1. Introduction
Following reports on high rates of colony losses and the recognition of colony collapse disorder [
1,
2], assessing colony losses, their driving factors and management strategies have been among major research agendas worldwide in the last decade. International survey reports from COLOSS showed overall annual loss rates of 16% to 20.9%, which greatly varied from 2% to about 36.5% between countries [
3,
4,
5,
6]. A recent study from the Bee Informed Partnership in the United States indicates up to 50.8% average loss rate of colonies [
7]. The ectoparasite
Varroa destructor is known as one of the biggest challenges causing colony losses [
8,
9,
10,
11]. However, some honey bee populations have been identified as tolerant against this pest and able to survive even without anti-varroa treatment [
12,
13,
14,
15]. Since the detection of varroa for the first time in northern Ethiopia’s Tigray region [
16], several studies have been conducted on its distribution and prevalence in the country [
17,
18,
19]. A national survey conducted in Ethiopia, which covered all regions except Tigray, showed a wide distribution and up to 95.8% prevalence in the country with a significant variation between regions [
18]. The prevalence of varroa in Ethiopia was reported to be influenced by several factors including agroecology and management systems [
19].
Other factors that cause honey bee colony losses include pesticides, natural disasters and climatic factors globally [
4,
20,
21]. Recently, it has been discussed that climate change could significantly affect honey bees and beekeeping by causing extreme weather, flooding, wildfire, increased pest infestation and reduced forage availability [
22,
23]. Climate change affects vegetation distribution and the annual flowering calendar of plants which varies between habitat elevations [
24]. This can directly affect survival and performance of honey bees as they depend on flowering plants. African honey bees are known for strong migratory behaviour following forage seasonality [
25]. In northern Ethiopia, a high rate of annual fluctuation in the numbers of managed honey bee colonies has recently been reported. Colony selling and losses (including absconding, death and seasonal migration) were identified as the reasons of colony outflow in the areas, while purchase, trapping, splitting and swarming are the mechanisms of inflow [
26]. Honey bee colonies are also valuable trading commodities in northern Ethiopia where beekeepers exchange colonies in central markets [
27]. A high rate of mobility of honey bee colonies under the influence of anthropogenic activities such as colony marketing as well as natural circumstances (such as migratory behaviour, habitat fragmentation or rehabilitation) could exacerbate the distribution of varroa and other pests and pathogens [
28]. Honey bee colony transportation across agroecological zones is a common practice in northern Ethiopia’s Tigray region [
27,
29].
Tigray region is known as one of the major beekeeping centres in Ethiopia, where there has been a pronounced transformation of beekeeping. Data from the Central Statistical Agency of Ethiopia [
30] showed the management of more than 340,000 honey bee colonies in the region. Over the last two decades, the percentage of frame hives has grown from 1% to 23% and the number of managed colonies has increased by 90% [
31]. However, in recent years, Ethiopia has been facing difficulties due to war, Covid-19, climate change and outbreaks of
Desert locust [
32,
33,
34]. In particular, the two-year war from November 2020 to November 2022 in Tigray region was reported to have wiped out decades of progress in all sectors [
35,
36,
37,
38]. Considering beekeeping specifically, 70% of the managed honey bee colonies were lost due to the war [
39]. This loss may threaten both the livelihoods of the beekeepers and the overall ecosystem.
A survey conducted during the pre-war period in northern Ethiopia showed that there was no difference in colony loss rates based on the beekeeping system, beekeeping experience, number of colonies per household and local areas within Tigray [
26]. This differs from international surveys which have reported that loss rates are significantly affected by scale of beekeeping operations, geographic location and climate, although Ethiopia was not included in these studies [
3,
4,
5,
6,
20,
21]. Therefore, this study was conducted to assess the loss rates in different regions using the COLOSS survey protocol for the first time. The hypothesis is that honey bee colony loss rate significantly varies between regions depending on the vulnerability to natural disasters, infestation and prevalence of varroa, and beekeeping practices, as reported by the international surveys. The alternative hypothesis would be that there is no difference in honey bee colony loss rates between different regions in Ethiopia, as previously found for different local areas within Tigray. The specific objectives of this survey were to assess honey bee colony loss rates in the Oromia and Tigray regions of Ethiopia and to evaluate the degree of association between honey bee colony losses with colony management practices (varroa monitoring, varroa treatment, colony splitting, feed supplementation, operation size, use of natural comb, and purchase of beeswax from external sources). The results are discussed with reference to regional and global figures for colony losses, based on the literature.
4. Discussion
Here, we discuss the results of our survey which was conducted in Oromia and Tigray regions of Ethiopia for the first time based on the COLOSS standardised questionnaire 2023, aiming to assess honey bee colony loss rates and driving factors with reference to regional and global reports. The discussion begins with the numbers of colonies managed per beekeeper and level of colony management as a background to the main topics of colony losses and its drivers in Ethiopia. This is followed by an overview of the annual colony development and management calendar.
We found higher numbers of colonies per beekeeper (apiary) in Spring 2023 in Oromia (mean=30.58) and Tigray (mean=5.24) compared to previously reported average estimates of 6 colonies per beekeeper for Ethiopia [
43] and 2 colonies per beekeeper for Tigray [
26]. It should be noted that the sampling in this survey was not random, but purposefully included well-known beekeepers and accessible apiaries such as those owned by the Oromia Apicultural Research Institute, due to limitations of logistics, time and funding. Some of the apiaries were found to implement improved beekeeping husbandry practices that are not common among the Ethiopian smallholder beekeepers. These include varroa monitoring (7.81% in Oromia; 32.81% in Tigray), varroa treatment (7.81%; 0.00%), queen replacement (29.69%; 0.00%), feed supplementation (48.44%; 26.56%), merging of weak colonies (32.81%; 9.38%) and colony splitting (40.63%; 7.81%); see
Table 2 and
Figure 2.
