The findings of the research are illustrated in three aspects: the predictors of earthquake preparedness in Montenegro, North Macedonia, and Serbia; comparative analysis of perceptions and preparedness levels for earthquake disasters across Montenegro, North Macedonia, and Serbia; and influences of demographic and socioeconomic factors on perceptions and preparedness levels for earthquake disasters across Montenegro, North Macedonia, and Serbia.
3.1. The Predictors of Earthquake Preparedness in Montenegro, North Macedonia, and Serbia
The paper is based on the central hypothesis that the most significant predictor of earthquake preparedness in Montenegro, North Macedonia, and Serbia is age, followed by gender, education, marital status, employment, income, and disability. Multivariate regression analysis was used to determine the extent to which five scores of the subscales (household preparedness, community preparedness, disaster preparation, earthquake risk awareness, reinforced house) were associated with seventh demographic and socio-economic variables: gender, age, education, marital status, employment, income and disability. The conducted analysis indicated that the assumptions regarding normal distribution, linearity, multicollinearity, and variance homogeneity were upheld and not breached, which is an important assumption in this type of analysis (Table 2).
The outcomes of the multivariate regressions concerning the household preparedness subscale reveal that the primary predictor of significance is age (β = 0.35), explaining 6.81% of the variance in household preparedness. This is followed by education level (β = −0.13, 1.48%). The remaining predictors (e.g., gender, marital status, employment, income and disability) were not significantly affected by household preparedness. This model (R2 = 0.14, Adj. R2 = 0.13, F = 14.02, t = 19.51, p < 0.01) with all mentioned independent variables explains the 13% variance of household preparedness (Table 2).
In further analyses, regarding community preparedness, analyses revealed that the most significant predictor was age (β = 0.21), explaining 2.5% of the variance in community preparedness. This is followed by education (β = −0.12, 1.5%), and gender (β = 0.10, 1.3%). The remaining predictors (e.g., marital status, employment, income, disability) were not significantly affected by community preparedness. This model (R2 = 0.09, Adj. R2 = 0.08, F = 8.87, t = 16.83, p < 0.01) incorporating all specified independent variables elucidates 8% of the variance in household preparedness (Table 2).
Moreover, regarding disaster preparation, analyses revealed that the most significant predictor was education (β = 0.069), explaining 0.9% of the variance in disaster preparation. This is followed by gender (β = −0.049, 0.6%), and employment (β = −0.040, 0.5%). The remaining predictors (e.g., age, marital status, income and disability) were not significantly affected by disaster preparation. This model (R2 = 0.03, Adj. R2 = 0.02, F = 8.87, t = 3.08, p < 0.01) incorporating all specified independent variables elucidates 2% of the variance in disaster preparation (Table 2).
Regarding earthquake risk awareness, analyses revealed that the most significant predictor was age (β = −0.21), explaining 2.89% of the variance in earthquake risk awareness. This is followed by education (β = −0.19, 2.5%), and income (β = −0.04, 2.4%). The remaining predictors (e.g., gender, marital status, employment and disability) were not significantly affected by earthquake risk awareness. This model (R2 = 0.09, Adj. R2 = 0.08, F = 8.87, t = 16.83, p < 0.01) incorporating all specified independent variables elucidates 8% of the variance in earthquake risk awareness (Table 2).
Furthermore, analyses regarding reinforced houses revealed that the most significant predictor was gender (β = 0.13), explaining 2.5% of the variance in reinforced houses. This is followed by education (β = −0.12, 2.2%) and employment (β = 0.07, 0.04%). The remaining predictors (e.g., marital status, age, income and disability) were not significantly affected by earthquake risk awareness. This model (R2 = 0.08, Adj. R2 = 0.07, F = 7.66, t = 20.84, p < 0.01) incorporating all specified independent variables elucidates 7% of the variance in earthquake risk awareness (Table 2).
Analyzing the obtained results, it is noticeable that age appears as a predictor in various aspects of earthquake-induced disaster preparedness and awareness in most models. Such results confirm the importance of the respondents' age in determining the levels of preparedness and awareness of earthquakes. The second most significant predictor, quantitatively observed across the models, is education level. The third most significant predictor, quantitatively observed across the models, varies depending on the aspect of disaster preparedness (household gender; preparation employment) and awareness (income) being examined.
Table 2.
Results of a multivariate regression analysis concerning earthquake preparedness in Montenegro, North Macedonia and Serbia (n = 1245).
Table 2.
Results of a multivariate regression analysis concerning earthquake preparedness in Montenegro, North Macedonia and Serbia (n = 1245).
Predictor variable |
Household preparedness |
Community preparedness |
Disaster preparation |
Earthquake risk awareness |
Reinforced house |
B |
SE |
β |
B |
SE |
β |
B |
SE |
β |
B |
SE |
β |
B |
SE |
β |
Gender |
−0.028 |
0.105 |
−0.011 |
0.253 |
0.110 |
0.102* |
−0.142 |
0.132 |
−0.049* |
0.153 |
0.124 |
0.055 |
0.326 |
0.112 |
0.130* |
Age |
0.850 |
0.135 |
0.354** |
0.523 |
0.142 |
0.214** |
0.540 |
0.170 |
0.190 |
−0.599 |
0.160 |
−0.218** |
−0.121 |
0.145 |
−0.049 |
Education |
−0.339 |
0.116 |
−0.133* |
−0.317 |
0.121 |
−0.122* |
−0.208 |
0.146 |
−0.069* |
−0.558 |
0.137 |
−0.191** |
−0.331 |
0.124 |
−0.126* |
Marital status |
0.183 |
0.129 |
0.075 |
0.058 |
0.135 |
0.023 |
0.428 |
0.162 |
0.147 |
−0.219 |
0.153 |
−0.078 |
0.539 |
0.138 |
0.213 |
Employment |
0.040 |
0.107 |
0.016 |
−0.048 |
0.112 |
−0.019 |
−0.121 |
0.135 |
−0.040* |
−0.494 |
0.127 |
−0.169 |
0.207 |
0.115 |
0.078* |
Income |
0.228 |
0.470 |
0.021 |
−0.406 |
0.492 |
−0.036 |
0.218 |
0.592 |
0.017 |
0.504 |
0.556 |
0.040** |
−0.461 |
0.504 |
−0.040 |
Disability |
−0.028 |
0.105 |
−0.011 |
0.253 |
0.110 |
0.102 |
−0.142 |
0.132 |
−0.049 |
0.153 |
0.124 |
0.055 |
0.326 |
0.112 |
0.130 |
Adjusted R2
|
0.135 |
0.086 |
0.024 |
0.074 |
0.070 |
3.3. Comparative Analysis of Perceptions and Preparedness Levels for Earthquake Disasters across Montenegro, North Macedonia, and Serbia
Examining respondents' perceptions of household preparedness for earthquake-related disasters yielded interesting and diverse results. Overall, in North Macedonia, respondents recorded the highest ratings (M = 3.52) for household preparedness for earthquakes, compared to Montenegro (M = 2.98) and Serbia (M = 3.26), where the lowest ratings were recorded. In contrast, regarding the perception of the community's preparedness level for earthquakes, Serbian respondents recorded slightly higher scores (M = 2.95) compared to respondents from Macedonia (M = 2.74) and Montenegro (M = 2.49), where the lowest values were noted (Table 2).
