1. Introduction
Soil, one of the earth’s most precious and threatened resources [
1], provides humans with far more than foods but also a large variety of services like biomass production, water filtration, nutrient transformation, carbon storage, habitat and terrestrial biodiversity maintenance [
2,
3]. However, most of the soil resources worldwide are only in poor health conditions, and accelerated soil erosion induced by inappropriate human activities and related land use change, is the primary driver behind the problem [
4,
5]. Soil erosion refers to the complex process of soil materials detachment, transportation, and deposition by external erosive forces. It causes on-farm impacts of reduced soil fertility and productivity [
6,
7], and also leads to greater off-site costs such as muddy flooding, sedimentation, water pollution [
8] and at stake are the global biogeochemical cycles [
9,
10]. Literature and runoff plots observations have demonstrated that cropland is the main source of soil loss [
5,
11,
13], and the soil erosion rates from which can be orders of magnitude greater than natural soil formation speed and those from other land use types [
13,
14,
15], especially in mountainous areas. It is estimated that about 80% of the agricultural land around the world is suffering from serious erosion problems, with an unsustainable mean annual cropland erosion rate of about 30 t/(ha·a). Consequently, more than one-third of cropland has been vanished in the last decades due to soil erosion [
16]. To monitor and assess the impacts of soil erosion and make strategies to deal with them, mapping up to date quantitative information on cropland erosion rates at regional scale is essential but also very challenging [
17,
18], since for most areas worldwide the observed erosion data is woefully inadequate.
On the one hand, it is difficult to gain insight into the spatial pattern of soil erosion without specific soil erosion rates and hotpots information, confusion raises in the allocation of soil erosion mitigation programs and priorities, the formulations of policies, and the effectiveness evaluation of soil conservation measures [
19]. Besides, knowledge gaps will be generated in critical fields like climate change, landslides and flood prediction, carbon mitigation scenarios and earth science modelling, and the well-known polices of SDGs, CAP, UNCCD and IPBES will be out of focus [
20]. Despite soil erosion modelling and prediction have received considerable attention from governments and scientists for more than seven decades [
21,
22], with various empirical, conceptual and physically-based models and approaches been developed to measure, estimate and monitor soil erosion from field to landscape scales [
23,
24,
25,
26]. Yet, most models are only applicable to micro-scales like field plots, hillslopes and small catchments, and are difficult to applied to large scales due to the spatial heterogeneity of soil erosion affecting factors [
28], scale issues [
14,
27], model limitations and applicability [
14,
29,
30], especially high demand for model input data [
20,
31]. Since most empirical soil erosion models are established based on the scales of plots and hillslopes with certain applicable conditions and scopes [
31]. For example, the most widely applied soil erosion prediction USLE-type models, are originally developed at the plot scale for agricultural lands (gradient less than 18 %) based on the “unit plot concept” of a 22.1 m long, 1.83 m wide plot, with a 9% slope with up-and-down hill tillage [
20]. The major limitation of soil erosion modelling for any given area is the microscopic process involved is less considered, and it is difficult to acquire up-to-date soil erosion information like crop rotation, terracing, mulching, contouring and hedgerow planting at large scales, especially in fragmented mountainous landscapes. When upscaling the models to large scales, the input variables or parameters of the models generally simplified, huge uncertainties may lead to extrapolation error, and the reliability of the results is often questioned. Currently, the contradiction between the relatively low resolution of available input data and the high resolution required for runoff-erosion processes is the major obstacle to overcome for large scale dynamic quantification of soil erosion [
29]. For mountainous areas, poor data availability, timeliness and data quality has been the biggest obstacle in mapping and visualizing soil erosion rates at large scales [
32].
