These disruptive factors lead to eight overarching challenges, discussed in more detail below.
3.1. Eight Second-Order Challenges in PPM Due to Disruptive Factors
In the following, the eight overarching challenges (2nd order) are described, which, in turn, are made up of different themes (1st order) identified in the expert interviews.
Figure 2 outlines wich topics the experts contributed to. It serves as an introduction to the following subsections, representing the eight challenges.
3.1.1. Accelerating Product Life Cycles under Disruptive Market Conditions
Electronics and software components shorten the overall product life cycle: A central challenge in PPM is the emergence of new market dynamics due to shorter product life cycles resulting from the integrated use of electronics and software components (I1, I9, I10, I12, I17, I19). This trend is seen as a direct consequence of digitalization and rapid technological advancements. In the past, products or systems could remain on the market for up to 30 years. Nowadays, companies are forced to renew their products and especially their software components much more frequently, sometimes quarterly, to remain competitive. This creates a tension between the different lifecycles of hardware and software components (I9, I13, I17, I21). In the automotive sector, the challenge is to bring short-cycle software functions to life in the vehicles (I20).
"We notice that the greater the proportion of electrical and software components, the shorter the product life cycle becomes [...] The question is then to what extent the life cycles of the hardware have to be adapted, if the product life cycle for electrical components is 7 years, and even less for software components, then the mechanics do not have to last for 20-30 years." (I17)
Processes are too slow under new market dynamics: Customer feedback can quickly be gathered in the digital world, but this also means the market changes more rapidly (I13). Twelve respondents recognize the need to adapt quickly to market changes and emphasize the importance of agility and efficient decision-making processes. They noted that traditional, slow process structures and decision-making are no longer sufficient. Instead, decisions must be made quickly based on valid input criteria focusing on industrial suitability (I10).
„The more digital the portfolio becomes, the more dynamic it becomes. In the past, you might have brought out new releases every two years. Nowadays, new releases are sometimes necessary every 12 weeks. As a result, your portfolio has to become smaller, or the processes have to become faster and more efficient." (I12)
Time as a critical factor in international competition: The time for adapting the product portfolio has become a stronger competitive factor and requires appropriate conditions to be internationally competitive (I9, I14). „Time is money, so whoever is fastest on the market, for example, when it comes to AI, will do the business [...] Germany is sometimes relatively slow compared to other countries such as China and the USA in terms of process structures and other hurdles such as more norms. This is a major obstacle to competition.“ (I9) As a result, some experts (I9, I14, I18, I19, I21) call for a change in mindset, advocating faster release and testing of new ideas, such as minimum viable products (MVPs). „The sales department is still used to presenting prototypes that have already been intensively tested.“ (I19)
3.1.2. Difficulties with Technology and Trend Radar as Well as the Use of AI
Recognizing trends at an early stage: Another challenge is detecting (disruptive) trends early and responding quickly to avoid falling behind (I1, I2). However, researching new technologies and trends is often time-consuming and uncertain, especially when technologies reach a relevant level of maturity or a “tipping point” (I2, I13, I17).
„Researching new technologies and trends involves a great deal of effort and usually also a bit of shooting in the dark about when these technologies have reached the tipping point of relevant maturity.“ (I2)
The need to continuously monitor new market influences and adjust the portfolio accordingly has been emphasized to keep the core business attractive (I5). The challenge is to keep up with the speed of trends, especially in an industry such as mechanical engineering, where developments are traditionally time-consuming (I8), although the development speed is currently increasing due to technologies such as AI (I9). To remain competitive, it is necessary to have resources that can screen the market (I13).
„Just observing all the launches by OpenAI shows how incredibly complex it is. It requires multiple individuals who truly understand the impact these trends have on your product.“ (I13)
Deployment and barriers of (generative) AI: In this context, ten interviews proactively addressed the potential of generative AI, particularly in the areas of technology scouting and competitive analysis, to uncover new perspectives and improve reaction time.
„Today, the product manager or portfolio manager collects the data. While there is a wealth of valuable information online, it must be evaluated properly. However, there is certainly room for improvement. I believe that with the help of AI, much more can be done to identify competitors and markets.“ (I1)
Although nine of the surveyed experts already use AI models in their range of smart services, they do not yet have an established management processes with AI support.
