Preprint Article Version 1 This version is not peer-reviewed

MRI texture analysis Machine Learning models to assess graft interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy in patients with transplanted kidneys

Version 1 : Received: 29 July 2024 / Approved: 1 August 2024 / Online: 2 August 2024 (09:07:48 CEST)

How to cite: Trojani, V.; Monelli, F.; Besutti, G.; Bertolini, M.; Verzellesi, L.; Sghedoni, R.; Iori, M.; Ligabue, G.; Pattacini, P.; Giorgi Rossi, P.; Ottone, M.; Piccinini, A.; Alfano, G.; Donati, G.; Fontana, F. MRI texture analysis Machine Learning models to assess graft interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy in patients with transplanted kidneys. Preprints 2024, 2024080113. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202408.0113.v1 Trojani, V.; Monelli, F.; Besutti, G.; Bertolini, M.; Verzellesi, L.; Sghedoni, R.; Iori, M.; Ligabue, G.; Pattacini, P.; Giorgi Rossi, P.; Ottone, M.; Piccinini, A.; Alfano, G.; Donati, G.; Fontana, F. MRI texture analysis Machine Learning models to assess graft interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy in patients with transplanted kidneys. Preprints 2024, 2024080113. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202408.0113.v1

Abstract

Objective: Interstitial fibrosis / tubular atrophy (IFTA) is a common, irreversible, and progressive form of chronic kidney allograft injury, and it is considered a critical predictor of kidney allograft outcomes. The extent of IFTA is estimated through a graft biopsy, while a non-invasive test is lacking. The aim of this study was to evaluate the feasibility and accuracy of an MRI radiomic-based machine learning (ML) algorithm in estimating the degree of IFTA in a cohort of transplanted patients. Approach: Patients who underwent MRI and renal biopsy within a 6-month interval from 1/1/2012 to 1/3/2021 were included. Stable MRI sequences were selected, and renal parenchyma, renal cortex and medulla were segmented. After image filtering and pre-processing, we computed radiomic features which were subsequently selected through a LASSO algorithm for their highest correlation with the outcome and lowest intercorrelation. Selected features and relevant patients’ clinical data were used to produce ML-algorithms using 70% of the study cases for feature selection, model training and validation with a 10-fold cross-validation, and 30% for model testing. Performances were evaluated using AUC with 95% confidence interval. Main results: 70 coupled tests (63 patients, 35.4% females, mean age 52.2 years) have been included and subdivided into a wider cohort of 50 for training and a smaller cohort of 20 for testing. For IFTA ≥ 25%, AUCs in test cohort were 0.60, 0.59, and 0.54 for radiomic features only, clinical variables only, and combined radiomic-clinical model, respectively. For IFTA ≥ 50%, AUCs in training cohort were 0.89, 0.84, 0.96, and in test cohort were 0.82, 0.83, and 0.86, for radiomic features only, clinical variables only, and combined radiomic-clinical model, respectively. Significance: An ML-based MRI radiomic algorithm showed promising discrimination capacity for IFTA>50%, especially when combined with clinical variables. These results need to be confirmed in larger cohorts.

Keywords

kidney; Magnetic Resonance; Transplantation; Radiomics

Subject

Computer Science and Mathematics, Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning

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