The key question is the applicability of the Meso-NH model using the B21 source term for sea-spray in coastal areas. Initially, this requires selecting meteorological episodes for which numerical simulations show a good agreement with the data, allowing for the assessment of the model performance for atmospheric aerosol concentrations. Therefore, the Meso-NH model was employed to compute various meteorological variables, focusing particularly on the wind field in the study area, since wind speed is a major input for aerosol model inputs. Accurate wind speed simulation presents a significant challenge for Chemical Transport Models (CTMs), especially in regions characterized by complex terrain and diverse land surface types. Consequently, coastal areas, with their variable wind conditions and intricate geometries, offer a valuable opportunity to evaluate and enhance the accuracy of meteorological model predictions. In this section, we focus on the comparison between the kilometric (2 km horizontal resolution) and LES (200 m horizontal resolution) models.
4.1. Wind Field Calculations
Figure 4 show examples of wind fields (speed and direction) calculated for three episodes occurring during the MIRAMER campaign. Episode 1 took place on the 20
th of May 2008 at 6 p.m. and was characterized by a frontal zone occurrence. Episode 2 occurred on the 20
th of May as well, at 2 p.m. and was characterized by high wind speed of northwest direction, known as “Mistral” conditions in the study area. Episode 3 covers the period of the 19
th of May at 5 p.m., it was characterized by the presence of local scale atmospheric eddies located over the sea. Each figure has three panels. Panels (a) and (b) correspond to the mesoscale (kilometric resolution) and LES calculations, respectively. The false color plot shown in Panel (c) depicts the percentage difference in wind speed between the simulation at 2 km resolution and the LES simulation with a 200-meter resolution.
The first example illustrating differences between the LES and mesoscale model is shown in
Figure 4, which deals with an episode of a frontal zone occurrence, i.e., winds in opposite direction on a small area, as observed south of the coastline on May 20
th at 6 p.m. During the convergence of the west and easterly winds, turbulent mixing generates smaller eddies and wind patterns. Note that this meteorological phenomenon, which occurs to the south of Toulon Bay, is more detailed in the wind field provided in the LES method (
Figure 4b), as shown by a diagonal line running from top left to bottom right. The distinct differences between the mesoscale and LES wind field simulations, particularly in the frontal zone, are evident when comparing
Figure 4a,b. A notable observation is the spatial shift of the frontal zone, potentially accounting for the significant discrepancies in wind speed gradients between the models, as highlighted in
Figure 4c. In a frontal zone, we generally observe lower wind speeds, and it’s conceivable that a zone of wave front also emerges.
Figure 5 presents another example from the episode on May 20
th at 2 p.m., where we can note that differences between the two configurations are more pronounced near the coast. This is confirmed by
Figure 5c illustrating a re-circulation of the wind near the Cap Cepet, located at the southern tip of the Saint-Mandrier-sur-Mer peninsula, leading to the generation of smaller eddies and wind patterns. The finer resolution of the grid better captures these small eddies and turbulent flows.
Figure 6 shows the wind fields calculated for the episode of 19 May at 5 p.m. In
Figure 6c, we can observe an example of local scale atmospheric eddies located over the sea; south of the Porquerolles station we can also observe a wind pattern characterized by wind in opposite directions, i.e., west and east. This also confirms that the LES resolution captures local turbulent features that the mesoscale resolution cannot resolve.
Figure 4,
Figure 5 and
Figure 6 show a good agreement between the data simulated using the high-resolution model and the one at kilometric resolution when the wind field is uniform, mainly in open sea. While in the cases of complex wind fields - as the frontal situation in
Figure 4, the flow re-circulation near to the shoreline in
Figure 5, and the complex wind pattern in
Figure 6 - the agreement is weaker. We can note that the difference in wind speed generally remains below 10% for a long fetch and a well-established wind in open ocean. In such conditions, the overall wind behavior appears relatively smooth and consistent, enabling both resolutions to effectively capture the dominant wind patterns quite well. However, the situation changes drastically near the coast, and when complex wind patterns are present, where the relative difference between the low and high-resolution simulations can be rather large, varying up to 150%. Substantial differences between the two methodologies near the shoreline, where the wind speed direction induces shorter fetch, are highlighted in
Figure 5. This likely explains why the largest differences between both the kilometric and LES resolution outputs are observed in geographical locations generally in the land-sea transition zone and in a front line, as previously noted in
Figure 4 and
Figure 6. This also confirms that the LES resolution captures local turbulent features that the mesoscale resolution might overlook.
