Introduction
Acute kidney injury (AKI) is an already proved risk factor for worse kidney outcomes in adults and children with high mortality and increased hospital stay [
1,
2,
3,
4,
5]. The evolution of AKI is multidirectional and most often linked to the underlying disease severity. AKI can evolve towards resolution of the episode during the first 7 days or it can progress towards acute kidney disease (AKD) or chronic kidney disease (CKD) [
1,
3]. The concept of AKD was first introduced by Kidney Disease Improving global outcomes (KDIGO) in the AKI guideline from 2012. [
6] The Acute Disease Quality Initiative (ADQI) 16 Workgroup further refined and staged AKD as a subacute or acute loss of kidney function with duration between 7 and 90 days from the initial AKI event based on the KDIGO AKI criteria [
7].
Since the concept of AKD was introduced in clinical studies as a prolonged AKI episode with high morbidity and mortality, proving that the relationship between AKI, AKD and CKD represents a continuum of kidney dysfunction or damage time-dependent of the AKI episode. The AKI-AKD-CKD continuum has been studied in adult setting [
8,
9,
10,
11]. The latest meta-analysis in adults by Su showed that AKD is an independent risk factor for mortality, CKD development and kidney failure [
12]. However, only a few studies evaluated the evolution of AKI towards AKD in children [
13,
14,
15,
16,
17]. Three of the aforementioned studies evaluated AKD incidence and outcomes in specific groups of children, either in transplantation (allogenic hematopoietic stem cell) [
16] or non-kidney solid organ transplantation [
14] or following cardiopulmonary by-pass [
15]. The later two studies, by Deng [
17] and Patel [
13] evaluated AKD incidence and outcomes in mixed paediatric patients aged between 1 month and 18 years old.
As kidney function evolution after birth is extremely dynamic, glomerular and tubular function increases immediately postnatal [
18]. The dynamic changes in kidney function occur differently in children born preterm or with lower gestational ages. Nevertheless, children reach a glomerular filtration rate equivalent to adults around 2 years of age [
19]. Given the high variability of kidney function in the first 2 years of life, we conducted a retrospective cohort study in children with stable and mature kidney function who developed AKD following an AKI episode. In addition, we evaluated the risk factors, outcomes and the risk of CKD development in children with AKD.
Results
Our cohort included 736 patients with AKI. 125 children developed AKD representing 17%. The demographics and baseline characteristics of the patients are presented in
Table 1. Patients who developed AKD were older, with a higher weight, height and body mass index compared with non-AKD ones. The baseline serum creatinine (SCr) was higher in the AKD group, however there were no statistical differences regarding eGFR between the AKD and non-AKD groups. Patients with AKD presented higher maximum SCr, urea levels, uric acid and C reactive protein and lower serum proteins, haemoglobin and sodium levels. The distribution on AKI stages was different between the two groups (p<0.0001). Severe AKI (stages 2 and 3) was present in over half the patients from the non-AKD group, while in patients that developed AKD, AKD stages 2 and 3 comprised more than 78%. Similar, the incidence of AKI stage 1 was higher in the non-AKD group, comprising 41% of the AKI cases as compared to the AKD group were AKD incidence was inversely correlated with AKD severity. These results were translated into higher ICU admissions in patients with AKD when compared to non-AKD (44% versus 30.6%, p=0.003), and longer hospital stay as well (17 days versus 8 days, p<0.0001). Also, the incidence of renal replacement therapy was higher in patients from the AKD group (12 patients versus 4, p<0.0001).
Next, we evaluated the impact of exposures and susceptibilities on AKD development –
Table 2. Among the explored exposures, only sepsis, critical illness and nephrotoxic medications increased the risk of AKD by 2, 1.9 and 2.5 times respectively. From susceptibilities, the presence of CKD increased the risk of AKD by 2 times, neoplasia by 2.7 times, anemia by 2.9 times, hearth failure by 4 times, arterial hypertension by 3.6 times, stem cell transplant by 2.7 times and female gender by 1.47 times.
We evaluated the impact of AKI causes on AKD development. It seemed that only intrinsic causes increased the risk of AKD. Thus, renal microvasculature alterations, glomerulonephritis, acute tubular necrosis and acute tubule-interstitial nephritis generated odds ratio of 6.8, 4.7, 5 and 3.3 respectively –
Table 3.
We further performed an analysis on AKD stages –
Table 4. It seems that AKD severity follows AKI severity as 79% of patients with AKD stage 3 presented prior an AKI stage 3 episode, and 61.5% of children with AKD stage 2 had AKI stage 2. In AKD stage 1, the distribution was more even, with around 40% of stage 1 and 2 AKD presenting stage 1 and 2 of AKI and only 18% of AKD stage 1 patients derived from AKI stage 3. The ICU admission incidence was higher in patients with AKD stage 3 compared with all the other stages. Interestingly, baseline SCr was higher only in AKD stage 1 compared to AKD stage 2 and eGFR was similar between the groups. In addition, there were no statistical differences regarding AKD duration stratified by AKD stages. Subsequent AKI events development was similar between AKD and non-AKD patients and between AKD stages also.