The perception of potential damage to buildings (houses, apartments, etc.) due to earthquakes shows similar levels of concern in all countries (Serbia M = 3.13; Montenegro M = 2.92), with a slight tendency for slightly higher concern in North Macedonia (M = 3.15). Also, the levels of knowledge about geological layers in areas where respondents' homes are located are relatively similar (Montenegro M = 2.35; North Macedonia M = 2.30; Serbia M = 2.28). When comparing the results of examining the resilience of buildings, it is generally concluded that the ratings are lower, with the lowest recorded among respondents from Montenegro (7.5%), followed by Serbia (13.2%), while the highest scores were recorded among respondents from North Macedonia (18.6%).
Considering the importance of strengthening buildings to make them more resistant to earthquake shaking, the results show that such measures are most implemented in North Macedonia (M = 3.18), followed by Montenegro (M = 2.97), and least in Serbia (M = 1.88). In terms of the importance of securing furniture to prevent injuries, it was found that such measures are most undertaken in North Macedonia (5.5%), followed by Montenegro (16%), while the least is undertaken in Serbia (13.2%) (Table 2).
Further analysis of the obtained results shows that respondents from Montenegro rate the preparedness of their households with lower scores compared to North Macedonia. On the other hand, their ratings regarding the preparedness of the local community and concerns about possible earthquake-related damage are within the mid-range of the observed values. In contrast, respondents from North Macedonia recognize the importance and necessity of preparing households for earthquakes the most, as evidenced by the highest recorded score. Additionally, they have the highest level of concern about potential damage and the highest tendency to take measures to strengthen buildings to prevent earthquake-related damage. Respondents from Serbia show an average level of household preparedness for earthquakes, with slightly higher concerns about possible damage. Also, it is observed that, according to respondents' ratings, the most furniture is secured in this country. However, the fact remains that lower scores for strengthening buildings are recorded (Table 2).
Overall, respondents from North Macedonia stand out for their high ratings of household preparedness level, while respondents from Serbia express higher concern about damage and lower scores for strengthening buildings. Moreover, respondents from Montenegro fall somewhere between these two countries in the analyzed different aspects.
Table 2.
Perceptions regarding household preparedness inquiries for disasters caused by earthquakes in Montenegro, Macedonia and Serbia (n = 1245).
Table 2.
Perceptions regarding household preparedness inquiries for disasters caused by earthquakes in Montenegro, Macedonia and Serbia (n = 1245).
Variables |
Countries |
Total |
Montenegro M(SD) |
North Macedonia M(SD) |
Serbia M(SD) |
Household preparedness level |
2.98 (1.12) |
3.52 (0.82) |
3.26 (1.20) |
3.25 (1.05) |
Community preparedness level |
2.49 (1.02) |
2.74 (1.07) |
2.95 (1.22) |
2.73 (1.10) |
Damaged house |
2.92 (1.09) |
3.15 (1.10) |
3.13 (1.20) |
3.07 (1.13) |
Geological knowledge level |
2.35 (1.31) |
2.30 (1.39) |
2.28 (1.43) |
2.31 (1.38) |
Earthquake house proof |
7.5*−92.5% |
18.6*−81.4% |
13.2*−85.6 |
13.1*−86.9 |
Reinforced house |
2.97 (1.02) |
3.18 (1.25) |
1.88 (0.32) |
2.67 (0.86) |
Furnutire secured |
16*−84% |
25.5*−74.5% |
13.2*−85.6 |
18.2*−81,8 |
The data on participants' perceptions about essential survival supplies in earthquake-induced disasters in the regions of Montenegro, Macedonia, and Serbia are presented in Table 3. The following variables are covered: prepared emergency kit; examined emergency kit contents; easily accessed emergency kit; other emergency supplies; emergency supplies rating, and community emergency supplies. Regarding the possession of an emergency kit, the results indicate that respondents from North Macedonia rate the highest ownership (64.1%), followed closely by respondents from Serbia (48.8%), and the lowest percentage comes from Montenegro (40%). In contrast, when it comes to examining the contents of the emergency kit, the obtained results show that respondents from Serbia are most likely to have done so (62%), followed by respondents from North Macedonia (44.1%), while respondents from Montenegro do this to the least extent (33.5%). Furthermore, examining the ease of access to the emergency kit, it was found that respondents from Serbia rate the ease of access the highest (64%), followed by respondents from North Macedonia (62.9%), and finally, respondents from Montenegro (35.3%) (Table 3).
In the context of other supplies that may be crucial for survival, the achieved results illustrate that respondents from North Macedonia most frequently possess such supplies (54.5%), followed by respondents from Serbia (48%), and the least possession is observed among respondents from Montenegro (27.3%). Providing the opportunity for respondents to rate their emergency supplies, it was found that respondents from Montenegro do this most frequently (57.3%), followed by respondents from Serbia (49%), and North Macedonia (57.3%). Recognizing the importance of possessing communal supplies for emergencies, it was established that respondents from Serbia most frequently rate the possession of such supplies (52%), followed by respondents from Montenegro (10%), and finally, respondents from North Macedonia (8.1%) (Table 3).
