainfalls in the Greek territory
. These conditions coincide in time with the very low cloud top temperatures recorded by MODIS on TERRA and AQUA on March 8-11 at a long range of latitudes (
Figure 5 and
Figure 6), after the arrival of the major SEP-2 event (March 7-9.3.2012).
In
Figure 8 we present CTT measurements made by the MODIS instrument onboard the TERRA satellite, but at the Xanthi longitude. CTT are indicated as a function of latitude and time, in the range from N30
0 to N70
0 (horizontal axis) and from 4 to 13 March, 2012 (perpendicular axis), respectively. The T values are shown in colors corresponding to those of the color bar seen below the figure.
From
Figure 8, we can see some important spatial and temporal features. The most striking feature is the blue colored structures on days 8-10.2012. A comparison of the T values of
Figure 6 with SEP fluxes in
Figure 3c suggests that the lowest cloud-top temperature above Alexandroupoli started recording by MODIS / TERRA after ~1 day from the onset of the SEP-2 event, that is about 1 day after the arrival of the March major SEP-2 event that was observed by ACE (7 - 8.3.2012), although low CTT are seen on day 7 as well.
Furthermore, it is worth noting that the TTC drop structure was recorded by MODIS at a region of longitudes centered at ~400 and extending ~50 northward and ~50 southward. A careful look at the colors of the blue-green structure seen between 4 – 15 March 2012 suggests that the temperature T ranged between ~00C - ~630 C (~2100K – ~2730K). Therefore, we infer that between 4 – 13 March 2012 the top of cloud above Alexandroupoli, was much cold suggesting appropriate conditions for precipitation [92].
A second T drop (green colors) in
Figure 8, around Alexandroupoli’s latitudes was recorded between the middle of days 14 and 15 March. This temperature decrease on the top of the clouds was recorded again ~1 day after the arrival of the SEP-4 event (~13-15.3.2012), the second major particle event seen in
Figure 3c.
It is worth noting that the CTT drop structure recorded by MODIS / TERRA on 8-11.3.2012 (Τ1) appears to be a large structure over the middle and high latitude Europe, at Greece longitudes (~40
0), extending all the way from ~35
0Nto >70
0N, which is consistent with the large scale extreme events appearing in USA and the north Atlantic [
4] and the global character of meteorological extreme events at those times [91]. It is also worth noting that the second period with CCT drop, between 13-15.3.2012 (Τ2) suggests a large region with CCT decrease, but this event, T2, is slighter than T1, and shows minimum CCT at high latitudes around 65
0N. In
Figure 6 we show (by blue arrows in red rectangles) the general opposite CCT gradient direction between T1 and T2 events.
Figure 9 displays the cloud cover all over the planet according to the MODIS/Aqua measurements on 6 March 2012 (panel a) and 10 March 2012. Panels a and b indicate the cloudy covering of Earth before (March 6) and after (March 10) the arrival of the arrival of the ICME-related SEP-2 event, which bombarded the Earth’s environment, in particular the cusp, with a flood of high energy ions and electrons (
Figure 3 and
Figure 4). We have already discussed in [
4] the large scale atmospheric dynamics in northeast America and the north Atlantic, characterized by an anti-cyclone in the north Atlantic providing warm air transported from the Gulf of Mexico in the northward direction.
Figure 6 helps us to realize the large scale weather variation taking place from 6 to 10 March 2012 eastward from the north Atlantic anti-cyclone, in the whole region from northern Africa to the northern Europe (yellow rectangle). We see that the clear sky over almost the whole of Europe on March 6 (panel a) changed dramatically into a much cloudier sky above northern Africa, the central Mediterranean, the southeast Europe and a broad region inside the north European coasts after the ICME-related SEP-2 event (
Figure 3), on March 10 (panel b; brown colored areas). Furthermore it is worth noting that in some European countries, like Belarus and Norway the rainfall started on March 10, while some areas experienced precipitation earlier, as for instance Hamburg, Germany (on March 7).
The cloud cover shown in
Figure 9 is consistent with the cloud top temperature seen in
Figure 8 and suggests the existence of a large scale atmospheric anomaly that affected northern Africa, the Mediterranean and the Agean Sea, the southeastern and northern Europe and the north Europe on March 10. Furthermore, the cloudy in the Mediterranean, the Agean Sea, northern Africa and the southeastern Europe –including Greece- is consistent with the enhanced wind speeds of the anticyclone extending over these regions, as we saw in
Figure 7. We recall that these weather disturbances occurred after the detection of the shock-related SEP event by ACE on March 7-8 and during the consequent large magnetic storm onset on March 9.
Figure 10 displays detailed meteorological measurements (courtesy of Pr. Kourtidis and Dr. Kastelis) from a station on the Campus of our Democritus University of Thrace (41.15
0 N, 24.92
0E, 75m above sea level), in the town of Xanthi, ~90 km westward of Alexandroupoli (40.8
0 N, 25.8
0E
, Greece). The station is located approximately 3 km from the city center of Xanthi; thus, it is characterized as rural, and the city does not influence it. In particular, the measurements in
Figure 8 show in detail the values of the atmospheric Potential Gradient (PG; [93,94] of the electric field (red line), the wind speed (black line), and the accumulated precipitation (purple shaded region) during the period 5 – 15 March 2012.