The overall mortality was 9.5% (70 cases). The distribution was different regarding the timeframe. In the first 7 days of AKI, there were 16 cases. For a better evaluation of AKD impact on mortality, we excluded from the analysis patients that died during the first 7 days because they could not reach theoretically an AKD state. The cohort for mortality analysis consisted in 720 patients. In this cohort, the mortality was 7.5 % (54 deaths). We divided the mortality timeframe during hospitalisation and after discharge. There were 36 events during hospitalization and 18 after discharge. The crude analysis and the adjusted analysis for age, sex, environment, subsequent AKI and AKI stages are presented in
Table 4. AKD increased the overall mortality risk by 3.7 times in crude analysis and 3 times in adjusted one. In all the subgroups analysis, AKD increased the risk of death –
Table 5.
In order to evaluate the risk of new-onset CKD, we included in the analysis only the patients with a follow-up longer than three months and without CKD at admission – 313 patients. The median follow-up was of 22.6 months (IQR=11-41.5 months). The crude analysis of new-onset CKD was performed using the Kaplan-Meier survival curves. The number of censored cases were 10 for non-AKD patients (4.05%) and 10 for AKD group (15.15%). Overall, new-onset CKD was found in 20 patients (6.39%). The presence of AKD increased the risk of new-onset CKD by 7.07 times (95%CI=2.33-21.44, p=0.0005) –
Figure 1.
In order to evaluate if AKD was an independent risk factor for new-onset CKD, we performed a cox-proportional hazards regression analysis. The model was adjusted for age, sex, environment, subsequent AKI, AKI severity, AKI causes and baseline serum creatinine values. The model was good, with a Harrell’s C index of 0.696 (95%CI=0.522-0.871). AKD remained an independent risk factor for new-onset CKD, increasing the risk by 3.01 times (95%CI=1.18-7.71. p=0.021) –
Figure 2. In this model only acute tubular necrosis as acute kidney injury cause increased the risk of CKD (OR=22.96, 95%CI=2.38-220.98, p=0.006 with dehydration considered the baseline) and baseline serum creatinine (each unit increase in mg/dl generated an OR=26.64, 95%CI=3.42-207.49, p=0.0017).
Discussions
To best of our knowledge, this is the first study from Europe that evaluated AKD following an AKI episode in children using the KDIGO criteria and third in the world, after Deng’s study from China [
17] and Patel’s study from USA [
18]. In this study, we showed that AKD is quite common among children aged 2 to 18 years old, following an AKI episode, and is associated with worse clinical and biological markers. In addition, the presence of AKD increases both in-hospital and post discharge mortality. The intrinsic causes of AKI increased the risk of AKD development. AKD was an independent risk for worse outcomes, with high mortality rates (in-hospital and post discharge) and an increased risk of progression towards CKD in children.
The incidence of AKD in our cohort was 17%. This was consistent with previous reported data in children from 1 month to 18 years old where the incidence of AKD ranged between 6 and 56% [
13,
14,
15,
16,
17]. However, the data are heterogeneous and comprised patients from a wider age spectrum. Yet, Patel [
14], LoBasso [
15] and Daraskevicius [
16] reported AKD incidences of 13%, 11% and 35.3% respectively in specific paediatric patients. Patel evaluated patients with non-kidney solid organ transplantation [
14], LoBasso children following cardiopulmonary bypass [
15] and Daraskevicius children after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation [
16]. As we mentioned above, there are only two studies that evaluated a cohort of mixed paediatric patients, including children between 1 month and 18 years old. One study, by Deng et. al, reported an AKD incidence of 42.3% in 990 AKI children from China [
17] and the other study, by Patel et. al, reported a 56.3% incidence [
13]. Our reported AKD incidence is lower compared to Patel and Deng. These differences can be explained by the geographic area of the studies (Patel from USA and Deng from China). On the other hand, we included only patients older than 2 years. We chose this approach because it is considered that by the age of 2 years old children reach full kidney function with an eGFR similar to adults [
19].
Regarding baseline characteristics, the patients from our cohort that developed AKD were older with higher weight and length. Interestingly, they also presented higher body mass index when compared with non-AKD ones. Deng is the only one who reported that higher age was more common in patients with AKD [
17], while Patel reported similar ages between children with or without AKD [
13]. We report higher ages in patients with AKD compared to Deng [
17] (6 years AKD stage 1 and 9 years AKD stage 2-3), and Patel (3.8 years) [
13]. The only one who reported BMI was Patel, 15.4 in patients with AKD, without statistical differences among groups [
13]. A possible explanation for our higher BMI (18.75) would be the older age of the patients. Older children tend to have higher chances in reaching increased BMIs as the incidence of obesity increases with the age [
23]. The relationship between obesity and kidney disease is not as clear as it is in adults. The most recent review on this topic by Carullo showed that childhood obesity is associated with a higher risk of CKD in adults, but the impact before 18 years old is not clear [
24].
