1. Introduction
The gall oak (
Quercus fagínea Lam.) [
1] displays a global distribution that is limited to the Mediterranean region (
Figure 1a) [
2]. Furthermore, this species’ global distribution is centered primarily in Spain, with smaller occurrences in the rest of Europe and more significant ones in northern Africa [
3]. However, the sketch in
Figure 1b does not depict the presence of the species in countries such as France and Italy [
1].
In Spain, among the regions of origin of gall oak, the Region of Murcia, in the southeastern Iberian Peninsula (
Figure 2a) is one of the most important areas (
Figure 2b) [
3,
4,
5].
Despite the southeastern area of the Iberian Peninsula being considered a potential distribution área of gall oak (
Figure 2b), we are dealing with a species with very limited presence in the provinces of Murcia and Almería (southeastern Spain), representing a small remnant of its broader historical distribution. The areas under study can be classified within the so-called Spanish region of dry and warm origin, considered as areas with uniform ecological conditions where similar phenotypic or genetic characteristics can be found, depending on the species in question. One of the study áreas of this region, Salinas in Yecla [
4], is characterized by an average annual precipitation not exceeding 450 mm, with a nearly four-month period of summer drought and average temperatures close to 14°C. The extreme moisture conditions make the species seek refuge in deep places with shaded orientations [
6].
In moderately warm semiarid Mediterranean climates with precipitation ranging between 300 and 600 mm per year, when precipitation reach 300 mm, it is usually found on slopes and moister areas [
6]. Other studies calculated the species’ habitat taking into account that the maximum and minimum values, in this case, of rainfall, defining the upper and lower limits, respectively. They also defined the optimal or central habitat, where the species thrives without issues. The optimal rainfall level is 665.6 mm per year, with the lower limit being 486 mm and the upper limit at 796.6 mm. It should be considered that most of the territory in the Region of Murcia provides a marginal habitat for
Quercus faginea, as its rainfall is less than 486 mm per year [
7]. Other authors mention annual rainfall near 600-700 mm per year, which are found in territories located in the northwestern part of the region [
8,
9].
On the other hand, global warming has led to the expansion of arid climate zones, resulting in changes in the seasonal activities and abundance of some plant species. Climate change entails an increase in the frequency and intensity of certain extreme meteorological and climatic events as a result of global warming, and they will continue to increase. Consequently, some of these extreme events, such as heatwaves, are expected to increase in frequency, intensity, and duration. Similarly, the frequency and intensity of droughts are also projected to increase in the future, as they already are in some regions that are prone to drought, predominantly in the Mediterranean basin [
10]. Indeed, since 1975 the region has experienced 57 heat waves [
11].
The terrestrial areas threatened by desertification make up 40% of the Earth’s surface. In Spain, the Canary Islands and the Mediterranean region are the areas at the highest risk of desertification [
12]. The Region of Murcia, in the southeastern part of the Iberian Peninsula, is one of the driest areas in peninsular Spain, and a significant portion of it is at moderate to very high risk of desertification [
13].
Desertification will have an impact on natural systems under climate change. Growing aridity increases the risk of extinction for some plant species, especially those already threatened due to small populations or restricted habitats [
10]. Deforestation and forest degradation remain significant global threats. Forests are one of the Earth’s largest carbon and biodiversity reservoirs, crucial for mitigating climate change [
14]. Assessing the well-being of terrestrial ecosystems is a complex task, and the use of indicators can facilitate this work. By analyzing parameters that respond to changes, such as dendrometric parameters related to plant species, desired information can be obtained [
15].
Quercus faginea populations in the Region of Murcia consist of small populations confined to areas that promote the isolation of small stands or scattered specimens throughout the regional territory. Additionally, this species is listed as a vulnerable species in the Regional Catalog of Protected Wild Flora of the Region of Murcia [
16]. It should also be emphasized that in projections regarding the presence of this species, it is estimated to have disappeared from the Region of Murcia by 2071 [
17].
