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Factors Influencing Disease Dynamics in Small-Scale Carp Polyculture in Bangladesh

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20 February 2024

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21 February 2024

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Abstract
Small scale carp polyculture plays a key role for food supply in Bangladesh, however, factors including water pollution, limited infrastructure and inadequate disease management hinder its sustainability. This paper reports on a survey of 231 farmers across the 6 major carp producing regions in Bangladesh, analyzing factors including, farmers’ social aspects, farm characteristics, information on disease and approaches adopted to combat them, and biosecurity practices. Almost half (46.8%) of the farms surveyed experienced disease in carp species, with clear regional variations. Eighty four percent of farms reported carp mortalities during disease outbreak, with an average mortality level 10.23±11.81%. Clinical signs during outbreaks lasted between a week and a month, and there was a peak in disease outbreaks in two seasonal periods between June to July and October to December. Disease incidence was related to a range of factors including the farmer experience, ponds/farm type, stocked species, and biosecurity practice. A combination of disinfecting measures during pond preparation and measures during stocking, including discarding fingerling transport water off-farm, fingerling disinfection and check the health of fingerlings before stocking significantly reduced disease occurrence. Treatments involving the antibiotics, ciprofloxacin, erythromycin, and azithromycin were reported as ineffective, raising concerns about non-prudent use, inadequate dosing (perhaps without appropriate veterinary guidance) and the potential for further driving antimicrobial resistance in the environment. The research unveils a concerning pattern of disease high disease incidence across small-scale carp farms in Bangladesh and the significant potential for disease spread highlights the need for responsible disposal practices. The study emphasizes the need for improving training and awareness programs are vital for addressing biosecurity and disease management challenges, ensuring sustainable aquaculture and community well-being.
Keywords: 
Subject: Biology and Life Sciences  -   Aquatic Science

1. Introduction

Small-scale aquaculture plays a crucial role globally in contributing to food security, poverty alleviation, and livelihoods in numerous nations, and in meeting several criteria of UN sustainable development goals (SDGs) [1]. Asia is the leader in small-scale aquaculture production, with countries such as China, Bangladesh, India, Vietnam, and Indonesia at the forefront [2]. Small-scale aquaculture is expanding rapidly in Africa due to the need to alleviate poverty and satisfy the rising demand for fish [3]. Egypt, Nigeria, Uganda, and Kenya are among the nations that are investing heavily in small-scale aquaculture, focusing on Tilapia and catfish in particular [3]. In Latin America, including Bolivia, Colombia, and Paraguay, small-scale aquaculture and limited resources account for more than 60% of national aquaculture production [4]. Sustainable practices are being promoted to help ensure small-scale aquaculture’s long-term viability and environmental sustainability worldwide. However, small-scale aquaculture faces challenges globally, including limited access to capital, insufficient infrastructure, a lack of technical knowledge, and market constraints.
Endowed with abundant water resources, Bangladesh has become a major contributor to global fish production. The production yield in Bangladesh in Fiscal Year 2021-22 was 4.62 million metric tonnes placing it as one of the world’s foremost fish producers [5]. The aquaculture industry contributes 57.1% of the nation’s total fish production [5]. Notably, the State of World Fisheries and Aquaculture report published in 2022 by the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) ranked Bangladesh as the fifth-largest aquaculture producer in the world [6]. The fisheries resources of Bangladesh are divided into three distinct categories: inland culture, inland capture, and marine capture. Among these, inland culture fisheries are the most common, including pond/ditch farming, baor (oxbow lake) fishing, shrimp/prawn farming, seasonal cultured water bodies, and pen and cage culture. Freshwater and coastal aquaculture are the two most common forms of aquaculture in Bangladesh, and both frequently use polyculture systems. Currently, the top seven finfish species cultured in Bangladesh are Pangas (Pangasius pangasius), Tilapia (Oreochromis niloticus), Rui (Labeo rohita), Silver carp (Hypophthalmichthys molitrix), Mrigal (Cirrhinus cirrhosis), Catla (Catla catla), and climbing perch (Anabas testudineus), with respective quantities of 447,054 MT, 320,963 MT, 250,046 MT, 193,967 MT, 178,391 MT, 165,244 MT, and 49,659 MT [5]. This information highlights the importance of these species to Bangladesh’s aquaculture industry and their contribution to the country’s overall fish production.
Bangladesh relies heavily on small-scale aquaculture to sustain the livelihoods and food security of a significant portion of its population [7,8,9]. The sustainable development of these aquaculture systems has enormous potential for addressing environmental concerns associated with the sector and enhancing socioeconomic benefits related to pond production, food security, rural livelihoods, and women empowerment [10,11]. However, the aquaculture industry in Bangladesh faces several sustainability challenges, including associated with water pollution and degradation, limited access to high-quality stock (improved fish strains etc.) and feed, knowledge gaps regarding biosecurity practices and diseases, and inadequate access to disease diagnostics and health management. There is furthermore, a lack of real-time information and a comprehensive database regarding the challenges and issues encountered by small-scale carp farmers in Bangladesh. To address this extensive knowledge gap, the present study aims were: 1. To assess disease prevalence in small-scale carp farms in Bangladesh and identify the contributing factors to disease occurrence; 2. To evaluate the adoption and effectiveness of biosecurity practices within the small-scale carp farming community; 3. formulate recommendations for fostering sustainable aquaculture practices, addressing disease-related issues and improving health management, for supporting Bangladesh’s small-scale carp farming industry.

2. Materials and Methods

2.1. Questionnaire and online survey tools development

A questionnaire was developed to gather the required information from farmers addressing various aspects of their farming practices and included about the farmers themselves, the farms, stocking information, farmers general observations on diseases, mortality information, and biosecurity practices (Table S1). Farmers’ observations of clinical symptoms and behavioral changes in fish, whether accompanied by mortality or not, were considered as reports of disease conditions. We gathered data on unusual fish mortality from farmers who reported a sudden or gradual increase in mortality, accompanied by signs typical of clinical disease. The highest, lowest, and average daily mortality, as well as the number of days of ongoing mortality, were used to compute overall farm mortality levels (%). The absolute total mortalities for a given farm was then calculated by multiplying all categories by the number of days with continued mortalities and used to derive the relative percentage losses from initial stock. Multiple pilot tests were conducted with farmers to ensure the effectiveness and clarity of the questionnaire, and necessary refinements were made based on their feedback. The survey questionnaire was implemented using the "Kobo Toolbox" platform (https://kf.kobotoolbox.org), which was chosen as an online tool designed specifically for data collection and gathering. Kobo Toolbox provides a range of tools and features for creating and administering surveys or questionnaires, collecting data from diverse sources, and managing data efficiently. One significant advantage of the Kobo Toolbox platform is its capability for offline data collection, which is particularly valuable in areas with limited or unreliable internet connectivity. Mobile devices such as smartphones or tablets can be employed to download the survey forms, enabling offline data collection. Once an internet connection became available, the collected data could be uploaded to the Kobo Toolbox server. The platform also facilitated secure storage and management of the collected data, allowing for data export in various formats such as Excel or CSV to facilitate subsequent analysis.