„Currently, no AI is in use. However, it is in the pipeline that AI will be used in the future for scenario simulations, for example, to provide decision-making aids or suggestions for portfolio adjustments.“ (I3)
Nevertheless, seven companies reported conducting initial tests with generative AI, such as ChatGPT or various copilots. A major obstacle to the use of AI, which was addressed in the context of prescriptive AI and the data collection, is data quality and overcoming data silos between different business areas. Different systems and data structures are sometimes used, which need to be standardized, for example, to implement a smart monitoring platform for PPM (I3, I7, I12, I18, I19). The use of tools such as ChatGPT has also been criticized. For instance, in small industries with few competitors, ChatGPT answers may originate from the company's own website (I19). In addition, an in-house model may only be used internally, such as for knowledge transfer (I19), due to data security concerns with sensitive information (I16, I19, I20).
3.1.3. Lack of Clarity on PPM Roles and Responsibilities
PPM is established differently among companies: The expert interviews reveal that companies have established different areas of responsibility for PPM. In some companies, PPM is centrally organized and plays a cross-functional role, for example, in incorporating cross-product requirements into the portfolio, which is not possible from the business units due to limitations and local requirements (I2, I3, I6, I7, I20). In other companies, product managers or product management leadership are responsible for PPM (I2, I5, I6, I10, I11, I19). For three respondents, the two aspects are handled differently even within the company (I2, I7, I11).
„From an academic perspective, it is common and also companies with a certain history in portfolio management often have an overarching strategic portfolio level and then the underlying product management level [...] However, in companies that are still on their way there, we see that product management as such is still very strong and also more widespread in general than the portfolio perspective.“ (I6)
Changes to the product portfolio or discontinuations are also organized differently in the companies. Strategic adjustments are typically made through a portfolio board of leaders from various business areas and the C-level management in a semi-annual (I5, I10) or annual (I7, I17) cycle. Operational adjustments are also coordinated on a shorter cycle at a lower hierarchical level (I7, I10, I21).
The tasks of product portfolio managers differ in focus: The focus of product portfolio managers also varies among companies. For some experts, the focus of their tasks is to address sustainabilitye requirements, such as reducing the product carbon footprint (I1, I11, I18). Other companies focus on coordinating the overall solution, such as products with digital components and services, to harmonize cybersecurity or interface requirements, as they affect the portfolio differently in various business areas (I11, I12). In some companies, services and physical products are managed separately (I2, I4, I7, I8, I11), while in others, portfolio managers are responsible for both areas (I5, I9, I12). It is, therefore, not surprising that all interviewed experts report using self-developed analysis tools. These tools are typically based on well-known methods such as the BCG Matrix, Pareto analysis, life cycle analysis, or similar but they are then adjusted to company-specific requirements using utilities like Excel.
„This is actually a customized Excel spreadsheet that provides an assessment based on key information and shows where products are positioned in the portfolio, enabling the corresponding decisions to be made.“ (I18)
3.1.4. Rising Product Portfolio Complexity
Holistic solutions instead of individual components: Traditionally, the product portfolio of manufacturing companies was dominated by physical goods. Twelve experts report that, in the context of digitalization, the service business is increasingly becoming a core part of companies' operations and a differentiating factor.
„We're more part of the chemical industry, which means our main part has been supplying chemicals, physical products. However, as an emerging part of our portfolio, services are now becoming more and more important […] recently, we developed a new digital service which integrates a sensor into this connection and basically you can monitor all of your seals in the plant.“ (I3)
Services are also getting more complex. This is due to the need for new digital services to be compatible with older machines in the company's portfolio (I9) or designed for third-party systems (I16). Furthermore, comprehensive and additional consulting services are now offered, not just 'simple' maintenance work, to improve customer processes (I4, I17, I18). The customer does not have pain points with individual machinery or components but rather with the inflow and outflow of materials, process flows, and logistics processes (I5, I8). Additionally, the shortage of skilled workers has increased the demand for comprehensive solutions and a stronger focus on process optimization among customers (I8).
„This actually has little to do with the actual core business model of selling machines, instead, we solve our customers' problems by understanding their processes.“ (I5)
Need for a higher control instance: The increasing interplay of different areas such as software, services, machines, and automation for the realization of solution offerings requires cross-divisional coordination, standardization, and specification, which also increases the visibility and relevance of PPM within the organization (I1, I3, I8, I14). Megatrends such as digitalization and sustainability have cross-product impacts that require a higher-level authority such as PPM or the consolidation of business areas (I1, I6, I12, I14, I19). The influence of digitalization has led to more interactions between products than in the past with mechanical products (I19).