The AKD group presented with a more severe underlying disease translated into biological parameters alterations. Thus, patients with AKD had higher uric acid and C reactive protein and lower haemoglobin and sodium. For instance, in Deng’s cohort, there were no differences regarding anemia incidence, but he found a higher incidence of hypoalbuminemia in AKD patients, especially in AKD stages 2 and 3 (48.9% vs 23.3% in non AKD children) [
17]. The presence of certain exposures and susceptibilities could be a complementary tool in assessing the disease severity in children, besides the known risk factors for AKI development. Patients from the AKD group were found to be at a higher risk for kidney damage when exposed to sepsis, critical illness and nephrotoxic medication. The risk persisted even in the presence of personal certain susceptibilities: neoplasia, anemia, hearth failure, arterial hypertension and stem cell transplant. This resulted in higher ICU admissions in the AKD group (44% vs 30.6%) and longer hospital stay (17 vs 8 days). Deng reported similar results in patients with sepsis and exposure to nephrotoxins in both AKD and non-AKD groups, but with a higher incidence of heart failure in patients from the AKD group [
17]. Patel reported mechanical ventilation, prematurity, neoplasia and bone marrow transplant as risk factors for AKD development [
13].
The kidney disease history and kidney function per se proved to influence the evolution from AKI to AKD. We report a high incidence of CKD among AKD patients (12% vs 6.5% in non-AKD group) and higher baseline serum creatinine levels. There is a continuum in patients that develop AKI that is dependent of the underlying disease severity. Severe AKI tends to progress to severe AKD, and AKD, regardless of its severity, is an independent risk factor for CKD development. Also, the intrinsic aetiologies of AKI increase the risk of prolonged kidney injury. Yet, our results do not support AKI and AKD severity to be risk factors for progression towards CKD. However, the relationship between patients with pre-existent CKD and an overlapping AKI or AKD episode has been reported only by Deng and Patel [
13,
17]. Patients with reduced kidney function are at increased risk of developing a more severe and prolonged AKI episode [
6]. So far, CKD is a proved risk factor for AKI and AKD development, at least in adult settings [
21].
We report AKD to be an independent mortality risk factor during hospital stay and also post-discharge, similar to previous studies [
15,
17,
25]. However, mortality rates in children with AKD are heterogeneous and inconsistent. Deng reported a 12% and 15.9% mortality rates in children with AKD at 30 and 90 days respectively [
17], while LoBasso reported a 31.8% mortality rate after cardio-pulmonary by-pass [
15]. Our 17.6% seems to reflect the mortality rates in children with AKD considering that we included patients who reached adult eGFR, however similar to 17.5% mortality rates in children with severe malaria [
25].
The final analysis in our study referred to the risk of new-onset CKD. The crude analysis showed that AKD increases the risk of new-onset CKD by seven times and in the adjusted one, by three times. In addition, we showed that acute tubular necrosis increased the risk of new-onset CKD as well as higher baseline creatinine. Similar, Patel reported the risk of new-onset CKD to be 2.7 times greater in patients with AKD [
13]. However, patients with AKD following non-kidney solid organ transplantation had a 29 times higher risk to develop CKD [
14]. Interestingly, AKI severity did not increase the risk of CKD similar to previous reported data [
13]. Subsequent AKI episodes did not increased the risk of new-onset CKD, even though Patel found previous AKI episodes to be associated with a higher risk of CKD development [
13].
The major limitations are regarding the nature of the study – single-centre, retrospective and observational. On the other hand, the lack of urine output in diagnosing and staging AKI is a drawback. The number of patients, the long follow-up and the individual evaluation of AKD impact on mortality and CKD represent the strong points. In addition, exploring the AKI causes and their relationship to AKD development increases the quality of the paper. Nevertheless, our study is the first one that evaluates AKD incidence and outcomes in a mixed paediatric patients from Europe, following an AKI episode, in children older than 2 years.
Children who develop AKD have a higher mortality risk that persists even after discharge. AKD is an independent risk factor for new-onset CKD. Attention should focus on children with pre-existent CKD as these patients are more susceptible to prolonged and severe kidney injury. Follow-up at least 3 months after an AKI episode should assess kidney function markers and urinalysis.
Author Contributions
Conceptualization, F.C. and V.I; Methodology, F.C.; Software, L.C.; Validation, A.S, A.M., L.M., R.S. R.M.S.; Formal Analysis, A.M.; Investigation, F.C.; Resources, F.C., R.S.; Data Curation, L.C.; Writing – Original Draft Preparation, F.C., V.I.; Writing – Review & Editing, all authors.; Visualization, A.M., L.M., R.S., R.M.S.; Supervision, A.S.,M.G.; Project Administration, F.C.; Funding Acquisition, R.S. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.