2.2. Case definition of small-scale carp farmer

Small-scale carp farmers are defined as those who engage in a low-input and low-output fish farming practice with a maximum farm size of 2 hectares. They rely on aquaculture in primary or secondary manners, to support their livelihood and generate household income and cultivate carp species, either exclusively or in combination with other species, with a minimum carp stocking proportion of 20% of the total stocking.

2.3. Study area and farm selection

Based on aquaculture production data obtained from the Department of Fisheries [12], the top six carp-producing regions in Bangladesh, namely Barisal, Chittagong, Dhaka, Jashore, Khulna, and Mymenshingh, were selected for this research (Figure 1). A primary census list containing 998 known farms with at least 20% carp as the crop species was compiled. This list included vital information such as the farmer’s name, mobile phone number, and farm identification to ensure accurate farm identification. The total number of farms from the census list was used to determine the sample size for the final survey, aiming for a 95% confidence level, using a sample calculator software (https://www.calculator.net/sample-size-calculator.html). Subsequently, 278 farmers were randomly selected from each of the six regions to create a representative sample using an online randomizing tool (https://www.randomizer.org). Recognizing that some farmers may be unreachable or hesitant to participate, previous surveys estimated that up to 30% of farmers might fall into this category. With the aim of resolving this issue, a random list of alternative farms was compiled from the database and used as applicable/required.

2.4. Survey implementation

Four skilled enumerators were engaged to carry out this survey, receiving comprehensive training from the project leader on the questionnaire and survey procedures. Subsequently, these enumerators conducted the surveys between January and April 2022. Prior to gathering information, the consent of the farmers was obtained, ensuring their willingness to participate and ensure ethical practices. The data regarding farms and farmers were collected with their explicit permission, while farmers provided information related to diseases, clinical symptoms, and mortality based on their recollection of the events and established knowledge. A comprehensive survey was conducted across six regions, involving interviews with a total of 281 farmers. Following the surveys, the gathered data was stored on tablets to enable offline scrutiny by enumerators and project leads. After a thorough review of the data, the completed survey documents were subsequently uploaded to the online database of the Kobo-Toolbox platform for further analysis and accessibility.

2.5. Data gathering, preparation and analysis

We retrieved all survey data from the Kobo platform in Excel format, then meticulously reviewed the information. Out of 281 farms for which data were collected, information from 50 farms was excluded from the final analysis because these farms did not meet the criteria for small-scale carp farms, such as having a farm size larger than the defined case definition. Before conducting the analysis, the data were subjected to a series of procedures to ensure their accuracy and enhance their utility. The variables were analyzed and, where applicable, merged to produce biologically relevant groups, avoiding small categorical groups with fewer than ten entries. For instance, the primary and secondary occupations were merged into broader categories. Business-related occupations such as business, contractor, feed merchant, and shopkeeper were classified as "business," whereas smaller groups such as students, housewives, and immigrants were classified as "others." Similarly, the water data source was organized according to various combinations: ground, river/canal, ground+river/canal, and rain+nearby farm. Stocking species also underwent grouping into the following categories. ‘Carp’ included Rohu, Catla, Silver Carp, Mrigal and Grass Carp (Ctenopharyngodon Idella). ‘Tilapia’ was retained as a separate group given its significant in carp polyculture. Freshwater species other than carp and Tilapia were grouped as "other freshwater species which includes Pangas, walking catfish (Clarias batrachus), Stinging catfish (Heteropneustes fossilis), Golsha tengra (Mystus bleekeri)," while brackish water species, including seabass (Lates calcarifer), shrimp (Penaeus monodon), mullet (Mugil cephalus), and others, were grouped as “brackish water species
Data processing was carried out using Excel MS Office 2019, and the subsequent analysis was performed using SPSS (IBM SPSS Statistics 22). The Pearson Chi-square test and Fisher’s exact test assessed statistical differences between farms that reported diseases or unusual mortality (Data on unusual mortality was collected for farmers reporting any rapid or steady increase of fish mortality with the typical clinical signs of diseases) and those that did not (a yes/no, binomial variable). The Kruskal-Wallis and Mann-Whitney U tests analyzed factors significantly associated with reported mortality, measured as a continuous variable (percentage). As a criterion to determine whether the observed differences were statistically significant, a p-value of 0.05 was used.
The analysis involved an initial data assessment, considering the number of observations and biological plausibility to identify potential confounders for disease occurrence and unusual mortality. Various characteristics related to farmers social aspects, farm and farming practices, and biosecurity practices were analyzed for their impact on disease occurrence. Logistic regression or generalized linear models were used for analysis, evaluating the effect of confounding variables on observed differences in disease occurrence. Confounding factors with a p-value of 0.2 in the univariable regression analyses were included in the multivariable regression, employing backward selection followed by forward selection with a significance level of 0.05. Odds ratios (OR) were calculated to measure the strength and direction of associations between variables in the regression models, with 95% confidence intervals (CI) computed to assess the precision of estimates and determine statistical significance. The Akaike information criterion (AIC) was utilized to select the final model. The statistical analyses were performed using R, version 4.3.0.

3. Results

3.1. Farmer profile: social and regional perspectives

This study conducted a comprehensive survey of 231 small-scale carp farms (n = 231) across six regions of Bangladesh, namely Barishal, Chittagong, Dhaka, Khulna, Mymenshingh, and Jashore (Figure 1). The Barishal region had the maximum proportion of interviewed farms, 28.6% (n=66), while the Dhaka region had the lowest representation, 7.8% (n=18). All interviews were conducted solely with farm owners, with 2.2% (n=5) of the participants being female and the remainder male. The small-scale carp farmers varied in their age, educational background and farming experiences (Table 1). The average age of the farmers was 45 years, with Chittagong having the highest average age (50.8 years) and Khulna the lowest (41.5 years). Educational backgrounds exhibited variation, with 15.2% having no formal education, 50.6% up to the higher secondary level, and 15.2% possessing a university degree. Among the surveyed farmers, 62.3% identified aquaculture as their primary occupation, with no significant regional variations in both primary and secondary occupations. The average farming experience was 15 years, with a significant variation in farming experiences within the regions (Table 1).

3.2. Farm characteristics and practices

The analysis of farm characteristics illustrated significant regional variations in farm size, pond numbers, water source preferences, stocking density, and the percentage of average carp stocked in carp polyculture farming (Table 1). The average farm size was 0.69±0.46 hectares, with Jashore having the largest farms (0.83 hectares±0.46) and Dhaka the smallest (0.58 ± 0.24hectares). Groundwater together with rain was the primary water source preference (44.2%, n=102). Polyculture was practiced across all farms, with diverse species combinations and no significant regional differences. Jashore (44.8%, n=26) and Chittagong (50%, n=12) predominantly practiced carp polyculture with tilapia, while Dhaka (66.7%, n=12) and Barisal (54.5%, n=36) focused on carp polyculture with tilapia and other freshwater species. Coastal regions (Barisal and Khulna) incorporated brackish water species in carp polyculture. Fingerling sourcing varied, with 37.7% (n=87) obtaining from hatcheries. Stocking density per hectare showed regional variations, with Mymensingh having the highest (366,756 fingerlings/ha) and Chittagong the lowest (39,495 fingerlings/ha). The average stocking percentage with carp species was 45.6%, with Chittagong having the highest (60.1%) and Dhaka the lowest (37.9%) (Table 1).

