Furthermore, on April 16, 2022, the cloud thickness was 1.51 km, nearly similar to Event 1. The cloud top at 4.1 km and the base at 2.22 km presented a relatively thick layer in the last event, on March 9, 2021. The temperatures at the cloud tops ranged from -23°C to -11°C. The coldest cloud tops were on March 5, 2022, where the cloud had the highest altitude among all events, and the warmest was on April 16, 2022. The temperatures at the cloud bases varied from -9°C to -3°C. The coldest base temperature was observed on March 6, 2021, and the warmest on December 16, 2021. The values of temperature within the cloud layer are critical for determining various processes and properties such as vapor deposition, nucleation, and viscosity.
Additionally, LWC and IWC measurements indicate the amounts of supercooled cloud droplets and ice particles in the clouds. LWC showed considerable variability, with values ranging from 0.102 g/m³ to 0.249 g/m³. The highest amount was observed on December 16, 2021, while the lowest was on March 5, 2022. These differences in cloud properties are crucial for understanding cloud behavior and are significant for weather modification and atmospheric research applications. The values of IWC at the cloud top are important to determine the change in most ice microphysical variables within the cloud layer. The values of LWC affect the effectiveness of the riming process.
3.2. Model Results
By running the model under varied scenarios, the effects of cloud seeding on snow particle formation and dynamics can be effectively identified. In the absence of seeding, snow particles form naturally around atmospheric aerosols without the introduction of nucleating agents. Regarding Event 1 on March 6, 2021,
Figure 4 (right panels) shows that the number concentration of particles decreases from 14 Liter^-1 at the cloud top to 2 Liter^-1 at the bottom in natural conditions for the run with all 3 processes. This reduction is attributed to the growth of cloud particles from the top to the bottom of the cloud, where larger or heavier particles are more efficiently removed. The figure also highlights that aggregation plays a more significant role than riming in reducing the number of ice particles. Conversely, the snowfall rate, as depicted in
Figure 5 (right panels), increases by approximately 0.2 mm/hr when three processes of riming, aggregation, and diffusion occur simultaneously. The vertical profile of IWC in
Figure 6 (right panels) indicates an increase from the cloud top to the bottom (from 0.05 to 0.075 gr/cm3), driven by the phase transition from vapor to ice and the accumulation of cloud droplets on ice surfaces through riming. Although aggregation does not change the IWC, riming notably enhances it. Furthermore,
Figure 7 (right panels) illustrates an increase in fall speed in scenarios that include all ice particle growth mechanisms, where the fall speed enhances from the cloud top to the base due to the increase in particle size and mass per area ratio.
When seeding is active, the first significant effect observed is an increase in the number concentration of ice particles. This rise is primarily due to the AgI plume effect at the lower part of the cloud, where nucleation significantly enhances the number of ice particles (
Figure 4; left panels). In Event 1, this concentration peaks at 38 particles per liter at an altitude of 3600 meters. Seeding also notably enhances snowfall rates by forming a greater number of ice particles, especially evident in scenarios involving riming, as shown in
Figure 5 (left panels). In this event, the snowfall rate increase was 0.17 mm/hr, as the newly formed ice particles substantially boosted the IWC. This increase aligns with simulated transitions in other parameters, starting at altitudes around 4000 meters. While aggregation produces larger but less dense snowflakes, riming significantly raises the ice mass through the accumulation of cloud droplets by ice particles. Additionally, cloud seeding considerably enhances the IWC, as depicted in
Figure 6 (left panels). Comparative analysis of conditions with and without seeding shows that riming at the cloud base in Event 1 results in a 0.04 g/cm³ increase in IWC. Furthermore, the introduction of nucleating agents alters the physical characteristics of snowflakes, including their size and shape, which affects their fall speed. Despite this, the overall impact on the mass-weighted fall speed is minimal because the nucleated ice particles are small.
In the natural conditions of Event 2, the cloud processes exhibit a typical, gradual transition in all measured parameters. The number concentration of ice particles for the run with the inclusion of diffusion, aggregation, and riming shows a consistent decrease with altitude, beginning to reduce from about 8 particles per liter at 3800 meters. The snowfall rate under unseeded conditions reaches the maximum of 0.45 mm/h at the cloud base. The IWC increases from top to bottom, reaching a maximum of 0.09 gr/cm³ at the cloud base, reflective of higher ice content in comparison to Event 1, in natural cloud conditions. Similarly, the fall speed exhibits a maximum speed of about 135 cm/s at 2000 meters.
Upon introducing seeding in Event 2, the cloud microphysics are significantly altered. The number concentration when diffusion, aggregation, and riming are included, surges to 10 particles per liter at 2500 meters, an increase that highlights the effectiveness of nucleating agents in stimulating ice particle formation. Likewise, the snowfall rate sees a considerable increase, reaching 0.6 mm/h at the cloud base, which is 0.15 mm/hr higher than the unseeded condition. The IWC reaches a higher peak of 0.12 gr/cm³ at 3000 meters, a clear indication of a more efficient riming process facilitated by the seeding. Moreover, the fall speed of the particles increased in the scenario consisting of all mechanisms.
The model outcomes for event 3 (on March 5, 2022), indicate that the number concentration of ice particles significantly reduces from 21 to about 12 particles per liter when riming and diffusion are present. In scenarios involving all three processes, the number concentration at the cloud base further drops to approximately 2 particles per liter, because aggregation causes ice particles to stick together. Moreover, the snowfall rate increases from 0.17 mm/hr at an altitude of 5013 meters to about 0.5 mm/hr at 2249 meters, reflecting enhanced snow formation as particles descend. While the IWC shows minimal changes across all scenarios, it consistently enhances from top to bottom of the cloud. Also, the fall speed of particles rises from 95 cm/s at the cloud top to 110 cm/s at the cloud base in scenarios with aggregation and aggregation+diffusion, and to approximately 145 cm/s when aggregation is not present, highlighting the impact of particle growth mechanisms on fall velocity.