„Product management in today's world cannot exist without portfolio management. There is always some kind of interplay between different technologies. This has become increasingly important in recent years.” (I14)
Accordingly, portfolio management was newly established only a few years ago for two of the experts interviewed (I1, I8) and has been placed in the focus of top management as the "number one priority" for another expert (I3).
Neglected phase-out process: Portfolio complexity is not only increasing due to new business models and the focus on the service business as a holistic solution for customer processes. Six experts also report that a structured phase-out process is being neglected.
“The problem is at a certain point the incremental growth of profits is so low and the impact from complexity on your supply chain is so high that you may have a negative effect on your company […] that's really one of the biggest problems of companies like ours with a very complex portfolio because maintaining this can be quite a challenge.” (I3)
By acquiring companies with their own portfolios that have grown differently over time, duplicates with similar customer benefits are created in some cases, and central PPM tasks become more relevant to bundle and strategically align the portfolio (I1, I3, I8, I16). Internal costs arise not only from the expansion of the number of products and variants but also from the additional complexity of storage locations and supply chains (I3).
“If there is no structured phase-out process for years, acceptance and understanding must first be created within the company that not all products can always be kept in the portfolio and that customers must be convinced to switch to other products in the portfolio.” (I8)
The experts with an established phase-out process attempt to keep the number of variants constant (I4, I8, I11, I18).
„For physical products, limits are defined for the sales volume that must be achieved. There are only a few exceptions that can be afforded because they have important interactions [...] We try to maintain a portfolio of around 4,000 items that still generates sales growth.“ (I4)
3.1.5. Timing and Engaging the Relevant Audiences Is a Substantial Hurdle
Timing is a particular challenge when dealing with disruptive factors: One significant obstacle in PPM is timing the handling of disruptive influences. This includes the transition from analog to digital products, as exemplified in measurement technology (I1), the introduction of innovative sales structures such as transaction platforms (I5, I7), the transformation of traditional business models from single sales to subscription-based approaches (I2), as well as the focus on sustainable product lines (I2, I3). One difficulty here is the short-cycle assessment of the maturity of technologies or trends, that was previously described (chapter 3.1.2) as a challenge (I2, I20). In addition, customers in conservative industries often struggle with significant changes, even when they are technologically superior (I4).
„Customers prefer to stick with the proven.“ (I4)
Therefore, the customer requires a retraining process (I10). According to seven experts, an essential success factor for the timing of introducing disruptive services lies in actively involving and understanding the target audience. When market readiness is uncertain, companies should develop a flexible approach that can be adapted to specific needs (I15, I21). It is essential to test innovations through low-threshold offers, such as MVPs, and observe the customer's response (I6, I18). This can also be done through separate innovation portfolios (I6) or by collaborating with startups to respond quickly and flexibly to market requirements (I5, I6). Furthermore, testing smart services in one's own production can help identify optimization potential and lead to success (I16). An expert also reports on sustainability, stating that in the first step, their own organization was enabled and intensively engaged with the topic, to demonstrate better know-how in external perception (I18). Two experts report that disruptive approaches also require perseverance (I8, I9) and that the failure of new ideas is also part of it (I7). „You also have to be brave enough to fail. 9 out of 10 good ideas will fail.“ (I7)
In order to minimize the risk of timing for market entry, some experts rely on co-innovations with their own key accounts, for example (I7, I8, I21). Innovations are tested together and then used as a reference when offering them to the broader market (I7).
Involving the right target group: Involving the relevant target groups for successful timing poses a particular challenge. The target group should be involved early in an initial phase (I13, I19) and then transition into a continuous feedback cycle (I13). Companies need to identify the people who are particularly open to new services or disruptive innovations (I4, I6). When developing new business models like "as-a-service" offerings, it is crucial to address the right stakeholders, such as those who are interested in improving overall performance and can benefit directly from the offering (I4). This can be particularly challenging in multi-level sales structures (I4, I5). Successful timing depends not only on direct customers but also on the customers and suppliers of the customer (I5).
„It doesn't really depend on the primary target group [...] there are hundreds of arguments [...], but the process chains on the outside always kill the whole idea.“ (I5)
However, due to fear of neglecting direct customers, communication and coordination may not always take place (I5). Alternative options include seeking input from communities and trusted stakeholder networks (I4, I6, I18). It is, therefore, industry-specific to identify the relevant target audience and the appropriate contact person within the company (I7).