Figure 8 displays values of the electric field, of the wind speed and of the accumulated precipitation, which obviously suggests extreme bad weather starting on March 8 and continuing until the end of the time interval examined (March 15, 2012).
From
Figure 10 we see that the meteorological station in Demokritos University of Thrace recorded three large amplitude electric field fluctuations after the two IP shocks detected by ACE at ~1130 UT, on March 8 and at ~1228 UT on March 11, and the maximum SYM-H at 07:58 UT on March 9 as reported by [
84]. Important to note is that the unusual large amplitude electric field fluctuations in the second half of March 8, ranging between ~-2000V/m - ~1800V/m, appears after the strong March 8 IP shock. It is also worth noting that both shock-related EFFs (~1130 UT on March 8 and ~1228 UT on March 11) show a fluctuation profile reaching large positive and negative values. On the contrary, the S2 magnetic storm-related AEF displays only negative electric field excursions at low values (of ~ 1000 V/m).
The IP shock-related AEFs on 8 and 11 March show unusually large amplitudes; they were stronger than the values of the EFFs recorded after the great Halloween events, which were recorded in Kamchatka on 28 and 30 October 2013 [95]. Such differences may be associated with either the peculiarities of local physical processes in the near-ground atmosphere or differences of registration locations [
40].
Figure 8 clearly shows that the 8, 9 and 11 March EFFs were followed by rainfall and winds (purple and black lines). It is worth noting that the increases in the accumulated precipitation were larger after the shock-associated bipolar EFFs than after the storm-associated negative electric field anomaly.
The space and terrestrial data shown above suggest that the extreme meteorological events occurring in March 2012 and in particular between 8-11 March were related with unusually intense solar activity and special weather events, as in the case of the March 2012 heatwave in northeast USA.
3.3. Perturbations in the High Voltage electric power grid in Τhrace, Greece, in March 2012.
Since we have found good evidence of correlations between unusual meteorological variations in Thrace (Xanthi, Alexandroupoli), Greece, and the ΙCME-related SEP events in March 2012 that followed the occurrence of SF1 and SF2, in this section we examine the possible influence of space weather on the electric grid in the same region and at the same time period.
For this reason we investigate the possible relations of the March 2012 space weather events with possible perturbation in the high (150 kV) voltage electric power network in Thrace, north-east Greece, as recorded by the SCADA system of the Independent Power Transmission Operator (IPTO), in Komotini. Komotini is a town located between Xanthi and Alexandroupoli and is the capital of the local geographical region of Thrace. This second study of the present paper concerns the time period of March 5-15, 2012, which includes the major space weather events observed after SF1 and SF2 (
Figure 2 and
Figure 3).
Since a series of papers have shown that during the incident of intense ICMEs on Earth’s magnetosphere are often recorded as geomagnetically induced currents (GICs), which cause inconveniences to the electric power systems, we wanted to examine whether the electric IPTO grid in Thrace was affected by the geoeffective superstorm of March 2012, and, furthermore, if the agent of the possible electric current perturbations might be separated from the unusual meteorological events taking place in the same time period.
The IPTO factory’s SCADA system records the voltages between the phases L1-L2, L2-L3 and L3-L1 in the connection point of the voltage output from the factory with the high voltage electric power grid every 1s. In the present study we analyze 1s and 1-hour of such averaged data. So, in
Figure 11 we show 1-hour averaged data for selected days during the time period March 5-15, 2012. The data shown were created by processing the time-average values of the three 1s voltages between the phases L1-L2, L2-L3, L3-L1. From the 3600 values per hour, the maximum MAX (blue lines) and the minimum MIN (green lines) values per hour were determined. Furthermore, from the MIN and MAX values we also created time series of the differences (DFR = MAX – MIN) between the 1-hour averaged maximum and minimum voltage values.Ιn
Figure 9, the presented DFR values show the result of the actual DFR values added to the level of the 153kV standard voltage value (red lines) to avoid confusion with the other (MAX, MIN) lines.
Panels a and b on the left sides of
Figure 11 present the 1-hour MAX, MIN and DFR voltage values on days 5 and 14 March, which were recorded under quiet magnetic conditions (
Figure 3), well before and after the major SEP-2 event observed on days 7-9.3.2012 (
Figure 3c).
