PreprintArticleVersion 1This version is not peer-reviewed
Multi-Scenario Research on the Coupled and Coordinated Development of the Economic-Energy-Environmental (3E) System under the Reconstruction of the Power System - New Exploration Based on the "Dual-Triangle" Theory
Version 1
: Received: 1 July 2024 / Approved: 1 July 2024 / Online: 1 July 2024 (08:10:24 CEST)
How to cite:
Cen, H.; Wang, W.; Chen, L.; Hao, W.; Guan, Z.; Lu, J.; Cai, G. Multi-Scenario Research on the Coupled and Coordinated Development of the Economic-Energy-Environmental (3E) System under the Reconstruction of the Power System - New Exploration Based on the "Dual-Triangle" Theory. Preprints2024, 2024070027. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202407.0027.v1
Cen, H.; Wang, W.; Chen, L.; Hao, W.; Guan, Z.; Lu, J.; Cai, G. Multi-Scenario Research on the Coupled and Coordinated Development of the Economic-Energy-Environmental (3E) System under the Reconstruction of the Power System - New Exploration Based on the "Dual-Triangle" Theory. Preprints 2024, 2024070027. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202407.0027.v1
Cen, H.; Wang, W.; Chen, L.; Hao, W.; Guan, Z.; Lu, J.; Cai, G. Multi-Scenario Research on the Coupled and Coordinated Development of the Economic-Energy-Environmental (3E) System under the Reconstruction of the Power System - New Exploration Based on the "Dual-Triangle" Theory. Preprints2024, 2024070027. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202407.0027.v1
APA Style
Cen, H., Wang, W., Chen, L., Hao, W., Guan, Z., Lu, J., & Cai, G. (2024). Multi-Scenario Research on the Coupled and Coordinated Development of the Economic-Energy-Environmental (3E) System under the Reconstruction of the Power System - New Exploration Based on the "Dual-Triangle" Theory. Preprints. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202407.0027.v1
Chicago/Turabian Style
Cen, H., Juntong Lu and Guotian Cai. 2024 "Multi-Scenario Research on the Coupled and Coordinated Development of the Economic-Energy-Environmental (3E) System under the Reconstruction of the Power System - New Exploration Based on the "Dual-Triangle" Theory" Preprints. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202407.0027.v1
Abstract
Building a new-type power system is the key core of the green and low-carbon development of energy, the restructuring of the power system will inevitably have a linked impact on the coordinated development of the economy-energy-environment (3E) system. This paper constructs a "Dual-Triangle" theoretical framework consisting of the “Energy Trilemma” and the "Sustainable Development Triangle", by combining historical statistical analysis with scenario predictive analysis, analyzes the historical characteristics of the "Dual Triangle" and future development trends under different scenarios, and studies the coupled interaction relationship of the "Dual-Triangle" to explore the optimal transformation path of the power system that is most beneficial to the coordinated development of the 3E system. The conclusions are as follows: (1) The energy system gradually inclined towards economy and cleanliness from 2010 to 2022, the level of coordinated development of the 3E system fluctuated upwards, and the operation status of the "Dual Triangle" was stable. (2) Positive coupling relationship between "Dual Triangle" of scenario S1 is close, which can be regarded as the preferred path for the reconstruction of the power system. Due to phased development has clear development priorities, scenario S2 will artificially break the balance of the “Energy Trilemma”, which is a development model that dynamically mitigates the challenges of the “Energy Trilemma”.(3)The contradiction between economy and cleanliness is continuously weakened, and security has become the core contradiction of the "Impossible Triangle". The combination of renewable energy and energy storage is the key to resolving this contradiction. This paper conducts an integrated and innovative application of the "Dual-Triangle" theory, and the results provide a case basis for how to achieve the coupled interaction of the "Dual-Triangle", promote high-quality energy development, and support the sustainable development of the economy and society.
Keywords
Coupled and coordinated development; Economic-Energy-Environmental (3E) system; Power system; “Energy Trilemma”; Dual-Triangle; Scenario predictive
Subject
Environmental and Earth Sciences, Sustainable Science and Technology
Copyright:
This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