3.3. Disease incidence and pattern

Forty seven percent (n=108) of farms indicated diseases occurrence in carp species through the farming year. The prevalence of diseases showed significant variation among different farming regions (p<0.001), with the Chittagong region reporting the highest incidence (95.8%, n=23) and the Khulna region the lowest incidence (22.7% n=10) across the farms (Table 2). Among the farms with disease outbreaks, 84.25% (n=91) reported associated mortality in the carp, with an average mortality level of 10.23±11.81%. Conversely, 15.75% of farms reported disease incidence without any associated mortality. The highest mortality level was observed in Barisal (10.3%), while Mymensingh had the lowest (6.5%). However, there were no significant differences (p=0.418) in mortality levels across the farming regions (Data not shown).
Farmers documented various clinical signs and behavioral changes observed during disease outbreaks. The most commonly reported clinical signs were hemorrhages on the skin and body surface (68.5%), followed by lesions (53.7%), gill paleness (38%), scale protrusion (17.6%), fin rot (16.7%), and abdominal distension (15.7%) (Figure 2). Similarly, the most prevalent behavioral change reported by 72.2% of farmers was erratic swimming, while a decrease in appetite was reported by 61.1% of farmers (Figure 2).
Considering the duration of diseases or mortality events, 38.9% of farmers reported occurrences extending for periods over a week in duration, 17.6% for two weeks and 29.6% over a month (Figure 3). Mortality levels were 12.3%, 12.2% and 10.2% for where disease durations extended for a month or more, within a week and within a fortnight, respectively. Regarding the nature of disease incidence or mortality, 42.6% of farmers reported a gradual intensification, while 12% reported multiple events of the same diseases (Figure 3). Notably, the mortality level was highest (22.3%) for multiple events of the same diseases. There was a significant difference (p<0.001) between the nature of diseases or mortality and the level of mortality. In terms of the seasonality of disease incidence, our analysis revealed clear patterns in disease occurrence throughout the year, with two prominent peaks: one extending from June to July and another from October to December (Figure 3) and the highest incidence occurring in December, accounting for 27.6% of reported cases (n=40). Conversely, there were no reported diseases in both March and April. No farm reported sending diseased samples for laboratory diagnosis during instances of disease outbreaks or mortality events.

3.4. Diseases management and treatment

Amidst disease outbreaks, farmers employed various chemical and antibiotic treatments. A total of 86% (n=93) of farms applied chemical treatments during outbreaks, with 71% (n=66) reporting effectiveness in controlling disease incidence. Notably, disinfectants were the most frequently used chemical treatment, employed (62.4% of farms, n=58) (Figure 4). Regarding antibiotic treatment, among the 108 disease-infected farms, 27.8% (n=30) used antibiotics for treatment, and only 46.7% (n=14) reported antibiotic treatment as effective in gaining any fish recovery. Oxytetracycline was the most commonly used antibiotic, used by 50.0% (n=15) of farms applying antibiotic treatment, with a documented effectiveness of only 40.0% (n=6). Amoxicillin, was reported to be ineffective in treating disease states (used by 13.3% , n=4) as were ciprofloxacin, erythromycin, and azithromycin used by 10.0%, 10.0%, and 3.3% of farms, respectively. (Figure 4).
Regarding disease outbreaks, the study explored the adoption of management practices among farmers and notably the proper disposal of deceased fish emerged as a crucial aspect of maintaining farm biosecurity. Among farms affected by diseases leading to fish mortality, the majority (43.6%, n=41) practiced collecting and burying dead fish off the farm, while 23.4% (n=22) opted for disposing of them in nearby rivers or canals. Remarkably, 14.9% (n=14) of the farms reported not discarding dead fish from their ponds (Figure 4). Likewise, only 15.7% (n=17) of farms reported implementing the practice of complete harvesting, with the majority (85.5%) neglecting this measure, posing a potential risk of disease persistence. Although disinfecting pond water was a widely adopted biosecurity measure, approximately 33.3% of farms omitted this step, which would increase the chance of pathogen persistence at a farm and the spread of disease. Interestingly, about half of the diseases affected farms (51.0%, n=55) proceeded to their next production cycle without implementing any disinfection measures, indicating a potential gap in good biosecurity practice (Figure 4).

3.5. Factors associated with disease incidence

Results pertaining to farmers’ social aspects revealed significant associations between farmers’ occupations (p < 0.001) and farming experiences (p = 0.003) with disease occurrences (Table 2). Aquaculture-focused farmers exhibited a lower disease incidence of 36.8% (n = 53), contrasting with those in other occupations (Table 2). However, notable findings surfaced regarding farming experiences, with the highest percentage (58.7%) of farmers reporting disease incidence having farming experiences exceeding 20 years, while the lowest percentage (23.1%) of farmers reporting disease incidence had farming experiences ranging from 1 to 5 years. Moreover, there were significant differences in disease incidence reporting among the different farming experience groups. (Table 2). However, no significant associations were found between farmers’ age (p = 0.069) and education (p = 0.760) and disease incidence (Table 2).
Various factors related to farms and farming practices showed significant associations with disease incidence (Table 2). Farms with more ponds per farm for example highest 13 ponds/farm (p < 0.001) reported higher disease incidence, but no significant association was found with farm size (p = 0.211) and diseases incidence. There was no significant association between water source used by the farms with disease incidence (p = 0.060; Table 2). Concerning fish stocking, there was a significant association identified between the combination of stocked species (p < 0.001), source of fingerlings (p = 0.038), and the proportion of carp in the stocked pond (p = 0.049) with disease (Table 2). However, no significant association (p = 0.057) was observed between overall stocking density and disease occurrence. Farms stocking a combination of carp, tilapia, freshwater, and brackish water species reported a higher disease incidence (78.6%, n = 22), than for that with a combination of carp and tilapia (56.1%, n = 37). Farms stocking only carp species had the lowest disease incidence at 26.7% (n = 4). Regarding fingerling sources, farms using hatchery supplied fish (68.8 %, n = 22) (which also brings in a further water source) reported the highest disease incidence, while farms using nursery-sourced fingerlings reported the lowest incidence (37%, n = 10) (Table 2).
Analysis of biosecurity practices during pond preparation revealed farmers employed various pond cleaning measures, including having a fallow period, drying the pond-bed, bleaching, and liming. The length of the fallow period (extending over period between X to Y days) was not related to disease occurrence (p = 0.069). However, combinations of the disinfecting measures during pond preparations were associated with disease incidence (p < 0.001; Table 3). On farms adopting a combination of pond bottom drying, bleaching, and liming reported there was no reported disease incidence (Table 3). The introduction of new stock was significantly associated (p = 0.005) with disease incidence (Table 3). Similarly, combining biosecurity measures relating to fish stocking was significantly associated (p = 0.010) with disease incidence (Table 3). Farms implemented different combinations or only one of the biosecurity measures such as disposing of transport water off-farm, disinfecting fish, and conducting health checks during fish stocking. The most successful way to avoid disease relating to bringing fish on to a farm (77.8%, n = 7) was where the fish transport water was disposed of off-farm and fish were disinfected before stocking (Table 3). Among general biosecurity practices during farming, the restriction of entrance of domestic or other animals into the farm was significantly associated (p = 0.002) with disease incidence, with farms following this practice experiencing the lowest incidence (27.8%, N = 15) (Table 3). Conversely, a farm perimeter fence (p = 0.408), restriction of entrance of people generally into the farm (p = 0.440), shared equipment with other farms (p = 0.889), hired harvester (p = 0.479), and hired harvesting equipment (p = 0.565) showed no significant association with disease incidence (Table 3).
A multivariable model regression analyses found that region (Jashore, Khulna and Mymenshingh), farming experiences, number of ponds in the farm, carp as a proportion of the total fish stocked in a pond, the combination of species stocked (carp along with tilapia and other freshwater species, Carp with tilapia, combination of carp, tilapia, fresh and brackish water spp.) and biosecurity measures during fish stocking were all significantly associated with the occurrence of diseases being reported (Table 4a and 4b).