To date, limited by the over parameterization of physical models and poor datasets available, large scale soil erosion assessment methods are generally based on empirical models, and can be divided into two categories of sampling surveys and remote sensing assessments [
27,
33]. (a) Sampling survey refers to the method of allocating samples within a region according to certain proportion and rules, field investigation on erosion features and parameters is then conducted, soil erosion models will be further applied to quantify soil erosion rates or conditions, and statistical methods will be used to estimate the overall soil erosion patterns of the region finally. The typical examples are the National Resource Inventory (NRI) conducted in the United States [
34], the National Soil Erosion Survey in China [
35], the EUSEDcollab network [
36] and the gully erosion monitoring based on the Land Use/Cover Area frame survey in Europe [
37]. (b) Another category is remote sensing based assessments with simplified models. Since large-scale application of complex models is challenging, as the availability of high-resolution remote sensing images increases, large-scale estimation using empirical models such as USLE/RUSLE, becomes feasible due to the relatively simple input data. Compared with field investigation, satellite remote sensing is characterized by timely, affordable data, uniform data over large areas, real-time information acquisition and regular revisit wide view field [
38], and has been widely applied in soil erosion modelling and mapping [
39]. Particularly, efforts have been put into direct soil erosion detection [
19,
40], and parameters of rainfall erosivity estimation [
41,
42], soil related properties derivation [
43], topographic factors extraction [
44], cover-management (C-factor) and support practices (P-factor) [
45,
46,
47,
48], specific soil conservation measures mapping using high-resolution imageries [
49,
50,
51], as well as those large-scale soil erosion assessments with raster layers operations [
52,
53]. The biggest advantage of sampling survey is it provides reliable soil erosion rates, and large-scale spatial patterns of soil erosion status can be achieved by combining with statistical principles [
54,
55], but the field measurement and investigation of indices is labor-intensive and high cost. Remote sensing-based methods allow rapid and efficient soil erosion assessment even in areas that intensive field investigation is a challenge, but more in a qualitative or semi-quantitative way. Although high resolution imagery like SPOT 5, IKONOS and Quikbird ensure high quality data in erosion mapping, their utility remain hindered as large area imageries are also unaffordable for most countries [
40].
Previous studies [
56,
57,
58,
59] confirmed that land use/cover change (LUCC) is the primary cause of accelerated soil erosion under climate change scenarios, and is the most direct and intuitive reflection of the interaction between human activities and the soils on earth surface [
60]. For most cases, the key to prevent soil erosion is to change various unreasonable land uses to a sustainable mode which in line with the principles of sustainable development, such as the projects of returning farmland to forest/grassland and converting slopes into terraces in China. Meanwhile, compared with the inversion of soil erosion indices, remote sensing application in LUCC monitoring is the field with the most complete and mature technology. At large scales, by integrating most commonly usedLandsat series data imagery, relevant studies [
61,
62] also reveal the long-term impact of land use change on soil erosion, and provides the suitable information necessary for assessing soil erosion intensity, but due to the lack of field-based soil erosion investigation data, the estimated dynamic results are generally potential soil erosion risks without exact dynamic soil erosion rates. Obviously, more detailed field experimental data that accurately quantify soil erosion rates are needed.
In 2010 through 2012, the Ministry of Water Resources of China (MWRC) conducted the first ever and only field-based National Soil Erosion Survey (NSES) in history by using sampling survey and the Chinese Soil Loss Equation (CSLE) [
63,
64,
65]. Those detailed onsite investigated provides abundant information on soil erosion rates at land parcel scale, which reduces the uncertainties in soil erosion modeling and prediction. As soil erosion is a dynamic process demands constant monitoring to obtain up-to-date information on its spatial pattern [
40]. The combination of advantages between both sampling survey and remote sensing is definitely the potential solution for the dilemma of large-scale soil erosion rates quantification. The objectives of this paper, is thus to quantitatively assess the cropland soil erosion dynamics induced by the long-term cropland change in mountainous areas, with perspectives from soil erosion field investigation and the LUCC scenarios based on time-series satellite images.
4. Discussion
Constant soil erosion rates measurement and observation at large scales have proven to be extremely challenging and unrealistic. Based on field sampling surveys, the CSLE model and LUCC data, we proposed a rapid monitoring method to extrapolate cropland soil erosion rates and soil loss from point to surface in mountainous areas. The field investigated 20,155 land parcels share same standards in data quality and all of them meet the USLE-type empirical model requirements in size and scale (less than 150 ha). The LUCC data was further improved using a non-homogeneous voting method, with steps of accuracy assessment, consistency analysis and standardization of the classification system. To facilitate decision-making, we provided continuous distribution information on cropland erosion rates, hotspots and soil loss amounts. The soil erosion rates of each land type are in good consistency with the reported values in literatures [
6,
30]. Apparently, when choosing a soil erosion model, one should pay more attention to model strengths, limitations and application scope. If the input data does not meet the requirements, the results produced by over-parameterization and scaling extrapolation are often less reliable than those given by a simple model.