The elaboration of the graphs in panels a and b reveals the appearance of a daily cycle of voltage changes in the 150kV transmission network at periods around 7:00LT - 9:00LT and 18:00 LT - 20:00 LT. The MIN voltages in the early morning hours (7:00LT - 9:00LT) correspond to times when inhabitants of Northern Greece are preparing to go to their place of work, while the MIN values in the afternoon hours (18:00 LT and 20:00 LT) correspond to times when the workers return homes, coinciding with the night darkness start; in the morning hours (7:00 LT - 9:00 LT), the night-lights turn off and the companies’ activity start, and in the evening hours (18:00 - 20:00), the night-lights turn on due to household and public lighting activation. The peaks in DFR voltage (red line) at the 150kV transmission network in the morning and the afternoon, were unveiled on both days 5 and 14 March and they were present in all daily graphs checked for the interval 4-15.3.2012 (data not shown here).
Panels c and d, on the right side of
Figure 11, show the 1-hour averaged MAX, MIN and DFR voltage values obtained by IPTO during days 7.3.2012 7 and 10.3.2012 and they are presented in the same format as in panels a and b. During these two days, 7.3.2012 and 10.3.2012, the Dst index reached low values (
Figure 3d) suggesting that magnetic storms were in progress, due to the arrival of SEP-2 and the associated ICME, respectively. It is obvious that the MAX, MIN and DFR voltage profiles during the two storms (panels c and d) are different from those during the magnetically quiet days (panels a and b).
In particular, we see that the two large DFR peaks in the morning and in the afternoon of the quiet days divided into several voltage peaks of comparable values during the magnetically disturbed days 7.3.2012 and 10.3.2012. It is also remarkable that the general DFR background increases in prenoon-noon-afternoon times (11UT- 18UT) on March 10th, that is during the recovery phase of the major magnetic storm of March 2012.
In
Figure 12 we present high time resolution voltage data of 1 sec from IPTO for the whole period 5-15.3.2015. These data have been processed and presented to examine steep and sudden changes in the high voltage values and we defined as “steep” or “sudden” change in the high voltage, a voltage change greater or less than 500V compared to the current average voltage value in the last 5s (
Appendix A). These changes were determined over the course of each day, during the period 5-15.3.2015, and are plotted in the graphs of
Figure 12 as overvoltage (positive values) or voltage drop (negative values) points.
From a comparison of the data of
Figure 12 with those of
Figure 10, we infer that the diagrams of sudden voltage changes (SVC) within 1 sec follows, in general, the standard pattern of the 1-hour averaged voltage data, with almost permanent events in the morning, between 07:00 LT - 09:00 LT and in the evening, between 18:00LT to 20:00LT, but also at post-noon times (14:00LT - 15:00LT), when the citizens have their lunch. We note that the duration of each event, which starts with a sudden voltage increase, is reflected by the number of “anomalous” points (SVC > 500V) than the current average voltage value in the last 5s.
The most characteristic feature revealed from Figures 12 is that SVCs obviously appear in many more times (“anomalous” points) on magnetically disturbed days (7.3.2012 7 and 10.3.2012;
Figure 10) than on the quiet days (5.3.2012 and 14.3.2012;
Figure 11). For instance an elaboration in
Figure 10 suggests that 37 SVCs were recorded on March 10, with maximum daily value of the voltage surges creation / voltage drop3.61kV / -3.32kV. On the contrary, only 7 SVCs were recorded on March 5, with maximum daily value of the voltage surges creation / voltage drop 0.89kV / -0.66kV. Detailed information on the daily number of the number of SVCs along with the maximum value of the voltage surges creation and the voltage drop on each day between 5 – 15 March is given in
Appendix B. We point out that the results of
Figure 10 are in agreement with the results of the hourly averaged data of
Figure 11. Furthermore, a comparison between the number of SVC events on days 9.3.2012 and 10.3.2012 suggests that much more sudden disturbances occurred in the electric grid in Thrace on March 10 than on March 9. This is probably an important result, since the magnetic storm on March 10 shows slow geomagnetic field B variation, during the recovery phase of the storm, in contrast to March 9, when the storm is characterized by abrupt B field changes, during the storm main phase (
Figure 3 and
Figure 13). This result needs further investigation in the future, in order to examine whether such an increased number of SVC events, on electric grids at middle latitudes, is a preferential feature of the recovery decay phase of large storms. We should note that the continuation of the high occurrence frequency of SVC events until the end of the recovery phase of the storm, that is within the first half of day 11 (
Figure 10d), may be an indication of a relation of SVI events on the IPTO electric grid in Thrace with slowly changing geomagnetic fields (
Figure 11), which produce quasi-DC electric currents on the ground.
Figure 14 shows lightning records in Greece between 8–10 March 2012. It is evident that no lightning phenomena were recorded in Thrace, northeast Greece, during times with bad weather (intense precipitation, strong wind, great ground electric field fluctuations) and voltage perturbations in the local electric grid, whereas strong lightning activity is evident in the middle Mediterranean on March 10, during strong winds (
Figure 7). We infer that the sudden high voltage changes found in the power electric grid in Thrace (
Figure 11 and
Figure 12), for instance on March 10, cannot be attributed to lightning effects, and they are related with the special space weather conditions at those times. It is worth noting that the lightning activity seen on March 10 was recorded during times of cloudy and anticyclone strong winds (
Figure 7).