The conducted analysis of comparative data on preparedness for potential earthquake-induced disasters unequivocally points to differences in the perceptions of respondents from Montenegro, North Macedonia, and Serbia. Based on these findings, distinct priorities and attitudes can be observed among respondents in the different observed countries, highlighting the need for targeted interventions. Respondents from Montenegro stand out with a high percentage of positive ratings for emergency supplies, while respondents from North Macedonia are recognized for high ratings in the possession of other emergency supplies. On the other hand, respondents from Serbia led in the evaluation of communal emergency supplies at the local level.
Table 3.
Perceptions about essential supplies for earthquake disasters in Montenegro, Macedonia and Serbia (n = 1245).
Table 3.
Perceptions about essential supplies for earthquake disasters in Montenegro, Macedonia and Serbia (n = 1245).
Variables |
Countries |
Total |
Montenegro Yes/No (%) |
North Macedonia Yes/No (%) |
Serbia Yes/No (%) |
Prepared emergency kit |
40/60 |
64.1/34.8 |
48.8/51.2 |
50.9/49.1 |
Examined emergency kit contents |
33.5/66.5 |
44.1/55.9 |
62/38 |
46.5/53.5 |
Easily access emergency kit |
35.3/66.5 |
62.9/30.1 |
64/36 |
54/46 |
Other emergency supplies |
27.3/72.7 |
54.5/44.3 |
48/52 |
43/57 |
Emergency supplies rating |
57.3/42.7 |
29.3/70.7 |
51/49 |
45.8/54.2 |
Community emergency supplies |
10/90 |
8.1/91.9 |
52/48 |
23.3/76.7 |
Through further analyses, the perception regarding the adequacy of shelter during earthquake disasters was examined in Montenegro, Macedonia, and Serbia. On this occasion, it was established that respondents from Serbia, to the greatest extent (25.2%), assess that they have a designated shelter, followed by respondents from North Macedonia (18.9%), and finally from Montenegro (16%). It is crucial to highlight that overall, the assessments of having a designated shelter are very low, which could have serious safety implications. Additionally, it was found that respondents from North Macedonia predominantly perceive having a clearly defined route to the shelter (37.1%), followed by respondents from Serbia (25.6%), and lastly, respondents from Montenegro (15.8%). Regarding obstacles on the way to the shelter, respondents from Montenegro highlight their existence the most (66.9%), followed by respondents from North Macedonia (15%), and finally, from Serbia (14.5%). Interestingly, in terms of alerting neighbours before evacuation, the highest percentage of positive responses was recorded among respondents from Serbia (94%), followed by respondents from Montenegro (76.8%), and from North Macedonia (75.7%). Examining the conditions and state in designated shelters, the results indicate generally low ratings, while respondents from Serbia give the most positive ratings (23.6%). Subsequently, respondents from North Macedonia (18.6%) and Montenegro (9.5%) followed. Lastly, regarding the assessment of shelter management, the highest ratings were identified in Serbia (17.4%), while the lowest was recorded in Montenegro (6.8%) (
Table 4).
Analysis of perceptions regarding special needs during earthquake disasters in Montenegro, North Macedonia, and Serbia shows that the highest percentage of respondents (62.6%) from North Macedonia indicate awareness of which individuals require special care in disaster conditions. Following them are respondents from Serbia (56%), and finally from Montenegro (32.8%). Subsequently, it was found that respondents from Serbia (43.6%) are most aware that the majority of casualties and injuries occur among the older population. Respondents from Montenegro and North Macedonia show lower levels of awareness of these issues (29.7% and 27%, respectively). Furthermore, respondents from Serbia (31.2%) emphasize the most that there is someone in their family who couldn't evacuate alone in the event of an earthquake, while respondents from Montenegro and North Macedonia highlight this less (24.3% and 27%, respectively) (Table 5).
When investigating knowledge about where elderly individuals, people with disabilities, and infants live in their community, the ratings are relatively low in the observed countries. The lowest awareness of such circumstances is recorded among respondents from Montenegro (M = 2.88), while respondents from North Macedonia and Serbia expressed slightly higher ratings (M = 3.20 and M = 3.18, respectively). Regarding knowledge of how to communicate with deaf or hearing-impaired individuals, similar results to previous surveys were identified, where the lowest ratings were recorded in Montenegro (M = 2.49), while slightly higher values were noted in North Macedonia and Serbia (M = 2.82 and M = 3.28, respectively). In contrast, respondents from Serbia, to the greatest extent (M = 4.15), emphasize that they know what assistance older individuals, people with disabilities, and infants require, unlike respondents from Montenegro (M = 2.89) and North Macedonia (M = 3.28) (Table 5).
Table 5.
Perceptions regarding special needs during earthquake disasters in Montenegro, Macedonia and Serbia (n = 1245).
Table 5.
Perceptions regarding special needs during earthquake disasters in Montenegro, Macedonia and Serbia (n = 1245).
Variables |
Countries |
Total |
Montenegro Yes/No (%) |
North Macedonia Yes/No (%) |
Serbia Yes/No (%) |
Special care needed |
32.8/67.2 |
62.6/37.4 |
56/44 |
50.46/49.54 |
Elderly killed injured |
29.7/70.3 |
27/73 |
43.6/56.4 |
33.4/66.6 |
Family cannot evacuate alone |
24.3/75.7 |
27/73 |
31.2/68.8 |
27.5/72.5 |
Family difficulties in evacuation |
37.1/62.9 |
38/62 |
57.5/42.5 |
44.2/55.8 |
Places for vulnerable groups |
2.88*(1.32) |
3.20* (1.36) |
3.18* (1.50) |
3.08 (1.39) |
Guide for impairments |
2.49* (1.22) |
2.82* (1.25) |
3.28* (1.44) |
3.69 (1.30) |
Support for vulnerable |
2.89* (1.20) |
3.28* (1.23) |
4.15* (1.08) |
3.44 (1.17) |
Starting from the importance of preparatory activities, respondents were asked whether they had participated in preparing the local community for disasters. On this occasion, similar lower ratings were found among the observed countries. Among respondents from Serbia, the highest preparedness rating was recorded (M = 2.14), followed by respondents from North Macedonia (M = 2.08), and finally, respondents from Montenegro (M = 1.95). Additionally, the survey results show that respondents from Serbia demonstrated the highest level of earthquake risk awareness (M = 2.93), while it was the lowest among respondents from Montenegro (M = 2.57), with respondents from North Macedonia falling in between (M = 2.85) (Table 6).