In contrast, the seeded condition of Event 3 results in the number concentration of ice particles reaching 24 particles per liter, when three processes are present. Although Event 3 features the lowest cloud top temperature and the highest altitude among all events, its number concentration remains lower than that simulated in Event 1. Furthermore, the snowfall rate grows at the 2500-meter level, indicating enhanced precipitation efficiency due to seeding. A modest increase of about 0.01 g/cm³ in IWC near the cloud base is observed, marking the lowest increase among all events. Additionally, the fall speed of particles shows negligible change with seeding, suggesting that while nucleation enhances ice particle formation, it does not greatly affect their falling rate.
During Event 4 on April 16, 2022, the cloud's vertical depth was notably shallower compared to other observed events, with a measured depth of 1.51 km (
Table 1). Under the unseeded condition, the number concentration decreased minimally, reaching approximately 2 particles per liter at the cloud bottom. The snowfall rate increased to 0.33 mm/hr at the cloud base, located at an altitude of 2486 meters. Additionally, there was only a minimal increase in IWC near the cloud base, indicating limited growth in ice mass under natural conditions. The overall trend in fall speed was a moderate increase with decreasing height, from 120 cm/s at the cloud top to approximately 135 cm/s at the base. This trend suggests that as ice particles descended, their size and mass contributed to a greater fall speed.
Following the injection of cloud seeding, significant changes in cloud microphysics were observed in Event 4. The number concentration of ice particles increased to 9 particles per liter at an altitude of 2800 meters, 300 meters above the cloud base. The snowfall rate began to rise from the middle of the cloud at approximately 2800 meters and reached 0.41 mm/hr at the cloud base, indicating a 0.05 mm/hr increase due to seeding. The IWC also increased by about 0.01 gr/cm³ after seeding, reflecting enhanced ice particle formation and growth. Furthermore, seeding led to an increase in the mass-weighted fall speed.
Regarding the last event on March 9, 2021, the number concentration of ice particles under natural atmospheric conditions decreased from 21 particles per liter at the cloud top to 2 particles per liter at the cloud base for run with the inclusion of three processes of diffusion, aggregation, and riming. Moreover, the snowfall rate increases, predominantly influenced by aggregation near the cloud top and by riming near the cloud bottom. The riming process is much stronger towards the cloud bottom because LWC values are higher in this part of the cloud. As a result of the collection of cloud droplets by ice particles, dense rimed particles form, and this enhances the overall IWC and therefore snowfall rate in simulations with the inclusion of riming. Since riming is negligible near the cloud top, aggregation dominates and as a result, the snowfall rate is stronger in simulations including the aggregation process. Although aggregation did not alter the IWC, riming notably enhanced it. Specifically, the difference in IWC between scenarios including riming and those without was approximately 0.015 g/cm³ at the cloud base. Furthermore, an increase in fall speed was shown in scenarios encompassing all ice particle growth mechanisms.
When seeding was active, the number concentration began to increase and reached a value of 24 Liter^-1 at an altitude of around 3000 meters due to the plume effect at the lower part of the cloud. Here, nucleation significantly enhanced the number of ice particles. Additionally, seeding led to a notable enhancement in snowfall rates by forming a greater number of snowflakes in scenarios involving riming. This enhancement amounted to approximately 0.14 mm/hr. Moreover, in scenarios that included riming, the IWC increased by 0.025 g/cm³.
In summary, SGMR findings indicate that riming has a significant impact due to the collection of cloud droplets by ice particles that leads to enhancing their mass and area while making negligible change in their size. Notably, seeding increased the snowfall rate, with scenarios involving cloud seeding resulting in a snowfall rate on average 24% higher than those with no cloud seeding. The lowest enhancement of snowfall rate was simulated in event 3 (e.g., 6%), whereas the highest in event 1 (e.g., 37%). In general, the results provided a comprehensive understanding of how different microphysical processes and environmental conditions influence snowfall characteristics during cloud seeding.
To further understand the impact of different conditions on snow formation, the study involved running the model under four different scenarios, each representing a combination of processes such as diffusion, aggregation, nucleation, and riming. The model was run for Event 1 with various number concentrations ranging from 100 to 1000 cm⁻³ [
49] to analyze the sensitivity of cloud microphysics to seeding agent concentration. The left panel in
Figure 8 illustrates the evolution of cloud particle number concentration from cloud top to bottom, while the right panel depicts the evolution of snowfall rate for various AgI concentrations of 100 cm⁻³, 400 cm⁻³, 700 cm⁻³, and 1000 cm⁻³ in the seeding plume (lowest 800 m within the cloud layer). The results indicate that higher agent concentrations lead to increased number concentrations and higher snowfall rates because more seeding agents enhance ice crystal formation, which accelerates snowflake growth and increases snowfall. As mentioned in section 2.2, AgI number concentration is assumed to be 700 cm⁻³ throughout the study for main simulations [
49]. This concentration was chosen because it effectively promotes ice nucleation and enhances snowfall without excessive use of the seeding agent. The model was then executed with and without accounting for cloud seeding, an important part of our research. This method was intended to assess the impact of cloud seeding on different parameters, including number concentration, IWC, mass-weighted terminal fall speed, and snowfall rate.