Under climate change and land use change scenarios, cropland erosion and degradation are a mutually promoting process. In areas with extremely high biodiversity like Yunnan, the implementation of policies such as returning farmland to forest/grass is of great value in controlling soil erosion and protecting habitats and biodiversity. However, our research shows that a cropland area of 7461.83 km
2 (−10.55%) has vanished during the past 20 years. which is an extremely shocking number, and the originally small cropland area per head of population is continuing to shrink, the newly reclaimed slope lands are often accompanied with severe soil erosion rates, directly threatening local food security. The real threat should be noted here is that more and more land is becoming unfarmable due to high soil erosion rates. It is estimated that if the current soil erosion rate in China continues, the food production will decrease by 40% in the next 50 years [
14]. Moreover, the rising global population demands intensification of agricultural production to meet food demand, which is expected to increase by 50% in 2030 and possibly a doubling in 2050 [
1]. If current population growth speed and soil erosion rates continue unchecked, humankind may eventually lose the ability to feed itself in the future barring unforeseen scientific advances [
5]. The regulation of sloping croplands is extremely difficult in mountainous areas, as the croplands are fragmentedly distributed on steep slopes. According to local statistics [
82], the annual average cropland land area with newly treated erosion control measures in Yunnan is 31.69 km
2. It will take more than 1,000 years and 180 billion yuan to complete the regulation of unmeasured sloping cropland and, and this is assuming that each cropland can be managed without considering the difficulty of governance. Considering the cropland loss speed, urgent action is needed to face the threat of cropland soil erosion with shared understanding by considering collaboration and interrelationships among stakeholders, different roles (e.g. scientists, governments, farmers, environmentalists).
Field observation of soil erosion is always closer to the truth than the modelling results, and it is the most vital part of scientific investigation. However, most regions around the world have the problem of under-representation of observational data. Currently, remote sensing is instrumental for investigating, evaluating, monitoring and understanding the spatial extent and rate of soil erosion due to the advantages of large coverage area, short revisit period monitoring. High resolution imageries provide high quality data and less uncertainties in soil erosion mapping, but their utility remain hindered due to the acquisition cost. As the spatial, hyperspectral and temporal resolution continuously increase, it sheds more and more light on small scale heterogeneity, and most of the limitations of large-scale soil erosion modelling may eventually dissipate in the future. With a robust framework of sample density and samples, remote sensing applications in large scale dynamic soil erosion mapping and monitoring will be very promising.
We proposed a combination method of point (PSUs) and surface (LUCC data) for quantitative soil erosion assessment in a large region, the work depended greatly on the detailed data collection in the field. The NSES was the first ever national soil erosion investigation using based field investigation, which ensures the accuracy of the input data. However, the quality and representativeness of the data for areas with low sampling density and missing sample information requires more in-depth evaluation.
5. Conclusions
Long-term, quantitative large-scale cropland erosion rates information is vital for agricultural planning and management, but long been hindered by data availability and model limitations. Taking the CSLE as monitoring tool, by integrating a large number of field sampling surveys and LUCC remote sensing data in the national surveys, we proposed a long-term time series dynamic method of monitoring cropland soil erosion rates and soil losses, and conducted an application research in the Yunnan Plateau with complex terrain conditions. Different from previous studies, this study was conducted based on a large number of field surveys and remote sensing for improving model input data and reduces the uncertainties. The results showed that:
(1) The average soil erosion rate and erosion ratio of cropland are significantly higher than other land use types, and huge spatial erosion differences were within each land use type. In addition, soil erosion rates are generally more sensitive to slope than slope length for all land uses. Soil conservation measures adopted in croplands are highly effective in controlling soil erosion and changed the spatial pattern of soil erosion significantly.
(2) In the past 20 years, due to the Grain for Green Policy, population growth and rapid urbanization expansion, the area of cropland and grassland in Yunnan continue to decrease, with the reduction ratios both exceeding 10%, while the built-up impervious land has increased by 300% in land area. The conversions between cropland and grassland is mainly concentrated in the Jinsha River Basin and northern parts, while the conversion between cropland and woodland is widely distributed throughout the province, especially in the southern region. Cropland related conversions account for 74.02% of all LUCC scenarios and show significantly different transformation intensities for each period.
(3) Significant land use changes in landscape scale pose huge impacts on cropland erosion in Yunnan. During 2000−2020, the amount of cropland soil loss has decreased by 0.32×108 t, with a decrease rate of 12.12%. Net soil loss change varies significantly in the six major river basins for different periods and LUCC scenarios. Except for the reclamation of cropland in the lower reaches of river basins and southern Yunnan, which bring a large amount increase in net soil loss, soil erosion in other areas significantly reduced due to the sharp reduction in cropland area. It is the first long-term quantitative study of cropland soil erosion in the area with multiple national investigation efforts, and is of great significance in under-standing the soil erosion patterns of cropland, clarifying the direction and focus of prevention, as well as protecting precious cropland resources to ensure food security in mountainous areas.