3.6. Farmers’ observations regarding diseases.

The questionnaire also captured factors perceived by farmers relating to disease patterns, stressors, disease recurrence, and the intensity of recurrent diseases. Among farms affected by diseases, 35% (n=38) reported that the initial disease outbreak was believed to have originated from nearby farms (Data not included). Within this subset of farmers affected by disease, 71% (n=27) of farmers observed similar disease conditions as those occurring on their neighboring farms, indicating a likely disease transmission. Regarding stressor factors in farm management, features of poor water quality were the most prevalent, reported by 38% (n=41) of farms (Figure 5). Notably, 13.0% (n=14) of farmers reported having "No Idea" about what constituted possible stressors to the fish on their farms suggesting a need for greater awareness and understanding of potential stressors in farm management (Figure 5). Among farmers who encountered diseases on their farms, 55.6% (n=60) reported repeated occurrences of diseases that appeared to be similar in nature. The highest frequency of recurrence of apparently similar disease conditions was reported at 43.3% (n=26) for that happening over a period of a few years, whilst a four repetition of apparently the same disease conditions within a single year was reported by 8.3% of farmers (n=5) (Figure 5). The severity of diseases in cases of repeated occurrence indicated 20.0% of cases (n=12) farms reported that the diseases were more extreme in the second versus first outbreaks. (Figure 5).

4. Discussion

This study assessed disease prevalence in relations to farm operation and biosecurity practices for the purpose of proposing strategies for enhancing small-scale carp polyculture farming in Bangladesh. The findings of this study highlight the significant challenge faced by farmers in maintaining the health of the carp species cultured, with approximately half of farms (46.8%) reporting the occurrence of disease during the farming year. Disease occurrence varied across different farming regions, with the highest incidence occurring in Chittagong and the lowest in Khulna, indicating local factors relating to environmental conditions and management practices may contribute to disease prevalence. Among farms experiencing disease outbreaks, the majority, although there were differences in cases of diseases incidences across these regions’ mortality levels were relatively consistent. These rates of disease are reasonably consistent with some previous for carp species in Bangladesh (e.g. [13], 13.8%,) and somewhat lower than for others (29.6%; [14]) and highlights the urgency for proactive measures and interventions to address the growing challenges posed by fish diseases in aquaculture. The majority of farmers (55.6%) experienced repeated occurrences of apparently similar disease condition outbreaks on their farms, indicating common underlying contributing factors clinical (and behavioral) signs described by the farmers, the nature and duration of diseases, and the seasonality of outbreaks align with previous research on carp diseases, indicating the presence of several viral, bacterial, or fungal diseases in small-scale carp farming in Bangladesh. However, none of the infected farms had samples sent to any laboratory for disease diagnosis (in part due to a lack of knowledge about where and how to send them).
In the farm survey it was found where disease conditions were more prolonged on the farm these were associated with the highest mortality rates (those exceeding a month) and not surprisingly, multiple events of what appeared to be a similar disease condition had the highest mortality level. The seasonally in the reported disease outbreaks (in June to July and October to December) are also in-keeping with previous findings in Bangladesh corresponding to the rainy and winter seasons [13,14]. Disease outbreaks occurring in winter likely relate to reduced pond water levels and in summer due to heavy rains both of which can lead to degraded water quality [15,16]. Temperature has also been shown to have a critical role in some carp disease outbreaks in Bangladesh [17].
A common response to disease outbreaks by farmers in this study was the use of chemicals, as has been reported previously in Bangladesh [13,14,17]. In our survey, disinfectants were most commonly used to combat disease outbreaks (62.4% of farmers) and this showed a high success rate (over 72% reported it as effective in recovering their farms from disease). Interestingly 30% of farms reported that chemical treatment was ineffective in controlling diseases, which may question misunderstanding or misuse of chemicals in disease management which supports a previous paper reporting a limited understanding of dosage effectiveness and potential side effects of chemical treatment systems applied in farm settings in Bangladesh [17,19].
Regarding antibiotic usage, the study revealed a high usage for disease treatment in (27.8%of the farms with disease), contrasting sharply with the earlier reports of levels of between only 5.5%-6.15% (26, 14, respectively). Furthermore, only 46.7% of farms reported an effectiveness of antibiotic treatment, which is somewhat lower than in a previous study at 72% [15]. For oxytetracycline (the predominant antibiotic used 50.0% of farms) only a small fraction of farms experienced positive results and for ciprofloxacin, erythromycin, or azithromycin treatments these were reported to be ineffective. Thus, we identify that either there was the wrong /inappropriate antibiotic selection for treating specific diseases and/or poor applications raising further concerns about antibiotic misuse and the emergence of antimicrobial resistance posing a potential threat to the long-term sustainability of aquaculture. The limited availability of veterinarians or aquatic animal health professionals to provide the right advice further compounds this problem [17].
In addition of direct chemical treatments, a range of diverse management practices are operated by the farms to recover and minimize further spread of the diseases. The study found that around half the farms (47.6%) practiced collecting and burying dead fish off the farm as a means of proper disposal, however almost one quarter of the farms (23.4%) disposed of their dead fish in nearby rivers or canals, potentially posing a risk of disease transmission to the surrounding aquatic environment. Furthermore, the fact that most farms did not undertake a complete harvesting after a disease outbreak means a much-enhanced likelihood major for disease in the subsequent crop. A thorough after a disease outbreak is considered essential to avoid/minimize subsequent disease likelihood and failing to operate this in so many carp farms further emphasize the need for increased awareness and education among farmers to ensure this is implemented for good biosecurity measures for mitigating disease risks and maintaining the health of aquaculture operations.
Among farmers’ social aspects, occupation and farming experience found to be significantly associated with diseases incidence. Farmers primarily focused on aquaculture had lower disease rates compared to those with alternative occupations, and those solely relying on aquaculture had the lowest disease incidence also. Interestingly, however the relationship between farming experience and disease occurrence yielded results that are hard to explain with a longer experience associated with higher disease incidence. This may however relate to farmers coming more recently into carp production having better expertise in disease management and farm-level biosecurity. Contrary to several earlier studies suggesting a potential association between water sources and disease incidence, the current study found no significant association between water sources and disease incidence in small-scale carp farms [15].
Among fish stocking practices, species combination, source of fingerlings and stocking percentage of carp species were found to be significantly associated with diseases incidence. Farms stocking a combination of carp, tilapia, freshwater, and brackish water species (Khulna region) have a significantly higher disease incidence than farms stocking other combinations. Carp are typically freshwater species, and when placed in saline water conditions (as occurs with shrimp and prawn farms) this will impose a heightened level of physiological stress, potentially increasing their susceptibility to diseases. However, over centuries, China has developed carp polyculture as a sustainable aquaculture practice [20,21]. In this study, farmers exclusively stocked carp species, which resulted in significantly lower disease incidence compared to other stocking combinations. This could be attributed to findings from prior research indicating that intensive culture and mixed stocking may exacerbate disease outbreaks [22,23]. Most farmers source fingerlings from a combination of hatcheries and nurseries, or exclusively from either hatcheries or nurseries, aligning with findings from previous studies [15,16,19,24]. Of concern in the data recovered was that 13.9% of farms mention acquiring fingerlings with incoming water, from sources with a higher incidence of diseases, raises further biosecurity concerns.
Adopting proper sanitary conditions plays a vital role in good pond farming practice, and is cost-effective and easy to implement [25]. Indeed, undertaking pond preparation, practices such as draining, cleaning, liming, and drying are widely recommended before the next production cycle [26]. In the analyses of the study farms measures during pond preparation were significantly linked to diseases with farmers employing a combination of pond bed drying, bleaching, and liming reporting no disease incidence and those adopting less stringent measures did not prove effective in preventing diseases. This highlight – from a very extensive analysis of farms across many regions in Bangladesh that good measures for pond preparation can be highly effective in preventing diseases in small-scale carp farming. Similarly, adopting the measure, of discarding fish transport water off the farm, refraining from combining new stock with existing stock, and restricting entrance for domestic animals, can all serve to lower disease risk/incidence.
The observations and perceptions of farmers in this study offer valuable insights into the disease dynamics and biosecurity practices of small-scale carp farming in Bangladesh. The study reveals that over a third (35%) of farms affected by diseases reported that the initial outbreak originated in nearby farms and which is reinforced by 71% of farmers indicating similar diseases states on their farms with neighboring farms. This finding supports the likelihood for localized disease between farm transmission of diseases and for one thing the need to avoid the current common practice of disposal of dead fish into nearby open water bodies. Relating to water also water quality clearly (and how this is affected by seasons and climatic patterns) underpins a major aspect of disease incidence in Bangladesh. This emphasizes the importance to ensure supply of clean and suitable water sources for farming and this is arguably one of Bangladesh’s greatest challenges for aquaculture, that will be further exacerbated with climate change and increasing demands for freshwater from diverse industry, urban and agriculture sectors.
In conclusion through an extensive survey of six of the major finfish producing regions in Bangladesh we discovered that inappropriate use of chemicals and antibiotics could potentially contribute to the severity of diseases, raising concerns regarding antimicrobial resistance. Consequently, there is a tenacious prerequisite for enhanced training and awareness programs to assist farmers in identifying and addressing the key challenges associated with ensuring proper biosecurity and disease management. Similarly, a previous study proposes that improvements in existing aquaculture practices can be achieved through the assistance of animal health professionals, financial aid, training in proper farm management, and the provision of necessary chemicals/medicines by relevant authorities [27]. This, in turn, will contribute to sustainable Aquaculture and the overall well-being of farmers and their communities.
This research has several limitations worth noting. Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, face-to-face data collection was avoided, potentially impacting the depth of information obtained. Additionally, no economic analysis was conducted due to time constraints and the inability to collect financial data over the phone. Furthermore, the absence of biological sample collection and laboratory analysis limits the validation and accuracy of reported disease cases. These limitations call for future research to address these constraints and provide a more comprehensive understanding of disease dynamics, biosecurity practices, and economic implications in small-scale carp farming.