To check that assertion, even with respect to fetch, we have plotted in
Figure 7 a detailed comparison between the wind speed measured throughout the entire MIRAMER campaign and the numerical simulations using both the mesoscale and the high-resolution model.
Figure 7 deals with the measurements at different points south of the Toulon Bay during the scientific cruise on board the Atalante, and is particularly interesting to study the influence of the vicinity of the coast on the model performance. The ordinate axis in
Figure 7 represents the wind speed, specifically the average of the last 10 minutes within each hourly measurement period. This averaging method is consistent across all simulations, ensuring a standardized comparisons between observed and modeled wind conditions. The varying colors of the stars denote distinct fetch conditions under which measurements were conducted, as previously represented in
Figure 1 and detailed in
Section 2.1. As previously mentioned, a specific methodology based on the curvature radius of the wind trajectory above the sea surface was established by Limoges et al. [
38] to calculate the fetch using the Meso-NH wind field calculations.
Figure 7 also reports the wind direction recorded during each episode.
Firstly,
Figure 7 demonstrates a strong agreement between simulations using both configurations, namely, the mesoscale and the high-resolution models, as previously observed in
Figure 4,
Figure 5 and
Figure 6 for a non-dimensional fetch
, exceeding 10000, which is a value smaller than the threshold value proposed by Hsu et al. [
33] to characterize the fully developed wave field (see Section 1.2) (indicated by red stars in
Figure 7). These data relate to stations located at a considerable distance from the coast, as illustrated in
Figure 1 (
Section 2.1), where conditions for airflow and wave fields are steady. Under these circumstances, both models generally perform well, though they have a slight tendency to underestimate the actual wind speeds measured. The differences between the observed data and the simulations range from 10 to 20%, which is accurate, particularly when compared to ocean satellite measurements reported in previous studies [
50], indicating a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of up to 2
. It’s noteworthy that both Meso-NH model versions yield consistent results for wind field calculations far from the coast, aligning well with experimental observations.
In contrast, for data associated with a non-dimensional fetch between 2000 and 10000 (represented by rose stars in
Figure 7), disparities emerge in the wind speed estimations of the two models. Here, the LES version of the Meso-NH model outperforms the mesoscale variant in accurately estimating wind speeds. The gradient between the data and LES calculations is less than 10 %, compared to discrepancies reaching 100 % between the mesoscale model simulations and the data.
For a non-dimensional fetch smaller than 2000 (blue stars in
Figure 7), however, both models show limited accuracy in wind speed predictions, with errors in simulations escalating to 200 %. Such low non-dimensional fetch values correspond to specific conditions, mostly related to measurements taken near the coast during offshore wind periods, resulting in a minimal fetch relative to the ship position. The effective resolution of the Meso-NH model, which refers to the smallest scale of atmospheric features that the model can accurately simulate, varies from 4–6 times the horizontal grid spacing ranging between 2.5 km and 250 m [
51], can further complicate simulations. This higher effective resolution compared to the model grid resolution is due to the numerical methods used to solve atmospheric equations, which inherently smooth out smaller-scale variations. This smoothing is necessary to stabilize the numerical solution, preventing artificial oscillations, but it results in the model inability to capture fine-scale details that are smaller than several grid cells across. In coastal areas, where the landscape and surface characteristics change abruptly, this limitation significantly impacts the accuracy of wind speed predictions. For example, at point 8, wind speed data were recorded near Cap Cepet, where cliff formations provide natural shelter. In this instance, the wind, blowing from the west-southwest, traversed both marine and land surfaces before reaching the ship. For points 15 and 16, high wind speeds along the coast resulted in a minimal non-dimensional fetch. Additionally, despite generally neutral stratification conditions throughout the measurement period, the air-sea temperature difference increased to 7° C after May 27
th, leading to days of highly stable atmospheric conditions poorly represented in the Meso-NH LES model [
52]. Lastly, point 7 deals with observations made near the frontal line, as depicted in
Figure 4, where a change in wind direction occurs over a small area just meters away from the ship measurement location.