Figure 1.
Map of Yunnan province showing six major rivers, basins, cities and elevation variation.
Figure 1.
Map of Yunnan province showing six major rivers, basins, cities and elevation variation.
Figure 2.
(a) A spatial representation of the sampling design and grid division scheme; (b) Soil and water conservation regionalization map of China based on erosive forces; (c) Primary sample units (PSUs) allocated in Yunnan province in the National Soil Erosion Survey (NSES) in China; (d) Distribution of corresponding PSUs with different sampling densities and investigation goals in NSES.
Figure 2.
(a) A spatial representation of the sampling design and grid division scheme; (b) Soil and water conservation regionalization map of China based on erosive forces; (c) Primary sample units (PSUs) allocated in Yunnan province in the National Soil Erosion Survey (NSES) in China; (d) Distribution of corresponding PSUs with different sampling densities and investigation goals in NSES.
Figure 3.
A random example of field investigated PSU and layers of detailed soil erosion information (factors and rates, a resolution of 10 m).
Figure 3.
A random example of field investigated PSU and layers of detailed soil erosion information (factors and rates, a resolution of 10 m).
Figure 4.
Data optimization process using the non-homogeneous voting method in this study.
Figure 4.
Data optimization process using the non-homogeneous voting method in this study.
Figure 5.
Comparison of three other time series land use products and our revised NLUD-C result for different scenes using high-resolution images.
Figure 5.
Comparison of three other time series land use products and our revised NLUD-C result for different scenes using high-resolution images.
Figure 6.
Relationship between topographical factors and land use type soil erosion modulus,for slope length and gradient.
Figure 6.
Relationship between topographical factors and land use type soil erosion modulus,for slope length and gradient.
Figure 7.
Soil Erosion Rates of Rain-fed Cropland in PSUs.
Figure 7.
Soil Erosion Rates of Rain-fed Cropland in PSUs.
Figure 8.
The soil erosion rate of cropland with engineering measures and without engineering measures.
Figure 8.
The soil erosion rate of cropland with engineering measures and without engineering measures.
Figure 9.
Optimized land use maps of Yunnan from 2000 to 2020.
Figure 9.
Optimized land use maps of Yunnan from 2000 to 2020.
Figure 10.
Land use transfer process and change dynamics in Yunnan from 2000 to 2020.
Figure 10.
Land use transfer process and change dynamics in Yunnan from 2000 to 2020.
Figure 11.
Spatial distribution of cropland conversions and net change at county level in Yunnan.
Figure 11.
Spatial distribution of cropland conversions and net change at county level in Yunnan.
Figure 12.
Calculation process of net soil erosion change caused by the transformations of cropland.
Figure 12.
Calculation process of net soil erosion change caused by the transformations of cropland.
Figure 13.
Amount and spatial pattern of soil loss induced from cropland transformations in Yunnan during 2000-2020.
Figure 13.
Amount and spatial pattern of soil loss induced from cropland transformations in Yunnan during 2000-2020.
Table 1.
Details of the used publicly accessible non-homogeneous LUCC datasets.
Table 1.
Details of the used publicly accessible non-homogeneous LUCC datasets.
Datasets |
Image Source |
Method |
Cover |
Resolution |
OA |
NLUD-C |
Landsat TM/ETM |
Interactive Interpretation |
China |
30m |
> 90% |
GLC_FCS30 |
Landsat TM/ETM/OLI |
Random Forest |
Global |
30m |
82.5% |
CLCD |
Landsat TM/ETM/OLI |
Supervisory Algorithm |
China |
30m |
79.31% |
GlobeLand30 |
Landsat/HJ-1/GF-1 |
POK method |
Global |
30m |
85.72% |
ESRI_LC |
Sentinel-2 |
Deep learning |
Global |
10m |
85% |
ESA_WC |
Sentinel-2 |
Random Forest |
Global |
10m |
75% |
CRLC |
Sentinel-2 |
Deep learning |
China |
10m |
84% |
Dynamic World |
Sentinel-2 |
Deep learning |
Global |
10m |
72% |
Table 2.