Furthermore, the level of perception regarding whether neighbours can self-rescue in earthquakes was examined. The lowest rating was recorded among respondents from Montenegro (M = 2.95), followed by respondents from North Macedonia (M = 3.20), and the highest rating was recorded among respondents from Serbia (M = 3.26). Regarding a designated person for implementing disaster preparedness activities at the local level, the results show that the majority of respondents from Serbia (38.4%) believe that such a person exists, followed by respondents from Montenegro (20.3%) and North Macedonia (15.1%). As for communication about disasters at the local level, the highest number of respondents (M = 2.31) from North Macedonia indicated the existence of such communication, while in other countries, Montenegro and Serbia, respondents gave lower ratings for such communication (M = 2.28 and M = 2.13, respectively) (Table 6).
In Serbia, the majority of respondents (46%), compared to respondents from Montenegro (36.8%) and North Macedonia (23.2%), believe that there is a disaster preparedness advisor in their local community. Furthermore, it was found that the level of communication among people is highest among respondents from Serbia (M = 4.23), followed by respondents from North Macedonia (M = 3.85) and Montenegro (M = 3.31). Additionally, respondents from Serbia demonstrated the highest values (M = 3.22) in rating the likelihood of businesses assisting in disasters, followed by respondents from North Macedonia (M = 2.86) and Montenegro (M = 2.80) (Table 6).
Table 6.
Perceptions regarding local connectivity in communities during earthquake disasters in Montenegro, Macedonia and Serbia (n = 1245).
Table 6.
Perceptions regarding local connectivity in communities during earthquake disasters in Montenegro, Macedonia and Serbia (n = 1245).
Variables |
Countries |
Total |
Montenegro Yes/No (%) |
North Macedonia Yes/No (%) |
Serbia Yes/No (%) |
Participation - disaster preparation |
1.95 (1.19) |
2.08 (1.27) |
2.14 (1.42) |
2.05 (1.29) |
Earthquake risk awareness |
2.57 (1.23) |
2.85 (1.21) |
2.93 (1.37) |
2.78 (1.27) |
Neighbours ' rescue ability |
2.95 (1.04) |
3.20 (0.93) |
3.26 (1.22) |
3.13 (1.06) |
The person for disaster preparedness |
20.3*/79.7% |
15.1*/74.9% |
38.4/61.6% |
24.6/75.4 |
Communication about disasters |
2.28 (1.16) |
2.31 (1.25) |
2.13 (1.28) |
2.24 (1.23) |
Disaster preparedness adviser |
36.8*/63.2% |
23.2*/76.8% |
46/54% |
35.3/64.7 |
Communication with neighbours |
3.31 (1.21) |
3.85 (1.27) |
4.23 (1.04) |
3.79 (1.17) |
Businesses' helpfulness in disasters |
2.80 (1.09) |
2.86 (1.06) |
3.22 (1.23) |
2.96 (1.12) |
In the analysis of perceptions regarding local connectivity in the community during earthquake disasters, Table 7 provides insights into various variables in Montenegro, Macedonia, and Serbia. According to the obtained results, respondents from Serbia, to the highest extent (69.6%), emphasised that they know how to use a fire extinguisher, followed by respondents from North Macedonia (66.1%) and Montenegro (41.8%). Similar results are observed when it comes to owning a home fire extinguisher. Namely, respondents from Serbia, to the highest extent (34.4%), highlight that they have such a device in their households, followed by respondents from North Macedonia (30.1%) and Montenegro (18.5%).
Conversely, respondents from North Macedonia to the highest extent (M = 2.35), emphasised that they knew the location of the hydrant network in their surroundings, followed by respondents from Montenegro (M = 2.33) and Serbia (M = 2.14). For the term "initial fire suppression," respondents from Serbia heard it the most (M = 2.88), followed by respondents from North Macedonia (M = 2.70) and Montenegro (M = 2.29). Also, the proximity of the house is highest in Serbia, according to respondent ratings (M = 3.60), followed by respondents from Montenegro (M = 3.06) and North Macedonia (M = 2.98). Access to fire trucks is most highly rated by respondents from North Macedonia (82.6%), followed by respondents from Serbia (80%), and Montenegro (69.5%). The frequency of improper parking is most highly rated by respondents from North Macedonia (M = 4.28), with similar lower results recorded among respondents from Montenegro (M = 4.16) and Serbia (M = 4.16) (Table 7).
Overall, respondents from Serbia scored higher in terms of awareness and preparedness regarding fire safety measures, fire truck access, and home fire extinguisher ownership. However, on the other hand, respondents from Montenegro show lower scores in various categories, while respondents from North Macedonia often fall between these two extremes.
The results indicate significant variations in the perception and preparedness for fire safety measures among respondents from Serbia, Montenegro, and North Macedonia. Accordingly, respondents from Serbia stood out as the most aware and best prepared regarding fire safety measures, including owning household fire extinguishers, access to fire trucks, and overall awareness of fire safety. Such results may stem from more developed infrastructure systems and a greater emphasis on fire safety education in Serbia [
90].
In contrast, respondents from Montenegro showed lower scores in various categories. This could be attributed to a lack of resources, less developed infrastructure, or lesser awareness of the importance of fire safety in that country [
91]. Respondents from North Macedonia often fell in between these two extremes. This could be a result of sociocultural differences, levels of economic development, and the availability of resources for implementing fire safety measures [
92].
Table 7.
Perceptions regarding local connectivity in communities during earthquake disasters in Montenegro, Macedonia and Serbia (n = 1245).
Table 7.
Perceptions regarding local connectivity in communities during earthquake disasters in Montenegro, Macedonia and Serbia (n = 1245).