5. Conclusions

This study on small-scale carp polyculture farming in Bangladesh revealed significant challenges in disease management, with approximately half of the farms experiencing outbreaks. Regional variations in disease occurrence underscored the influence of local environmental conditions and management practices. Recurring disease outbreaks, often exacerbated by prolonged conditions and inadequate biosecurity measures, were common, with farmers resorting to chemical and antibiotic treatments, albeit with varying efficacy. Social factors such as occupation and farming experience were associated with disease incidence, while stocking practices and pond preparation significantly influenced disease prevalence. Collaboration with animal health professionals and relevant authorities is imperative to address the emerging concerns of antimicrobial resistance and enhance sustainable aquaculture practices in Bangladesh.

Supplementary Materials

The following supporting information can be downloaded at the website of this paper posted on Preprints.org.

Author Contributions

Partho Pratim Debnath contributed to the conceptualization, methodology, implementation, data analysis, and drafting of the original manuscript. Pochara Prukbenjakul contributed on data analysis, review and editing of the initial draft. Charles Tyler, Melba G. Bondad-Reantaso and Channarong Rodkhum contributed in the conceptualization phase and made significant contributions to the review, editing of the original draft.

Data Availability Statement

The data collected for this study are available in the article.

Acknowledgments

The survey work for this research was undertaken as part of, and funded by United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (UNFAO). Partho Pratim Debnath was supported by Second Century Fund (C2F) for postdoctoral fellowships from Chulalongkorn University, Thailand. This project was funded by the National Research Council of Thailand (NRCT) under Mid-Career Talented Researchers Grant no. NRCT5-RSA63001-01, NRCT: R. Thanawongnuwech NRCT Senior scholar 2022 #N42A650553”and Thailand Science research and Innovation Fund Chulalongkorn University (FOOD66310014). The authors would like to thank the technical support of the Center of Excellence in Fish Infectious Diseases (CE FID), Faculty of Veterinary Science, Chulalongkorn University (Bangkok, Thailand) and Department of Veterinary Microbiology, Faculty of Veterinary Science, Chulalongkorn University (Bangkok, Thailand).

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest regarding the publication of this research manuscript.