„This is an important sales process, understanding who the players are and who makes the decision.“ (I7)
3.1.6. Sustainability-Oriented Alignment of the Product Portfolio
Holistic adaptation through sustainability: The increasing focus on sustainability and stricter environmental regulations drive companies to develop more environmentally friendly products and production processes. This requires investment in research and development and the revision of existing product lines (I3, I4, I6, I21).
„If I would tell one big trend which require changes in our portfolio, it would be sustainability.“ (I3)
Two experts report that all activities in the companies are already designed and tested for sustainability (I18, I12).
„We no longer use fossil fuels in production [...] we are ISO 14001 environmentally certified [...] the entire life cycle is designed to be sustainable in order to reduce CO2 emissions - from raw materials and production processes through to recycling or use [...] supplier data on the carbon footprint is also requested and taken into account when selecting suppliers.“ (I18)
In some cases, this also has a strong impact on the technologies and core competencies used by companies. For example, some companies are implementing new business areas in the field of hydrogen (I1, I16) or electrification (I8). Advising customers on how to achieve their sustainability goals (I12) or developing smart services for CO2 balancing or extending product life cycles (I2, I16) also represents a new business in the context of sustainability.
„In addition, expanded sustainability approaches are gaining importance, including design principles for the circular economy, innovative modularization, shortening product life cycles and research into upgrade opportunities within the circular economy.“ (I6)
Balance between sustainability and profitability: Although these topics are receiving increasing attention, some companies are observing rather than actively shaping these developments. This is often due to cost considerations having priority in operational business (I6, I17). Even though experts are aware of the sustainability trend, some report that they currently receive few specific customer requirements (I5, I8, I17) or that they are only relevant in certain markets such as Europe (I14).
“Companies that want to make their portfolio more sustainable are not doing so because of a short-term need or a quick return on investment but because they want to be strategically well-positioned for the long-term.“ (I6)
In order to maintain long-term competitiveness in the field of sustainability, portfolio management must create the necessary framework early on (I14). For example, at a company in the Adhesive Solutions sector, all products in the portfolio are checked for climate neutrality, and the revenue loss resulting from the discontinuation of non-sustainable offerings by the target year for climate neutrality is calculated (I3). An optimal balance must be struck between current cash cow products and future sustainable growth products (I2, I3). Resources allocated to sustainability aspects are therefore no longer available for other technological innovations (I8).
Demands come from various stakeholder groups: Although some experts see few specific customer requirements (I5, I8, I17) and new product development should be based on customer pain points (I14), sustainability is also strongly driven by society and politics (I12). Shareholders and investors pressure publicly traded companies to act sustainably or at least develop a strategy in that direction (I2, I5, I12).
„Portfolio management is also important for visibility in the capital market. It is crucial to invest in things that make one investable.“ (I5)
When these guidelines are integrated into the corporate goals of large companies such as automakers, it affects the supply chain and leads to adjustments in the product portfolio of suppliers (I6, I20).
3.1.7. Outdated Evaluation Logic and KPIs Must be Adapted for Disruptive Innovations
New evaluation logic is required due to disruptive factors: Disruptive factors such as the sustainability shift, digital transformation, and servitization can lead companies to change their business models and require a new valuation logic. To assess the products’ potential, estimation based on existing business can be used (I15). However, when evaluating the potential of innovations in sustainability or digital solutions, existing methods may not suffice (I2, I15, I21).
„If you want to move away from a linear business model and act more circularly, you will need a new or adapted metrics system because the classic linear revenue from the new machine perspective will gradually decline. Ultimately, this will shift to retrofits, repair actions, and module integration of components that extend the lifecycle. All of this requires a different metrics system.“ (I2)
While financial KPIs are important, they alone are not sufficient to capture the potential of disruptive innovations or the strategic significance of products and services for the company's future viability.
„Especially when introducing new products, technologies, or disruptive initiatives, I will need to consider softer evaluations to determine if they offer long-term benefits.“ (I2)
Accordingly, 15 of the surveyed experts call for an adjustment and expansion of metrics for a new evaluation logic. One requirement is a quantitative comparability of customer benefits based on objective evaluation criteria (I15). An adapted evaluation logic should connect the software and hardware worlds and be able to compare them reasonably without becoming too complex and no longer suitable for the industry (I10). The value contribution to the customer should be the focus of the assessment (I1, I10, I14, I15, I19).