Regarding its distribution on the Iberian Peninsula, a sketch of its distribution in the Spanish province of Guadalajara was already made in 1985 [
18]. In the Region of Murcia, the gall oak, due to its water requirements, can be found in places where soil moisture or precipitation is higher than in the rest of the region, such as riverbeds and wetter mountain areas [
19].
In light of all this, we hypothesized that the distribution and dendrometry of Quercus faginea can be used as an indicator of climate change and increased aridity in the Region of Murcia. Therefore, the objective of this work was to study the regional distribution of gall oak by comparing previous and actual dendrometric data from a relictic tree mass located in Barranco del Horcajo, Region de Murcia, Spain.
3. Results and Discussion
The regional distribution of
Quercus faginea (
Figure 6) shows some similarities and differences compared to what was described by Sánchez Gómez, et al. (2002) [
23], as can be observed in
Figure 4. Globally, the similarities are found in the mountains Las Salinas (Yecla), Villafuertes (Moratalla), Pedro Ponce (Mula), Sierra Espuña (Alhama de Murcia and Totana), and the municipality of Bullas. On the contrary, specimens were not found in certain areas of the northwestern and southwestern areas of the Region of Murcia. Its presence was also not detected in the mountain El Carche (Jumilla and Yecla) or in the the mountain La Zarza (Caravaca de la Cruz), although in the latter location, informal interviews with locals provided knowledge of the existence of some specimens [
25].
In relation to the climate, rainfall has been considered as the most limiting factor for vegetative growth. It has been observed that the presence of small stands or groves of oak is focused in the rainiest areas of the Region of Murcia, where annual average precipitation exceeds 400 mm, and even surpass 600 mm in certain locations [
8,
26], according to data collected by the authors on dates preceding their publication in 2007 and 2013. The pattern of annual mean precipitation distribution is consistent in both figures. The northwest, along with certain mountainous enclaves, is identified as the area with the highest precipitation (
Figure 7).
Precipitation stands out as the most limiting factor for vegetative development. It has been observed that the presence of small masses or groves of gall oak occurs in the rainier areas of the Region of Murcia, where average annual precipitation exceeds 400 mm and can surpass 600 mm in specific locations [
8,
26] (
Figure 7).
Regarding the Barranco El Horcajo, the information obtained about the oaks present in the Barranco El Horcajo shows an average annual rainfall that exceeds 500 mm (
Figure 7 and
Figure 8).
The dendrometric information previously collected on part of the oak forest present in the Barranco El Horjaco allows for a partial evolutionary insight based on specific dendrometric parameters, which are not available for the rest of the regional trees. Hence, the interest in focusing attention on this territory.
The data collected in the field were obtained for a total of 33 trees (
Figure 9), compared to 155 in 2006, which represents approximately 21.30%. Considering the margins, data for 16 trees on the right margin were collected, compared to 79 in 2006, which resperesents around 21%. On the left margin, 17 trees were surveyed out of 76, resulting in 22.36%.
Regarding the dimensions of the different trees measured in 2006, the average total height was 4.70 meters for those located on the right margin of the ravine and 4.53 meters for those on the left margin, resulting in an overall average of 4.65 meters [
23]. The results obtained in 2022 show a percentage increase on both sides compared to the 2006 data, with a higher increase on the left margin. Regarding trunk volume, the cubic measurement reveals a remarkably higher percentage increase on the left side, as is also the case for the height increments. The calculation was done using the formula: (final volume - initial volume/initial volume) x 100 (
Table 1 and
Table 2).
In the case of the canopy, in 2006 only data regarding its surface area were collected, allowing us to determine the fraction of canopy cover (FCC). Comparisons have been established between the FCC of 2006 and 2022, revealing an increase in the average surface area, which amounts to an increase of 4.40 m
2. Considering the margins, the growth has been greater on the left margin, surpassing the right one by 2.63 m
2. In percentage terms, between 2006 and 2022, the average canopy surface area increased by 6.34%, with an increase of 5.62% for the right marginand 7.06% for the left margin (
Table 3).