4.2. Spatial Discrepancies in Air Flow Patterns
The analysis of wind direction provides further insights into the spatial accuracy of the Meso-NH model simulations compared to actual meteorological conditions.
Figure 10 depicts the wind directions, the wind directions predicted by the LES model are shown in yellow, those from the mesoscale model are depicted in blue, and the actual measurements are denoted by purple arrows. The observations are grouped at the top for the Porquerolles station and at the bottom for the MIRAMER campaign. The ship positions are denoted by numbers from 1 to 17 in the x-axis. An important observation regarding the comparison between the LES meteorological model and measured wind fields can be also made. In few cases, the wind direction locally measured on board or on the island of Porquerolles does not match with the one calculated by the model as reported, for instance in
Figure 4,
Figure 5 and
Figure 6. In particular, if we noted that the LES model predicts well the occurrence of a wind front, the wind speed and direction measured locally demonstrates it does not coincide with exact location of the phenomenon above the sea surface, that is to say there is a spatial shift between measured and modelled wind values. This indicates that while LES models excel in capturing smaller vortices, as evident in
Figure 4b, they may not fully account for the shift in the frontal zone, which significantly impacts the comparison with kilometric simulations. For instance, in few cases (i.e., points 7 and 6 in
Figure 1), the ship was located close to or in the theoretical area of the wind field re-circulation, as calculated by the model, while it was clear that the local wind speed and direction measured in-situ correspond to another area of the wind field. As an example, this can be observed in
Figure 8 and
Figure 9, where are reported zooms on
Figure 5 and
Figure 6.
Figure 8 provides a detailed view of the eastern part of
Figure 5b, and
Figure 9 focuses on the western section of
Figure 6b.
Figure 8 shows the Porquerolles measurement site and
Figure 9 shows the position of the ship on board which the wind speed and direction plotted in
Figure 7 were recorded. In
Figure 8, the ship was positioned in a region where the wind direction was determined to be southeast, conflicting with the westward wind measurements taken on board. This discrepancy suggests that the frontal zone may have been located further west than previously modeled near Porquerolles island. This observation is corroborated by point 5 of
Figure 10, where local measurements of wind speed and direction indicate that the front, although visible on
Figure 8, is actually located further west than modeled. In addition,
Figure 9 shows that close to the extreme west of the island of Porquerolles, we can observe a convergence zone between west and easterly winds resulting in the generation of a small eddy, which is well-captured by the finer grid. However, upon examining the wind direction locally measured at the Porquerolles station, we can note that this comes from the east, whereas the model predicts a west wind. Another discrepancy can be observed in
Figure 9 which zoom on the western portion of
Figure 6b. The ship is in zone where the model predicts an east direction whereas the direction was measured Northwest on board. These results indicate that the wind re-circulation area is not accurately located by the model. Along the coast, the effective resolution is likely insufficient to solve sub-mesh processes, especially when the wind field spans both land and sea.
4.3. Sea-Spray Dynamics
Now that we have examined the performance of the Meso-NH model for capturing the wind field, we turn our attention to the aerosols. Having implemented the B21 formulation for sea-spray source function as described in
Section 3 in the Meso-NH model, we propose a comparison between the spatio-temporal variations of the sea-spray concentrations calculations at high-resolution to experimental data acquired south of the Toulon Bay on board the navy ship Atalante.