„ We manage ourselves according to value contribution [...] In terms of sustainability, we must also consider the benefits it provides to the customer. “ (I14)
Economic considerations must remain the basis: Various metrics can play a relevant role in the value-oriented alignment of the product portfolio and quantification of customer benefits. Although 15 of the surveyed experts confirmed that a purely financial evaluation of the product portfolio is no longer sufficient, the financial perspective should still form the foundation of the evaluation (I3, I5, I7, I9, I17).
„Soft factors are important [...], but economic feasibility must always be considered first.“ (I9)
However, changes are necessary even in financial KPIs to compare, for example, the potential of one-time sales and recurring revenue (I2, I11, I19).
„The traditional KPI is still revenue, but this may not work for different revenue models. Subscription-based models may generate more revenue over time, but they may initially perform worse than one-time sales.“ (I19)
Additional KPIs, such as "orders received" or "initial contract length", could be included to take better account of recurring income (I19). Another possible solution in the financial valuation method could be discounting and annuities (I11).
Strategic beliefs as a fast lane: Besides the financial perspective, some companies take additional strategic assessments into account, which can also lead to a prioritization of products with lower economic attractiveness (I3, I6, I7).
„It was clear that purely financial numbers don’t cover the whole strategic context.“ (I3) „In some companies, we observe a kind of fast lane when the business case fundamentally fits [...] even if it may be worse than other products but is still focused on due to strategic beliefs.“ (I6)
One respondent's company defined eight non-financial or semi-financial factors in addition to financial considerations included in product and portfolio evaluation, including factors related to sustainability impact or innovation level (I3). In this case, the innovation level reflects the status of the product life cycle (I3) and could be an indicator for growth potential (I5). Relevant sustainability metrics include carbon footprint, energy and material consumption, according to the experts (I2, I3, I5, I18). Additionally, cross-selling and cannibalization effects within a portfolio should be considered (I2, I7, I10).
In the context of digitalization, further metrics become relevant and feasible. For example, smart services can be used to collect customer data that can enhance the company's products or to identify optimization potential for customers (I2). In this context, follow-up business potential, such as spare parts sales, is also a relevant metric (I19). Digital services also enable tracking the number of transactions or click-bait, which are considered more relevant for the business-to-customer sector due to higher user numbers (I13). Moreover, a competitive perspective can also be relevant in evaluating products and services in the portfolio to consider whether the competition can adapt the offering or whether market shares can be secured. (I2, I5).
3.1.8. Disruptive Factors Require Organizational and Cultural Adjustments
Disruptive factors lead to organizational changes: The impact of disruptive factors requires significant organizational adaptations. In response, companies have established specialized departments such as Digitalization (I3, I13, I16), Sustainability (I3, I18), and Service Innovation (I2, I4, I7, I8, I11), depending on their strategic priorities (I6, I21). It allows these functions to be more prominent within the organizational structure. For example, a dedicated service department can more effectively focus on developing innovative revenue models, such as subscription models, than possible within the scope of traditional product development (I11). Furthermore, companies are exploring new business models by founding start-ups or investing in start-ups, which can lead to creating subsidiaries with focused and more agile structures in the digital sector (I3, I13, I16). Some of these spin-offs have experienced significant growth to several hundred employees within a few years (I13, I16). In the context of these developments, PPM is essential to ensure a coherent alignment between the various business units and departments (I8, I10, I19, I20, I21).
Cultural adaptation becomes necessary: Dealing with disruptive factors requires not only organizational adjustments but also an adapted corporate culture that promotes openness and innovation (I2, I4, I17, I19).
„This is where you really need a few mavericks who can see the opportunities and the potential without being tied to the status quo.“ (I4).
This also requires different skills throughout the organization, especially in sales (I2, I4, I17, I19), for example, to "understand the customer's problems holistically and not just negotiate prices" (I19). A new incentive system to redefine responsibility and distribution for revenue growth among the various areas of the company is also necessary (I11).
„To expand my service area, I could introduce recurring payment models. However, this may result in a reduction of revenue from one-time product sales.“ (I11)
As a result, distribution heavily depends on the underlying logic of incentivization (I2, I19).
„The new machine business is currently better intensified than perhaps the service that will come in the future. Therefore, a reevaluation is necessary.“ (I2)
A change in mindset and a diversified approach are also necessary in decision-making boards, which are often staffed with similar personality types from C-level management. The perception and evaluation of disruptive factors, such as sustainability and digitalization, vary among individuals, so decision-making boards should be heterogeneously staffed with a variety of perspectives (I19).