Variables |
Countries |
Total |
Montenegro M(SD) |
North Macedonia M(SD) |
Serbia M(SD) |
Fire extinguisher usage |
41.8*/58.2% |
66.1*/33.9% |
69.6*/30.4% |
59.26/40.74 |
Home fire extinguisher |
18.5*/81.5% |
30.1*/69.1% |
34.4*/65.6% |
27.66/72.34 |
Hydrant usage |
2.33 (1.37) |
2.35 (1.46) |
2.14 (1.24) |
3.83 (1.35) |
Initial fire suppression |
2.29 (1.36) |
2.70 (1.46) |
2.88 (1.65) |
3.38 (1.49) |
House proximity |
3.06 (1.35) |
2.98 (1.28) |
3.60 (1.33) |
3.21 (1.32) |
Fire truck access |
69.5*/30.5% |
82.6*/17.4% |
80.4*/19.6% |
77.5/22.5 |
Improper parking frequency |
4.16 (1.21) |
4.28 (1.14) |
4.16 (1.30) |
4.2 (3.65) |
3.4. Influences of Demographic and Socioeconomic Factors on Perceptions and Preparedness Levels for Earthquake Disasters across Montenegro, North Macedonia, and Serbia
One-way ANOVA findings demonstrated the relationship between education status and the following variables: household preparedness level (p = 0.001); community preparedness level (p = 0.001); the damaged house (p = 0.002); geological knowledge level (p = 0.006); reinforced house (p = 0.001); places for vulnerable groups (p = 0.030); guide for impairments (p = 0.001); support for vulnerable (p = 0.001); disaster preparation (p = 0.001); earthquake risk awareness (p = 0.001); businesses helpfulness (p = 0.036); hydrant usage (p = 0.009). No statistically significant correlation was found with other variables (Table 5).
Extended analysis indicated that respondents with postgraduate studies provided higher scores for household preparedness (M = 4.18; SD = 1.01) compared to those with respondents who completed secondary school (M = 2.83; SD = 1.21). Moreover, respondents with postgraduate studies provided higher scores for community preparedness (M = 3.82; SD = 1.44) compared to those with respondents who completed secondary school (M = 2.48; SD = 1.30). Also, respondents with this level of education more extensively assess their participation in preparatory activities for earthquakes-induced disasters (M = 2.47; SD = 1.48) compared to respondents who have completed secondary school (M = 1.91; SD = 1.41). The extended analysis revealed that respondents with postgraduate studies gave higher scores for household preparedness (M = 4.18; SD = 1.01) compared to those who completed secondary school (M = 2.83; SD = 1.21).
Respondents with completed higher education give higher scores for potential future damages due to earthquakes (M = 3.84; SD = 1.22) compared to respondents who have completed secondary school (M = 3.17; SD = 1.29). Also, respondents with completed higher education more strongly believe that buildings are constructed with reinforced concrete (M = 3.50; SD = 1.20) compared to respondents who have completed secondary school (M = 3.13; SD = 1.38). Furthermore, the results indicate that respondents with completed higher education more significantly (M = 3.83; SD = 1.29) highlight that they know where older and disabled individuals live in the local community compared to respondents who have completed secondary school (M = 3.07; SD = 1.59). Similarly, they more significantly (M = 3.44; SD = 1.55) assess their knowledge of dealing with the deaf and mute compared to respondents with completed secondary education (M = 2.50; SD = 1.86). Regarding awareness of earthquake-induced disaster risks, the results show that respondents with completed higher education (M = 3.67; SD = 1.32) more significantly evaluate their level of awareness compared to respondents who have completed secondary school (M = 2.67; SD = 1.35). Additionally, these respondents more significantly (M = 3.58; SD = 1.12) assess the role and importance of businesses in such situations, compared to respondents who have completed postgraduate studies (M = 2.71; SD = 1.05).
On the contrary, respondents who have completed secondary school give higher scores for knowledge of geological layers in the area where their house/apartment is located (M = 2.50; SD = 1.69) compared to respondents with completed higher education (M = 2.33; SD = 1.32) and those with completed university degrees (M = 1.88; SD = 1.17). Additionally, respondents with completed secondary education more significantly assessed their knowledge of dealing with the deaf and mute (M = 4.51; SD = 1.01) compared to respondents with completed university degrees (M = 4.09; SD = 1.05).
Through further analyses, it has been determined that there is a correlation between employment status and the following variables: household preparedness level (p = 0.001); community preparedness level (p = 0.004); the damaged house (p = 0.001); geological knowledge level (p = 0.001); the reinforced house (p = 0.001); places for vulnerable groups (p = 0.034); a guide for impairments (p = 0.023); communication about disasters (p = 0.028); businesses helpfulness (p = 0.007); improper parking frequency (p = 0.001). Contrary to that, no statistically significant correlation was identified with any other variables (Table 5). Unemployed participants to a greater extent (M = 3.03; SD = 1.32) compared to employed participants rate the preparedness of their household (M = 3.44; SD = 1.13). Additionally, unemployed participants to a greater extent (M = 2.96; SD = 1.20) compared to employed participants (M = 2.64; SD = 1.19) evaluate the preparedness of their municipality to respond to earthquakes-induced disasters.
In contrast, employed participants to a greater extent (M = 3.57; SD = 1.11) compared to the unemployed (M = 2.81; SD = 1.15) believe that their house/apartment will be damaged in a future earthquake. Also, employed participants (M = 2.55; SD = 1.53) more so than unemployed participants (M = 2.11; SD = 1.32) are familiar with the geological layers in the area where their home is located. Furthermore, employed participants (M = 3.34; SD = 1.62) more than the unemployed (M = 3.05; SD = 1.39) are familiar with the locations of elderly and disabled individuals in the local community. Moreover, they were more often (M = 4.28; SD = 1.02) compared to the unemployed participants (M = 4.05; SD = 1.12) indicating knowing how to interact with the deaf and mute. Additionally, they are more likely (M = 3.49; SD = 1.24) compared to the unemployed participants (M = 3.09; SD = 2.81) to believe that businesses can assist in such situations. They also note (M = 4.43; SD = 1.02) more frequently than the unemployed (M = 3.97; SD = 1.44) seeing improperly parked vehicles.
Then, it was determined that there is a connection between income level and the following variables: household preparedness level (p = 0.029); community preparedness level (p = 0.007); the damaged house (p = 0.034); geological knowledge level (p = 0.001); a guide for impairments (p = 0.003); support for vulnerable (p = 0.001); earthquake risk awareness (p = 0.001); neighbours self-rescue ability (p = 0.001); businesses helpfulness (p = 0.001); hydrant usage (p = 0.001); improper parking frequency (p = 0.001). In contrast, no statistically significant correlation was observed with any other variables (Table 5).
By analyzing further results, we have determined that there is a correlation between ownership of the property and the following variables: reinforced house (p = 0.002); places for vulnerable groups (p = 0.030); guide for impairments (p = 0.001); support for vulnerable (p = 0.012); earthquake risk awareness (p = 0.005). In contrast, no statistically significant correlation was observed with any other variables (Table 5).
