Preprint Article Version 1 This version is not peer-reviewed

Application of Bayesian Statistics in Analyzing and Predicting Carburizing-Induced Dimensional Changes in Torsion Bars

Version 1 : Received: 17 July 2024 / Approved: 18 July 2024 / Online: 18 July 2024 (12:31:08 CEST)

How to cite: Sun, G.; Xu, L.; Wang, Q. Application of Bayesian Statistics in Analyzing and Predicting Carburizing-Induced Dimensional Changes in Torsion Bars. Preprints 2024, 2024071503. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202407.1503.v1 Sun, G.; Xu, L.; Wang, Q. Application of Bayesian Statistics in Analyzing and Predicting Carburizing-Induced Dimensional Changes in Torsion Bars. Preprints 2024, 2024071503. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202407.1503.v1

Abstract

This paper explores the feasibility of applying Bayesian statistical methods to study the distortion patterns induced by carburizing heat treatment. By establishing posterior and predictive distribution models for torsion bar dimensions, we aim to accurately understand and predict the expansion behavior, thus enhancing control over carburizing-induced dimensional changes. Bayesian methods allow for the integration of prior knowledge and real-time data, providing a more comprehensive understanding of the distortion phenomena. This approach not only improves the precision of dimensional predictions but also contributes to optimizing the overall manufacturing process, ensuring that the torsion bars meet the rigorous standards required for high-performance applications in demanding industrial environments.

Keywords

Bayesian statistics; carburizing heat treatment; dimensional changes; predictive distribution; posterior distribution

Subject

Engineering, Mechanical Engineering

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