The basic floral assemblage identified comprises 18 species of wild flora, including herbaceous, shrubby, and arboreal species, with an important proportion of them being protected species. Some of them were present in both 2006 and 2022, as well as on both margins and in both canopies, such as
Brachypodium retusum (Pers.) P. Beauv,
Juniperus communis L., and
Pinus halepensis Mill. On the other hand, the least frequently present species include
Acer monspessulanum L. and
Allium triquetrum L. The rest exhibit varying degrees of presence (
Table 4).
The presence of one or another type of lithology-soil (substrate) displays varying values, ranging from 61% of occurrences of rocky terrain within a 5-meter radius canopy on the left margin in 2006 to only 3% of occurrences on the right margin for the same year and canopy (
Table 5).
If we compare the left margin of the two years, the predominance of rocky terrain stands out, with the clay-sandy type generally being the least common. In the case of the right margin, the predominance is of the clay-sandy type in 2006, and this substrate is fairly evenly matched with the one defined as mixed (
Figure 10).
It is important to hightlight the location of small tree masses from 600 m of altitude up to 1300 m. All the small stands are located in riverbeds, sometimes ephemeral and at other times with continuous water flow (river), extending from the riverbed itself to the nearby slopes (
Table 6). This circumstance coincides with what has been described for the warmer and drier areas of Spain (Alicante, Murcia, Almería, etc.), where oaks are primarily found in mountainous areas at the bottom of small valleys or ravines, where the best thermal and hydrological conditions create suitable microclimatic environments for their existence [
18]. The terrains they grow on are predominantly oriented to the north. They all occupy the shady sides of the large mountains in the Region of Murcia. In agreement with Alcaraz Ariza et al. [
19], it has been observed that the species inhabits soils that naturally have higher edaphic moisture.
It is important to note the structural drought that has been affecting the Region of Murcia for years, leading to the progression of desertification. This is exacerbated by the adverse effects of climate change that the region is experiencing, such as water scarcity and rising temperatures [
27]. Arid climates in the Region of Murcia have been on the rise, with an increase in the average annual temperature of approximately 0.88°C between 1941 and 2019, both minimum and maximum temperatures affected by this rise. Regarding rainfall, no significant changes were observed, within the framework of variability typical of the Mediterranean region [
28].
4. Conclusions
The Region of Murcia is facing a future scenario in which climate change will lead to rising temperatures and increased aridity. Precipitation is not expected to undergo significant variations in the near future. Extreme events, a higher number of heatwaves, longer summers, prolonged periods of drought, and torrential rains will become the norm in the future climate of the Region of Murcia [
28]. In response to this situation, plant species undergo physiological changes as they continually adapt to the new conditions. Some wild plant species can serve as indicators of certain environmental changes. In the face of water scarcity and increased transpiration demands due to rising temperatures, some of these species experience water stress, which can severely reduce plant productivity [
29].
Although the Region of Murcia is one of the driest regions in the Iberian Peninsula, with very low precipitation levels, there are small areas where soil moisture exceeds the general norm. This is the case in certain riverbeds or areas where rainfall exceeds the regional annual average of 300 mm, such as some inland mountains. These are the places where the located oak trees take refuge, exhibiting higher density in clearly mountainous enclaves like Sierra Espuña and Sierra de Pedro Ponce or in the vicinity of rivers, such as the Mula River in Bullas. Similar to other areas in Spain such as Catalonia, gall oak is associated with pine forests and some specimens of holm oaks (
Quercus rotundifolia). Likewise, they can be found in shady areas, ravines, and sheltered valleys, and in the case of the Region of Murcia, on north and northwest-facing slopes [
30]. The species, also described in North Africa (Morocco, Algeria, and Tunisia), shows interest due to similar conditions to those in the Region of Murcia, including tree distribution, the climate, mountainous areas with higher precipitation, and a terrain formed by a dense hydrographic network with notable elevation changes, likely serving as a refuge for North African specimens [
31].
It has been observed through the evaluation of dendrometric parameters in the small stand located in the El Horcajo Ravine (Sierra de Pedro Ponce) that between 2006 and 2022, with increases in all parameters of
Quercus faginea. There were no significant effects of climate change, as observed in the
Quercus genera worldwide [
32]. This suggests that the mountainous areas are less influenced by aridity.