Further data analysis revealed that respondents living in a house/apartment owned by a family member (M = 3.38; SD = 1.17) are more likely compared to those living in rented accommodations to point out that buildings are constructed of reinforced concrete (M = 3.00; SD = 1.32). On the other hand, respondents living in personally owned houses/apartments (M = 3.28; SD = 1.26) are more likely compared to those living in rented accommodations (M = 2.52; SD = 1.36) to know where elderly and disabled individuals reside in the community. In contrast, respondents living in rented houses/apartments (M = 3.34; SD = 1.34) are more aware of earthquake risks compared to those living in houses/apartments owned by family members (M = 2.52; SD = 1.36). Furthermore, respondents living in rented houses/apartments (M = 4.47; SD = 1.07) are more knowledgeable about how to interact with the deaf and mute compared to those living in houses/apartments owned by family members (M = 4.08; SD = 1.15).
Examining the correlation between marital status and the observed variables, a connection has been identified with the following: household preparedness level (p = 0.001); community preparedness level (p = 0.001); the damaged house (p = 0.001); geological knowledge level (p = 0.001); a guide for impairments (p = 0.001); support for vulnerable (p = 0.001); disaster preparation (p = 0.001); communication about disasters (p = 0.001); improper parking frequency (p = 0.001). In contrast, no statistically significant correlation was observed with any other variables (Table 5).
Respondents who are in a relationship (M = 3.82; SD = 1.03) are more likely compared to those who are engaged (M = 2.00; SD = 1.00) to assess the level of household preparedness for earthquakes. Participants who are in a relationship (M = 3.21; SD = 1.18) are more likely compared to those who are married (M = 2.49; SD = 1.23) to assess the level of preparedness of the local community for disasters. In contrast, participants who are not in a relationship (M = 2.37; SD = 1.13) are more likely compared to engaged participants (M = 1.00; SD = 1.01) to indicate familiarity with the geological layers of the area where their house/apartment is located. Participants who are in a relationship (M = 3.56; SD = 1.24) are more likely compared to engaged participants (M = 2.00; SD = 1.02) to indicate knowing how to interact with the deaf and mute. Married participants (M = 3.55; SD = 1.23) are more likely compared to those in a relationship (M = 2.90; SD = 1.00) to believe that their house/apartment will be damaged due to earthquakes. Engaged participants (M = 4.50; SD = 1.00) are more likely compared to those in a relationship (M = 2.02; SD = 1.32) (Table 5).
Table 5.
One-way ANOVA results between education, marital status, employment, income level, ownership of property and dependent variables of perceptions and preparedness levels for earthquake disasters across Montenegro, North Macedonia, and Serbia (n = 1245).
Table 5.
One-way ANOVA results between education, marital status, employment, income level, ownership of property and dependent variables of perceptions and preparedness levels for earthquake disasters across Montenegro, North Macedonia, and Serbia (n = 1245).
Variables |
Education |
Marital status |
Employment |
Income level |
Ownership of property |
F |
p |
F |
p |
F |
p |
F |
p |
F |
p |
Household preparedness level |
12.06 |
0.001* |
16.38 |
0.001** |
14.54 |
0.001** |
3.03 |
0.029* |
0.654 |
0.520 |
Community preparedness level |
11.45 |
0.001* |
12.47 |
0.001** |
8.43 |
0.004* |
4.03 |
0.007* |
0.042 |
0.959 |
Damaged house |
4.25 |
0.002* |
13.09 |
0.001** |
53.20 |
0.001** |
2.91 |
0.034* |
1.99 |
0.138 |
Geological knowledge level |
3.68 |
0.006* |
6.08 |
0.001** |
11.62 |
0.001** |
21.55 |
0.001** |
2.82 |
0.060 |
Reinforced house |
4.55 |
0.001** |
1.44 |
0.056 |
24.40 |
0.001** |
1.27 |
0.283 |
6.52 |
0.002* |
Places for vulnerable groups |
2.71 |
0.030* |
1.64 |
0.053 |
4.52 |
0.034* |
0.572 |
0.634 |
3.53 |
0.030* |
Guide for impairments |
3.85 |
0.004* |
5.71 |
0.001** |
5.19 |
0.023* |
4.75 |
0.003* |
14.13 |
0.001** |
Support for vulnerable |
8.45 |
0.001* |
8.59 |
0.001** |
0.55 |
0.457 |
15.53 |
0.001** |
4.46 |
0.012* |
Disaster preparation |
2.51 |
0.001** |
7.78 |
0.001** |
0.33 |
0.565 |
0.438 |
0.726 |
3.31 |
0.037 |
Earthquake risk awareness |
13.16 |
0.001** |
1.52 |
0.195 |
0.21 |
0.642 |
7.03 |
0.001** |
5.27 |
0.005* |
Neighbours ' rescue ability |
0.812 |
0.518 |
0.153 |
0.962 |
0.735 |
0.392 |
5.43 |
0.001** |
0.47 |
0.624 |
Communication about disasters |
5.92 |
0.001 |
8.40 |
0.001** |
4.84 |
0.028* |
0.800 |
0.494 |
0.663 |
0.516 |
Businesses helpfulness |
2.59 |
0.036* |
2.85 |
0.023 |
7.32 |
0.007* |
8.60 |
0.001** |
1.62 |
0.197 |
Hydrant usage |
3.43 |
0.009* |
1.23 |
0.057 |
0.135 |
0.713 |
5.78 |
0.001** |
1.58 |
0.206 |
Improper parking frequency |
15.48 |
0.001** |
12.36 |
0.001** |
14.93 |
0.001** |
6.94 |
0.001** |
1.21 |
0.123 |
The results of Pearson's correlation indicate that there is a relationship between age and various factors related to household preparedness level (r = −0.242); community preparedness level (r = −0.283); the damaged house (r = 0.278); the reinforced house (r = 0.126); support for vulnerable (r = 0.221); participation - disaster preparation (r = −0.101); businesses helpfulness in disasters (r = 0.183); initial fire suppression (r = 0.149). No significant correlation was found between age and the following variables: geological knowledge level, places for vulnerable groups, a guide for impairments, earthquake risk awareness, neighbours' self-rescue ability, communication about disasters, communication with neighbours, hydrant usage, and improper parking frequency (Table 6).