Apiaries managed in Oromia that are included in this survey applied more varroa control (biotechnical method), feed supplementation, merging and splitting (p<0.001) compared to those studied from Tigray. Moreover, a significantly higher number of the surveyed beekeepers in Oromia used natural combs (p<0.0001) and depended less on beeswax purchased from external suppliers (p<0.01) compared to the situation in Tigray (
Table 2). On the other hand, most frame-hive beekeepers in Tigray depend on externally purchased beeswax supplied from other parts of Ethiopia where traditional beekeeping is still dominant and extraction of beeswax is practised. Exchanging honey bee products and colony transportation could negatively affect honey bee population structures and health [
28,
44,
45]. Pests, pathogens and other stressors cause colony losses as observed by survey studies in different parts of the world [
3,
4,
5,
46,
47,
48]. On the other hand, application of improved beekeeping husbandry such as merging and supplementing weak colonies, replacing undesirable queens, monitoring and controlling of varroa enhances the performance, health and survival of colonies [
49,
50,
51,
52], and could reduce colony losses.
In this survey, the average loss rate of colonies in Tigray was markedly higher (68.33%) than in Oromia (25.93%). The proportional loss rate was also significantly higher in Tigray (66.42%) than in Oromia (24.06%). A previous study [
26] showed that the colony loss rate in Tigray was lower (at 15.7% overall, and ranging from 9% to 19.5% between local areas) than the results in this survey and was similar when compared to international (overall proportional) loss rate figures of COLOSS reported as 16.4% to 20.9% [
3,
4,
5]. This indicates that most of the colony losses in Tigray reported in the present study can be attributed to the disaster of the two-year war in the region, which agrees with recent reports that the Tigray war caused 70% honey bee colony losses [
39] and reversed decades of ecosystem restoration [
37,
53], agricultural development [
54,
55] and livelihood improvement [
34] efforts. These effects could lead to shortage of bee forage and increase rates of colony absconding.
Among the sample beekeepers, 97.0% of them in Tigray responded that they had experienced at least one colony absconding event in the surveyed year compared to 67.7% in Oromia (
Figure 4). Honey bee colony absconding can be defined as seasonal migration of the colony following nest and/or habitat condition. In this behavioural adaptation, the colony abandons its old nest when there is shortage of forage, extreme weather, pest infestation and/or other disturbances [
56,
57,
58]. Instead, the colony searches and re-establishes itself in a suitable environment. Therefore, absconding is one form of colony losses to beekeepers, although the colony may not be lost from the overall ecosystem. This is because the colony strives in another location and continues to provide the necessary ecosystem services no matter whether it may return to its original nest when the situation is better or may be trapped by another beekeeper’s bait hive. High rates of migratory and swarming behaviours in honey bees have been reported as the main coping mechanisms against pests such as varroa [
59]. African honey bees are known for a high degree of migratory behaviour when the availability of floral resources is reduced [
56], which could also be influenced by the local weather conditions and type of beehives [
58] as well as management practices such as feed supplementation and merging of weak colonies. Therefore, colony loss rates vary with management intensity implemented by different scales of beekeeping operations, local weather, geographic location and season [
3,
4,
5,
6,
20,
21]. For example, in the COLOSS survey 2019/20, loss rates ranged from 7.4% in Norway to 36% in Spain, while large-scale beekeeping operations are less prone to the risk of colony losses compared to small-scale beekeepers managing fewer than 50 colonies [
6]. However, this was not observed in a survey conducted in Mexico [
48], which indicates the role of local/regional conditions.
Looking for annual variations in beekeeping across the regions, we observed a bimodal pattern of colony development and beekeeping calendar in the Oromia region of central and southern Ethiopia compared to a single peak of the development cycle and beekeeping activities in the Tigray region of northern Ethiopia (
Figure 4). In the semi-arid areas of northern Ethiopia, colony development, honey production and swarming occur from August to November, while the dearth period characterised by high rates of colony absconding extends from December to July despite the availability of a few trees that bloom during the dry period. These are consistent with previous studies reported from Oromia [
60,
61] and Tigray [
62]. It is well-known that honey bees mainly depend on the nectar and pollen produced by flowering plants which is shaped by the local climate [
24]. Therefore, the floral calendar and nectar flow of an area govern the development of honey bees and the beekeeping activities. Thus, honey harvesting is possible multiple times in a year in the evergreen areas of southwest Ethiopia [
60,
61], while it is mainly limited to September to November in the arid and semi-arid areas of northern Ethiopia [
62].
In conclusion, colony loss rates in this survey showed a significant variation between the two Ethiopian regions, where beekeepers in Tigray sustained a markedly higher loss rate, which we attribute as being due to the war and other factors, compared to the loss rate in Oromia region and also compared to the global figures reviewed. In addition, the colony loss rate was significantly affected by beekeeping practices and honey bee health management. Moreover, the number of colony losses recorded as resulting from queen problems, natural disaster, dead colonies or empty hives is positively correlated with the number of colonies managed. Furthermore, annual colony development and management calendar in the two regions showed different patterns, where the beekeeping seasons were bimodal with short dearth periods and monomodal with a long dearth period in Oromia and Tigray regions, respectively.