Land parcel basics for the PSUs in Yunnan in the National Soil Erosion Survey.
Table 2.
Land parcel basics for the PSUs in Yunnan in the National Soil Erosion Survey.
1st Level Types |
NP |
APA |
Max-PA |
Min-PA |
ASG |
ASL |
SEM |
SEM Range |
Cropland |
6714 |
2.77 |
81.92 |
0.02 |
17.88 |
47.94 |
40.47 |
0−428.95 |
Woodland |
10015 |
7.03 |
86.53 |
0.03 |
22.79 |
48.62 |
5.37 |
0−174.12 |
Grassland |
1742 |
3.05 |
73.16 |
0.02 |
20.84 |
47.85 |
5.16 |
0−49.70 |
Water bodies |
257 |
1.34 |
18.56 |
0.03 |
4.14 |
21.28 |
― |
― |
Built-up land |
1237 |
1.33 |
25.01 |
0.01 |
14.02 |
42.96 |
2.95 |
0−293.67 |
Unused land |
190 |
2.50 |
41.96 |
0.04 |
19.05 |
44.94 |
96.52 |
0−455.15 |
Table 3.
Soil erosion rates and factors of NLUD-C land types at parcel scale based on investigation.
Table 3.
Soil erosion rates and factors of NLUD-C land types at parcel scale based on investigation.
NLUD-C Land Types |
R |
K |
L |
S |
B |
E |
T |
A |
1st Level |
2nd Level |
Cropland |
Dryland |
3343.94 |
0.006 |
1.48 |
5.69 |
1 |
0.69 |
0.33 |
45.34 |
Paddy fields |
3898.49 |
0.005 |
1.25 |
4.37 |
1 |
0.02 |
0.40 |
1.61 |
Irrigated land |
2681.28 |
0.006 |
1.15 |
2.17 |
1 |
0.51 |
0.27 |
7.80 |
Woodland |
Forest |
3485.29 |
0.006 |
1.56 |
3.96 |
0.03 |
1 |
1 |
3.61 |
Shrub |
3270.27 |
0.006 |
1.57 |
4.16 |
0.04 |
1 |
1 |
4.68 |
Sparse woods |
3378.44 |
0.005 |
1.55 |
3.73 |
0.12 |
0.96 |
1 |
14.48 |
Gardens |
3825.29 |
0.006 |
1.52 |
6.42 |
0.05 |
0.77 |
0.98 |
6.65 |
Grassland |
Dense grass |
3569.07 |
0.006 |
1.48 |
3.51 |
0.05 |
0.97 |
1 |
4.89 |
Moderate grass |
3218.25 |
0.006 |
1.49 |
3.62 |
0.06 |
0.97 |
1 |
5.72 |
Sparse grass |
3029.18 |
0.005 |
1.52 |
3.79 |
0.06 |
0.97 |
1 |
5.87 |
Water bodies |
— |
3147.59 |
— |
0.98 |
2.06 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
— |
Built-up land |
Rural |
3249.22 |
0.006 |
1.40 |
4.57 |
0.02 |
0.2 |
1 |
1.18 |
Urban |
3200.18 |
0.006 |
0.91 |
0.71 |
0.01 |
0.09 |
1 |
1.20 |
Mining land |
3271.48 |
0.005 |
1.39 |
3.81 |
0.95 |
0.14 |
1 |
18.21 |
Unused land |
Bare soil |
2945.28 |
0.006 |
1.47 |
5.90 |
1 |
0.98 |
1 |
156.73 |
Bare rock |
3017.59 |
0.006 |
1.47 |
6.21 |
0 |
0.98 |
1 |
0 |
Table 4.
Soil erosion rate change under different LUCC scenarios in the six major river basins.
Table 4.
Soil erosion rate change under different LUCC scenarios in the six major river basins.
LUCC Scenarios |
Honghe |
Irrawaddy |
Jinsha |
Lancang |
Nu |
Peal |
C to F |
-46.02 |
-31.72 |
-24.63 |
-65.22 |
-52.90 |
-28.80 |
C to G |
-44.82 |
-29.02 |
-23.12 |
-64.31 |
-48.91 |
-28.53 |
C to W |
-50.12 |
-34.53 |
-29.17 |
-69.95 |
-57.06 |
-33.12 |
C to R |
-43.23 |
-28.16 |
-27.72 |
-66.53 |
-55.72 |
-29.27 |
C to U |
64.02 |
101.11 |
63.23 |
93.83 |
115.62 |
54.69 |