Through further analysis, it has been determined that as the age of the respondents increases, the rating of household and community preparedness for earthquakes decreases. Additionally, it has been found that with the increase in the age of the respondents, there is a decrease in the rating of awareness regarding the locations where elderly, disabled individuals and infants live in their community, as well as participation in local disaster preparedness activities for earthquakes. Contrary to this, the analysis shows that with the increase in the age of the respondents, there is an increase in the rating of potential house damage due to earthquakes, the rating of house reinforcement, awareness of the assistance needed by older individuals, disabled individuals, and infants, emphasis on business assistance in disaster conditions, as well as the rating of knowledge of initial fire suppression measures.
Table 6.
Pearson’s correlation results for the dependent variables of perceptions and preparedness levels for earthquake disasters across Montenegro, North Macedonia, and Serbia (n = 1245), and the age of the respondents.
Table 6.
Pearson’s correlation results for the dependent variables of perceptions and preparedness levels for earthquake disasters across Montenegro, North Macedonia, and Serbia (n = 1245), and the age of the respondents.
Variables |
Age |
Sig. |
r |
Household preparedness level |
0.001** |
−0.242 |
Community preparedness level |
0.001** |
−0.283 |
Damaged house |
0.001** |
0.278 |
Geological knowledge level |
0.324 |
0.028 |
Reinforced house |
0.001** |
0.126 |
Places for vulnerable groups |
0.312 |
−0.029 |
Guide for impairments |
0.024 |
0.064 |
Support for vulnerable |
0.001** |
0.221 |
Participation - disaster preparation |
0.001** |
−0.101 |
Earthquake risk awareness |
0.054 |
0.055 |
Neighbours ' rescue ability |
0.066 |
0.052 |
Communication about disasters |
0.796 |
0.007 |
Communication with neighbours |
0.164 |
0.039 |
Businesses' helpfulness in disasters |
0.001** |
0.183 |
Hydrant usage |
0.253 |
0.032 |
Initial fire suppression |
0.001** |
0.149 |
Improper parking frequency |
0.817 |
0.007 |
The chi-square test results obtained indicate a statistically significant association of disaster fear with the following variables: household preparedness level; community preparedness level; damaged house; geological knowledge level; reinforced house; other emergency supplies; emergency supplies rating; community emergency supplies; designated shelter nearby; route to shelter; obstacle on route to shelter; neighbour alert before evacuation; special care needed; elderly killed injured; places for vulnerable groups; a guide for impairments, support for vulnerable; participation - disaster preparation; earthquake risk awareness; neighbours self-rescue ability; fire extinguisher usage; home fire extinguisher (Table 3).
Extended analysis of the acquired results reveals that respondents who experience a higher level of fear of disasters (68.4%) tend to assess household preparedness for responding to earthquakes more favourably. Additionally, they more frequently evaluate their knowledge of geological layers in their living area (34%) and emphasize that buildings in their surroundings are constructed with reinforced concrete, providing extra resilience to earthquakes (49.4%). They also report having additional supplies significant for surviving such events (44.3%), believe their supplies are sufficient (11.4%), are aware of the locations in their community where vulnerable populations reside (45.6%), recognize the earthquake risks (48.1%), believe their neighbours can independently secure themselves before the arrival of first responders (51.9%), are knowledgeable about operating a fire extinguisher (81%), and possess a fire extinguisher (45.6%).
Contrastingly, respondents who do not experience fear of disasters more extensively assess the readiness of the local community (15.2%) to respond to earthquakes. Furthermore, they more frequently emphasize the likelihood of their house/apartment being damaged due to earthquakes (49.2%). They evaluate that their local community possesses supplies for such disasters (66.7%), highlight knowing their designated shelter (26.3%), emphasize knowing the route to their shelter (19.3%), stress uncertainty about the existence of obstacles to their shelter (91.2%), know the condition of shelters (28.1%), are aware of who manages the shelters (10.5%), assess that they know which people require special care in such disaster conditions (61.4%), evaluate that they know that the majority of casualties belong to the elderly population (61.4%). They know how to interact with the deaf and mute (45.6%), participate in disaster preparedness (19.3%), and believe that businesses play a significant role in such situations (59.9%).
Also, the chi-square test results obtained indicate a statistically significant association of disability with the following variables: reinforced house; obstacle on route to shelter; special care needed; places for vulnerable groups; guide for impairments; earthquake risk awareness; communication about disasters; hydrant usage; initial fire suppression; house proximity (Table 3).
Further examination of the obtained results indicates that respondents without disabilities more frequently emphasize that their house/apartment is constructed with reinforced concrete (72.7%), believe that buildings in their surroundings are built with reinforced concrete (43.2%), know which individuals require special care (56.3%), know where older and disabled individuals reside in the community (43.3%), know how to interact with the deaf and mute (45.8%), have heard of the term "initial fire suppression" (37.6%), believe that houses are too close to each other (50.6%), and observe improperly parked cars (75.6%).
On the other hand, individuals with disabilities more often believe that there are no obstacles on the way to shelters (89%), are more aware of earthquake risks (66.7%), engage in conversations with people about disasters (33.3%), know the location of fire extinguishers (91%), and are proficient in using a fire extinguisher (95%).
Table 3.
Chi-square test results between fear of disasters and disability, and dependent variables of perceptions and preparedness levels for earthquake disasters across Montenegro, North Macedonia, and Serbia (n = 1245).
Table 3.
Chi-square test results between fear of disasters and disability, and dependent variables of perceptions and preparedness levels for earthquake disasters across Montenegro, North Macedonia, and Serbia (n = 1245).