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Figure 1. The location of the farms in each of Bangladesh’s six study regions: Barisal, Chittagong, Dhaka, Khulna, Mymensingh, and Rajshahi.
Figure 1. The location of the farms in each of Bangladesh’s six study regions: Barisal, Chittagong, Dhaka, Khulna, Mymensingh, and Rajshahi.
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Figure 2. Aspects relating to reported disease incidence on small carp farms in Bangladesh: (A) Incidence of major clinical signs of diseases reported by farmers, expressed as a percentage; (B) Major behavioral changes reported by farmers, expressed as a percentage.
Figure 2. Aspects relating to reported disease incidence on small carp farms in Bangladesh: (A) Incidence of major clinical signs of diseases reported by farmers, expressed as a percentage; (B) Major behavioral changes reported by farmers, expressed as a percentage.
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Figure 3. Diseases patterns in small-scale carp farming in Bangladesh (A) Type of diseases/mortality incidence/progression; (B) Duration of diseases or mortality events; (C) Seasonal patterns of disease occurrences.
Figure 3. Diseases patterns in small-scale carp farming in Bangladesh (A) Type of diseases/mortality incidence/progression; (B) Duration of diseases or mortality events; (C) Seasonal patterns of disease occurrences.
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Figure 4. Treatments implemented and diseases management actions in response to disease outbreaks: (A) Use and efficacy of different pond treatments in combating diseases; (B) Effectiveness of different antibiotics for disease control; (C) Types of action for dead fish disposal: (D) Farm’s post-outbreak disease management strategies.
Figure 4. Treatments implemented and diseases management actions in response to disease outbreaks: (A) Use and efficacy of different pond treatments in combating diseases; (B) Effectiveness of different antibiotics for disease control; (C) Types of action for dead fish disposal: (D) Farm’s post-outbreak disease management strategies.
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Figure 5. Farmers’ observations regarding diseases outbreaks: (A) Frequency of similar diseases repetitions and severity of the repeated diseases compared with the first occurrence (B) Farmers’ observation about stress factors believed to be associated with diseases occurrences.
Figure 5. Farmers’ observations regarding diseases outbreaks: (A) Frequency of similar diseases repetitions and severity of the repeated diseases compared with the first occurrence (B) Farmers’ observation about stress factors believed to be associated with diseases occurrences.
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Table 1. Regional characteristics of farmers and farms.
Table 1. Regional characteristics of farmers and farms.
Characteristics Region (Number of farms studied)
Barishal (65) Chittagong (24) Dhaka (18) Khulna (44) Mymenshingh (21) Jashore
(58)
n (%) or mean (min, max) p
Farmer age (Years) 46.0 (25-75) 50.8 (30-65) 42.2 (24-65) 41.5 (23-65) 42.2 (29-65) 46.2 (30-70) 0.008
Farmer education level
No education 10 (15.2) 3 (12.5) 6 (33.3) 5(11.4) 4 (19.0) 7 (12.1) 0.008
Primary (1-5) 21 (31.8) 9 (37.5) 1 (5.6) 4 (9.1) 3 (14.3) 6 (10.3)
Higher Secondary (6-12) 28 (42.4) 11 (45.8) 8 (44.4) 26 (59.1) 11 (52.4) 33 (56.9)
University (Bachelor/MS/more) 7 (10.6) 1 (4.2) 3 (16.7) 9 (20.5) 3 (14.3) 12 (20.7)
Primary occupation
Agriculture 10 (15.2) 9 (37.5) 1 (5.6) 5 (11.4) 0 (0.0) 1 (1.7) 0.729
Aquaculture 37 (56.1) 3 (12.5) 16 (88.9) 33 (75.0) 16 (76.2) 39 (67.2)
Business 6 (9.1) 7 (29.2) 1 (5.6) 2 (4.5) 4 (19.0) 10 (17.2)
Job/Service 12 (18.2) 4 (16.7) 0 (0.0) 3 (6.8) 1 (4.8) 7 (12.1)
Others 1 (1.5) 1 (4.2) 0 (0.0) 1 (2.3) 0 (0.0) 1 (1.7)
Secondary occupation
No secondary occupation 4 (6.1) 0 (0.0) 2 (11.1) 4 (9.1) 3 (14.3) 3 (5.2) 0.428
Agriculture 9 (13.6) 0 (0.0) 4 (22.2) 13 (29.5) 4 (19.0) 20 (34.5)
Aquaculture 29 (43.9) 21 (87.5) 2 (11.1) 11 (25.0) 5 (23.8) 19 (32.8)
Business 19 (28.8) 3 (12.5) 4 (22.2) 10 (22.7) 6 (28.6) 10 (17.2)
Job 2 (3.0) 0 (0.0) 1 (5.6) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0)
Others 3 (4.5) 0 (0.0) 5 (27.8) 6 (13.6) 3 (14.3) 6 (10.3)
Farming experiences (Years)
1-5 years 9 (34.6) 0 (0.0) 3 (11.5) 8 (30.8) 3 (11.5) 3 (11.5) 0.004
6-10 years 24 (35.3) 2 (2.9) 6 (8.8) 14 (20.6) 7 (10.3) 15 (22.1)
11-15 years 15 (29.4) 3 (5.9) 3 (5.9) 10 (19.6) 5 (9.8) 15 (29.4)
16-20 years 14 (35.0) 5 (12.5) 2 (5.0) 6 (15.0) 3 (7.5) 10 (25.0)
Above 20 years 4 (8.7) 14(30.4) 4 (8.7) 6 (13.0) 3 (6.5) 15 (32.6)
Total Farm area (Ha) 0.54 (0.03-1.82) 0.77 (0.13-1.62) 0.58 (0.26-1.01) 0.67 (0.03-2.00) 0.79 (0.08-1.27) 0.83 (0.08-1.68) 0.001
Total water spread area (Ha) 0.44 (0.02-1.62) 0.65 (0.01-1.38) 0.46 (0.18-0.81) 0.55 (0.02-1.74) 0.63 (0.07-1.05) 0.65 (0.06-1.47) 0.001
Number of ponds in farm 3 (1-10) 3 (1-13) 2 (1-5) 2 (1-7) 3 (1-6) 2 (1-4) <0.001
Farm type
Perennial 63 (95.5) 24 (100) 18 (100) 43 (97.7) 21 (100) 58(100) 0.096
Seasonal 3 (4.5) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 1 (2.3) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0)
Water Sources
Ground water 7 (10.6) 24 (100.0) 2 (11.1) 18 (40.9) 20 (95.2) 48 (82.8) <0.001
River/canal 52 (78.8) 0 (0.0) 12 (66.7) 22 (50.0) 0 (0.0) 3 (5.2)