Figure 11,
Figure 12 and
Figure 13 show the Meso-NH (top panels) and the Meso-NH-LES (bottom panels) simulations of the horizontal wind field and concentrations of 1
m sea spray droplets for the three examples already reported in
Figure 4,
Figure 5 and
Figure 6 which correspond to typical meteorological episodes characteristic of the Toulon bay.
Figure 11,
Figure 12 and
Figure 13 allow observation of the details of the spatio-temporal variation of sea-spray concentrations in the study area. During episodes of wind front convergence, or re-circulation, or local scale atmospheric eddies, as observed for the wind field in
Figure 4,
Figure 5 and
Figure 6 we do not observe in
Figure 11,
Figure 12 and
Figure 13 the occurrence of sea-spray accumulation zones, as might be expected. Indeed, small vortexes in the atmospheric turbulent flow should "trap" a certain amount of aerosol resulting in peaks of concentrations, e.g. near the front zone. The finer grid size of the high-resolution LES model allows to capture small scale atmospheric flows (
Figure 4,
Figure 5 and
Figure 6), and as a result, the high-resolution simulations should detail aerosol accumulation areas. However, this expected pattern is not observed in
Figure 11,
Figure 12 and
Figure 13. The model seems to respond primarily to the processes of freshly generated particle emissions via air-sea interactions, rather than to the atmospheric transport of "aged" particles. This is confirmed by
Figure 11, which shows a noticeable decrease in the sea-spray concentrations close to the Cepet Cap.
To assess whether the fine-scale details provided by the high-resolution model allow accurate determination of aerosol intrusion towards the continent, we have plotted
Figure 13, which shows the relative difference between modeled and observed sea-spray concentrations for selected radii 1
m and 2.5
m. These particular radii were chosen as representative of sea-spray [
34,
53]. The data were recorded for different mean wind speeds on board the Atalante, and the simulations were derived from the LES model. Each point plotted in
Figure 14 is calculated from approximately ten concentration values. Considering the results obtained in
Section 4.1, the comparison is more specifically focused on the meteorological episodes for which the LES model outputs show good agreement with the wind data, i.e.,
and particularly during periods of high wind speeds that conduce to sea-spray production.
In contrast with the results reported for wind speed, discrepancies between LES simulations and experiments emerge for data dealing with the variation of the non-dimensional fetch
, whereas it was only for
for the wind speed. In few cases, the aerosol concentration can vary by a factor of 3. Given that the wind speed was reasonably well-modeled by the model as outlined above (see
Section 4.1), these differences are attributable to the formulation of the sea-spray source function rather than to discrepancies in the meteorological model outputs. The model struggles to accurately predict concentrations for low wind speed periods, sometimes coinciding with the presence of a frontal line and resulting in a very short fetch. It is important to note an exception for point 14, which even in cases of long fetch a significant errors occur. This arises under very stable conditions where it is known that the model is not particularly effective. Firstly, it is likely that the B21 source function formulation is less accurate for short fetches, which are associated with younger waves and unsteady conditions compared to remote ocean conditions. Younger waves are characterized by periods of wave energy amplification [
54], but may not grow enough to break, leading to negligible production of sea-spray aerosols. It is well-established that sea states can differ significantly depending on whether the wind fetch and duration are substantial or not at the same wind speed. The aerosol source function in Meso-NH depends on the wave slope (see
Section 3), and in the B21 model, the determination of the wave slope is made using a linear function of the wind speed (see Eq. (4)), which is likely more suitable for steady-state wave fields resulting from large fetch conditions. Consequently, for short fetches, the B21 formulation may either overestimate or underestimate atmospheric sea-spray concentrations. To verify this, we have calculated the relative difference between the measured wave slope using the buoy south of the island of Porquerolles (
Figure 1) and the calculated wave slope using Eq. (4). It is noticeable that during the campaign, the wave slope is, most of the time, underestimated by the model, which could partially explain why the performance of the LES model decreases under these conditions.