Variable |
Fear of disasters |
Disability |
Sig.(2-tailed) |
X2
|
Sig. (2-tailed) |
X2
|
Household preparedness level |
0.001** |
57.29 |
0.069 |
8.71 |
Community preparedness level |
0.001** |
28.33 |
0.096 |
7.89 |
Damaged house |
0.001** |
51.82 |
0.057 |
9.21 |
Geological knowledge level |
0.001** |
21.79 |
0.284 |
5.03 |
Earthquake house proof |
0.276 |
1.18 |
0.381 |
0.767 |
Reinforced house |
0.007* |
14.25 |
0.032* |
4.57 |
Furnutire secured |
0.943 |
0.45 |
0.340 |
0.046 |
Prepared emergency kit |
0.132 |
2.27 |
0.950 |
0.003 |
Examined emergency kit contents |
0.139 |
0.99 |
0.070 |
3.27 |
Easily access emergency kit |
0.228 |
1.45 |
0.159 |
6.59 |
Other emergency supplies |
0.002* |
9.21 |
0.491 |
0.31 |
Emergency supplies rating |
0.001** |
24.10 |
0.241 |
0.43 |
Community emergency supplies |
0.001** |
22.04 |
0.342 |
0.52 |
Designated shelter nearby |
0.001** |
21.08 |
0.160 |
1.97 |
Route to shelter |
0.004* |
8.29 |
0.165 |
0.07 |
Obstacle on route to shelter |
0.006* |
10.37 |
0.001** |
18.12 |
Neighbour alert before evacuation |
0.240 |
1.54 |
0.962 |
0.291 |
Shelter condition |
0.001** |
17.39 |
0.416 |
1.75 |
Shelter management |
0.065 |
1.44 |
0.858 |
1.31 |
Special care needed |
0.009* |
9.47 |
0.016* |
8.21 |
Elderly killed injured |
0.001** |
44.26 |
0.748 |
1.93 |
Family difficulties in evacuation |
0.264 |
1.24 |
0.705 |
0.78 |
Places for vulnerable groups |
0.001** |
40.40 |
0.034* |
10.42 |
Guide for impairments |
0.001** |
45.11 |
0.006* |
14.31 |
Support for vulnerable |
0.007* |
14.25 |
0.050 |
4.52 |
Participation - disaster preparation |
0.001** |
23.59 |
0.113 |
7.48 |
Earthquake risk awareness |
0.001** |
33.27 |
0.018* |
11.85 |
Neighbours ' rescue ability |
0.001** |
22.29 |
0.153 |
6.70 |
The person for disaster preparedness |
0.490 |
0.48 |
0.054 |
0.89 |
Communication about disasters |
0.387 |
4.14 |
0.044* |
9.80 |
Disaster preparedness adviser |
0.57 |
3.98 |
0.556 |
0.027 |
Communication with neighbours |
0.64 |
1.23 |
0.510 |
3.29 |
Businesses' helpfulness in disasters |
0.072 |
2.56 |
0.261 |
5.24 |
Fire extinguisher usage |
0.004* |
55.12 |
0.104 |
2.64 |
Home fire extinguisher |
0.001* |
14.87 |
0.246 |
2.80 |
Hydrant usage |
0.054 |
2.27 |
0.001* |
26.19 |
Initial fire suppression |
0.123 |
3.43 |
0.010* |
15.01 |
House proximity |
0.453 |
1.56 |
0.045* |
9.74 |
Fire truck access |
0.321 |
1.21 |
0.63 |
0.91 |
Improper parking frequency |
0.057 |
1.19 |
0.001** |
30.72 |
The provided Table 7 presents the results of independent samples t-tests conducted to analyze the statistical significance between gender and various variables related to perceptions and preparedness levels for earthquake disasters across Montenegro, North Macedonia, and Serbia. The outcomes of the t-test imply a statistically significant difference between males and females in terms of community preparedness level (
p = 0.001); reinforced house (
p = 0.024); and communication with neighbors (
p = 0.030). There was no statistically significant association of gender with other variables (Table 7). Further analyses revealed that female participants (M = 2.67) generally perceive lower community preparedness for earthquake-induced disasters compared to male participants (M = 3.07). In contrast, male participants (M = 3.45) perceive a higher level of earthquake-resistant house reinforcement compared to female participants (M = 3.19). Regarding communication about disasters with neighbours, female participants (M = 2.22) communicate more extensively with neighbours about earthquake-induced disasters compared to male participants (M = 1.97) (Table 7).
Table 7.
Independent samples t-test results between gender and variables of perceptions and preparedness levels for earthquake disasters across Montenegro, North Macedonia, and Serbia (n = 1245).
Table 7.
Independent samples t-test results between gender and variables of perceptions and preparedness levels for earthquake disasters across Montenegro, North Macedonia, and Serbia (n = 1245).
Variable |
F |
t |
Sig. (2-Tailed) |
Male M (SD) |
Female M (SD) |
Household preparedness level |
1.03 |
1.49 |
0.136 |
3.34 (1.21) |
3.18 (1.18) |
Community preparedness level |
0.39 |
3.60 |
0.001** |
3.07 (1.22) |
2.67 (1.18) |
Damaged house |
0.17 |
1.65 |
0.098 |
3.23 (1.16) |
3.05 (1.21) |
Geological knowledge level |
4.21 |
0.14 |
0.882 |
2.28 (1.33) |
2.26 (1.48) |
Reinforced house |
2.96 |
2.26 |
0.024* |
3.45 (1.11) |
3.19 (1.31) |
Places for vulnerable groups |
6.67 |
1.24 |
0.215 |
3.27 (1.40) |
3.10 (1.56) |
Guide for impairments |
0.360 |
2.61 |
0.059 |
3.08 (1.48) |
3.42 (1.39) |
Support for vulnerable |
6.42 |
1.94 |
0.057 |
4.04 (1.17) |
4.23 (1.01) |
Disaster preparation |
0.262 |
0.60 |
0.545 |
2.10 (1.37) |
2.17 (1.46) |
Earthquake risk awareness |
0.082 |
1.63 |
0.102 |
3.06 (1.40) |
2.85 (1.34) |
Neighbours ' rescue ability |
4.95 |
0.26 |
0.792 |
3.24 (1.13) |
3.27 (1.29) |
Communication about disasters |
9.74 |
1.55 |
0.122 |
1.65 (0.47) |
1.58 (0.49) |
Communication with neighbours |
2.45 |
-2.17 |
0.030* |
1.97 (1.16) |
2.22 (1.34) |
Businesses helpfulness |
48.65 |
1.59 |
0.112 |
4.25 (0.98) |
4.22 (1.09) |
Hydrant usage |
2.31 |
1.21 |
0.076 |
2.50 (1.47) |
2.28 (1,54) |
Initial fire suppression |
1.18 |
0.21 |
0.083 |
3.11 (1.01) |
3.29 (1.34) |
Improper parking frequency |
21.25 |
1.15 |
0.067 |
3.02 (1.31) |
3.12 (1.57) |