Rain 1 (1.5) 0 (0.0) 2 (11.1) 1 (2.3) 0 (0.0) 5 (8.6)
Ground water+River/canal 6 (9.1) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 1 (4.8) 2 (3.4)
Rain+Nearby farm 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 2 (11.1) 3 (6.8) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0)
Stocking Species
Carp 0 (0.0) 0 (2.6) 1 (5.6) 2 (4.5) 1 (4.8) 11 (19.0) 0.673
Carp+Tilapia 10 (15.2) 12 (50.0) 5 (27.8) 12 (27.3) 1 (4.8) 26 (44.8)
Carp+Tilapia+Other freshwater species 36 (54.5) 12 (50.0) 12 (66.7) 15 (34.1) 8 (38.1) 5 (8.6)
Carp+Tilapia+Freshwater species+Brackishwater species 19 (28.8) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 9 (20.5) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0)
Carp+other freshwater species 1 (1.5) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 6 (13.6) 11 (52.4) 16 (27.6)
Source of fingerlings
Hatchery 29 (43.9) 9 (37.5) 8 (44.4) 10 (22.7) 6 (28.6) 25 (43.1) 0.504
Nursery 8 (12.1) 0 (0.0) 7 (38.9) 5 (11.4) 4 (19.0) 3 (5.2)
Hatchery+nursery 11 (16.7) 15 62.5) 3 (16.7) 16 (36.4) 11 (52.4) 20(34.5)
Hatchery+incoming water 17 (25.8) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 10 (22.7) 0 (0.0) 5 (8.6)
Others 1 (1.5) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 3 (6.8) 0 (0.0) 5 (8.6)
Stocking density (Number/Ha) 97810 (2059 - 1235500) 39495 (5343 - 98840) 111239 (15444 - 329467) 105912 (6919 -1445168) 366756 (3802 -1728635) 60212 (3756 - 658933) <0.001
Average % of Carp stocked) 39.5 (20-85) 60.1 (20 - 95) 37.9 (24 - 100) 38.8 (20 -100) 38.1 (25 - 100) 56.6 (20-100) <0.001
Table 2. Association of Farmers’ Social Aspects and farming practices with Disease Incidence.
Table 2. Association of Farmers’ Social Aspects and farming practices with Disease Incidence.
All farms Reported diseases
N = 281 No (N = 136) Yes (N = 145)
Variables n (%) or mean (min, max) n (%) or mean (95% CI) P
Region
Barishal 66 (28.6) 24 (36.4) 42 (63.6) <0.001
Chittagong 24 (10.4) 1 (4.2) 23 (95.8)
Dhaka 18 (7.8) 9 (50.0) 9 (50.0)
Khulna 44 (19.0) 34 (77.3) 10 (22.7)
Mymensingh 21 (9.1) 16 (76.2) 5 (23.8)
Jashore 58 (25.1) 39 (67.2) 19 (32.8)
Farmer age 45 (23-75) 44 (23-75) 46 (24-65) 0.069
Education
No education 35 (15.2) 21 (60.0) 14 (40.0) 0.76
Primary (1-5) 44(19.0) 22 (50.0) 22 (50.0)
Higher secondary (6-12) 117 (50.6) 60 (51.3) 57 (48.7)
University degree 35 (15.2) 20 (57.1) 15 (42.9)
Primary occupation
Agriculture 26 (11.3) 6 (23.1) 20 (76.9) <0.001
Aquaculture 144 (62.3) 91 (63.2) 53 (36.8)
Business 30 (13.0) 14 (46.7) 16 (53.3)
Job 27 (11.7) 10 (37.0) 17 (63.0)
Others 4 (1.7) 2 (50.0) 2 (50.0)
Farming experiences 15 (1-40) 13 (1-40) 16 (2-40) 0.003
1-5 years 26 (11.3) 20 (76.9) 6 (23.1) 0.036
6-10 years 68 (29.4) 40 (58.8) 28 (41.2)
11-15 years 51 (22.1) 25 (49.0) 26 (51.0)
16-20 years 40 (17.3) 19 (47.5) 21 (52.5)
Above 20 years 46 (19.9) 19 (41.3) 27 (58.7)
Farm area (Ha) 0.69 (0.03-2.0) 0.65 (0.03-1.82) 0.73 (0.08-2.00) 0.211
Nos of pond/farm 2 (1-13) 2 (1-7) 3 (1-13) <0.001
Source of water
Ground water 119 (51.5) 69 (58.0) 50 (42.0) 0.06
River/canal 89 (38.5) 41 (46.1) 48 (53.9)
Rain 9 (3.9) 5 (55.6) 4 (44.4)
Ground water+River/canal 9 (3.9) 3 (33.3) 6 (66.7)
Rain+Nearby farm 5 (2.2) 5 (100.0) 0 (0.0)
Species stocked
Carp species 15 (6.5) 11 (73.3) 4 (26.7) <0.001
Carp+Tilapia 66 (28.6) 29 (43.9) 37 (56.1)
Carp+Tilapia+Other freshwater species 88 (38.1) 54 (61.4) 34 (38.6)
Carp+Tilapia+Freshwater species+Brackishwater species 28 (12.1) 6 (21.4) 22 (78.6)
Carp+other freshwater species 34 (14.7) 23 (67.6) 11 (32.4)
Fingerling sources
Hatchery 87 (37.7) 45 (51.7) 42 (48.3) 0.038
Nursery 27 (11.7) 17 (63.0) 10 (37.0)
Hatchery+nursery 76 (32.9) 44 (57.9) 32 (42.1)
Hatchery+incoming water 32 (13.9) 10 (31.3) 22 (68.8)
Others 9 (3.9) 7 (77.8) 2 (22.2)
Stocking density 109351 (2059-1728635) 134803 (3756-1445168) 80364 (2059-1728635) 0.057
Carp % of total stocking 45.6 (20-100) 42.2 (20-100) 49.4 (20-100) 0.049
Table 3. Association between Biosecurity Practices and Disease Incidence.
Table 3. Association between Biosecurity Practices and Disease Incidence.
Variables All farms Reported diseases
N = 231 No (N = 123) Yes (N = 108)
n (%) or mean (min, max) n (%) or mean (95% CI) P
Biosecurity management during pond preparation
Fallow period
No fallow period 23 (10.0) 18 (78.3) 5 (21.7) 0.069
one week 30 (13.0) 14 (46.7) 16 (53.3)
Fortnight 50 (21.6) 25 (50.0) 25 (50.0)
One Month 56 (24.2) 25 (44.6) 31 (555.4)
More than one month 72 (31.2) 41 (56.9) 31 (43.1)
Pond preparation
Bleaching+Pond bottom drying+Liming 10 (4.3) 10 (100) 0 (0.0) <0.001
Pond bottom drying+ploughing+Liming 25 (10.8) 19 (76.0) 6 (24.0)
Pond bottom drying+Liming 135 (58.4) 55 (40.7) 80 (59.3)
Liming 58 (25.1) 37 (63.8) 21 (36.2)
No measures 3 (1.3) 2 (66.7) 1 (33.3)
Biosecurity management followed during stocking
Biosecurity practices at stocking
Fish transport water discarded off farm+Fish disinfection+Fish health Inspection 33 (14.3) 21 (63.6) 12 (36.4) 0.010
Fish transport water discarded off farm+Fish health Inspection 70 (30.3) 26 (37.1) 44 (62.9)
Fish Disinfection+Fish health Inspection 12 (5.2) 6 (50.0) 6 (50.0)
Fish transport water discarded off farm+Fish disinfection 9 (3.9) 7(77.80 2 (22.2)
Fish Disinfection 17 (7.4) 8 (47.1) 9 (52.9)
Fish health inspection 22 (9.5) 9 (40.9) 13 (59.1)
Fish transport water discarded off farm 21 (9.1) 15 (71.4) 6 (28.6)
No action taken 47 (20.3) 31 (66.0) 16 (34.0)
Introduction of new stock with old stock
Yes 157 (68) 94 (59.9) 63 (40.1) 0.005
No 74 (32) 29 (39.2) 45 (60.8)
On Farm general biosecurity Management
Farm perimeter fence
Yes 79 (34.2) 39 (49.4) 40 (50.6) 0.408
No 152 (65.8) 84 (55.3) 68 (44.7)
Restriction of entrance for general people
Yes 31 (13.4) 19 (61.3) 12 (38.7) 0.440
No 200 (86.6) 104 (52.0) 96 (48.0)
Restriction of entrance for domestic or other animals
Yes 54 (23.4) 39 (72.2) 15 (27.8) 0.002
No 177 (76.6) 84 (47.5) 93 (52.5)
Shared equipment with other farm/s
Yes 155 (67.1) 82 (52.9) 73 (47.1) 0.889
No 76 (32.9) 41 (53.9) 35 (46.1)
Hired harvester
Yes 223 (96.5) 120 (53.8) 103 (46.2) 0.479
No 8 (3.5) 3 (37.5) 5 (62.5)
Hired harvesting equipment
Yes 223 (96.5) 119 (53.4) 104 (46.6) 0.565
No 8 (3.5) 4 (50.0) 4 (50.0)
Table 4a. Results of Univariable Regression Analyses for Disease Incidence (No/Yes).
Table 4a. Results of Univariable Regression Analyses for Disease Incidence (No/Yes).
Variables (OR) 95% CI p-value AIC
Region 275.37
Barishal 1 <0.001
Chittagong 0.0761 0.0097-0.5994
Dhaka 1.75 0.6116-5.0074
Khulna 5.95 2.5046-14.1350
Mymensingh 5.6 1.8226-17.2057
Jashore 3.5921 1.7085-7.5523
Primary occupation 310.16
Agriculture 1 <0.001
Aquaculture 5.7233 2.1627-15.1455
Business 2.9167 0.9138-9.3090
Job 1.9608 0.59-6.5168
Others 3.3333 0.3837-28.9537
Farming experiences 314.97
1-5 years 1 0.003
6-10 years 0.429 0.153-1.203
11-15 years 0.288 0.099-0.837
16-20 years 0.271 0.09-0.818
Above 20 years 0.211 0.071-0.625
Nos of pond/farm <0.001 309.68
0-5 1
6-10 0.2782 0.55-1.4088
11-15 0 Undefine
Species stocked 307.23
Carp species 1 <0.001
Carp+Tilapia 0.285 0.0822-0.9882
Carp+Tilapia+Other freshwater species 0.5775 0.1701-1.9605
Carp+Tilapia+Freshwater species+Brackishwater species 0.0992 0.0231-0.4260
Carp+other freshwater species 0.7603 0.1969-2.9366
Fingerling sources 318.84
Hatchery 1.5867 0.6535-3.8526 0.038
Nursery 1.2833 0.6905-2.3852
Hatchery+nursery 0.4242 0.1799-1.0002
Hatchery+incoming water 3.2667 0.6421-16.6192
Others
Carp % of total stocking 0.049 317.55
0-35 1
36-70 0.233 0.1281-0.4238
71-100 0.576 0.2567-1.2927
Biosecurity measures during pond preparation 299.8
Bleaching+Pond bottom drying+Liming 0 Undefine <0.001
Pond bottom drying+ploughing+Liming 0 Undefine
Pond bottom drying+Liming 0 Undefine
Liming 0 Undefine
No measures 0 Undefine
Biosecurity practices at stocking 316.48
Fish transport water discarded off farm+Fish disinfection+Fish health Inspection 1 0.01
Fish transport water discarded off farm+Fish health Inspection 0.3377 0.1430-0.7973
Fish Disinfection+Fish health Inspection 0.5714 0.1503-2.1725
Fish transport water discarded off farm+Fish disinfection 2 0.3567-11.2154
Fish Disinfection 0.5079 0.1549-1.6654
Fish health inspection 0.3956 0.1308-1.1968
Fish transport water discarded off farm 1.4286 0.4377-4.6630
No action taken 1.1071 0.4363-2.8094
Introduction of new stock with old stock 0.4319 0.2454-0.7602 0.005 314.59
Restriction of entrance for domestic or other animals 0.3474 0.1787-0.6752 0.002 312.73
Table 4b. Results of Multivariable Regression Analyses for Disease Incidence (No/Yes).
Table 4b. Results of Multivariable Regression Analyses for Disease Incidence (No/Yes).
Multivariable, final model Estimate Std. error z value Pr (>|z|) Significant level1 AIC
(Intercept) -1.79E+01 1.12E+03 -0.016 0.987252 243.39
Region: Chittagong 2.18E+00 1.16E+00 1.872 0.061192
Region: Dhaka 5.32E-03 6.65E-01 0.008 0.993615
Region: Jashore -1.74E+00 6.34E-01 -2.747 0.006009 **
Region: Khulna -2.73E+00 7.01E-01 -3.901 9.59E-05 ***
Region: Mymensingh -1.88E+00 7.71E-01 -2.437 0.014816 *
Farming Experiences (yr.) 4.87E-02 2.48E-02 1.961 0.04988 *
Stocking spp: Carp+Other freshwater spp. 2.28E+00 1.01E+00 2.259 0.023856 *
Stocking spp: Carp+Tilapia 2.37E+00 9.47E-01 2.505 0.012242 *
Stocking spp: Carp+Tilapia+ Freshwater spp.+Brackishwater spp. 4.58E+00 1.33E+00 3.453 0.000554 ***
Stocking spp: Carp+Tilapia+Other freshwater spp. 8.63E-01 1.03E+00 0.845 0.397954
Avg. Percentage of Carp Stocked 2.85E-02 1.18E-02 2.413 0.015838 *
Pond Prep. Biosecurity: Liming 1.62E+01 1.12E+03 0.014 0.988446
Pond Prep. Biosecurity: No action 1.50E+01 1.12E+03 0.013 0.989279
Pond Prep. Biosecurity:Drying+Liming 1.72E+01 1.12E+03 0.015 0.98772
Pond Prep. Biosecurity:Drying+Liming+Plowing 1.62E+01 1.12E+03 0.014 0.98847
Biosecurity at Stocking: Fish disinfection+Fish health inspection -9.73E-01 9.84E-01 -0.989 0.322713
Biosecurity at Stocking: Fish health inspection -9.50E-01 8.57E-01 -1.109 0.267501
Biosecurity at Stocking: Transport water discarded off farm -1.23E+00 8.70E-01 -1.415 0.156963
Biosecurity at Stocking: Transport water discarded off farm+Fish disinfection -2.57E+00 1.11E+00 -2.307 0.021028 *
Biosecurity at Stocking: Transport water discarded off farm+Fish disinfection+Fish health inspection -2.67E+00 8.63E-01 -3.092 0.001987 **
Biosecurity at Stocking: Transport water discarded off farm -1.83E+00 7.80E-01 -2.35 0.018794 *
Biosecurity at Stocking: No action -2.07E+00 7.81E-01 -2.65 0.008049 **
Restriction of entrance for domestic or other animals -3.78E-01 4.30E-01 -0.88 0.378658
1Signify. codes: 0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’ 1 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’ 1.
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